Originally Posted by
JoshKnows46
All of Ireland will be on McGregor, line has already moved from plus money to -115 on McGregor. RDA is horribly underrated and I agree the line was set based on McGregor being overvalued from the oddsmakers point of view but based on the match-up and Connors popularity, the oddsmakers didn't hit the mark to draw even action. In my personal opinion, they still havent caught up to how masterful he is in the stand-up and the mental edge he creates in his fights.
I do believe RDA wil have confidence in his chin and his striking and why shouldnt he as his chin and striking and pressure style have served him well, but McGregor hits like a light heavyweight and he's got pin point accurate ala Anderson Silva, he has brutal body kicks, perfect counter striking style vs RDA's style, and styles make match-ups.
The linemakers still havent caught up even though from their point of view they overvalued the line of a smaller guy coming up, Mendes has better wrestling then RDA and Connor had his worse training camp for that fight as he was dehydrated.
McGregor is now fighting at his correct weight class and RDA doesn't have a double leg takedown like Mendes, he needs to get in close and clinch. Connor has the reach and RDA will have to work through that, the same gameplan that worked against Pettis is a horrible gameplan against McGregor. Pettis needs space to strike, he needs a guy to respect his striking, Connor doesn't, he thrives on the counters, he moves forward in an attempt to force the other guy to throw first and then hits them with there momentum going forward, he won't need to goat RDA much, he will give McGregor what he wants.
McGregor picked the perfect time to fight RDA becuase he believes his striking is the way to win fights now and RDA will not find it as easy to take down a Connor on steak and potatoes as the better natural wrestler found out against a dehydrated McGregor...
RDA will get knocked out in this fight. Keep an open mind to this fight and don't go to big on RDA. I have Connor favored in this battle of styles, styles make fights and this is an easier fight for Connor than Edgar would be.
I personally see Mcgregor cleaning out the lightweight divison, except for maybe Tony Ferguson and that would be a intresting fight. Ferguson would match Connors reach and kabib, and GSP is in talks to come back to fight McGregor. I think that would be a bad match-up for McGregor.
I was on RDA his last 4 fights and those were good stylistic matches for him, this one is not. Pettis always loses to RDA because of how the pressure affects what he wants to do, Cerrone is always a slow starter, so while i cashed in on RDA, I don't place him as the best in the divison. Tony and Kabib can both beat RDA, and those are also the only two guys in the division i'd give a chance against McGregor, i'd have Tony at even money and Kabib favored. RDA has never fought a killer like this and I believe he will try to fight him like he fought Pettis, but Pettis is all offense. McGregor looks like he's always moving forward but he is defensive by nature in his striking attack and is always looking for an escape or a mistake to capitalize on, plus, he uses the front kick to keep a distance and always seem offensive, throws spinning kicks that are slow sometimes just to get his opponent to move forward, not really to land.
McGregor is an absolute genius inside the octagon, so be mindful to keep that in mind, McGrgeor already knows the round and how he will finish RDA, while RDA will be just trying to figure out Connor mid way through the first round, when he relizes what worked before for him, no longer works against this opp, that pressure style of striking isn't working against this guy he's bulling me now, now he starts to to go for takedowns out of desperation, and then its over before rda knows what happen, people keep making excuses for why mcgregor is winning, but they aren't watching how he's winning, he mentally fuks his opp before and during the fight, even when he gets hit with something dude has a poker face and keeps coming forward, if you are not mentally strong he wil break you in there....i believe edgar, tony, kabib, and gsp are all more mentally strong than rda, and are more likey to stick with a set gameplan, and i'm not even sure rda relizes what that gameplan is yet, till he's actually in there with mcgregor.