1. #71
    Renegades
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    If Mertz is out, wake will win. No way wisconsin will throw with the back up

  2. #72
    Fred The Hammer
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    WTF

    Hartman has 3 TDs and just picking them apart. Looks like they might drive 99 to really break their back and he throws a dumb pick. Next possession they're moving again and he throws a pick-6 basically. You bet a team because of the QB experience/advantage and then the guy gives the game away. Oh well. Lesson to be learned in cfb....ALWAYS BET THE OVER

  3. #73
    Renegades
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    This game is so strange. Wake gave them 21 pts. Took 14 or so away from themselves with dropped passes, overthrows etc. wake should be up by 2 tds

    Clauson is partially to blame too though. I say this to myself every week. You cannot try to bludgeon wisconsin. You have to go up tempo for 4 quarters and make them cover guys. If you start jerking around running and slowing the pace you will not beat them

  4. #74
    Fred The Hammer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    This game is so strange. Wake gave them 21 pts. Took 14 or so away from themselves with dropped passes, overthrows etc. wake should be up by 2 tds

    Clauson is partially to blame too though. I say this to myself every week. You cannot try to bludgeon wisconsin. You have to go up tempo for 4 quarters and make them cover guys. If you start jerking around running and slowing the pace you will not beat them
    One of the weirder meltdowns I've ever seen? Hartman is experienced and only had 1 pick all year. Guys are open...in fact he missed a few long TD passes. They still come out and stop them and he throws his 3rd td pass. 21-14 and life is good. Then all hell breaks loose. Well atleast MGM had a oddsboost WI OU parlay +135 so I get 1 unit back if OU wins.

  5. #75
    Fred The Hammer
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    7-5 (+8.5 units)

  6. #76
    cmatth1326
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    Hartman just sh!t the bed. That’s what I get thinking I had a winner even they were up 14.

  7. #77
    Fred The Hammer
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    Big drop late by the Gators on 3rd down. They get that and good chance they go to half down 24-20 and getting the 2H kickoff. Instead Gators miss a long fg and OU scores to go back up 18. Hopefully OU will finish this thing off! Feels like they are sticking to the run more then Iowa State last week

  8. #78
    pimike
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    Are you still liking Army.....???

  9. #79
    Renegades
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    Army will get blown out if West Va comes to play. Army defense is a fugazzi. They didnt play any spread teams that can actually throw the ball. Cincy and Tulane were the best offenses they faced and both of those teams are run based first anyways. Army secondary will get torched if Doege is on. Thats a big if though because he is wildly inconsistent.

  10. #80
    Fred The Hammer
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    LIVE BET:


    Tulsa +3.5 & San Jose ML parlay FD (+146) 2 units to win 3 units

  11. #81
    Fred The Hammer
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    Are you still liking Army.....???
    Tempted. Unibet has Army +10 (-122). Think I'm waiting to see how Tulsa does first

  12. #82
    Fred The Hammer
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    8-5 (+10 units)


    I actually made like $440 on OU after the oddsboosts on MGM

  13. #83
    Fred The Hammer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    LIVE BET:


    Tulsa +3.5 & San Jose ML parlay FD (+146) 2 units to win 3 units
    Guess Under would've been easier Live in this weather

  14. #84
    Fred The Hammer
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    Adding:

    Tulsa +1.5 (-120) MGM 1 unit


    Tulsa is moving the ball better and has the better defense imo. Good kicker too although not sure about MS kicking game? Tulsa just needs to get the ball outside in the redzone. MS is loading the box and bringing pressure.

