[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 30th 2014 -


English 'Sky Bet Championship'


*Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Charlton Athletic - final result: 2-2.

• Brighton won 10 games and lost seven @ home last season.
  
  
• Brighton only failed to score in three home games last season. Leonardo Ulloa and Ashley Barnes scored 22 goals between them for Brighton last season. Both have now left the club. They've scored 5 goals in regular time, in their latest three matches - 8 goals, if you count the 3 goals produced in extra time in the Capital One Cup away vs. Swindon.
  

• Brighton have only beaten Charlton once at home since September 1990
  
  

1. Charlton 'DNB' @ +250 x 2 u.

2. BTTS @ +110 x 2 u.

..and once more We are reminded of Tucker's Law.. Brighton goal in the 4th minute of injury time.

I guess luck has stil to turn a bit for yours truly..

[ 1 - 0 - 1 ( +2.2 u.) ]

[bernardoGui]

- Aug. 30th 2014 -

[..]

Swedish 'Allsvenskan'

* Häcken vs. Mjällby - final result: 1-1.

1. C. Wilhelmsson to score at any time @ +750 x 0.5 u.

2. 'Double chance' - Mjällby OR draw @ +240 x 0.5 u.

[..]

Although 'Chippen' did not produce today, once again Mjällby played one heck of a match. And with the recent Wilhelmsson-comeback to his boyhood club and a few other rearrangements, Mjällby now seem to have regained some confidence in themselves, as well as the project of staying up this season.

Christian Wilhelmsson is alledgedly playing in Mjällby for free in this last half of the Swedish season. Although rumors are swirring, that his monthly pay is 3.000 Swedish Kronor (approx. 430 US $), he has corrected these rumors by stating that it is 3.000 for 3 months ! HA HA.. Must be the most sympathetic transfer of this window !?

[ 1 - 1 - 0 ( +0.7 u.) ]


bernardoGui's Footy record: 53 - 48 - 13 ( - 3.1 u.)

[bernardoGui]

Stick with it buddy. Your luck will turn.

Going to take on some of the draws this week:

Aston Villa vs Hull 1 unit on draw @ 3.15
Villa can't score but have looked decent at the back. The Villa vs Newcastle last week was unbelievably boring . Hull coming of a mid-week european tie may cause a bit of fatigue. Has draw written all over.

Qpr vs Sunderland - 1 unit draw @ 3.25
Qpr have been really poor. 3-5-2 seems to be the latest formation in fashion but i'm not sure it works that well in the premier league (as Van Gaal is finding out!). Nevertheless, qpr should of got a point at home to hull in the opening fixture. There's not a lot of difference between sunderland and hull. Redknapp will have his team fired up after an awful loss midweek. While i'd expect sunderland to line up 4-5-1 leading to a very congested midfield. Other potential bet is AH sunderland 0 but i'm going to stick with the draw.

West Ham vs Southampton - 1 unit draw @ 3.35
The loss of nolan and carroll to injury is a big blow. Nevertheless the hammers are tough to breakdown at home. I'm not sure Koeman would have ever come up against a manager so adept at physcial play. Certainly some value in AH on Southampton 0.

Also tempted by the draw on spurs vs liverpool but i'm going to stick with the above 3 bets.

I think We might have a '3 pick Round Robin' on our hands for tomorrow's PRL schedule.. Considering that only 2 of a possible 7 matches ended as draws today, the probability of at least 1 in 3 tomorrow is quite high. Though I'd say that 2 in 3 might be a tad too high and that 3 in 3 IS too high, the fact that Arsenal are coming off a midweek UEFA battle, and in less of a condition that Wenger would have wished for, a draw away vs. Leicester (who signed Cambiasso since last round!!) suddenly seems like a fairly probable result. Although I must add, that I also do like the Leicester 'Double Chance' (Draw OR Leicester) and the Leicester DNB.

I will await the squad news tomorrow and the line ups as well.

I don't know if Cambiasso will start tomorrow and how large an impact he would be able to bring into Leicester's PRL results right away.. Either way, I am thinking that it is a fantastic signing and whether he is ready for tomorrow or not, his arrival cannot but create more internal competition for the starting spots on Leicester's midfield. The ones who are picked for the start-11 tomorrow will be highly motivated !

Leicester are also coming off a midweek match in the Capital One Cup. They lost (0-1) @ home, which they seldomly do, and if it wasn't for the fact that the Gunners of London are visiting in the next, one would feel inclined to state that Leicester cannot but win tomorrow. However, they can and even though the Arsenal gunpowder seems a little wet, the Leicester ML could prove to be well too risky!

