[newguy]

Be interesting in seeing stats on all the picks based on the people in the contest

[jjgold]

Not a bad idea

[Vegas39]

Noticed most on Notre Dame

[daneblazer]

Once they put it in google docs/excel format I should be able to do it. Too much work until then

[daneblazer]

How many entries missed the boat?

[Vegas39]

Once they put it in google docs/excel format I should be able to do it. Too much work until then

she just posted it

[daneblazer]

working on it...

[snip3r2006]

working on it...

[daneblazer]

testing format

Team	3*	2*	1*	Total
Arizona	5	2	0	7
New Mexico	8	7	17	32
BYU	7	4	4	15
Utah	5	2	5	12
Ohio	8	6	1	15
App St	2	3	4	9
SJSU	1	4	9	14
GA St	24	9	2	35
Ark St	5	2	5	12
La Tech	0	5	8	13

[Vegas39]

looks good dane

[newguy]

UnitsBet	Side
	Sat 12/19 2:00PM
19	201 Arizona -9
55	202 New Mexico +9
	Sat 12/19 3:30PM
33	203 Brigham Young +2.5
24	204 Utah -2.5
	Sat 12/19 5:30PM
37	205 Ohio +7.5
16	206 Appalachian State -7.5
	Sat 12/19 7:00PM
15	207 San Jose State -2.5
59	208 Georgia State +2.5
	Sat 12/19 9:00PM
24	209 Arkansas State +2
18	210 Louisiana Tech -2
	Mon 12/21 2:30PM
28	211 Western Kentucky -2.5
31	212 South Florida +2.5
	Tues 12/22 3:30PM
11	213 Akron +6.5
30	214 Utah State -6.5
	Tues 12/22 7:00PM
24	215 Toledo +2
45	216 Temple -2
	Wed 12/23 4:30PM
18	217 Boise State -8.5
21	218 Northern Illinois +8.5
	Wed 12/23 8:00PM
19	219 Georgia Southern +7.5
48	220 Bowling Green -7.5
	Thur 12/24 12:00PM
6	221 Middle Tennessee +3
73	222 Western Michigan -3
	Thur 12/24 8:00PM
12	223 Cincinnati -1.5
85	224 San Diego State +1.5
	Sat 12/26 11:00AM
22	225 Connecticut +4.5
27	226 Marshall -4.5
	Sat 12/26 2:00PM
14	227 Miami (FL) +2.5
35	228 Washington State -2.5
	Sat 12/26 2:20PM
11	229 Southern Miss +8.5
18	230 Washington -8.5
	Sat 12/26 3:30PM
23	231 Indiana -2
17	232 Duke +2
	Sat 12/26 5:45PM
27	233 Tulsa +13.5
8	234 Virginia Tech -13.5
	Sat 12/26 9:15PM
40	235 Nebraska +7
16	236 UCLA -7
	Mon 12/28 2:30PM
36	237 Pittsburgh +3.5
31	238 Navy -3.5
	Mon 12/28 5:00PM
16	239 Central Michigan +6
16	240 Minnesota -6
	Tues 12/29 2:00PM
23	241 Air Force +7
6	242 California -7
	Tues 12/29 5:30PM
20	243 Baylor -2
46	244 North Carolina +2
	Tues 12/29 7:30PM
6	245 Nevada +3
14	246 Colorado State -3
	Tues 12/29 9:00PM
42	247 Texas Tech +7.5
12	248 LSU -7.5
	Wed 12/30 12:00PM
44	249 Memphis +2.5
36	250 Auburn -2.5
	Wed 12/30 3:30PM
22	251 NC State +5.5
26	252 Mississippi State -5.5
	Wed 12/30 7:00PM
91	253 Louisville -1
5	254 Texas A&M +1
	Wed 12/30 10:30PM
22	255 Wisconsin +3
79	256 USC -3
	Thur 12/31 12:00PM
41	257 Houston +7.5
17	258 Florida State -7.5
	Thur 12/31 8:00PM
26	259 Michigan State +9.5
14	260 Alabama -9.5
	Thur 12/31 4:00PM
39	261 Oklahoma -4
50	262 Clemson +4
	Fri 1/1 12:00PM
22	263 Tennessee -8.5
35	264 Northwestern +8.5
	Fri 1/1 1:00PM
21	265 Florida +4.5
25	266 Michigan -4.5
	Fri 1/1 1:00PM
66	267 Notre Dame +7
29	268 Ohio State -7
	Fri 1/1 5:00PM
57	269 Iowa +7
24	270 Stanford -7
	Fri 1/1 8:30PM
13	271 Ole Miss -7.5
26	272 Oklahoma State +7.5
	Sat 1/2 12:00PM
48	273 Penn State +7
13	274 Georgia -7
	Sat 1/2 3:20PM
10	275 Kansas State +11
35	276 Arkansas -11
	Sat 1/2 6:45PM
24	277 TCU +1
27	278 Oregon -1
	Sat 1/2 10:15PM
27	279 West Virginia +1
19	280 Arizona State -1

