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124. Cadiz PK @ 1.81/-123 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
Alaves are 2nd last in the table with the worst goal differential in the league at -11 and only a single victory this season. The last head to head meeting in Cadiz ended with a 3-1 win for Cadiz. Plenty of value on the draw no bet here.
125. Salernitana/Empoli to DRAW @ 3.64/+264 (ITA) 1u BetSens
Two promoted clubs here who have experienced differing fortunes Empoli mid table & Salernitana bottom. I'm playing the new manager angle here after Castori was fired. Being at home I expect a positive result but they are not good enough for the outright win so backing the draw.
126. AC Milan ML @ 2.21/+121 (ITA) 1u Marathon
I know Milan have injuries and they lost mid week away at Porto. I will back them here as the last 5 head to head meetings have all been won by AC Milan. In 2021 away from home Milan have already won 13 games. that is almost a club record which is 14 set back in 1964. I expect them to match that in Bologna.
127. Montpellier +1.25 @ 1.83/-120 (FRA) 1u Bet365
Monaco are coming into this game on a short week as they just played away at PSV on Thursday. Only a point separate these sides in the table, both sides have a +1 goal differential & the last time Montpellier played in Monaco it was a 1-1 result. I think the visitors keep it close.
128. Tottenham +0.25 @ 1.92/-108 (ENG) 1u
Tottenham rested their starting 11 mid week versus Vitesse ahead of this fixture. West Ham played all their starters mid week in Europe. I don't see why the Hammers are the fav's here in this derby. The last 4 head to head The Spurs win 2 draw 1 and lose one.
129. Juventus +0.25 @ 1.99/-101 (ITA) 1u
This is a form play for me as Juventus come into this game winning their past 7 games and allowing only 1 GA in the past 5 games and that was in a friendly. Inter 2W 2D 1L in the past 5. The last 3 head to head Juve win 2 and 1 ends level. Plenty of value on the visitors.
130. Venezia ML @ 2.10/+110 (ITA) 1u Marathon
A battle of 2 promoted sides where the visitors Salernitana lay dead last in the table with the leagues worse goal differential. I know I backed Salernitana with the new manager angle but it looks like its too much of the same and relegation seems very likely. Give me any team at home versus this sorry side at plus money I have to play.
131. Sevilla ML @ 1.87/-115 (SPA) Pinnacle 1u
Sevilla are one point off top spot in the table and are in really good form. I had the odds set at 1.80/-125 so anything better than that is a play. The last 2 head to head Sevilla wins both 2-0 both home and away.
132. Real Sociedad PK @ 1.97/-103 (SPA) 2 Units Bet365
Jumping on this line early. Top of the table Sociedad visit 14th place Celta Vigo who at home have only managed 1W & 4 losses. Sociedad have an extra day of rest and the last time they played in Celta they won 4-1, in fact they did the double over Celta winning at home 2-1. I'll take the team that is undefeated in the past 12 games and double up the units.
133. Atletico Madrid -1 @ 2.30/+130 (SPA) 1u Marathon
Atletico visit second from the bottom Levante who are winless in their last 10 games. If you are going to challenge your cross town rivals Real these are the games you have to win. Levante have not won a home game since March and are now without their defender former Arsenal man Mustafi who is out for the next 3 weeks to injury.
Feels extra good when you hit your double units easily, good job DJ!Originally Posted by DiamondJack
That was the good one! Thank you for your prediction and explanation,won some money in this match.
Hey guys it was a busy day for me, so no time for a write up;
134. Tottenham +0.25 @ 1.82/-122 (ENG) 1U Marathon
135. Lens +1 @ 1.89/-112 (FRA) 1U Bet365
136. Juventus ML @ 1.89/-112 (ITA) 1U Pinnacle
137. Leverkusen ML @ 2.03/+103 (GER) 2U Marathon
138. Aston Villa/West Ham to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (ENG) 1u Marathon
139. Norwich/Leeds UNDER 2.5 @ 2.18/+118 (ENG) 1u Marathon
140. Marseille ML @ 2.34/+134 (FRA) 1u Marathon
141. Mainz/Borussia M'gladbach to DRAW @ 3.70/+270 (GER) 1u Marathon
Both sides in good form coming into this game that should cancel each other out. I love the value in the price of the draw. This game has 1-1 written all over it, however there is zero value on BTTS.
142. Chelsea win to Nil @ 1.90/-111 (ENG) 1u Bet365
Chelsea to win seems too obvious so one has to dig deeper to find value on a team that only gave up 3 goals against this season. Other bets like clean sheet yes, BTTS no are ones to keep an eye on. Too bad you cant parlay all those in one match.
143. Freiburg +2.25 @ 1.96/-104 (GER) 1u Bet365
I know its Bayern but the line here gives zero respect to a side who is 3rd in the table behind only Bayern and Dortmund. Bayern also played a champions league match mid week and are facing a well rested Frieburg side who are undefeated in their past 14 games. I have to believe they at least keep it close.
Billy Duke---
FlawlessKid---
Sundays action;
144. Everton to DRAW @ 3.45/+245 (ENG) 1u Bet Sens
145. Leeds to DRAW @ 3.74/+274 (ENG) 1u Marathon
146. Lorient UNDER 2.5 @ 1.91/-110 (FRA) 1u Bet365
147. Rennes to DRAW @ 3.68/+268 (FRA) 1u Marathon
148. Real Sociedad ML @ 2.44/+144 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
149. Valencia OVER 2.5 @ 2.28/+128 (SPA) 1u Marathon
Housekeeping
Updated Record after pick #149
FRA 18-9-2 +1294
ENG 21-19-2 +1043
SPA 18-15-2 +901
GER 12-12-0 -062
ITA 8-11-0 -139
OVERALL
77-66-6 +3037
150. Monaco ML @ 2.22/+122 (FRA) 1u Marathon
151. Monaco/Lille OVER 2.5 @ 2.13/+113 (FRA) 1u Bet Sens.
Both sides here have struggled to start the season but I have to back the home side at plus money. Lille's best player the Canadian David just played in Edmonton on Tuesday its unlikely he will feature and if he does he will certainly not be at 100%. I also see goals here as Lille had 4/5 away games go over & Monaco 3/5 home games have gone over 2.5. Head to head 3 of the past 4 have also gone over. To get plus money here as well is value.
