I hope stiff post plays early cause first game 12pm et. which we should have have B wager on. login early to confirm. good night all.
 SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks |
Best Sportsbooks List
|
|
| |||||
| #1 Caesars | SBR rating A- | Review | #6 bet365 | SBR rating B+ | Review | #2 BetMGM | SBR rating A- | Review | #7 Barstool Sportsbook | SBR rating B+ | Review |
| #3 FanDuel | SBR rating A- | Review | #8 Betway | SBR rating B | Review | ||
| #4 DraftKings | SBR rating A- | Review | #9 WynnBET | SBR rating B | Review | ||
| #5 PointsBet | SBR rating B+ | Review | #10 SuperBook | SBR rating B | Review | ||
-
11-18-12 01:22 AM #421
-
11-18-12 01:53 AM #422
I hope bobcats come through for us because i'm down a few extra units since we are running two series on them and i also have a separate labby running on all the plays
-
11-18-12 06:39 AM #423
records:
Originally Posted by Stifler
S1: W 7 | L 0 (+7,00 units)
S2: W 2 | L 0 (+2,00 units)
S3: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S4: W 5 | L 0 (+5,00 units)
pending:
- S1 NYK, B Bet on 18.11.2012
- S1 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
- S3 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
-
11-18-12 07:09 AM #424
18.11.2012
S1
(B Bet) NYK: NY Knicks +5,5 1,10u | NY Knicks-6,5 2,31u
u should get this line quick...it will move up very soon i think.Points Awarded:
Maleku gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
ParlayBricker gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
itsjhurley gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
TheJettylife gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
smin3r gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Asset gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Fed_42420 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
-
11-18-12 08:22 AM #425
Any other matches for today?
-
11-18-12 11:05 AM #426
Up to 7.5.... I shouldn't of waited
good call. all about the closing line anyways.
-
11-18-12 12:21 PM #427
Wouldn't Boston be an S1 play today? Going back to 11/10 they've had 3 wins ATS and 2 pushes (using covers.com closing lines).
Sorry if I'm off base on this... Just don't want to miss a potential play.
-
11-18-12 02:24 PM #428
Cash
-
11-18-12 02:41 PM #429
Miss a 1st half, tailed a 2nd Half NY Knicks - 11.5 
) Cash by winning 12 pts
-
11-18-12 04:51 PM #430
pending:
- S1 NYK, B Bet on 18.11.2012
- S1 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
- S3 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012[/QUOTE]
so we bet charlotte twice right? I saw this the other day and I thought it was a typo.
-
11-18-12 05:53 PM #431
records: Originally Posted by Stifler
S1: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
S2: W 2 | L 0 (+2,00 units)
S3: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S4: W 5 | L 0 (+5,00 units)
pending:
- S1 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
- S3 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
-
11-18-12 05:53 PM #432
yes, 2 different series on charlotte. Originally Posted by itsjhurley
Points Awarded:
Grinder12000 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Want2Win gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
-
11-18-12 05:59 PM #433
I'm curious, what do you do if one or multiple of those bets during a home/away series are a push and the next game ist away/home?S3 Char, B Bet on 19.11.2012
e.g. Charlotte almost pushed vs Memphis, but they only have 4 home games, so if it went to a D bet, when how you handle that?
-
11-18-12 07:00 PM #434
fooubar - I believe you just wait it out for the next Home/Away game. They don't have to be all together.
One thing I have found is that many times when you do have a losing series you also WIN that game because you are actually betting AGAINST yourself hmmmmm
For instance
In a S1 Series WWWLLL The "D" bet is for a win but ALSO you have an "A" bet on a loss LOL I've been doing some back testing (trying to figure out how to find certain teams) starting with 2000 and there are lost of tricky things. This will be an interesting year and I'm curious how Stifler handles some bizarre situations.
Question for Stifler - did you handle last year any differently in back testing. It beign a strange year - or was it an "F-it" moment. and just compiled as normal.Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-18-12 at 07:04 PM.
-
11-18-12 07:41 PM #435
Good question actually. Just to make it clear, we are just talking about S3 here, that doesnt have an influence on the other systems. I cant exactly tell what ive done when i backtested it (maybe this doesnt happen over the 6 years). We are just talking about a home series / road series of exactly 4 games, where lets say the A bet pushes and we are having 3 games left. I would probably make it a 3 game chase instead. But i really cant remember that happening when i made the research, but still a realistic scenario. Originally Posted by fooubar
Numbers were count same as the years before. Still when i choose the teams i kept in mind it was a lockout season. Doesnt had a huge impact though...Question for Stifler - did you handle last year any differently in back testing. It beign a strange year - or was it an "F-it" moment. and just compiled as normal.
