1. #71
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    QB injuries have messed with this league for years.
    Oh for sure. Especially since this is such a QB driven league.

  2. #72
    bloke
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    CFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road dogs of +4 to +13 and Home dogs between -1 and +2 that finished last season at least 2 games below .500 are 88-44-4 ATS. (Active Hamilton and Montreal this week!)

  3. #73
    KVB
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    Dogs a good bet in general for early CFL weeks. The trend is strong.

  4. #74
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Dogs a good bet in general for early CFL weeks. The trend is strong.
    And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!
    Last edited by Hngkng; 06-15-18 at 05:43 PM.

  5. #75
    Coolcanuck79
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    Definitely on Sask tonight +3!

  6. #76
    KVB
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    This is not forecast based and to keep it separate I opened a 4 pick parlay for CFL market reads.

    I took Toronto Argonauts -2.5 (-103) over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

    It's based on the line move and few other metrics we will get into.

    The open parlay at Heritage forced a price of Toronto -2.5 (-108) .


  7. #77
    KVB
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    I know there was a lot of talk about the underdog but the metrics used make the (-103) price worth the risk for me. I might have not have picked up the -108 price, had I noticed the change.

    Starting to think the -140 Toronto moneyline might have been a better bet for an open parlay.

  8. #78
    KVB
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    I just picked up Toronto Argonauts -120 LIVE over Saskatchewan Roughriders.


  9. #79
    KVB
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    It's a matter of time before Duron Carter makes his mark.

    In this game and in this season.

    Guy's a beast.

  10. #80
    KVB
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    Just picked up Toronto Argonauts LIVE +360 over Saskatchewan Roughriders.

    A glutton for punishment.

  11. #81
    KVB
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    Just missed Toronto +8.5, probably for the best. I might blow the whole early season gamble roll tonight...lol.

  12. #82
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Just picked up Toronto Argonauts LIVE +360 over Saskatchewan Roughriders...

    I just picked up Saskatchewan Roughriders -270 over Toronto Argonauts.

    Instead of a flat bet, I layed the 270 to win one unit for a free shot at .9 units on Toronto's win.

  13. #83
    KVB
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    For those two trades I risked a total of 3.7 units to either return 3.7 units with a Saskatchewan win or a return 4.6 units with a Toronto win.


  14. #84
    KVB
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    Just in time too, Saskatch driving and offense clicking.

  15. #85
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    I believe trades like this may still be available in the 4th.

    It's now -480/+330 so let's see.

  16. #86
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    I believe trades like this may still be available in the 4th.

    It's now -480/+330 so let's see.
    Now -250/+200.



    Could have +330 and -250 here.

  17. #87
    KVB
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    Now -270/+200

    The book shading the line further on the favorite.

    There is a time value to trades like this and the CFL offers some of the best opportunities because of the nature of the game. Some trades close very late because that's just how they bring it.

    The more we hit these markets, the harder it will be to keep doing it without giving more and more back on already stupid vigorish.

    Limits on the games can be an issue but you can get down all over the place.

  18. #88
    KVB
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    Toronto now +710, if they score quick that will change.

    Any takers?


  19. #89
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hngkng View Post

    And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!
    Quote Originally Posted by Coolcanuck79 View Post
    Definitely on Sask tonight +3!
    Good win guys.


  20. #90
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Good win guys.

    Thanks!

    oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.

  21. #91
    sourtwist
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hngkng View Post
    Thanks!

    oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.
    I had to PM him the name of a guy i know who knows a guy who can help him out of this mess
    Points Awarded:

    KVB gave sourtwist 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  22. #92
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by icon View Post
    Collaros burned alot of public money (including mine) when he was a Hamilton Tiger-Cat.

    Learned the hard way how horrible he could be.
    Collaros’s 12 game losing streak as a starting QB comes to an end. That ties a CFL record.

  23. #93
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hngkng View Post
    Thanks!

    oh my KVB what happened? Hope you didn’t lose too much of your bank roll.


    Just two Toronto -2.5's (one was a parlay that's no longer a parlay) and a -120 live play.

    I sold the rest back for a free shot as I started to get exposed LIVE. Funny thing is that the +8.5 I didn't buy would have paid.

  24. #94
    cankid
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hngkng View Post
    And that is why I’m taking (2.0) Saskatchewan +3.0; and (0.5) Saskatchewan win tonight!

    Nice picking wasnt sure they had enough but revenge from the playoffs, decent team playing at home as a dog got er done, congrats fellas

  25. #95
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by sourtwist View Post
    I had to PM him the name of a guy i know who knows a guy who can help him out of this mess

  26. #96
    Coolcanuck79
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Good win guys.

    Thx!!! On to the next one.

  27. #97
    Coolcanuck79
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    On BC -8 tonight. GL with all your picks today guys.

  28. #98
    icon
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    Rain and thunderstorms possible in Calgary today. Not sure if it will be an issue at kickoff but just wanted to give a heads up.

    https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca...lberta/calgary

  29. #99
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coolcanuck79 View Post
    On BC -8 tonight. GL with all your picks today guys.
    Im placing 2 units on this too.

    Also small 0.5 bet on CGY/HAM under 27.5 first half.
    Last edited by Hngkng; 06-16-18 at 05:42 PM.

  30. #100
    Coolcanuck79
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hngkng View Post
    Im placing 2 units on this too.

    Also small 0.5 bet on CGY/HAM under 27.5 first half.
    Might join you on the under 1st half. I have it at under 28 -111.

  31. #101
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coolcanuck79 View Post
    Might join you on the under 1st half. I have it at under 28 -111.
    I love the early season first half under angle. I bet it in the TOR/SSK game yesterday, but didn't post it. So won't be counting it for my record.
    https://cflpicks.weebly.com/early-1h-unders.html

  32. #102
    KVB
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    Good Luck guys, I'm watching game one for a possible reaction for the final game of week 1.

  33. #103
    Coolcanuck79
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    Good win on the 1st half under in CGY.

    Liking the 1st half over in BC. I have 24.5 -110 or 24 -133. The hook scares me a little.

    Thoughts??

  34. #104
    KVB
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    Good high line with that 28 but you're right, I think the 24-24.5 is a big jump.

    It also shows in the price.

    Personally, I'd pass if I hit the first bet today.

  35. #105
    Hngkng
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    Quote Originally Posted by Coolcanuck79 View Post
    Good win on the 1st half under in CGY.

    Liking the 1st half over in BC. I have 24.5 -110 or 24 -133. The hook scares me a little.

    Thoughts??
    I’m going to the well again with first half under. Will do Montreal/BC under 24.5 for 0.5 units.

    I got under 24.5 at 1.9 at bet 365

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