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Covington C. - Meunier J.
Any value in under 2.5 rounds or no dist if we look at Meunier's 0%dec 7-0-0 record. Colby covington 8-1-0 (38%dec)
under 2.5 rounds currently @ +145 (5dimes)
no distance @ +115 (5dimes)
- Meunier UFC debutant and takes the fight on short notice!
Whats your take on this?
Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16 at 07:16 AM.
http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/...02-joe-meunier
Meunier vs Yannis Jacquet
Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16 at 08:43 AM.
Covington sub +300.
Weigh-in
Saggo line dropped significantly.
Played it safer.. Just in case.. 25% of his wins have come by KO..Originally Posted by mirinquads
$100.00 $250.00 Pending 6/18/16 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 2109 Covington wins inside distance +250* vs Not Covington inside distance
UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims
Colby
Covington
vs
Jonathan
Meunier
"The French Spider"
USA
Country
CANADA
8-1-0
Record
7-0-0
25%
KO/TKO
71%
38%
SUB
29%
38%
DEC
0%
71 in
Height
75 in
170 lbs
Weight
170 lbs
72 in
Reach
75 in
41 in
Leg Reach
0 in
Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-18-16 at 10:44 AM.
The U2.5 at +145 seems like a solid bet to me... I hit is as well for a benny..
Meunier has a few choke hold wins in his MMA record. There is risk of Covington exposing his neck trying to take down Meunier who's height might be an advantage in takedown defence.
Though Meunier looked skinny @ weigh-ins compared to his shape in the fight video's posted. Short notice or perhaps weight cut could be the reason.
Last edited by Thrilla; 06-18-16 at 02:33 PM.
Meunier is undefeated and fighting at home basically, as Montreal and Ottawa are about 2 hours apart, give-or-take... I could see him winning a decision, as well.
Going by the numbers JC..
Meurnier has never fought past the 2nd round, this is his UFC debut.. Gotta question the level of comp he's faced so far in the lessor organizations also..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Jonathan-Meunier-146567
Also Colby has only gone to decision 1 time in 4 of his last UFC fights. He's fought some stiffer competition, and he just got choked out so I doubt he'll get choked out again in this rebound fight. Most fighters learn from their losses.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Colby-Covington-57269
Hey, but ya never know as anything is possible and does happen in the cage..
Fair enough. Colvington parlayed with Cirkunov may be worth a look, as well as Cirkunov round 3 +1200.
Last edited by JC2008; 06-18-16 at 11:40 AM.
Anyone got a beat on this chick fight?
Only fight I didn't cap or bet on yet.. Thinking I was gonna take a pass but now I want to play it but am clueless.. Didn't watch vids and don't really know these chicks.. Did sherdog the fight and tried to go by the numbers but drew a blank.. Maybe fight goes the distance? Valerie by decision perhaps?
1403 Calderwood / Letourneau goes 3 rnd dist -290
1411 Letourneau wins by 3 round decision
+118
125lb Catchweight Bout
Valerie
Letourneau
"Trouble"
vs
Joanne
Calderwood
"JoJo"
CANADA
Country
SCOTLAND
8-4-0
Record
10-1-0
50%
KO/TKO
40%
13%
SUB
0%
25%
DEC
60%
67 in
Height
66 in
125 lbs
Weight
125 lbs
68 in
Reach
65 in
37 in
Leg Reach
38 in
Calderwood isnt very good. Valerie has a decent chance to knock her out, though, so i'd be a bit weary of the decision propAnyone got a beat on this chick fight?
Only fight I didn't cap or bet on yet.. Thinking I was gonna take a pass but now I want to play it but am clueless.. Didn't watch vids and don't really know these chicks.. Did sherdog the fight and tried to go by the numbers but drew a blank.. Maybe fight goes the distance? Valerie by decision perhaps?
1403 Calderwood / Letourneau goes 3 rnd dist -290
1411 Letourneau wins by 3 round decision
+118
125lb Catchweight Bout
Letourneau
"Trouble"
vs
Calderwood
"JoJo"
CANADA
Country
SCOTLAND
8-4-0
Record
10-1-0
50%
KO/TKO
40%
13%
SUB
0%
25%
DEC
60%
67 in
Height
66 in
125 lbs
Weight
125 lbs
68 in
Reach
65 in
37 in
Leg Reach
38 in
|
|
what ive learned from womens mma is to bet on the underdog everytime and be profitable haha
Gotta fade the guys making their debut until they prove they can handle UFC level competition.
