[Fred The Hammer]

Its back baby! The event nobody has been waiting for or atleast none of you adult attention deficit disorder riddled gambleaholics))

If you do remember my bowl season success in years prior then welcome and thank you. Or the mostly successful cfb thread on here this year. Lets make some $$$. Its been a weird f year, but I know we can make some coin together!!


Adding:

App State Over 43.5 (-120) 2 units
App State ML Over 66.5 (+102) 1 unit (Unibet)

Speaking of ML/total or side/total parlays. Why do most books ban it now? Used to be a regular thing?


North Texas might have the worst defense in cfb. 65 to SMU is one thing, but 43 to UTEP and 42 to my La Tech boys. La Tech is my fav little school, but this is not of their better teams and they put up 42 on NT. Charlotte 49 and UTSan Antonio 49? Thats ridiculous!

App State 51 North Texas 23

Lets Go!!!!

​

[Zlaniner]

Imma try the +21, see what happens .

[Renegades]

N Texas missing their top 3 receivers. No way they get more than 17 vs app st. They havent played a D like app st all year

[Renegades]

And the qb just got hurt geez.

He came back in.

You are right Fred. N Texas D is beyond awful. Might be the worst I watched all year

[Fred The Hammer]

35-14 halftime Thats the way to start this thing off! App St will probably hit the Over by themselves, but hopefully banged up NT can atleast 1 more TD?

[BigdaddyQH]

You guys have to be crazy wagering on any college bowl game until the last minute. Teams like Tennessee, who have no business being in any bowl game at 3-7, got a Liberty Bowl bid. I guess even those who have a lot more power than we do said enough was enough. Tennessee is OUT due to Covid problems. Add that on to the 22 decent teams that opted out and you get a battle of the crapiest team vs the sh**est team. What would have happened if 16 Bowl Games did not cancel their games?

[Fred The Hammer]

App State may get 700 yards rushing it seems

Cash it and on to tomorrow

[Renegades]

App State may get 700 yards rushing it seems

Cash it and on to tomorrow

I never saw a defense like that. App st has 4 rushing tds over 70 yds. 3 of them untouched. Great play Fred

[hehfest]

You guys have to be crazy wagering on any college bowl game until the last minute. Teams like Tennessee, who have no business being in any bowl game at 3-7, got a Liberty Bowl bid. I guess even those who have a lot more power than we do said enough was enough. Tennessee is OUT due to Covid problems. Add that on to the 22 decent teams that opted out and you get a battle of the crapiest team vs the sh**est team. What would have happened if 16 Bowl Games did not cancel their games?

As some San Jose St special teams players said loud to the camera after a big hit to each other against Nevada, bitch ass niggaz. Let's fight you bitch ass niggaz smallqueerSQ.

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:


Nevada +3 (-120) altered line MGM 1 unit $135-$112

Nevada win by 1-13 points (+180)FD .30 unit $50-$90

Nevada win by 14+ points (+550)FD .10 unit $20-$110


Teams are pretty even on paper, however Nevada was on the smurf turf last year and got beat. I think that motivates them here. The western team won 6 of 7 Potato Bowls before that. Tulane has had ups-n-downs this year, but they fired their def coordinator and the O-coord got a head coaching job. Their pass defense was 10th in the American conference this year and Nevada does nothing but chuck the ball all over! Tulane also has some key D-lineman out which will hurt their pass rush. Not a huge play but give me the Wolfpack here!


Nevada 33-27

[joco]

Agree love strong airing it out here just need to limit turnovers cuz Tulane d forces plenty

[Renegades]

Yeah Tulane strength defensively is vs the run. They got torched by the strong passing teams they played

[Mike Huntertz]

Adding:


Nevada +3 (-120) altered line MGM 1 unit $135-$112

Nevada win by 1-13 points (+180)FD .30 unit $50-$90

Nevada win by 14+ points (+550)FD .10 unit $20-$110


Teams are pretty even on paper, however Nevada was on the smurf turf last year and got beat. I think that motivates them here. The western team won 6 of 7 Potato Bowls before that. Tulane has had ups-n-downs this year, but they fired their def coordinator and the O-coord got a head coaching job. Their pass defense was 10th in the American conference this year and Nevada does nothing but chuck the ball all over! Tulane also has some key D-lineman out which will hurt their pass rush. Not a huge play but give me the Wolfpack here!


Nevada 33-27

Keep the roll going!

[Mike Huntertz]

Tulane @ Nevada - Sustained 15-20mph winds, gusts 30mph. 35-40F

Nevada being the passing team may be at somewhat of a disadvantage?

[KnuckleHeadz]

💰 💰 💵

[Mike Huntertz]

BIG day!
Well done!

