[EXhoosier10]

that's probably the best idea. A cool 7 spot for Arizona should make me nice and happy. I've loaded up a little more than I usually do on this game.

[d33m]

Let's get this, just put another unit on ML, invested 2x on d-back ML.

[EXhoosier10]

Let's get this, just put another unit on ML, invested 2x on d-back ML.

Definitely like the way that sounds. Lets get this.
Since you went to Purdue, do you live in IN? Are you able to watch the game? I know I was usually able to get the radio broadcasts in Bloomington.

[d33m]

No, i live in Chicago, at work currently, will just be watching Gameday on mlb.com

[EXhoosier10]

well, 3 quick groundouts doesn't help. Still a lot of game left though!

[d33m]

OMG Enright just purely blows as a pitcher. What is wrong with him?

[mr.inpak]

bet the cubs over 81.5 hope they can have a decent year

[EXhoosier10]

Literally evvvvvvvvverything of his has been up in the zone. Unfortunately for us, he's missing his spots quite often today and leaving them right over the heart of the plate. For the Dbacks, just about every ball has gone directly at a fielder. Hopefully they can get a few seeing eye singles strung together at some point and get something going.

Cashner's at 50 pitches through 4. The sooner the dbacks get to the pen, the better.

[EXhoosier10]

1 out walk and Mark O'Neal comes shooting out of the dugout.

Cashner done...

[EXhoosier10]

and here comes jeff samardzija. Exaccctly what the Dbacks need. Jeffy hasn't done anythign since signing a few years ago. Probably the worst reliever in the pen. Cmmonnnnn DBACKS!

[EXhoosier10]

here we go d33m! It was only a matter of time before the 'pen got into the game. Samardzija got lucky going 3-2 on two guys with runners on and both striking out. Not so lucky so far in the 7th though!

[xelance]

for anyone betting on Hou/Cincy, Jay Bruce is not expected to be in the starting lineup today.

[EXhoosier10]

for anyone betting on Hou/Cincy, Jay Bruce is not expected to be in the starting lineup today.

Thanks for the heads up x. I was thinking about tailing Po5s, but with Happ coming off an injury, I wasn't sure. Without Bruce, I might end up making it a play if the Cubs game doesn't turn my way.

I'd guess Chris Heisey will take over for him today. Not the greatest player, but he's young and has some pop. Feel free to stop on by throughout the season xelance!

[d33m]

here we go d33m! It was only a matter of time before the 'pen got into the game. Samardzija got lucky going 3-2 on two guys with runners on and both striking out. Not so lucky so far in the 7th though!

we need to get out of this one without a run...

as they score while i type

[EXhoosier10]

X Nady up with runners on the corner.... can we get a 9th inning XBH????

[EXhoosier10]

Alrighty, we got a rather big card for today. Starting in the central.

Fading Cashner and the lack of bullpen today for the Cubbies. Pena is not in the starting lineup with a sore thumb leaving Colvin to make his first pro start at first + Marmol and Woody are unavailable. 10mph wind blowing out to right

Arizona @ Chicago Cubs
Ari (+133) for 2u
Ari TT Over 4 (-120) for 2u
Ari -1.5 (+210) for 1u
Game Over 9 (-120) for 1u

Well, an exciting game, but Enright got hit early and the ARI bats just couldn't get enough clutch hits thanks to some great defensive plays by Starlin Castro. I'm glad we got to see the CUbs middle relief though. Samardzija is as bad as I thought he was and will probably be cut by June and Mateo is still a bit inconsistent.

With the extra unit tossed onto ARI last minute, I ended up going 2-2 and breaking even unit-wise. Got lucky with Cashner getting hurt, made the right read on the CUbs pen, but just didn't get the result. Onto tonight!!

[EXhoosier10]

I owe ya d33m. My lean was to fade the cubs pen and I recommended the side instead. We'll get 'em nexttime, my friend

[EXhoosier10]

Tough day yesterday, but I got some breaks a couple games the day before, so things are evening out. Went out last night and haven't looked at today's card too much. Might come up with some plays, but nothin for now.