[Vegas39]

all the people on TCU

[newguy]

Biggest differences by total units bet (all where there is at least a 30 unit difference between sides):

Louisville -1 by 86 units
SDSU +1.5 by 73 units
WesternMich -3 by 67 units
USC -3 by 57 units
Georgia State +2.5 by 44 units
Notre Dame +7 by 37 units
New Mexico +9 by 36 units
Penn State +7 by 35 units
Iowa +7 by 33 units
Texas Tech +7.5 by 30 units

[newguy]

Daner - you are working on a count right? If not I can do that but it looked like you were doing a count of total number of entries on each side

[daneblazer]

yea im almost finished. kid distracting me

[daneblazer]

Pretty sure I fukked something up here, so its not exact...but it's pretty close.

ID	Team	3*	2*	1*	Total
201	Arizona	5	2	0	7
202	New Mexico	8	7	17	32
203	BYU	7	4	4	15
204	Utah	5	2	5	12
205	Ohio	8	6	1	15
206	App St	2	3	4	9
207	SJSU	1	4	4	9
208	GA St	13	9	2	24
209	Ark St	5	2	5	12
210	La Tech	0	5	8	13
211	WKU	6	3	4	13
212	USF	4	8	3	15
213	Akron	0	4	3	7
214	Utah St	5	6	3	14
215	Toledo	4	3	6	13
216	Temple	9	5	8	22
217	Boise	4	1	4	9
218	NIU	4	3	3	10
219	Ga South	3	3	4	10
220	Bowl G	9	6	9	24
221	MTSU	0	1	4	5
222	WMU	15	11	6	32
223	Cincy	4	0	0	4
224	SDSU	14	17	9	40
225	Uconn	3	5	3	11
226	Marshall	5	5	2	12
227	Miami	2	2	4	8
228	Wazzu	4	8	7	19
229	Smiss	1	3	2	6
230	Wash	1	5	5	11
231	Indiana	5	1	6	12
232	Duke	2	3	5	10
233	Tulsa	3	5	8	16
234	VT	1	0	5	6
235	Nebraska	6	7	8	21
236	UCLA	1	5	3	9
237	Pitt	6	5	8	19
238	Navy	5	6	4	15
239	CMU	2	3	4	9
240	Minn	2	3	4	9
241	AF	3	5	4	12
242	Cal	1	0	3	4
243	Baylor	3	5	1	9
244	UNC	6	10	8	24
245	Nevada	0	1	4	5
246	Col St	1	4	3	8
247	Texas T	5	11	5	21
248	LSU	1	3	3	7
249	Mem	8	5	10	23
250	Aub	5	8	5	18
251	NCSU	4	4	2	10
252	Miss st	4	6	2	12
253	Louisville	24	7	5	36
254	TAMU	0	2	1	3
255	Wisc	5	2	3	10
256	USC	12	16	11	39
257	Houston	5	9	8	22
258	FSU	2	3	5	10
259	Mich St	3	5	7	15
260	Bama	2	2	4	8
261	OU	12	1	1	14
262	Clem	14	1	6	21
263	Tenn	2	5	6	13
264	NW	4	9	5	18
265	UF	3	1	10	14
266	Mich	4	4	5	13
267	ND	15	9	3	27
268	Ohio St	5	5	4	14
269	Iowa	10	10	7	27
270	Stanford	3	6	3	12
271	Ole Miss	1	4	2	7
272	Okla St	2	6	8	16
273	Penn St	8	8	8	24
274	UGA	3	1	2	6
275	K State	1	3	1	5
276	Ark	7	6	2	15
277	TCU	4	3	6	13
278	Oregon	3	6	6	15
279	WV	3	5	8	16
280	Az St	3	3	4	10

[daneblazer]

A&M would have been a great contrarian play. I still kinda think they win

[newguy]

Mine are still sleeping - nap about to end so trying to hurry through all this - haha - one more data point - this is the 10 games where over 75% of the total units bet on that specific game was on one side. Last year there were 18 games and they went 9-9 but started 8-5 and went 1-4 at the end. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...iscussion.html