[earthx1]

Adding:


Nevada +3 (-120) altered line MGM 1 unit $135-$112

Nevada win by 1-13 points (+180)FD .30 unit $50-$90

Nevada win by 14+ points (+550)FD .10 unit $20-$110


Teams are pretty even on paper, however Nevada was on the smurf turf last year and got beat. I think that motivates them here. The western team won 6 of 7 Potato Bowls before that. Tulane has had ups-n-downs this year, but they fired their def coordinator and the O-coord got a head coaching job. Their pass defense was 10th in the American conference this year and Nevada does nothing but chuck the ball all over! Tulane also has some key D-lineman out which will hurt their pass rush. Not a huge play but give me the Wolfpack here!


Nevada 33-27

Fred, Thanks for the Nevada spread pick. I followed. Looks like it will win. Thanks again.
Earthx1

[Fred The Hammer]

2-0 (+4.5 units)

$$$

Well you can't go 15-0 unless you go 2-0 so thats a good start. I also hit Over 60.5 for a little at halftime. It should've hit, but was all set to lose until Tulane runs it 65 on the last play))) Never hurts to get lucky! Couldn't figure out BYU/UCF but I did hit Over 70.5 altered line with Iowa cbb 1H. Only setback was pounding Iowa Purdue cbb Over which looks like a loser

[Fred The Hammer]

Fred, Thanks for the Nevada spread pick. I followed. Looks like it will win. Thanks again.
Earthx1

You're welcome! I'm always feeling cfb at this time of year. Tulane losing both coordinators before this game. Should've crushed it, but oh well.

[Fred The Hammer]

BIG day!
Well done!

TY sir!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Well I look forward to La Tech's bowl game every year! They've won 6 in a row and made me some nice money over that stretch. The Over vs Navy in the Armed Force Bowl and the SMU beatdown and Jeff Driskel/Kenneth Dixon beatdown in the New Orleans Bowl over Ark State I think?

Anyway....can't do it this year. Their starting QB broke his leg vs TCU. Their top WR opted out and this team wasn't very good to begin with. They did rally to beat UAB (Conference winner) and might've been like +3.5 +4 with their QB and a great value, but can't do it now. Ga Southern is a mess too. QB is all banged up. No play imo. Actually might be a rare college under?

Adding:

Memphis -8.5 (-108) Fan Duel 3 units

Worked on this one quite a bit. You think of Memphis and you think Over, but this Fla Atlantic team was 10th in Conf USA in offense. They also allowed 45 in their last game and haven't seen a passing game like Memphis. QB Brady White had 28 TDs and their defense is mediocre but did force alot of turnovers.

Memphis 36-17

Lets Get It!!!

[Renegades]

Memphis offense hasnt looked right the last 4 weeks but I think they’ll play well tonight. Its White’s last game and I think he’ll go out on top. You are correct...FAU hasnt played anyone with a good passing attack. Their strong defensive numbers are very misleading.

[magpie878]

Great call(s).

I was iffy on Nevada, and BYU for that matter, and only played a super cheap odds boost on DraftKings of BYU and Nevada both winning at +230.

Good job and good analysis.

[cmatth1326]

Weather is supposed to be bad

[Mike Huntertz]

Weather is supposed to be bad

Memphis @ Florida Atlantic - A few showers around the area, with increase coverage later in the night. I think a few showers winding up over the stadium is a possibility, but with light winds. Of course things can change.

[Fred The Hammer]

Weather is supposed to be bad

Last night the forecast wasn't too bad, but now 100% of rain tonite. Rain can actually help the passing game when defenders slip, but if you add alot of wind then its definitely tough. Still love it though. FAU is #104 (Memphis #69) in the Sagarin ratings. That has to be one of the lowest in the bowls this year. What are there....maybe 130 DI teams?

[Fred The Hammer]

Going to watch the La Tech game closely for a live play! I know they'll be pumped up in Louisiana and shooting for their 7th straight bowl win. If they look like they can move the ball and GS's QB is still iffy then anything like +3.5 +4 might be golden? Stay tuned! GS had 9 games out of 12 fall within a TD

[earthx1]

Well I look forward to La Tech's bowl game every year! They've won 6 in a row and made me some nice money over that stretch. The Over vs Navy in the Armed Force Bowl and the SMU beatdown and Jeff Driskel/Kenneth Dixon beatdown in the New Orleans Bowl over Ark State I think?

Anyway....can't do it this year. Their starting QB broke his leg vs TCU. Their top WR opted out and this team wasn't very good to begin with. They did rally to beat UAB (Conference winner) and might've been like +3.5 +4 with their QB and a great value, but can't do it now. Ga Southern is a mess too. QB is all banged up. No play imo. Actually might be a rare college under?

