1. 04-15-20 09:20 AM #1
    jjgold
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    Simulation gambling is beatable

    Folks are getting crushed they keep taking games off the board and on the board
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  2. 04-15-20 09:21 AM #2
    TommieGunshot
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    Your evidence for why it's possible to win money betting simulated games is because there are people losing money betting them. I love it.
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  3. 04-15-20 09:22 AM #3
    ibetyouadollar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Folks are getting crushed they keep taking games off the board and on the board
    only thing...theres no real way that you can handicap sim games IMO.
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  4. 04-15-20 09:56 AM #4
    asiagambler
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    Definitely beatable. Seems like the books are just guessing along with everyone else. Someone with lots and lots of hours of playing these can know what tendencies are and what makes the engine tick. I don't know how long these games take or if there's a way to speed them up but you can make a very accurate model just by running the simulation lots of times and running simple statistical analysis
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  5. 04-15-20 09:58 AM #5
    carolinakid
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    only ever play 4 games here and i went 3-1
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  6. 04-15-20 10:12 AM #6
    Golden fleece
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    home teams on back to backs where the road team lost their previous game against the spread has been a cash cow
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  7. 04-15-20 10:14 AM #7
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by Golden fleece View Post
    home teams on back to backs where the road team lost their previous game against the spread has been a cash cow
    The situational edges must be massive! I'll try my sdql systems for the next couple of games.
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  8. 04-15-20 10:29 AM #8
    trytrytry
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    SBR BETPOINT SIM wagering is open for today April 15th Tax day LOL

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  9. 04-15-20 10:33 AM #9
    Sam Odom
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  10. 04-15-20 11:25 AM #10
    wakefield23
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    Do you realize you can modify the sliders, right? Shit is rigged as f uck
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  11. 04-15-20 11:27 AM #11
    big joe 1212
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    Books are making money off them. If they weren’t, they’d shut it down
    Last edited by big joe 1212; 04-15-20 at 11:38 AM.
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  12. 04-15-20 11:34 AM #12
    SBR_Guest_Pro
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    how do you beat them
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  13. 04-15-20 12:00 PM #13
    johnnyvegas13
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    U sound like a jerk talking up sim sports
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  14. 04-15-20 12:38 PM #14
    clockwise1965
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    Slow down JJ.
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  15. 04-15-20 01:01 PM #15
    raiders72001
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    You either have to run more sims than the book or figure out the fixed side to get an edge.
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  16. 04-15-20 01:19 PM #16
    jjgold
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    Some people are running the same exact simulation models and re-creating the match ups and then going off their outcomes
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  17. 04-15-20 01:21 PM #17
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by raiders72001 View Post


    You either have to run more sims than the book or figure out the fixed side to get an edge.


    raiders knows...
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  18. 04-15-20 01:25 PM #18
    asiagambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Some people are running the same exact simulation models and re-creating the match ups and then going off their outcomes
    Yes. I would imagine a hack is possible to play through the Sim instantly. Then you can have thousands of games of data
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  19. 04-15-20 01:29 PM #19
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by wakefield23 View Post
    Do you realize you can modify the sliders, right? Shit is rigged as f uck
    They show the settings before every game.
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  20. 04-15-20 01:30 PM #20
    clockwise1965
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    Rigged
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  21. 04-15-20 01:39 PM #21
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    I fukkin love the NFL games


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  22. 04-15-20 01:45 PM #22
    mrpapageorgio
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    Quote Originally Posted by asiagambler View Post
    Yes. I would imagine a hack is possible to play through the Sim instantly. Then you can have thousands of games of data
    That would be my guess. Tech person can run through the simulation thousands of times using the CPU of the console.

    One of the variables you'd have to account for is if XBox or PS4's CPU has any tendencies or bias in the calculations when running the simulation probabilities.
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  23. 04-15-20 02:31 PM #23
    Bcatswin
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    Quote Originally Posted by wakefield23 View Post
    Do you realize you can modify the sliders, right? Shit is rigged as f uck
    They show all settings with the sliders pregame. Then it does not change, you could see the pause and change if they did. Not happening.
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  24. 04-15-20 02:32 PM #24
    Bcatswin
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    I fukkin love the NFL games


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  25. 04-15-20 03:47 PM #25
    jjgold
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    Bcat has a system
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  26. 04-15-20 04:29 PM #26
    KVB
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  27. 04-15-20 05:02 PM #27
    Bcatswin
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    Good start

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  28. 04-15-20 06:36 PM #28
    jjgold
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    Bcat your hurting books
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  29. 04-15-20 06:50 PM #29
    Bcatswin
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    Chalk up another jj

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  30. 04-15-20 06:51 PM #30
    jjgold
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    Wow!
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  31. 04-15-20 06:55 PM #31
    gopolks
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    So your not talking esports here??? Just a computer simulation??
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  32. 04-15-20 07:19 PM #32
    Bcatswin
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    Esports as well.
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  33. 04-15-20 07:20 PM #33
    Bcatswin
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    Got that specifically on other threads.
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  34. 04-15-20 07:46 PM #34
    petey7979
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    Why doesn't Heritage offer the simulations? Bookmaker is my new book now
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  35. 04-15-20 07:51 PM #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    The situational edges must be massive! I'll try my sdql systems for the next couple of games.
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/s...y=15&year=2020
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