1. 04-11-14 02:36 PM #246
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by latarianmilton View Post
    late money on nelson
    Line has actually come down a little, so the late money can't be on Nelson.

    Last 25 minutes, line went from -165 to -155


    04/11/14 03:32:56pm +140 -155
    04/11/14 03:30:46pm +141 -156
    04/11/14 03:27:00pm +144 -160
    04/11/14 03:14:50pm +145 -161
    04/11/14 03:14:39pm +146 -162
    04/11/14 02:50:15pm +149 -165
    04/11/14 02:39:14pm +148 -164
    04/11/14 02:38:06pm +147 -163
    04/11/14 02:25:12pm +148 -164
    04/11/14 02:20:21pm +149 -165
    04/11/14 02:20:00pm +146 -162
    04/11/14 01:31:52pm +144 -160
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  2. 04-11-14 02:37 PM #247
    MD
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    Nogueira sub +1150. Played the shit out of that.
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  3. 04-11-14 02:38 PM #248
    Dwil125
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    Nelson in round 1 + 350 and i played his -3.5 line for some reason instead of just playing him straight.. Wish there was live betting for this one.
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  4. 04-11-14 02:39 PM #249
    PaperTrail07
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    wow NICE
    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Nogueira sub +1150. Played the shit out of that.
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  5. 04-11-14 02:40 PM #250
    MD
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    Pounding Nog. Hopefully Nelson doesn't follow my lead.
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  6. 04-11-14 02:41 PM #251
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dwil125 View Post
    Nelson in round 1 + 350 and i played his -3.5 line for some reason instead of just playing him straight.. Wish there was live betting for this one.
    I played the +350, too. And the under. Nelson rarely wins if this goes over 1.5.
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  7. 04-11-14 02:41 PM #252
    TheCalculator
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Pounding Nog. Hopefully Nelson doesn't follow my lead.
    We're a united front here. Together we win or together we fall.
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  8. 04-11-14 02:42 PM #253
    Dwil125
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Nogueira sub +1150. Played the shit out of that.
    I'm gonna hedge with this at +900. Nelson looks super annoyed in the heat already. I agree if it goes over that's really bad for nelson.
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  9. 04-11-14 02:42 PM #254
    yisman
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    I bet Big Nog about a week ago and bet him again before the fight. Also took him via decision at +340
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  10. 04-11-14 02:42 PM #255
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCalculator View Post
    We're a united front here. Together we win or together we fall.
    I'm pretty confident. He's a little too smart to just walk into that right hand... or so I'm hoping.

    Nogueira should be -150ish I think.
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  11. 04-11-14 02:43 PM #256
    PaperTrail07
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    NELSON HOLY SHIT
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  12. 04-11-14 02:44 PM #257
    Dwil125
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    It's almost 90 in there, Idk about Nog by decision.
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  13. 04-11-14 02:44 PM #258
    PaperTrail07
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    Nog dosent have the power to KO nelson....and Nelson knows it now.......
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  14. 04-11-14 02:44 PM #259
    MD
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    Has the fight started? Live lines just moved to Nelson -350, Nog +250.
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  15. 04-11-14 02:45 PM #260
    PaperTrail07
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    3 mins in this thing is about over
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  16. 04-11-14 02:46 PM #261
    PaperTrail07
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    HOLY penetrate!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  17. 04-11-14 02:46 PM #262
    yisman
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    what a terrible first round

    he wasn't even defending himself at the end

    guess he was done already
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  18. 04-11-14 02:46 PM #263
    PaperTrail07
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    HOLY SHIT--DID I JUST SEE THAT
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  19. 04-11-14 02:47 PM #264
    Vaughany
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    Horrible to watch, like watching an old grandad in there,
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  20. 04-11-14 02:47 PM #265
    yisman
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    late money was definitely on Big Nog, not that it's worth much now.