Adding:

Memphis -8.5 (-108) Fan Duel 3 units

Worked on this one quite a bit. You think of Memphis and you think Over, but this Fla Atlantic team was 10th in Conf USA in offense. They also allowed 45 in their last game and haven't seen a passing game like Memphis. QB Brady White had 28 TDs and their defense is mediocre but did force alot of turnovers.

Memphis 36-17

Lets Get It!!!

Fred, Thanks for the picks today. Good luck.
Earthx1

[Fred The Hammer]

La Tech GS Over 49.5 (-125) Live 1.5 units

[Renegades]

La Tech offense looks so bad. Why do they keep rolling the qb out? It shrinks the field and its like a one man route

[Fred The Hammer]

La Tech offense looks so bad. Why do they keep rolling the qb out? It shrinks the field and its like a one man route

Bad call. I even said game would go Under, but GS got a wide open bomb on the first play 2Q so 14-0 then LT ran for like 35 yards on 3 carries and I ran to my computer. Sometimes live plays get you hyped up and you quickly regret it. It might be better to make a halftime bet or maybe nice value like when I got Bengals +4.5 on Monday when they were up 10-0. Pregame +14.5 def doesn't equal 10-0 and +4.5 because the dog is fired up! I also got Over 74.5 at half with Texas/K State cfb a while back. 27 more points 2H isn't any big deal? That was value! Counting on La Tech shitty 2nd/3rd string QB is not value. Thats suicide

Atleast Memphis -8.5 got it done!!!

The more I thought about it, I had like $700 at my house and I wanted to run over to the casino and take Memphis ML -330. I wouldn't have had to sweat anything all night, but for some damn reason I thought the game was at 8pm. Glad I found out the game was on already rather then drive for 30 minutes

3-1 (+6 units)

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Hawaii +10.5 (-120) added .5 point Unibet 2 units
Hawaii ML (+320) BetMgm .5 unit

If sportsbetting isn't legal in your state then I feel for you! All the risk free bets, etc. Unibet gave me Profit boost for $100 so instead of Hawaii +10.5 (-120) I have +10.5 (+126) for $226 payout. Plus another $120 at (-120)

If you're not in a state with gambling apps then try to buy Hawaii up to +10 anyway. I don't recommend big juice, but then again I think 8.5 to 9.5 is good too.

Houston is normally the better team and the game is in Texas. I also like Cougar QB Clayton Tune (13-7 td/int ratio, 5 rushing tds), but Houston has been hammered by covid. They haven't played since mid-November. Their top WR is opting out. Their top tackler and top sacker are both out. They're going to be missing 15-20 kids! Thats insane! Their defense wasn't that good and can't afford that lack of depth!

I like Hawaii's QB Cordeiro too. He's also a dual threat 11-6 with 5 tds rushing. I think Hawaii hangs around and maybe steals this game with the lack of depth on Houston. Todd Graham's 1st year at Hawaii and he'll want to start off right!

Hawaii 34-32

Get That Stocking Stuffer!!!

[KnuckleHeadz]

PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12001] HAWAII WIN BY 01-03 POINTS +1300 25.00 USD / 325.00 USD Remove
STRAIGHT BET Dec 24 PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12002] HAWAII WIN BY 04-06 POINTS +2000 25.00 USD / 500.00 USD Remove
STRAIGHT BET Dec 24 PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12003] HAWAII WIN BY 07-10 POINTS +1600

[Fred The Hammer]

PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12001] HAWAII WIN BY 01-03 POINTS +1300 25.00 USD / 325.00 USD Remove
STRAIGHT BET Dec 24 PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12002] HAWAII WIN BY 04-06 POINTS +2000 25.00 USD / 500.00 USD Remove
STRAIGHT BET Dec 24 PROP NCAAFB - HAW/HOU - MARGIN OF VICTORY
[12003] HAWAII WIN BY 07-10 POINTS +1600

Nice! You have to take a shot sometimes. I almost always take the points and don't do much on the ML. I called Washington to beat Pittsburgh and didn't pound it. I did hit Coastal ML big over La Laf earlier. Hawaii has a good shot if Cordeiro gets protection!

Adding:

Army +7.5 (-114) Fan Duel 4 units
ML (+270) Fan Duel .5 unit

App State was probably the strongest bowl play, but nobody maxes out their bet in the first bowl. I remember pounding Utah State w/Jordan Love over North Texas though. Same result

Army is strong though imo! WV was 0-4 on the road and now they're taking on a physical option team on short notice? WV is usually soft as baby shit away from Morgantown. I crushed Syracuse vs WV a few years ago. Betting several days ahead is weird with all this covid bs, but I feel like the line on Dec. 31 will be Army +6 at best

Lets Do It!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Hawaii/Houston Under 60.5 (-115) BetMgm .75 unit


They had 59.5 at -110 so why not add a point? 20-30 mph winds expected in DFW and Hawaii is primarily a running team now anyway