1. #1
    Stifler
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    nba chase 12/13

    This thread includes 4 different chase systems. All systems being played in a 4 game chase ATS.

    S1: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.

    S2: Whenever a team has a winning or losing streak of 3 games start the 4 game chase following that streak.Divide in home/road games.

    S3: Whenever a team starts a home or road trip of atleast 4 consecutive games start the 4 game chase in the first game being played @home or on the road. Home games - play to win ATS; road games - play to lose ATS.

    S4: Whenever a team had an OT game start the 4 game chase after this game. Play to lose ATS after that OT game.


    For all systems there are exceptions, especially which teams to be played. Im not going to list the teams for all the systems...im keeping track of all plays here.


    records:

    2006/07: 227-5 (+131,75 units)
    2007/08: 217-2 (+180,10 units)
    2008/09: 232-6 (+121,30 units)
    2009/10: 240-4 (+166,20 units)
    2010/11: 211-3 (+155,65 units)
    2011/12: 181-3 (+125,65 units)
    overall: 1308-23 (+880,65 units)
    Last edited by Stifler; 11-03-12 at 04:21 PM.
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  2. #2
    njb5572
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    Followed your MLB chase system, great stuff! Looking forward to doing the same here

  3. #3
    grecycle99
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    Thanks stifler, you've been great in baseball. Can't wait to start in baskettball

    Thanks for your work

  4. #4
    Stifler
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    04.11.2012

    nothing today

  5. #5
    SiMON2g
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    Insane records!!

  6. #6
    kosti
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    Stifler, is there only certain teams that you bet on (like in your mlb chase) or is it any teams that meet the criteria above?

  7. #7
    vasilli07
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    Nice record. Will follow your picks.

  8. #8
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by kosti View Post
    Stifler, is there only certain teams that you bet on (like in your mlb chase) or is it any teams that meet the criteria above?
    same as mlb here. Not every team fits into the systems. I did not list the team, cause there are also exceptions like "only play on winning streaks" etc. I have the data for every single team and took out the teams with the best numbers.

  9. #9
    mrk77
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    Great to see you on NBA!

  10. #10
    fastball00
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    Looking forward to your plays!!

  11. #11
    rentongfb
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    how about lakers qualfying as S1 ? They lost 3 in a row...

  12. #12
    Stifler
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    lakers falling out of the system 1. As i said not every team fits into those systems. I know which teams will be played.

  13. #13
    Yaniv
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    Looks promising. GL!

  14. #14
    Maleku
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    Thanks for posting the plays for NBA Stifler!

    Money management question... what percentage of your roll do you feel is a "safe" amount to use for a unit?

    Thanks mate!

  15. #15
    Stifler
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    Im playing somewhere around 2%. A losing series will cost u 18,45 units on -110 odds. I think 2-3x max lost amount on a series should be enough. Means starting with 50 units is alright i think.

  16. #16
    kosti
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    Stifler are these streaks against the spread or straight up? For example, team wins 3 straight for S1...3 straight spread victories or 3 straight up wins.

  17. #17
    Stifler
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    ATS streaks decide whether its a play or not (S1 and S2).

  18. #18
    Stifler
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    05.11.2012

    S4

    (A Bet) Sac fade: Golden State +2 1,10u


    im posting all plays with standard -110 lines eventhough im getting a little better lines (e.g. today -107 on GS). Just want to make it easier to follow...in addition all records listed were based on -110 lines aswell.

  19. #19
    Bdeng
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    Hey stifler, been lurking and following your mlb thread for a while with great success, finally registered and wanted to thank you. I will be following again!

  20. #20
    bill52
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    also like the warriors... GL

  21. #21
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
    05.11.2012

    S4

    (A Bet) Sac fade: Golden State +2 1,10u

    records:
    S1: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
    S2: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
    S3: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)
    S4: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)


    game pushed, new A bet on 07.11.2012.

