[Hoja Verdes]

I've been following both these teams very closely this season, and while I normally never start threads like this, I'm making an exception here. Ken Pomeroy has this pegged as a 64-59 Wright State win, but I think it will be more comfortable than that. I just loaded up on the moneyline at -190 in case it does end up being a close game.

I'll get into a more detailed write-up for anyone that's interested, but for now I'll just say that this is a good spot for them to win by about 8-10 points. If you're looking for a good place to grab a little action tonight, take the moneyline and be confident in the win at home for Wright State. I don't believe in locks, but I do think this is a 5x play on my scale of 1 to 5.

Good luck.

[jagaf22]

I'll throw a little on it!

[pavyracer]

Thank you. I'd bet it for 10 points at the Book.

[SlickFazzer]

will consider this selection. GL

[Hoja Verdes]

Damn it, as soon as I punched in -190, happy because Pinny is at -193, a -180 immediately pops up at matchbook. Oh well, not gonna be an issue because they will win. Good luck guys, I will even give each of you above me a bunch of points if it loses (not gonna happen).

[BatemanPatrickl]

Wow a -190 ML in College Hoops THANK YOU so much; going to empty my account on this gem

[Hoja Verdes]

Wow a -190 ML in College Hoops THANK YOU so much; going to empty my account on this gem

Yeah yeah, I normally would be thinking the same thing myself, trust me. But every rule as an exception. I'll happily wager some points if you want the other side at +180.

[wcb231]

Riding this on a small bet tonight with the Celtics ML. Thanks for the info!

[LT Profits]

CAREFUL!

Wright State is already looking ahead to hosting Butler on Sunday. Gun to my head, I'd go Valpo +4.5.

[chiliv5]

Valpo aint nobody to sleep on....

[HoulihansTX]

Looks like you are calling it a lock, but with out saying so.

Dont be a bitch. If its a lock, just say it.

[Boxer300]

What makes you think they win by 8 to 10pts? I just don't see it happening.

[zephyr]

Appreciate the thread. Anything to provoke thought. But I took a look, and I have to say I'm with LT on this. This game is going to be hotly contested. I'll be surprised if either team gets a big lead. Especially Wright State. Valpo scores 73.4 points per game, to Wright State's 64. Valpo with the points looks like the play. Valpo has a much better RPI (72 v. 120). Wright State is a terrible rebounding team (342nd, with only 28.1 per game); Valpo is OK in that department. Appears that Wright State is going to try to slow the pace of this game, and probably will have to rely on outside shooting. I see that Wright State takes good care of the ball, and they shoot pretty well (but not great). Still. I'll go with the faster playing, stronger-in-the-paint team. Small play for me on Valpo with the points. GL.

[kfranz31]

good luck wll throw some on it

[Hoja Verdes]

Looks like you are calling it a lock, but with out saying so.

Dont be a bitch. If its a lock, just say it.

Not a lock, nothing is. Even the big plays lose sometimes. I play this unit size about once or twice a month.

[HoulihansTX]

OK b/c I had $2000 in my pocket waiting for a lock.

Maybe next time.

[ringemup]

what exactly impresses u about wright state they lost 3 starters off last yrs team and is not as strong in the frontcourt this yr, they r on a winning streak but so is valpo n they actually r stronger with sum additions. valpo comes in off an impressive victory over cleveland state i think theyll come in confident and give wright state one hell of a game would not by any means count out them winning. u have no analysis to bak this pick up yet u make an exception for it?

[fsfalcons]

i was thinking about taking wright state too lets cash this

[Hoja Verdes]

let's do this. game on.

[wcb231]

Nice of them to not come out of the locker room in the second half

[ACoochy]

Its like their there but their not there.....

[ringemup]

let's do this. game on.

valpo by 9, nice call kno how to bak ur pik up with analysis.

[ACoochy]

valpo by 9, nice call kno how to bak ur pik up with analysis.

After reading ur analysis ended up taking val +4.5. I believe a ty is in order

[chiliv5]

valpo aint nobody to sleep on.... said it 3 hours ago! along w most everyone else! problem is my only play was Stetson.... GO STETSON!!!!!

[SlickFazzer]

how are you up 7-9 at half and get outscored 28 to 12 in second half...these teams blow.

[ringemup]

After reading ur analysis ended up taking val +4.5. I believe a ty is in order

u got it.

[ringemup]

how are you up 7-9 at half and get outscored 28 to 12 in second half...these teams blow.

have u noticed how many underdogs have cashed in college hoops this yr, it is a sign of things in the college game today favs r weaker than ever theres only a handful of teams worth trusting as favs.

[ProfaneReality]

bad thing about ML favs is you end up losing way more than you would have if you bet the spread

[BatemanPatrickl]

This guy has been a jerk to me before so I am glad he lost a -190 ML. Looks like he was following Wright State's towel boy.

[chiliv5]

ringemup-
you are totally right. it just seems so easy for the public to play the fav's. i do a lot of the time as well. with kids staying one and done the turnover is crazy. hell look at Butler...hayward goes pro and the impact of him leaving is crazy. they are still a good team but 1 stud heads to the league and people are just playing on a name to cover.

[crustyme]

i think we have found brock landers ghost.

[EmpireMaker]

LT made a much better case against and that's how the game went as Sammy would say DO WORK !!!

[ringemup]

ringemup-
you are totally right. it just seems so easy for the public to play the fav's. i do a lot of the time as well. with kids staying one and done the turnover is crazy. hell look at Butler...hayward goes pro and the impact of him leaving is crazy. they are still a good team but 1 stud heads to the league and people are just playing on a name to cover.

once u get closer to march ull kno which teams to trust rite now its hay wire early in conference play

[pavyracer]

i think we have found brock landers ghost.

[Hoja Verdes]

Sorry folks. Assholes scored 20 F'n pts in the second half after being up 7 at halftime.