What does the folk of the forum reckon ?

[bernardoGui]

EARLY BIRD CATCHES THE WORM !


- Aug. 31st 2014 -


Danish Superliga

* Silkeborg IF vs. AaB

1. AaB -1 AH @ +200 x 2 u.


[ This pick might also be worth considering in a 2/4- or 3/4 system with a couple of draws.. Tottenham vs. Liverpool? Leicester vs. Arsenal? A few of the other Danish matches could also very well end as draws. FC Midtjylland vs. Esbjerg and FC Nordsjælland vs. Brøndby.]

I'll sleep on it..


GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[odejayi1]

I think We might have a '3 pick Round Robin' on our hands for tomorrow's PRL schedule.. Considering that only 2 of a possible 7 matches ended as draws today, the probability of at least 1 in 3 tomorrow is quite high. Though I'd say that 2 in 3 might be a tad too high and that 3 in 3 IS too high, the fact that Arsenal are coming off a midweek UEFA battle, and in less of a condition that Wenger would have wished for, a draw away vs. Leicester (who signed Cambiasso since last round!!) suddenly seems like a fairly probable result. Although I must add, that I also do like the Leicester 'Double Chance' (Draw OR Leicester) and the Leicester DNB.

I will await the squad news tomorrow and the line ups as well.

I don't know if Cambiasso will start tomorrow and how large an impact he would be able to bring into Leicester's PRL results right away.. Either way, I am thinking that it is a fantastic signing and whether he is ready for tomorrow or not, his arrival cannot but create more internal competition for the starting spots on Leicester's midfield. The ones who are picked for the start-11 tomorrow will be highly motivated !

Leicester are also coming off a midweek match in the Capital One Cup. They lost (0-1) @ home, which they seldomly do, and if it wasn't for the fact that the Gunners of London are visiting in the next, one would feel inclined to state that Leicester cannot but win tomorrow. However, they can and even though the Arsenal gunpowder seems a little wet, the Leicester ML could prove to be well too risky!

What does the folk of the forum reckon ?

Cambiasso wont start. I cant see a leicester win. The draw looks decent especially with arsenal coming off a midweek champions league game and will likely start no proper striker upfront. I'd still take arsenal though. Their midfield is just too good for leicester and will dominate possession.

I'd take the draw on the other 2 fixtures today. Sanchez is 6.00 to be first goalscorer which also looks good.

[bernardoGui]

I waited out the AaB match. Didn't Work out though. The draws tend to appear when You least expect Them..

I'm looking at Djurgården to win in Sweden!

[bernardoGui]

EARLY BIRD CATCHES THE WORM !

- Aug. 31st 2014 -

Danish Superliga

* Silkeborg IF vs. AaB - final result: 2-2 / (2-1).

1. AaB -1 AH @ +200 x 2 u.

[..]

NOT A GOOD WORM TO CATCH !

[ 0 - 1 - 0 ( -2 u.) ]

bernardoGui's Footy record: 53 - 49 - 13 ( - 5.1 u.)

[Monohan]

Any leans for the Hobro game today? Should be an interesting one.

[bernardoGui]

Failing to restore and improve the Profit Margin of this thread yesterday, the endeavor continues today!

---

As it turns out, we are lucky (or unlucky?) enough to encounter both Danish Hobro IK and Swedish GIF Sundsvall of the Swedish 'Superettan', this CET evening.

So far, HOBRO IK have been a very positive surprise in the Danish Superliga. As up comers and with a squad of players, who are 'only' half-time professionals, they've lost 1 in their 5 first matches. Instead of 'losing' an awful lot of points, they've taken all 3 points from two of the expected title contenders this season. A 3-0 win away vs. FC Copenhagen and a 2-0 home win vs. Brøndby IF. That's 2 clean sheets as well, by the way.

Last round, Hobro 'only' made it a 0-0 draw @ home vs. FC Nordsjælland. But with the 1 point recorded, HIK manifested their immediate position as #2 in the table with 10 points in 5 matches and a goal difference of +5 (8:3). Tonight is another home match and at the first couple of glances, Hobro seems as fav's to me and not, as the odds are reflecting at the moment, a small dog. This is also why I hesitate to follow the fade play against Hobro this evening.

I'm therefore looking at the Double Chance, favoring Hobro @ -182, the 'DNB' @ +100 and the clean cut DRAW @ +220.