  22. #22
    Stifler
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    06.11.2012

    nothing today

  23. #23
    Stifler
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    07.11.2012

    S1

    (A Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u

    S4

    (A Bet) Sac fade: Detroit +5,5 1,10u
    Points Awarded:

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  24. #24
    Yaniv
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    I'm a little bit confused.. you're fading Sacramento? Sacramento got their first win; the losing streak is over.

  25. #25
    kosti
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    They didn't win against the spread last game...they pushed so I'm assuming pushes do not end streaks

  26. #26
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yaniv View Post
    I'm a little bit confused.. you're fading Sacramento? Sacramento got their first win; the losing streak is over.
    First of all Sac fade is a S4 play, streaks dont mean anything here. As for S1 + S2 only streaks against the spread are counting, not the moneyline.

  27. #27
    vigster
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    Good luck bud!

  28. #28
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by kosti View Post
    They didn't win against the spread last game...they pushed so I'm assuming pushes do not end streaks
    While we are in a system game already a push means a replay of the current bet. A push on an A bet means a replay of the A bet in the next game. A push on a B Bet means replaying the B bet on the next bet.

    A push in between a streak will break the streak, a new streak will begin after the push. Means if ur checking the past results and the ATS statistic looks like that WWPW, it will not qualify for a system play.

    Understood? Pretty much think this will confuse even more...
    Points Awarded:

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  29. #29
    Maleku
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    Send the man a couple of points.... he is doing all the work here.

    Thanks for your efforts Stifler

  30. #30
    kosti
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    Stifler thanks for clarifying the push during streak and during betting. Clear as a crystal now

  31. #31
    amarius87
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    this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.

  32. #32
    kosti
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    Quote Originally Posted by amarius87 View Post
    this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.
    You always bet in order to win 1 unit for the series...if it happens in first game than great, you're done...if they lose the first game, the next bet would be an amount that wins you a total of 2.1 units (1.1 units lost on the first bet and also wins the 1 unit for the series).

    Look up Stifler's MLB 3 game chase thread in the MLB forum as a lot of this stuff money management stuff is explained

  33. #33
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by amarius87 View Post
    this is great!.. im new to nba betting, i follow nba but can you please explain the lakers bet? and also say a bet loses... how much do you put in the next bet? and say you lose s1... do you place next bet on s1 to recover or any of the 4? or the opposite if you win... i sound dumb but i rather have this clarified as your winning record and support is too good to pass up on.
    hui, where to start first.

    This is a 4 game chase. This means keep raising my risk amount during the series to win 1unit.

    Example for -110 odds (standard odds for spreads in nba, eventhough im getting even better lines on pinnacle):

    A Bet: risk 1,10 units to win 1 unit
    B Bet: risk 2,31 units to win 2,1 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + 1 unit]
    C Bet: risk 4,85 units to win 4,41 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + 1 unit]
    D Bet: risk 10,19 units to win 9,26 units [the lost amount on A bet (1,10u) + B bet (2,31u) + C Bet (4,85u) + 1 unit]

    U will win 1unit on every series overall. Losing a D Bet will cost 18,45 units.

    If A Bet on S1 is a loser the B Bet will be on the same team. To clarify this for todays game:

    S1

    (A Bet) Utah fade: Lakers +3,5 1,10u

    If Lakers wont cover the spread today the next bet would be on Utah fade. The blue marked team is always the team to play on. As we are fading Utah today the bet is on the Lakers Spread +3,5.

    Problem solved?

  34. #34
    Yaniv
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
    First of all Sac fade is a S4 play, streaks dont mean anything here. As for S1 + S2 only streaks against the spread are counting, not the moneyline.
    Didn't pay attention, my bad. Now It's all understood.
    GL.

  35. #35
    KrasH
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    Good luck let's get this, i'll be following and possibly tailing... Overall records are obviously on the series??! Also You say the blue team is the one to play on, yet you say fade utah. I'm assuming the system play is based on the blue team, but the BOLD team is the one to take ie:Lakers?!?

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