1. #561
    John Ryan
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    5* graded play on Columbia as they host Brown in IVY League action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Columbia will win this game by 10 or more points. Columbia has a huge edge in rebounding and this will be a dominant reason this game may turn into a 15+ Columbia win. The sim shows a high probability that Brown will have a minimum of four fewer rebounds than Columbia. In past games Brown is just 3-12 ATS when they have had four to nine fewer rebounds than the opponent since spanning the past three seasons. The sim shows a high probability that Brown will not score more than 60 points in this game and is past games Brown is just 1-8 ATS when the fail to score more than 60 points. Take Columbia.

  2. #562
    repski
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    nice play!

  3. #563
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by repski View Post
    nice play!
    thanks.. we are heading in the right direction..

  4. #564
    John Ryan
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    58-63 ATS for 5* plays , 8-2-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

    10* Idaho State + 1 -110 at Northern Arizona 8:35 PM ET
    10* Davidson - 5 1/2 at College of Charleston 3:00 PM ET
    5* Buffalo - 9 1/2 hosting Western Michigan 6:00 PM ET

    I will be back around 4:00 with some detail and a look at tonight's potential plays.
    Last edited by John Ryan; 02-11-12 at 10:43 AM.

  5. #565
    Wolfpacker
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    davidson is on the road. does that change your play John?

  6. #566
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wolfpacker View Post
    davidson is on the road. does that change your play John?
    NO,, just a typo; I always list the team being played first

  7. #567
    DontGetGot818
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    damn

    I Got got with davidson

  8. #568
    johno35
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    I really hope Idaho gets up, Buffalo not looking good

  9. #569
    sweethook
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    gl man

  10. #570
    dayrichland
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    total record

    Before I start betting, I was wondering if you had any idea what your record for 10* and 20* plays have been over the last year or so in all sports combined.

  11. #571
    John Ryan
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    5* graded play on V-tech as they take on Boston College in an ACC matchup set to start at 6:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that V-Tech will win this game by 14 or more points. I fully expect that BC will struggle eon offense and will not score more than 60 points. In past games, V-Tech is a solid 19-7 ATS in home games when they allow 55 to 60 points in a game since 1997. V=Tech is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1997. This also reflects that they will turn up the defensive heat against a struggling BC offense that ranks 320th in the nation scoring just 59.5 points per game. Moreover, they rank a horrid 287th in the nation posting a 0.775 assist/turnover ratio. This ratio when below 1.000 reflects a team that commits more turnovers than record assists and is obviously not a favorable stat for any team. BC is a sol a terrible rebounding team ranking 319th averaging just 30.3 rebounds per game. V-Tech will dominate on both glasses and will get far more second chance scoring opportunities that the Eagles. Take the Hokies to the Bank.

  12. #572
    John Ryan
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    Season record now entering Sunday action:

    58-64 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

  13. #573
    Beez1973
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    Over the season BC has been a poor team but check out there last three games.....3-0 ATS with a straight up win at Florida State, this is a young team that is playing good ball of late... take the 14 points here

    BC gets it done !!!

    BC+14

  14. #574
    LUNT101
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    John, your supporting system today for Syracuse -3 states the following:

    Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are average three-point shooting teams making between 32 to 36.5% of those shot attempts and now facing an average three point shooting defense allowing 32 to 36.5% shooting after 15 or more regular season games and after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.

    Syracuse is the road team here... what gives?

  15. #575
    Sacdaddy05
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    Lunt 101. Whats your lean on this game? I haven't seen John post but I'm lean UL + points

  16. #576
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sacdaddy05 View Post
    Lunt 101. Whats your lean on this game? I haven't seen John post but I'm lean UL + points
    john picked syracuse-3, his write-up is on the cbb page

  17. #577
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by LUNT101 View Post
    John, your supporting system today for Syracuse -3 states the following:

    Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are average three-point shooting teams making between 32 to 36.5% of those shot attempts and now facing an average three point shooting defense allowing 32 to 36.5% shooting after 15 or more regular season games and after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.

    Syracuse is the road team here... what gives?
    good catch it is a typo.. sorry about that.. the play is Syracuse! and the research only supports the grading of the play.

  18. #578
    John Ryan
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    5* Syracuse -2 1/2 -110 playing at Louisville.

    58-65 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

    This also marks the beginning of the Challenge I received from good old friend LT Profits. This will be a serious, yet, good-hearted contest making between 100 to 150 plays over the next 30 days. I hope we both do very well in this contest as that will make it a win-win situation you and us. Check it out when you can.

  19. #579
    jjaycuny
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    Quote Originally Posted by John Ryan View Post
    5* Syracuse -2 1/2 -110 playing at Louisville. 58-65 ATS for 5* plays , 9-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays. This also marks the beginning of the Challenge I received from good old friend LT Profits. This will be a serious, yet, good-hearted contest making between 100 to 150 plays over the next 30 days. I hope we both do very well in this contest as that will make it a win-win situation you and us. Check it out when you can.
    Thanks John, looking forward to it

  20. #580
    Kurtz
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    Good luck in your contest!

  21. #581
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kurtz View Post
    Good luck in your contest!
    Thanks to all wishing me good Luck! Heard that my fello patriot LT is loading up the barrel here on Day 2 with 13 selections... certainly worth checking into for possible plays.

  22. #582
    John Ryan
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    5* play UC-Davis + 6 1/2 playing Pacific
    5* play James Madison +5 -110 playing Georgia State
    10* play Northeastern - 13 1/2 playing Towson.

    research is on the front page of the College section and/or the front page of the SBR Forum site. Thanks and BOL
    Points Awarded:

    Kurtz gave John Ryan 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  23. #583
    Kurtz
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    Cash the first 2!

  24. #584
    chief42
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    i know it's still early but i'm breaking out the

  25. #585
    Kurtz
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    Thanks!

  26. #586
    John Ryan
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    60-66 ATS for 5* plays , 10-3-1 ATS for 10* plays , and 2-1 ATS for 20* plays.

  27. #587
    cant call it
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    Is okie state getting 16 points tonight a trap?

  28. #588
    John Ryan
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    So far I have 5* on DePaul Research on the side

  29. #589
    Beez1973
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    Really Like your Depaul play tonight !!!! The demons can run with Uconn..too many points here

    Depaul +13.5

  30. #590
    nqteee
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    John, what's your opinion on Detroit +2.5 against Wright St. tonight?

  31. #591
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by nqteee View Post
    John, what's your opinion on Detroit +2.5 against Wright St. tonight?
    no opinion.. I do like DePaul... and I would make it a bit more than the 5* amount. maybe even a 7* quantity or add a tad on the money line.

  32. #592
    John Ryan
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    Quote Originally Posted by cant call it View Post
    Is okie state getting 16 points tonight a trap?
    I don'tt hink it is..

  33. #593
    John Ryan
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    5* DePaul +13 1/2 -110 playing UCONN.

  34. #594
    nqteee
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    Quote Originally Posted by John Ryan View Post
    no opinion.. I do like DePaul... and I would make it a bit more than the 5* amount. maybe even a 7* quantity or add a tad on the money line.
    yeah staying away now. i like your depaul bet but also looking for one more. -6 for UNC looks great. last time they played Miami, UNC won by 17 (at home). Why do you think the number is far less this time?

  35. #595
    John Ryan
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    5* California
    5* Maryland..

    check on the challenge thread to from LT Profits. he is off to a slow start, but mark my words, I don't like seeing him in a my rear view mirror. he is a good handicapper and he will make a winning run. i hope I can hang on till the end.

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