I love Letourneua here at 125. Making 115 is so hard for her to make. She was respectable in her loss to JJ. Her other losses were to top competition in Claudia, Sarah Mac and one other. Jojo is very hittable and Valerie should control the fight.
no suprise here everytime I run down a under in the thread you seem to already have a bet on it. lol
GL to us.
Well I guess that is a good thing.. The numbers leaned to that being a very good bet for the odds, and you get all the props on that call.. All good Thrilla, let's just hope it hits!!
$100.00
$145.00 Pending 6/18/16 7:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Jonathan Meunier/Colby Covington Under 2½ +145*
Not necessarily... Look at Josh Emmett vs. John Tuck last month, in Emmett's debut. I do agree in this instance though that Colvington should win.
I think that taking guys with UFC experience against guys without especially at about even or plus odds (see Graves v. Brown or Harris v. East) is a positive EV strategy. Here the might not be as much value but I think Covington will get the win.
Well he dropped from -275 to -250 on bet365 which means the KO/TKO/DQ prop is at +200, I may be looking into that one for sure.
Picks for Tonight:
Bagautinov Unanimous Decision
Covington Rd 2 Submission
Markos Split Decision
Theodorou Unanimous Decision
Beal Unanimous Decision
Jotko Unanimous Decision
Cirkunov Rd 2 Submission
Saggo Rd 1 TKO
Calderwood Unanimous Decision
Aubin-Mercier Rd 1 Submission
Bosse Rd 1 KO
Cerrone Split Decision
Thompson Rd 3 TKO
This is looking like a favorite heavy card. Not seeing alot of dogs landing with this card like other past cards.. We see????
Rory Mac is now the odds on favorite.. Wonderboy at +odds.. I don't really call that a dog hit though if Wonderboy wins at +105..
Last edited by JIBBBY; 06-18-16 at 01:58 PM.
A very good philosophy!!
Elias Theodorou is so handsome. What a beautiful man.
Gingers need love too
Elias
Theodorou
"The Spartan"
vs
Sam
Alvey
"Smile'N"
CANADA
Country
USA
12-1-0
Record
26-7-0, 1NC
55%
KO/TKO
68%
9%
SUB
8%
36%
DEC
28%
73 in
Height
74 in
185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs
75 in
Reach
75 in
40 in
Leg Reach
42 in
|
|
Thanks man. Weidman is also married to wonderboys sister and during his camp for rockhold (before he got hurt) he was away from home which means away from his wife AND wonderboy. So potentially he hasn't been training with wonderboys much over the past 3 months.
Even 2-3 months can make a huge difference as look as Nate Diaz fighting Johnson and then shortly after fighting Conor. He even said it himself 'with a camp
I wouldn't have been hit'.
So... It's a legit concern. Not like he hasn't been out of wonderboys training for so little time that it wouldn't matter (a week or 2)
Tried to tell a couple of blokes this and they think it won't matter. We will see
Not to be a prick but Rory isn't an emotional guy. People even say he reminds them of a serial killer. I think he's got Aspergers or something similar which is why he's such an amazing fighter, they usually are incredibly clever and focus on 1 or 2 things and obsess on it.
They're just socially awkward really.
Don't show emotions etc. when is Rory ever emotional? He will just lock it away in the back of his mind that he has to provide for a kid now, won't really hit him emotionally like having a kid would hit Weidman or bisping.
He doesn't get all emotional. Watch him talk after fights etc you'll see. I wouldn't put too much stock in him being affected by it.
Lets get it Hugo!
|
|
If anything, a kid on the way would be motivating.
How many cards have you thought the faves would dominate? This shit is 50/50 it's fighting... Don't be Scared Homies ... Play the dogs and win big!
It's FIGHT NIGHT!!
It's FIGHT NIGHT!!
GAME TIME!!!! Let's do this boys!!!
Taking the early dog in this first fight.. Should be a tightly contested fight one way or the other so at those +235 I had to try it.. Russian is tough as nails though...
Ali
Bagautinov
"Puncher"
vs
Geane
Herrera
"The Revolutionary"
RUSSIA
Country
USA
13-4-0
Record
9-1-0
38%
KO/TKO
22%
31%
SUB
56%
31%
DEC
22%
64 in
Height
65 in
125 lbs
Weight
125 lbs
65 in
Reach
66 in
36 in
Leg Reach
36 in
Cote +135 to the promise land.
Cote in round 1 +900
Letourneau -150
Saggo -115
Come at me bros
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