-
11-18-12 08:08 PM #436
It can get even trickier, say the A,B,C bet lost and the D bet pushed on the last game, what now?Certainly you can just play their next home/away game or stop the series and count it as a lost chase.Good question actually. Just to make it clear, we are just talking about S3 here, that doesnt have an influence on the other systems. I cant exactly tell what ive done when i backtested it (maybe this doesnt happen over the 6 years). We are just talking about a home series / road series of exactly 4 games, where lets say the A bet pushes and we are having 3 games left. I would probably make it a 3 game chase instead. But i really cant remember that happening when i made the research, but still a realistic scenario.
But yeah, it essentially boils down to how you came up with your numbers. Maybe you take a look at how you treated it? Can't imagine that this scenario never came up.
-
11-18-12 10:16 PM #437
Yea - that was what a team did in 2000 that I was looking at. I have to think that in that case you just move to the next time that play! You are doing basically the same thing - it's a chase. Might not be exactly as developed but . . . . . that's why it's called gambling LOL
-
11-18-12 11:14 PM #438
Wasn't Boston suppose to be a S1 play today? WWPPW ? Probably didn't have BOTH those pushes.
my bad it was asked in an above post.Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-19-12 at 11:24 AM.
-
11-19-12 12:31 AM #439
Pushes break streaks when we are waiting for a series. Originally Posted by Grinder12000
-
11-19-12 02:52 AM #440
Looks like a Denver fade starting tomorrow. They lost 3 ATS in a row and they are on the S1 list.
-
11-19-12 04:06 AM #441
There are quite a few plays tomorrow...we will wait for Stifler's official plays Originally Posted by Riceboi
-
11-19-12 04:21 AM #442
-
11-19-12 06:50 AM #443
Where are these lists? Originally Posted by Riceboi
-
11-19-12 08:14 AM #444
19.11.2012
S1
(B Bet) Char: Charlotte +6 1,10u | Charlotte waiting on a better line
(A Bet) Den fade: Memphis -7,5 1,10u
S2
(A Bet) Atl fade: Orlando +9,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Utah: Utah waiting on a better line here
S3
(B Bet) Char: Charlotte +6 1,10u | Charlotte waiting on a better linePoints Awarded:
mrk77 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Renewal gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Maleku gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
swankk gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
-
11-19-12 08:21 AM #445
I never jumped to their next home/road game, thats for sure. I would probably quit after the D bet pushes and end the series losing the C bet. Still i cant remember that happened when i backtested it, atleast 1 of the 4 games was a winner. Originally Posted by fooubar
No matter what if it really comes to that point i can easily make a situational decision.
-
11-19-12 09:25 AM #446
When something like that happens I've found there are normally other Systems in play at the same time which might help make a decision.
-
11-19-12 11:11 AM #447
Utah now -7 and Kittens +5.5. You think we can get at least another half point on both Stifler? I'm tempted to go for Utah right now.
-
11-19-12 11:33 AM #448
S2
(A Bet) Atl fade: Orlando +9,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Utah: Utah waiting on a better line here
@Stifler: I'm sorry but I don't see how this is an S2 play. There are no streaks that I can see. Can you tell me the dates please? Sorry for being slow...Thanks
Btw thanks for all your great work. I can't give you points yet, it resets later in the day
-
11-19-12 11:43 AM #449
Utah won and covered their only three home games so far. Atlanta did not cover their only three home games so far. Originally Posted by Asset
S2
(A Bet) Atl fade: Orlando +9,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Utah: Utah waiting on a better line here
@Stifler: I'm sorry but I don't see how this is an S2 play. There are no streaks that I can see. Can you tell me the dates please? Sorry for being slow...Thanks
Btw thanks for all your great work. I can't give you points yet, it resets later in the day
-
11-19-12 12:04 PM #450
-
11-19-12 12:10 PM #451
-
11-19-12 12:46 PM #452
Orlando line already up to +10,5 and Memphis -7. i think Charlotte will get back to 5,5, Utah probably will stay @ -6,5. Closing line is important (atleast the listed line on covers). I will wait before i put in my last plays.
-
11-19-12 02:29 PM #453
Orlando move down now in all betbüro.
edit: you already took it. sorry.Last edited by bilalcakar; 11-19-12 at 02:32 PM.
-
11-19-12 02:50 PM #454
im still on em but just an fyi - reverse line movement on Denver... % shows heavy action on Memphis and line is down to -6.5
-
11-19-12 02:58 PM #455
WHAT IF!!
What if Miami was an S1 Play? (they aren't) We would be little puddles of goo on then latest "D" game. The 5th road game in 7 days coming off two high scoring games and the next night after losing the last 3 (ATS) you play IN Mike High Denver and only +3.5.
"D" game - Confidence is high LOL They won. Chase victory!
Reply With Quote
