1. #1
    SBR_John
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    McCain +150 WTF??

    I would of thought this would be a LOT closer maybe even picke'em.

    I'm not a supporter but more of a supporter of my own wallet and I think this thing is going to get real close. Probably to close to call. Should I start laddering in at +150? Any books with a better McCain number?

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  2. #2
    Bread
    I beat Robyn. A lot!
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    I just want to touch Palin.

    SBR John can you make this happen for me with your powers?

  3. #3
    ryanXL977
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    i got obama +1100 a year ago or so

  4. #4
    hoopster42
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    when he chose Palin, he sealed his loss in this election

  5. #5
    MonkeyF0cker
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    That's about as good as I've seen it lately, John. Great value there, for sure.

  6. #6
    jtuck
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    Quote Originally Posted by hoopster42 View Post
    when he chose Palin, he sealed his loss in this election
    If i'm not mistaken his odds were +170 or so before he selected her, the oddsmakers disagee.

  7. #7
    pavyracer
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    What are the limits for this kind of bet? $50?
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  8. #8
    JoshW
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    John,

    I loaded up on Obama -153 and -160 when Palin was announced. I blew that call. I ended up getting out of my entire position by betting McCain +152. I think McCain price will get worse and worse as you do. Going closer to PK. Maybe -130. I still think Obama can win, but I plan to bet him later when I have a better feel for where the post Palin numbers go.

    I think +150 is a decent lead.

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  9. #9
    hoopster42
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtuck View Post
    If i'm not mistaken his odds were +170 or so before he selected her, the oddsmakers disagee.
    no, the oddsmakers did not move it, the bettors poured money in which moved it

    and of course we know that the bettors are never wrong



    people will not be fooled by this move. he brought in palin to appease the neo-cons, and he will pay for the choice by losing the election

  10. #10
    jtuck
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    Quote Originally Posted by hoopster42 View Post
    no, the oddsmakers did not move it, the bettors poured money in which moved it

    and of course we know that the bettors are never wrong



    people will not be fooled by this move. he brought in palin to appease the neo-cons, and he will pay for the choice by losing the election
    My brain shut off for a few minutes

  11. #11
    lys3rg0
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    The odds have been the same for the last 3 weeks at betfair... Obama 1.6 McCain 2.7

  12. #12
    SlappyWhite
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    wait for the polls posted Monday, McCain will be +120 or so.

  13. #13
    durito
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    Nevertheless, markets are more accurate than polls.

    If you people would learn this, you'd lose less at gambling.

  14. #14
    treece
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    Most people are going to be like the Dukes from the movie trading places. The bathroom scene is what i'm talking about.

  15. #15
    InTheHole
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    Yep...durito pointed me to that site and basically ended any hope, at least for me, on that future.

  16. #16
    frostno98
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    Yeah the Palin ticket definitely hurts him. He should of got Colin Powell or Guilani instead.

  17. #17
    donjuan
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    Intrade is implying ~42.3% so +150 is a good number if you base it off of that. Not sure what the commission is like but you could probably arb it there at the very least.

  18. #18
    treece
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    McCain all the way.

  19. #19
    SBR_John
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlappyWhite View Post
    wait for the polls posted Monday, McCain will be +120 or so.
    Thats kind of what I'm thinking.

    I could see McCain +110 this time next month. Swing vote Americans are like that. They love a new change guy for a while but by Oct they have second thoughts and look for someone tough on defense. I see the race as a dead heat.

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  20. #20
    pavyracer
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    The probability of McCain being elected is remote. He will get 0.5% of the non-white vote. Unless the census bureau is wrong when they say that the whites are less than 50% McCain would still be a senator in 2009 and Palin the governor of Alaska.
    Last edited by pavyracer; 09-06-08 at 08:55 PM.
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  21. #21
    ryanXL977
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    at some point very soon the truth wil come out on this bitch

    she is a neocon nut who said iraq is gods war
    if that alone isnt a disqualifier then this nations is ****ed
    ass ****ed

  22. #22
    acw
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBR_John View Post
    Should I start laddering in at +150? Any books with a better McCain number?
    I can give you +155 for US$10k.

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  23. #23
    HedgeHog
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    Considering that a Republican President has so fuked this country the past 8 years, I'm surprised that MCCain isn't +300.

  24. #24
    ryanXL977
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    the fact he isnt +1000 is scary as ****

  25. #25
    Kingctb27
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    Can't wait for the debates so Obama can blow up. He's horrible when it comes to non pre-meditated speeches. McCain will kill him.

  26. #26
    trytrytry
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    I have obama rated at -250 or so based on electorial map which is everything. and if he wins Ohio its a mild blow out.

  27. #27
    ryanXL977
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    yeah mccain is an incredible debater
    i cant wait to hear him tell us why we need more wars

  28. #28
    HedgeHog
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kingctb27 View Post
    Can't wait for the debates so Obama can blow up. He's horrible when it comes to non pre-meditated speeches. McCain will kill him.
    Can't wait til either one of them gets in office and addresses the national debt, health care, the ill-conceived war, etc... The new Pres is Fukked, whether dem or rep.

  29. #29
    fiveteamer
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    Wait for debates.

    McCain is toast.

  30. #30
    ryanXL977
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    once people learn that mccain and palin want more wars, more debt, and that they are no different in any way shape or form than bush co, they will be toast, agreed

  31. #31
    daggerkobe
    UCONN PK MICH PK PROVIDENCE +2
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    Just ask Mccain a geography question and he'll be done for. What a dope.

    And did u hear the latest controversy? During his speech a photo of a school was displayed without the school's permission. Apparently he or his staffers googled the wrong photo and didn't realize it. Dopes.

  32. #32
    fiveteamer
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    how can mccain explain the last 8 years.

    there is nothing he can counter with this.

    republicans are ****ed.

    I'll take all bets at +250 on McCain.

  33. #33
    SBR_John
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    Now you guys are talking politics... I'm talking about betting a value dog. I mean if George W could win in a near landslide after the 1st 4 years, why cant a 26 year senator and war hero beat a freshman senator who was unknown 18 months ago? My play is I know Americans get conservative as the election gets closer so +155 (thanks acw) looks pretty good.

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  34. #34
    pavyracer
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    This is interesting...SBR John is rooting for McCain and The Shrink is rooting for Obama. I would have expected them to root the opposite but not necessarily with this order.
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  35. #35
    MonkeyF0cker
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    I agree, John. It's a play it now or pass situation though, IMO.

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