However, when one takes a closer look at tonight's opponent - FC Vestsjælland - they also happen to have performed above expectations in these preliminary rounds of the season. They hold #7 at the moment with 7 points in 5 matches / +2 (9:7). But why are they slight favorites then?

Though FCV were shut out in Randers, in the 4th round, they scored two goals vs. FC Copenhagen in the round before that. In the latest (5th) round, FCV won 2-0 @ home vs. Silkeborg IF. Dear Mother of....#"!! Anyway, besides from scoring a relatively high number of goals, FCV have also conceded a fair amount. On the other hand, Hobro have produced 3 consecutive clean sheets; but as I think their luck is running out in this particular department, the BTTS @ -120 seems like a fair compromise.


- Sept. 1st 2014 -

Danish SUPERLIGA

* Hobro IK vs. FC Vestsjælland

1. DRAW @ +220 x 0.75 u.

2. BTTS @ -120 x 1.2 u.


PARLAY

1. 'Double Chance' - Hobro OR Draw @ -182

2. GIF Sundsvall vs. Assyriska FF - Sundsvall ML @ -225


TOTAL ODDS : +123 x 1 u.

---

A NICE AND PEACEFUL EVENING TO ALL !

[bernardoGui]

Adding:

1. GIF Sundsvall vs. Assyriska FF - Sundsvall -1 AH @ -105 x 1.05 u.


GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

Adding:

Irish FAI Cup - 2nd legger; 1st leg result: 1-1.

* Shelbourne vs. St. Patrick's

St. Patricks -1.5 @ +143 x 1.5 u.


Bonne Chance !

[bernardoGui]

- Sept. 1st 2014 -

Danish SUPERLIGA

* Hobro IK vs. FC Vestsjælland - final result: 3-1 / (2-0).

1. DRAW @ +220 x 0.75 u. ( -0.75 u.)

2. BTTS @ -120 x 1.2 u. ( +1 u.)


PARLAY

1. 'Double Chance' - Hobro OR Draw @ -182. WIN

2. GIF Sundsvall vs. Assyriska FF - Sundsvall ML @ -225 (final result: 2-1 / (1-0)). WIN


TOTAL ODDS : +123 x 1 u. ( +1.23 u.)


ADDED PLAY #1

GIF Sundsvall vs. Assyriska FF - Sundsvall -1 AH @ -105 x 1.05 u. (PUSH).


[ 3 - 1 - 1 ( +1.48 u.) ]


WAITING FOR THE IRISH TO FIRE IT UP..

[bernardoGui]

Adding:

[Half time live bet]

Shelbourne vs. St. Patricks

Under 2.5 goals total @ -139 x 0.7 u.


G L .

[bernardoGui]

Irish FAI Cup

Shelbourne vs. St. Patricks - final result: 0 - 1 / (0-1).


ADDED PLAY #2

* Shelbourne vs. St. Patricks

St. Patricks -1.5 @ +143 x 1.5 u. ( -1.5 u.)


ADDED PLAY #3

Shelbourne vs. St. Patricks

Under 2.5 goals total @ -139 x 0.7 u. ( +0.5 u.)


[ 1 - 1 - 0 ( -1 u.) ]

---

EARLIER PLAYS

[ 3 - 1 - 1 ( +1.48 u.) ]

---

bernardoGui's Footy record: 57 - 51 - 14 ( - 4.62 u.)



GOOD NIGHT !

[bernardoGui]

Leicester City FC vs. Arsenal

final result: 1 - 1 / (1-1). 1 point recorded.



Leicester City 14/15 PRL RECORD

2 points recorded / goal difference: -2 ( 3:5 ) / 3 matches played of 38.

Stoke City is the next PRL opponent. Away match on Saturday, Sept. 13th.

---

[bernardoGui]

- Sept. 2nd. 2014 -


Swedish 'Superettan'

* Syrianska vs. GAIS

1. Under 2.5 goals total @ EV. x 1 u.

2. 1st Half - Draw @ +125 x 1 u.

3. 1st Half - GAIS @ +187 x 0.5 u.


GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

- Sept. 2nd. 2014 -


Swedish 'Superettan'

* Syrianska vs. GAIS

1. Under 2.5 goals total @ EV. x 1 u.

2. 1st Half - Draw @ +125 x 1 u.

3. 1st Half - GAIS @ +187 x 0.5 u.

By the looks of things, it's hard to identify any fixes in this one! Just a little home team luck I guess.