152. Athletic Bilbao ML @ 2.23/+123 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
This is a fade of the home side play. Levante are in very poor form having now gone 21 games without a win. Levante are also last in the table with the leagues worse goal differential. They will also be without Jorge deFrutos. Marti & Postigo might also miss out. The last time Bilbao played in Levante they won 2-1 in a cup match.
153. Newcastle OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (ENG) 1u WillHill
A strict numbers play. Newcastle averages 3.27 goals per game & Brentford averages 2.45 for a combined 2.86 gpg. Form wise 4 of the past 5 for Brentford ended over the total & 3 of the past 5 for Newcastle ended over. 3 of past 5 home games end over for Newcastle & 3 of the past 5 away games for Brentford end over the total.
154. Norwich UNDER 2.5 @ 1.93/-107 (ENG) 1u Marathon
Southampton lead the league with the lowest goals per game this season at 2.00 gpg. Norwich have only scored 5 goals all season. Seems like a no brainer Under to me at these odds.
155. West Ham PK @ 1.80/-125 (ENG) 1u Marathon
The Hammers are 3rd in the table and are coming off an impressive 3-2 win over Liverpool. They are in great form unbeaten in the past 7 games. Last head to head they did the double over the Wolves winning 4-0 at home & 3-2 away.
156. Burnley/Crystal Palace BTTS YES @ 1.91/-110 (ENG) 1u Bet365
I do not usually play BTTS angles in league action. Every angle I look at either has the result as a high scoring draw but there is not much to choose between these sides and the game could end 1-1 so I'm not playing the Over.
157. Lazio/Juventus UNDER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (ITA) 1u Marathon
Juventus is having problems scoring this season with only 16GF in 12 games. Lazio at home have only conceded 1 goal against in the last 5 games. Both teams have mid week Europe games coming up so I expect the same scoreline the last time Juve played in Rome 1-1.
158. Borussia Monchengladbach -1.5 @ 1.93/-107 (GER) 1u Pinnacle
The visitors Greuther Furth are dead last in the table with a single point and the worst goal differential in the league at -21 and have given up a league high 29 goals against. The home side just trashed Bayern Munich last month 5-0. This has blowout written all over it and I think the home side rolls.
159. Wolfsburg ML @ 2.03/+103 (GER) 1u Marathon
160. Wolfsburg Win to Nil @ 3.20/+220 (GER) 1u Bet365
Wolfsburg who are fourth in the table visit second last Bielefeld. Bielefeld are finding it very hard to score managing a league low 7 goals this season. Wolfsburg have only allowed 12 GA so I really like them to not only win but keep a clean sheet as well. The last time Wolfsburg played at Bielefeld they won 3-0, hoping for the same on Saturday.
161. Union Berlin ML @ 2.05/+105 (GER) 1u Bet365
162. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.65/-154 (GER) 1u Bet365
There is going to be a full house for the Berlin derby and I expect a crazy atmosphere that could spell plenty of bookings. I also like the home side to prevail at any price better than 1.91/-110. Union is fully healthy & Hertha does not impress me having the leagues 2nd worse goal differential of -12.
Was gone all day....a bakers dozen for Sunday
163. Tottenham ML @ 1.71/-141 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
164. Lens ML @ 2.26/+126 (FRA) 1u Marathon
165. Strasbourg ML @ 2.10/+110 (FRA) 1u Bet365
166. Nice ML @ 2.30/+130 (FRA) 1u Marathon
167. Nice UNDER 2.5 @ 1.98/-102 (FRA) 1u Bet365
168. Freiburg ML @ 2.05/+105 (GER) 1u Bet365
169. Mainz ML @ 2.16/+116 (GER) 1u Marathon
170. Bologna -1 @ 2.12/+112 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
171. Salermitana to DRAW @ 3.32/+232 (ITA) 1u Marathon
172. Sampdoria OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (ITA) 1u Marathon
173. Inter Milan UNDER 2.5 @ 2.09/+109 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
174. Real Betis ML @ 2.25/+125 (SPA) 1u Pinnacle
175. Real Sociedad OVER 2.5 @ 2.11/+111 (SPA) 1u Marathon
176. Arsenal -1 @ 1.81/-123 (ENG) 2 Units
Arsenal seem to have Newcastle's number. The last 7 head to head Arsenal wins them all, the last 6 Newcastle doesn't even score. The past 7 games for Arsenal at home they have 6 wins and 1 draw in all competitions where as Newcastle are in abysmal form winless in their past 13. The Gunners have no injury concerns are very well rested not having a game in Europe midweek and I think they roll here with ease.
177. Barcelona PK @ 1.98/-102 (SPA) 1u Marathon
178. Barcelona/Villarreal UNDER 2.5 @ 2.18/+118 (SPA) 1u Marathon
"Oversold" is what Barcelona is at the moment. This team is still quality on paper and should be able to compete for top 4 in Spain. Form wise Barca are undefeated in the past 5 games, 4 of which ended under the total. Villareal are 2-2-1 in their past 5 and all the games ended under 2.5 goals. Barcelona have won the last 4 head to head meetings. Memphis Depay is in good form give me the Catalans on a draw no bet.
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