    Pinnacle closed at Nelson -139

    04/11/14 03:41:52pm +126 -139
    04/11/14 03:41:42pm +129 -142
    04/11/14 03:40:40pm +131 -145
    04/11/14 03:39:34pm +135 -149
    04/11/14 03:39:24pm +137 -152
    04/11/14 03:32:56pm +140 -155
    04/11/14 03:30:46pm +141 -156
    04/11/14 03:27:00pm +144 -160
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  21. 04-11-14 02:47 PM #266
    sweepem
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    RIP Nogueira.
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  22. 04-11-14 02:47 PM #267
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Nog got this, V. Go all in.
    u almost talk me out of betting Nelson but i just didn't see it. Just curious why u thought big nog would win? He did look in terrific shape i give him that but he was as slow as usual.
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  23. 04-11-14 02:47 PM #268
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    what a terrible first round

    he wasn't even defending himself at the end

    guess he was done already
    Corner should of thrown towel in, was painful to watch
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  24. 04-11-14 02:48 PM #269
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    NELSON.... what an athlete
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  25. 04-11-14 02:48 PM #270
    Dwil125
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    You guys are way ahead in your stream.
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  26. 04-11-14 02:50 PM #271
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    The Haymaker landed.. 1st round like I thought.. Big Nog was rocked that entire fight then put to sleep... Poor Nog....
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  27. 04-11-14 02:50 PM #272
    Skel
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dwil125 View Post
    Nelson in round 1 + 350 and i played his -3.5 line for some reason instead of just playing him straight.. Wish there was live betting for this one.
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  28. 04-11-14 02:50 PM #273
    Vaughany
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    Thougght tht was gonna be first death in octagon
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  29. 04-11-14 02:51 PM #274
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thor4140 View Post
    u almost talk me out of betting Nelson but i just didn't see it. Just curious why u thought big nog would win? He did look in terrific shape i give him that but he was as slow as usual.
    I wasn't being serious with that comment, but I did think Nog should be the favourite. I figured that if he made it out of R1, he'd easily take over in the later rounds. Just didn't make it out of R1; it happens, I accounted for it, thought it happened 35% of the time-ish. No idea how accurate that number is, though. Nog's chin looked good, but there's really only so many Roy Nelson shots you can eat.
    Points Awarded:

    Dwil125 gave MD 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  30. 04-11-14 02:52 PM #275
    TheCalculator
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    I wasn't being serious with that comment, but I did think Nog should be the favourite. I figured that if he made it out of R1, he'd easily take over in the later rounds. Just didn't make it out of R1; it happens, I accounted for it, thought it happened 35% of the time-ish. No idea how accurate that number is, though. Nog's chin looked good, but there's really only so many Roy Nelson shots you can eat.
    I had the same analysis: Nelson round 1 or Nog win.
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  31. 04-11-14 02:54 PM #276
    PaperTrail07
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    Agree----needs to retire but who are we to tell him to quit lol
    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Horrible to watch, like watching an old grandad in there,
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  32. 04-11-14 02:54 PM #277
    PaperTrail07
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    Id hate to see Nog get hurt long term by getting in over his head in the future...
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  33. 04-11-14 02:58 PM #278
    latarianmilton
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    woooooo. congrats all nelson backers
    glad i went big on nelson. -125 was just too delicious
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  34. 04-11-14 02:59 PM #279
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    I wasn't being serious with that comment, but I did think Nog should be the favourite. I figured that if he made it out of R1, he'd easily take over in the later rounds. Just didn't make it out of R1; it happens, I accounted for it, thought it happened 35% of the time-ish. No idea how accurate that number is, though. Nog's chin looked good, but there's really only so many Roy Nelson shots you can eat.
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  35. 04-11-14 03:04 PM #280
    Skel
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    Beneil Dariush @ -160 4.8 units to win 3 units
    Guida by decision @ +155 3 units to win 4.65 units
    Laflare by decision @ -125 4 units to win 3.2 units
    Nogueira by decision @ +465 1 unit to win 4.65 units
    Guida/Kawajiri O2.5 + Nelson/Nogueira O1.5 3 units to win 4.04 units
    Howard/Laflare O2.5 + Omielanczuk/Rosholt O1.5 2 units to win 2.07 units
    Guida/Kawajiri O2.5 + Bisping/Kennedy O4.5 3 units to win 3.95 units
    Howard @ +365 0.5 units to win 1.8 units

    +0.62 units for the card.
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