Yesterday
0-3 -6.38

Season
3-3 -2.03

Alrighty, we got a rather big card for today. Starting in the central.

I like the Crew to steal their first win at home tonight. Gallardo, while a little wild in his first start, is a much better pitcher than Derek Lowe. On top of that, we should see Craig Counsell in for Yuniesky Betancourt (Counsell is a career 10 for 28 against LOwe) plus Nyjer Morgan over Carlos Gomez (Morgan is 15 for 28). Throw that together with a lot of doubters now that the Brewers have started the season 0-4 and I see a perfect opportunity to jump on at -104. (note- I layed 1 unit at -104 earlier this morning and went to put another one down at posting time and the line jumped back up to -115; hence -109.5)

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Mil (-109.5) for 2x

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nothing for Hou @ Cin
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As long as the Cards aren't hitting, I feel comfortable taking a live dog with some #5 starters going. Got them last night when lines came out.

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Pit (+141) for 1.5u

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A couple odd ball games that I also took are:
Dodgers (-104) for 1u
Angels (-108) for 1u
Seattle (+155) for 1u

to everyone today

Mil +2.00
Lad -1.04
Laa +1.00
Pit -1.50
Sea -1.00
------------
Night games: 2-3 -0.54
Day Games: 2-2 +0

Today 4-5 -.54u

Season:
7-8 -2.57u

Dbacks 5 - 6 Cubs (even)
Brewers 1 - 0 Atlanta (+2)
Pirates 2 - 3 Cardinals (-1.5)
Mariners 2 - 3 Rangers (-1)
Dodgers 0 - 3 Rockies (-1.04)
Angels 5 - 3 Rays (+1)

Looking at the scores of the opponents, only 1 of them scored more than 3 runs yet I couldn't get very many W's. I guess it was just one of those days. Lots of unders everywhere. That's 2 days in a row.
======================================== ============================

A quick glance at tomorrow's card and I don't think there is too much that I like. Will have to look closer tomorrow.
Hope everyone else had a winning night tonight!

[HR Paperstacks]

Reds bout to run away with the central.

[EXhoosier10]

Looking at my picks throughout the season (posted and non-posted), I am 3/14 picking dogs and 7/9 picking favorites. I might start focusing a little more on favorites, but I believe I've gotten a bit unlucky with my picks so far, so I don't want to change my strategy too much.

WIth that said, big favorites across the NL central today and as much as I don't think they deserve to be favored, I'm going to pass on these games. Pittsburgh is probably a good bet again until the Cards finally wake up. Not so sure about the rest.

Going to skip today and get ready for tomorrow. I'm supposed to hear back from a company I interviewed with last week, so hopefully I get some good news there. Be back around mid-afternoon when tomorrow's card comes out!

Good luck to everyone today.

[EXhoosier10]

For Thursday, April 7

**Haven't made any of these plays yet, just giving myself the opportunity to see my thoughts.


I'd guess this thing won't stay at -145 and will go into the -130 range at some point, so I'm going to hold off and wait for a better number. I think Brett Myers is underrated, but I can't go against Cincinnati's hot bats, even if they do have the worse pitcher.

Houston @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati (open -145) for (1u?) (((BetJM -141)))

----------------------------------------------------

Maholm is a pretty solid pitcher and Pittsburgh has been hitting well. Colorado should get into Pittsburgh late tonight followed by a 1:30 start. Looks like the regulars are starting today in LA and they may get some rest tomorrow for game 1. Esmil Rogers has been very inconsistent and he's been bad more recently than good. I like Pitt at +odds.

Colorado @ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh (+105) for (1u?) (((+104)))

----------------------------------------------------

Lots of lefties here in Atlanta's order against Shaun Marcum, and a lot of righties against Hanson. Platoon advantage ATL. Marcum and Hanson both pitched miserably in their first starts; Hanson in a rainy Washington and Marcum @ Cincinnati. I'm saying Marcum's shoulder isn't 100% and it will show against the Braves' lineup.

