[kenz]

Unless she is Supergirl

Her game started 00:30 A.M. local time took about 2 hours 50 minutes so ended past 03:00 A.M. local. She cant go bed before 04:30 or 05:00 A.M. No way she can recuperate
She looked bad yesterday, she beat Gavrilova because Russian was inexperienced when it mattered. Gavrilova was the more positive player running entire court, hitting great winners. She was a bit nervous when she came to net as she missed a lot of easy and very crucial points there. Kerber had no serve + no winners. She looked questioning herself at times.

Kerber is not covering hcp for her last 4 games, while Muguruza covered spread both her games this year. Kerber does not look good since October 2014. Muguruza can hit the ball hard. Kerber should not be able to run well today going to bed at 05:00 A.M local, she should be worse than yesterday where she looked bad already

Last year Muguruza was in good shape in Australian season while Kerber was not that great. This year it looks similar.

Kerber is a known choker in upper rounds, maybe mostly semis and finals. So she should know she wont win this tourney There is not much point to play a few tough games while being in bad shape when Aus Open is in the corner

Muguruza ML @1.88 to win 1 unit @Marathonbet

[Vinnie Paz]

Yeah I'm all over mugz here too. You're right Curber shouldn't of even won that last match either. Funny cause I told myself I'm definitely gonna fade Curber after this match and also definitely gonna keep riding mug so this works out perfectly. Go mug go.

Some one post some pics of that fine ass muguruza too if ya don't mind

[gaebiskon]

100% agree, also kerber doesn't play too well after a long match, either

[SteveKerrsJunk]

You all seem extremely confident. I have to hop on board. Good luck.

[JohnD25]

Im on Mugz as well.

37.50 to win 30! Lets get it!

[lucasdawg]

ill be on mugz and berdyshyt aswell bol to all

[SteveKerrsJunk]

I'm going pound town hard, I like your rationale. And I'm going large.

[UncleChael]

We're all gonna get fuked tonight!

[SteveKerrsJunk]

We're all gonna get fuked tonight!

Hell yeah! I'll even take sloppy seconds.

[tipsadontlikehim]

I like it kenz.
Tailed.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Muguruza -2 odds @2.21 not bad at all especially if Kerber goes down quickly after losing the opening set

[SteveKerrsJunk]

I really hope this hits. How is this Spaniard player?

[tipsadontlikehim]

I really hope there are not rumours saying Muguruza will tank!!

Because 1.93 -> 2.06 in half an hour, i hate that

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Yeah, this can't end well lol. Shit.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Damn last time I saw such a line movement on the ML it ended up very bad (it was Nishikori-Ferrer in Madrid), well i won't watch anyway waste of time

[fcmb]

https://twitter.com/garbimuguruza

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Damn tips, I gotta bad feeling about this one all of the sudden. This will be my 4th match bet tonight and now all in after my first 3 picks all won the first set and lost the last 2 (rajeem, Chardy, and Gadj). I'm gonna need a bottle after this one...It's gonna be one of those 6-1, 6-2 poundings.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Damn tips, I gotta bad feeling about this one all of the sudden. This will be my 4th match bet tonight and now all in after my first 3 picks all won the first set and lost the last 2 (rajeem, Chardy, and Gadj). I'm gonna need a bottle after this one...It's gonna be one of those 6-1, 6-2 poundings.

I can't believe Chardy lost, damn he is usually trustable in Australia
GL to us!!!

[sneakerhead]

kerber getting pounded all over oddsportal. oh well, someone once told me line movement doesnt mean shit in tennis

[SteveKerrsJunk]

I can't believe Chardy lost, damn he is usually trustable in Australia
GL to us!!!

Yeah he was absolutely dominating and in cruise control, 2nd set at 5-6 double faults 3-4 times, almost gets broken. Gets smashed in tiebreaker then bam done...thanks a lot Chardy you French Ahole.

[tipsadontlikehim]

kerber getting pounded all over oddsportal. oh well, someone once told me line movement doesnt mean shit in tennis

Sometimes they do sometimes they don't. It could be due to the H2H though, Kerber owned Mugu in the past, but today is different conditions.

[Honeybadger44]

Damn tips, I gotta bad feeling about this one all of the sudden. This will be my 4th match bet tonight and now all in after my first 3 picks all won the first set and lost the last 2 (rajeem, Chardy, and Gadj). I'm gonna need a bottle after this one...It's gonna be one of those 6-1, 6-2 poundings.

These feelings usualy creep out on somebody, who overreacted with his bet size and put too much money at risk and later he starts to think about all of the things which can go wrong.. Been there, done that.

I think it's a good bet. It has a good logic behind it, with Kerber being tired and probably don't want to put anything at risk, days before the first grand slam of the season. Muguruza is a rising star. Matchup might not be perfect for her, because her ball striking has to be on the highest possible level, against elite defenders/counter punchers like Kerber. But she is much better server and I see adventage for her in that area. She will have less problems holding onto here serve, because Kerber's serve is below average and it will be under constant pressure.
As I said, it's a good bet. Would I go with big size bet here. No. Still, wishing all of you guys a good luck! Hope you'll cash.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

These feelings usualy creep out on somebody, who overreacted with his bet size and put too much money at risk and later he starts to think about all of the things which can go wrong.. Been there, done that.

I think it's a good bet. It has a good logic behind it, with Kerber being tired and probably don't want to put anything at risk, days before the first grand slam of the season. Muguruza is a rising star. Matchup might not be perfect for her, because her ball striking has to be on the highest possible level, against elite defenders/counter punchers like Kerber. But she is much better server and I see adventage for her in that area. She will have less problems holding onto here serve, because Kerber's serve is below average and it will be under constant pressure.
As I said, it's a good bet. Would I go with big size bet here. No. Still, wishing all of you guys a good luck! Hope you'll cash.

Good words and good advice. Very true. This is a big bet for me...well see what happens...

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Breaking serve in woman's tennis means shit.

[tipsadontlikehim]

It's 2-0 Muguruza and i'm not gonna watch the rest, so good luck to all of us, LOL
see you in 2 hours time

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Wow. Don't tease us!

[sneakerhead]

i just hate kerbers face for some reason

[SteveKerrsJunk]

This spaniard is playing incredible and is very attractive. It's fun to watch so far.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Kerber looks tired and is missing some easy shots. This will be a travesty if she wins.

[Honeybadger44]

Kerber looks tired and is missing some easy shots. This will be a travesty if she wins.

Jup. Kenz was spot on, when saying that she will be feeling fatigue after yesterday. Most of these shots, she usually runs down in her sleep. Today, she is one step short on most of them...

[sneakerhead]

Jup. Kenz was spot on, when saying that she will be feeling fatigue after yesterday. Most of these shots, she usually runs down in her sleep. Today, she is one step short on most of them...

she played like this against tsurenko two days ago and lost the first set 6-1 but came back and won the game 6-4/6-3

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Wow. 6-0 first set in 23 minutes...Please do not fuk us Spaniard. Well not in this way anyways.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Kerber needs some adderall or something to pump her up.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Kerber mentally frustrated as well and her first serve is pure garbage.

[sneakerhead]

and there goes the game, same shit like 2 days ago