1. #1
    EaglesPhan36
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    Monday ATP Doubles Play @ Wimbledon

    This upset went under-the-radar because not too many delve into doubles. But this really ranks about as large as Nadal losing to Rosol in singles. The #1 team of Max Myrnyi & Daniel Nestor lost in straights to Julian Knowle & Daniele Bracciali. To put this in perspective, Myrnyi-Nestor had won four tournaments, including the French Open & Queens Club in their last two entries - beating the Bryans in both those tournaments. 39-9 on the season. Knowle had been partner swapping all year without a ton of luck, while Bracciali had also used several partners with a QF run @ Roland Garros with Starace. They face the Argentine pairing of Chela-Schwank who come in off a five set win over the 16th seeds, Sa-Soares. This is the 3rd straight year this Argie duo has teamed up at the All-England club. They made the semis in 2010 and lost in the 3rd round last year in three tie breaks.

    I don't think doubles has the sort of drop off we see with singles where Rosol played the match of his life and then was not going to match it next round. Here, I think the hot team is where you go.

    Knowle-Bracciali [-125] *Bovada price*
    That's 20 cents off the market.

  2. #2
    EaglesPhan36
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    Straight sets. Bingo.

  3. #3
    Semper Fidelis
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    Thanks buddy, I definitely tailed you on this one!

  4. #4
    tevari
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    Good work. I wish there was an American book that I could get futures prices with. I'd imagine Paes/Stepanek to be around +300 or so with the B-brothers the fave.

  5. #5
    tevari
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    Also don't know if Karlovic/Moser are still in it.

  6. #6
    EaglesPhan36
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    Karlovic-Moser got whooped last round.

  7. #7
    EaglesPhan36
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    7.2.12: Tuesday ATP Doubles Parlay @ Wimbledon: Bryans + Lindstedt-Tecau [-133]
    You've got the defending Champs in the Bryans to start this parlay. They have to like that their 2012 nemesis, the team of Myrnyi-Nestor, has been eliminated already. They were not troubled in either of their 1st two matches, both straight sets wins. They now meet the French duo of Llodra-Clement who upset the 14th seeds last round. Clement played sparingly in doubles this year, while Llodra played with Nenad Zimonjic until the French Open. The duo agreed to break after that through the Olympics so Zimonjic could pair with Tipsarevic in preps for the Olympics. Llodra has been battling a bad back, so perhaps his inclusion her was a bit of a surprise. Bryans should be focused. Lindstedt-Tecau quietly go about their business, having won the doubles title at the Dutch Grass tourney prior to Wimbledon. They have also made two straight Finals @ Wimbledon without raising the trophy. They get the duo of Darcis-Rochus. They rolled through two rounds, including a straight sets whipping of the 12th seeds. Still, experience should be the edge in this one.

    Tip to anyone who is playing doubles - Bovada's prices on the favorites are a better deal than elsewhere for the most part. 50 cent difference on the Bryans. 60 cents on Lindstedt-Tecau. Bargain shopping baby.

  8. #8
    EaglesPhan36
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    Parlay still pending.

    Wednesday's Doubles Pick
    Marray-Nielsen +120

    (15 cents better@Bovada if you care)

  9. #9
    beefcake
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    Wow, bryans might go down.Come on Twins!!

  10. #10
    silvap
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    Bryans decided to give us a sweat but close it out in th 5th set, thanks for the tip EP

  11. #11
    EaglesPhan36
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    Yep. They slept through two sets, but then refocused.

  12. #12
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Parlay still pending.

    Wednesday's Doubles Pick
    Marray-Nielsen +120

    (15 cents better@Bovada if you care)
    They must have watched the Bryans. Blew a 2-0 lead and won it in 5.

  13. #13
    kobee24
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    Congrats mate, thanks for the Marray-Nielsen pick. Keep it goin'!

  14. #14
    EaglesPhan36
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    Don't see any lines posted for tomorrow's three remaining QFs.

    Lipsky/Ram vs. Bryans
    Bracciali/Knowle v. Lindstedt/Tecau
    Dodig/Melo v. Melzer/Petzschner

    That last one is the interesting one. Both teams went five hard sets to advance. Dodig/Melo knocking off Paes/Stepanek 9-7, Petz/Melzer going 16-14 over Elgin/Istomin. Melzer/Petzschner really have not had a great year compared to what they had done in the past couple seasons. Injuries forced them to separate for a bit. This is a team though that did win it all here a couple years ago and lost in the quarters to the Bryans last year. They've been taken to five twice and neither was a paricularly highly though of team.

    If they hang prices, Dodig-Melo should be stiff underdogs but come off an impressive win with momentum whereas Petz/Melzer seem more like they survived their five setter. I would think +200 or higher hopefully. Worth a squeeze in my estimation.

    Two faves in the others probably best as a parlay: Bryans + Lindstedt/Tecau.