Time to take a risk..


LIVE BET in addition:

* GAIS 'DNB' @ +250 x 1 u.


M@LCOLM TUCKER !

[bernardoGui]

England - Johnstone's Paint Trophy

* Yeovil vs. Portsmouth


1. Portsmouth 'DNB' @ +120 x 1 u.

2. Portsmouth to qualify @ EV x 1.5 u.

3. 'Double Chance' - Portsmouth or Draw @ - 189 x 2 u.


GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

Man ! I'm just SOOO happy that the almighty Soccer-fixers chose to fix the Yeovil/Portsmouth match just the way I would have preferred it ! Thank you, almighty Soccer-fixers !!

---

Swedish 'Superettan'


* Syrianska vs. GAIS - final result: 2 - 2 / (1-0).


1. Under 2.5 goals total @ EV. x 1 u.

2. 1st Half - Draw @ +125 x 1 u.

3. 1st Half - GAIS @ +187 x 0.5 u.


LIVE BET in addition:

* GAIS 'DNB' @ +250 x 1 u. (PUSH)


[ 0 - 3 - 1 ( -2.5 u.) ]

---

England - Johnstone's Paint Trophy


* Yeovil vs. Portsmouth - final result: 1 - 3 / (0-0).


1. Portsmouth 'DNB' @ +120 x 1 u. ( +1.2 u.)

2. Portsmouth to qualify @ EV x 1.5 u. ( +1.5 u.)

3. 'Double Chance' - Portsmouth or Draw @ - 189 x 2 u. ( +1.1 u.)


[ 3 - 0 - 0 ( +3.8 u.) ]

---

bernardoGui's Footy record: 60 - 54 - 15 ( - 3.32 u.)



BUT MOST DAYS ONLY CASH WILL CHEER ME UP !!

[bernardoGui]

International Friendlies.. Just avoid 'em. Nobody cares.. Not even the players do!

Betting wise, save your cash for the qualifiers starting this coming weekend.

[bernardoGui]

A PARLAY


1. GERMAN Reg. Liga (NE) - Jena vs. Viktoria Berlin

* Under 3.5 goals total @ -222

2. CHILEAN CUP - Nublense vs. Iberia

* Nublense -1 AH @ -285


TOTAL ODDS: -104 / 1.96 x 1.04 u.

-----
SINGLE BET
Jena vs. Viktoria Berlin

* Victoria Berlin DNB @ +110 x 0.96 u.



A NICE DAY, A GOOD EVENING & GOOD LUCK TO EVERYBODY !

[bernardoGui]

Not a good start, I must admit.. Not much hope left for the Under either.. Jeez!!

[bernardoGui]

DANISH STARTERS vs TURKEY

[bernardoGui]

BENDTNER doesn't care either !


* International Friendly

Denmark vs. Turkey

1. Bendtner to score at any time @ +230 x 0.5 u.

2. Bendtner to score in 1st half @ +550 x 0.25 u.

3. Denmark wins and Bendtner scores @ +420 x 0.25

4. Turkey to score ? NO @ +165 x 1 u.


All bets at TIPICO.


G L .

[bernardoGui]

Half time substitutions (DK):

Andreassen for Agger.

Knudsen for Boilesen.


Enjoy Your 2nd half !

[bernardoGui]

..And Kusk for Eriksen :-)

[bernardoGui]

CHILEAN CUP

Nublense vs. Iberia

* Nublense -2 AH @ +120 x 4 u.


GOOD NIGHT AND GOOD LUCK !

[bernardoGui]

[ 0 - 7 - 1 ( -8 u.) ]

---

bernardoGui's Footy record: 60 - 61 - 16 ( - 11.32 u.)



FULL STOP !!

[bernardoGui]

CHILEAN CUP

Nublense vs. Iberia

* Nublense -2 AH @ +120 x 4 u.

For the record, Nublense won 1-0 by a goal in injury time.. Did they miss a penalty shot? Indeed they did !

[bernardoGui]

BENDTNER doesn't care either !

[..]

Denmark vs. Turkey

1. Bendtner to score at any time @ +230 x 0.5 u.

2. Bendtner to score in 1st half @ +550 x 0.25 u.

3. Denmark wins and Bendtner scores @ +420 x 0.25

[..]

And don't worry about Nicklas Bendtner - he'll be back on Sunday..

1. http://youtu.be/ieQgUZpHKpI

2. http://youtu.be/TW2wfVvZfl4