  15. #85
    Fred The Hammer
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    WTF Tulsa? 4th/1 and you have 5 men in the box. Of course they're going to run it and make it easily. Red zone and you still have 6 men 10 yards deep? QB jogs into the end zone. Cmon? Mix your shit up and get some pressure! Some of these coaches are fkn retards

  16. #86
    Fred The Hammer
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    9-6 (+10.5 units)


    Big cover for Army there. With this covid situation its really crazy to bet a game 4-5 days ahead or whatever, but I got used to line shopping bargains. Bottom line is WV hadn't won a road game all year so laying over a TD is crazy. Tulsa should've won that game too. I figured it would come down to which QB would make the key mistake and it was Tulsa's qb. They were running the ball pretty well too....no excuses. Tulsa also had 3 man rush the whole game and got no pressure. The RBs are going to get atleast 4-5 yards upfield too with 5 in the box? Bring some pressure and maybe Miss St shitty QB blows the game instead? Oh well. Finished slightly up anyway

    Happy New Year All!!!



  17. #87
    Fred The Hammer
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    Adding:

    UC/Georgia Over 49.5 (-120) and 50.5 MGM 3 units

    NC State (+114) Fan Duel 2 units

    UC ML (+270) / NC State ML (+114) parlay FanDuel .5 unit for 3.5 units



    I got these totals last night and they were 1.5-2 pts lower then everyone else. Play 52 if you have to or pay the juice, but I think it goes Over. UC has a good defense, but they haven't seen SEC speed & power. Georgia is also missing some defenders and UC has weapons. The game is also on the fast turf of the Georgia Dome with no weather issues

    Georgia 33-28

    Get ready for some deep analysis! I think NC State is better then Kentucky. Kentucky never beat any winning teams and barely got by cellar dweller Vandy 38-35. NC St beat Liberty, Wake, Pitt, and Virginia. They can score

    NC State 26-19


    Its 2021 Lets Go!!!


    Last edited by Fred The Hammer; 01-01-21 at 06:45 AM.

  18. #88
    Fred The Hammer
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    Adding:

    Northwestern -2.5 (-117) 1st Half Unibet 1 unit


    Is this too easy? The narrative says Auburn won't give a shit and their top WR opted out among others. Part of me says they didn't give a shit about minor bowls under Gus Malzahn so a coaching change can only be an improvement. Still though NW can frustrate Bo Nix (11-7 ratio) and Ramsey for NW has played forever. They can run the ball somewhat and their defense should frustrate Auburn. If Auburn doesn't give a shit then 1H will be enough to cash this ticket

  19. #89
    Fred The Hammer
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    Adding:

    Alabama team total Over 41.5 (-122) Fan Duel 3 units to win 2.5


    Clemson only put up 34, but ND only put up 3 points thru 3Q. Alabama will put the pedal down for longer then that. Their WRs are ridiculous and Nagee Harris is like a bigger Kamara.

    Alabama 47-20



  20. #90
    Renegades
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    If Georgia had alabama coaches they would be 12-0 every year. Smart repeatedly has games where his team looks unprepared and they cannot make adjustments. They have mismatches all over the field with their receivers yet they cannot score

  21. #91
    Fred The Hammer
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    Well ended with a whimper. Started 2-0 today too. Hit the Northwestern 1H and had Cincy Over 20.5 points

    What really hurt was the Bearcats LT getting tossed with targeting right before halftime. Ridder was running for his life in the 2nd half and the only TD was a long run. He didn't have time to throw it down the field. Georgia missed some opportunities too, but it looked like a sure Over early 2H. Then Bama put up 21 bang bang bang and let off the gas. Try to close up strong tomorrow. I did take Cincy +4.5 (+170) in a parlay with NC State ML and thats still alive.

    10-9 (+ 5 units)


    Already on NC State ML pretty big

    Adding:

    Indiana -6.5 (-155) buying 3 points Unibet 4.5 units to win 3


    Hope to close strong after a tough day. Liked UC all the way, but somehow talked myself into the Over.
    Anyway for tomorrow. Ole Miss is in bad shape with guys out and a terrible defense. Indiana will pound on them and they also have a solid secondary that gets after the ball. I expect atleast 2 picks and a score or a setup for a score from their defense. Indiana also has big WRs that can run after the catch with screens etc.

    Indiana 39-24


    Close Strong Baby!!!



  22. #92
    fa6664
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    Rough start for NC State.

  23. #93
    cmatth1326
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    They look horrible. The QB looks lost. Hopefully they can adjust at halftime.

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