  15. #15
    EaglesPhan36
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    +160 for Dodig-Melo. Still going for it.

  16. #16
    EaglesPhan36
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    Bryans struggling again. Down 2-1. They blew a 4-1 lead in the first and then got broke on their last serve in the 3rd. Yikes.

  17. #17
    Sport_Fish
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    Bryans have been pretty lousy....if they can't win wimbledon with nestor/mirnyi out, its just sad.

  18. #18
    EaglesPhan36
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    Lindstedt-Tecau should win. Been the best team by far.

  19. #19
    alta
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    Bryans take it to a 5th set

  20. #20
    EaglesPhan36
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    They sneak into the semis in 5. Parlay completed.

  21. #21
    JT OZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    They sneak into the semis in 5. Parlay completed.
    Man I didn't expect to sweat that one out, closed 2 open parlays with the Bryans and was regretting that move for quite a bit this morning.

  22. #22
    alta
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    #1 seeded Bob Bryan has to face #15 seeded Andy Ram again today in Mixed Doubles.
    #2 seeded Mike Bryan plays the #10 seeded Bopanna in mixed Doubles later today as well.

    Any opinion on these matches EP36?
    Last edited by alta; 07-05-12 at 10:18 AM.

  23. #23
    alta
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    Smart guys those Bryan brothers.
    They each team up with one of the #1 ranked Womens Doubles team for Mixed Doubles partners.

  24. #24
    EaglesPhan36
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    Man I hate Mixed Doubles. Since they only play at Slams, it is really tough to gauge who is going to do what. Only thing that seems fairly constant is that the top seeds consistently don't win the title.

  25. #25
    riffraff24
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Man I hate Mixed Doubles. Since they only play at Slams, it is really tough to gauge who is going to do what. Only thing that seems fairly constant is that the top seeds consistently don't win the title.
    Maybe one of the Bryan teams go down?

  26. #26
    alta
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    M.Bryan/L.Raymond line moved from -240 to -300 a minute ago @ 5D

  27. #27
    EaglesPhan36
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    I wouldn't read a damn thing into line movement on a Mixed Doubles match. Likely all it is is action junkies throwing money on the name they know.

  28. #28
    alta
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    More value in B.Bryan/L.Huber @-230 over A.Ram/K.Peschke, so going to add that to an open parley.
    Actually think that R.Bopanna/J.Zheng is a tougher out for M.Bryan/L. Raymond and too much juice @-300.
    That Zheng is a feisty one, took Serena too a 3rd set 7-9.

  29. #29
    alta
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    Quote Originally Posted by alta View Post
    More value in B.Bryan/L.Huber @-230 over A.Ram/K.Peschke, so going to add that to an open parley.
    Actually think that R.Bopanna/J.Zheng is a tougher out for M.Bryan/L. Raymond and too much juice @-300.
    That Zheng is a feisty one, took Serena too a 3rd set 7-9.
    Both Bryan brother Mixed Doubles teams won today.
    Good thing!

  30. #30
    EaglesPhan36
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    7.6.12: ATP Wimbledon Doubles Play: Lindstedt-Tecau [-105]
    As mapped out earlier, this is a team that has made the finals twice running and is bidding for a third and perhaps best chance to actually raise the trophy. They have played some of the most consistent and best tennis of the teams left, probably the best. They face off against Melzer-Petzschner, one of the teams that beat them in the finals [2010]. It's a chance for revenge, but mainly this duo is playing at an optimum level right now. This will be their biggest battle of the tournament, but if they continue to play as they have to this point - I think they can book another spot in the final.
    Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 07-05-12 at 09:05 PM.
    Points Awarded:

    silvap gave EaglesPhan36 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  31. #31
    EaglesPhan36
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    Bryans done today. Down 0-2. Couldn't talk myself into going against them though against the team they are playing, but I don't see three straight matches where they yank it out in 5.

  32. #32
    EaglesPhan36
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    Lindstedt-Tecau win it in 4. Will play Marray-Nielsen in the final. Curious to see the price. I think Lindstedt-Tecau run the third time's a charm rule in making the final this year. Should at least be useful in a parlay as a high chalk fave.

  33. #33
    silvap
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    Took you up on this doubles match, thanks my friend

  34. #34
    EaglesPhan36
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    7.7.12: Wimbledon Doubles Double: Lindstedt/Tecau + Williams Sisters [-107]
    Based price on Pinnacle odds of -315 for the Williams & -215 for Lindstedt-Tecau. Said it most of this tournament, Lindstedt-Tecau have played the most consistent tennis and have been in this position three straight years now. The last two, they did not get the big payoff of the title. Marray-Nielsen have had a remarkable run, but in position for a Slam Title - experience should do it. Firmly believe Serena gets the double on Saturday. I think she wants this doubles title as much for her sister as she wants the singles for herself.

  35. #35
    EaglesPhan36
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    Forgot how fun doubles is to watch. Volleys and net play, frickin' insane at times.

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