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta (-110) for (1u?) (((-109)))

----------------------------------------------------

Boston (-175) for (1.5u?) (((-175)))
Tampa Bay (-105) for (2u?) (((+106)))

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I've been trying to find your plays and just happened to stumble across this thread. I'm guessing you are keeping your posted plays in here? Going to have to keep an eye out for this thread.

[EXhoosier10]

I've been trying to find your plays and just happened to stumble across this thread. I'm guessing you are keeping your posted plays in here? Going to have to keep an eye out for this thread.

All ya had to do was ask, silly boy! that's what we have the forum in Yahoo for! But seriously, is anybody else from our league posting picks?? I wouldn't mind getting a daily consensus or hearing collective thoughts about games/series.

With regards to my picks though, I've been having a tough time picking dogs. I'm currently 1-5 in the thread and 3-11 overall. I've won my +160 and +180 and lost the +200, but the rest (with an average line of +130) just will not hit for me. Not sure if I've just been unlucky or what, but going 1-10 with an average of +130 is pretty unreasonable. Hopefully it turns around here in the next couple of weeks when I get some reliable #'s to work with.

[EXhoosier10]

For Thursday, April 7


Houston @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati (-141) for (1u)



Colorado @ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh (+104) for (1.5u)



Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta (waiting for lower than -107) for (1u)



Boston (-175) for (1.5u)


Tampa Bay (+106) for (2u)

And here is my card for Thursday minus the bet on ATL. Still holding off on that one waiting on a better line.

[EXhoosier10]

forgot to mention my bet on Toronto last night

Toronto (-112) for .5u

Still haven't pulled the trigger on ATL.

[EXhoosier10]

Last I saw before my interview was 50/50 on the ATL game and I come home and it's 60/40. SHould have figured the public would pound Hanson at even odds. Oh well, I'll remember it for next time.

Atlanta (-114) for 1u

[EXhoosier10]

Final Card:

For Thursday, April 7

Houston @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati (-141) for (1u)

Colorado @ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh (+104) for (1.5u)

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta (-114) for (1u)

Boston (-175) for (1.5u)

Tampa Bay (+106) for (2u)

Toronto (-112) for .5u

[EXhoosier10]

And a blown call against the Red Sox making it runners on the corners 2 out instead of loaded and 1 out... Just their kind of luck i guess.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I'm on the Jays and Red Socks RL. Played the Astros however, thought there was good value on the board with Myers getting +129 even though the Reds bats have been on fire.

GL with the rest of the plays.

[EXhoosier10]

I like Myers and I'm sure I'll be playing him a bit this year, but the Reds bats are just too hot right now to bet against IMO. Probably should have gone no play, but I gotta try to get a piece of their offense. Haven't bet onthem since opening day.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

The Reds' bats are hot right now but I took the 'Stros simply on the value the books gave us on Myers. Another good team to be backing right now I'd say are the Phillies. They have their Ace on the mound this afternoon and their also hitting well. ML is chalky at -200 but I don't see why they won't beable to hit Niese and win this ball game by 2 or more. Seems like a pretty square bet today but squares win sometimes too.

[EXhoosier10]

well Hanson left a hanger right over the plate after 4 pickoff attempts. That was too predictable.... too many close games this afternoon.

[EXhoosier10]

Final Card:

For Thursday, April 7

Houston @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati (-141) for (1u)

Colorado @ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh (+104) for (1.5u)

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta (-114) for (1u)

Boston (-175) for (1.5u)

Tampa Bay (+106) for (2u)

Toronto (-112) for .5u

Another ugly one. Anyone need some fade material?

-1.41
-1.5
-1.14
-2.625
-2
-.56
=====
-9.235u

Season
7-14 -11.805u

[EXhoosier10]

Was (+143) for 1u

Fade away

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I have Mets RL in a parlay It only takes a few bets in a row to get you going again. Keep grinding its a long season.