Just data points if anyone cares

208 Georgia State +2.5

222 Western Michigan -3

224 San Diego State +1.5

233 Tulsa +13.5

241 Air Force +7

247 Texas Tech +7.5

253 Louisville -1

256 USC -3

273 Penn State +7

276 Arkansas -11

% Units	UnitsBet	Side
		Sat 12/19 2:00PM
25.7%	19	201 Arizona -9
74.3%	55	202 New Mexico +9
	36	Variance
		Sat 12/19 3:30PM
57.9%	33	203 Brigham Young +2.5
42.1%	24	204 Utah -2.5
	-9	Variance
		Sat 12/19 5:30PM
69.8%	37	205 Ohio +7.5
30.2%	16	206 Appalachian State -7.5
	-21	Variance
		Sat 12/19 7:00PM
20.3%	15	207 San Jose State -2.5
79.7%	59	208 Georgia State +2.5
	44	Variance
		Sat 12/19 9:00PM
57.1%	24	209 Arkansas State +2
42.9%	18	210 Louisiana Tech -2
	-6	Variance
		Mon 12/21 2:30PM
47.5%	28	211 Western Kentucky -2.5
52.5%	31	212 South Florida +2.5
	3	Variance
		Tues 12/22 3:30PM
26.8%	11	213 Akron +6.5
73.2%	30	214 Utah State -6.5
	19	Variance
		Tues 12/22 7:00PM
34.8%	24	215 Toledo +2
65.2%	45	216 Temple -2
	21	Variance
		Wed 12/23 4:30PM
46.2%	18	217 Boise State -8.5
53.8%	21	218 Northern Illinois +8.5
	3	Variance
		Wed 12/23 8:00PM
28.4%	19	219 Georgia Southern +7.5
71.6%	48	220 Bowling Green -7.5
	29	Variance
		Thur 12/24 12:00PM
7.6%	6	221 Middle Tennessee +3
92.4%	73	222 Western Michigan -3
	67	Variance
		Thur 12/24 8:00PM
12.4%	12	223 Cincinnati -1.5
87.6%	85	224 San Diego State +1.5
	73	Variance
		Sat 12/26 11:00AM
44.9%	22	225 Connecticut +4.5
55.1%	27	226 Marshall -4.5
	5	Variance
		Sat 12/26 2:00PM
28.6%	14	227 Miami (FL) +2.5
71.4%	35	228 Washington State -2.5
	21	Variance
		Sat 12/26 2:20PM
37.9%	11	229 Southern Miss +8.5
62.1%	18	230 Washington -8.5
	7	Variance
		Sat 12/26 3:30PM
57.5%	23	231 Indiana -2
42.5%	17	232 Duke +2
	-6	Variance
		Sat 12/26 5:45PM
77.1%	27	233 Tulsa +13.5
22.9%	8	234 Virginia Tech -13.5
	-19	Variance
		Sat 12/26 9:15PM
71.4%	40	235 Nebraska +7
28.6%	16	236 UCLA -7
	-24	Variance
		Mon 12/28 2:30PM
53.7%	36	237 Pittsburgh +3.5
46.3%	31	238 Navy -3.5
	-5	Variance
		Mon 12/28 5:00PM
50.0%	16	239 Central Michigan +6
50.0%	16	240 Minnesota -6
	0	Variance
		Tues 12/29 2:00PM
79.3%	23	241 Air Force +7
20.7%	6	242 California -7
	-17	Variance
		Tues 12/29 5:30PM
30.3%	20	243 Baylor -2
69.7%	46	244 North Carolina +2
	26	Variance
		Tues 12/29 7:30PM
30.0%	6	245 Nevada +3
70.0%	14	246 Colorado State -3
	8	Variance
		Tues 12/29 9:00PM
77.8%	42	247 Texas Tech +7.5
22.2%	12	248 LSU -7.5
	-30	Variance
		Wed 12/30 12:00PM
55.0%	44	249 Memphis +2.5
45.0%	36	250 Auburn -2.5
	-8	Variance
		Wed 12/30 3:30PM
45.8%	22	251 NC State +5.5
54.2%	26	252 Mississippi State -5.5
	4	Variance
		Wed 12/30 7:00PM
94.8%	91	253 Louisville -1
5.2%	5	254 Texas A&M +1
	-86	Variance
		Wed 12/30 10:30PM
21.8%	22	255 Wisconsin +3
78.2%	79	256 USC -3
	57	Variance
		Thur 12/31 12:00PM
70.7%	41	257 Houston +7.5
29.3%	17	258 Florida State -7.5
	-24	Variance
		Thur 12/31 8:00PM
65.0%	26	259 Michigan State +9.5
35.0%	14	260 Alabama -9.5
	-12	Variance
		Thur 12/31 4:00PM
43.8%	39	261 Oklahoma -4
56.2%	50	262 Clemson +4
	11	Variance
		Fri 1/1 12:00PM
38.6%	22	263 Tennessee -8.5
61.4%	35	264 Northwestern +8.5
	13	Variance
		Fri 1/1 1:00PM
45.7%	21	265 Florida +4.5
54.3%	25	266 Michigan -4.5
	4	Variance
		Fri 1/1 1:00PM
69.5%	66	267 Notre Dame +7
30.5%	29	268 Ohio State -7
	-37	Variance
		Fri 1/1 5:00PM
70.4%	57	269 Iowa +7
29.6%	24	270 Stanford -7
	-33	Variance
		Fri 1/1 8:30PM
33.3%	13	271 Ole Miss -7.5
66.7%	26	272 Oklahoma State +7.5
	13	Variance
		Sat 1/2 12:00PM
78.7%	48	273 Penn State +7
21.3%	13	274 Georgia -7
	-35	Variance
		Sat 1/2 3:20PM
22.2%	10	275 Kansas State +11
77.8%	35	276 Arkansas -11
	25	Variance
		Sat 1/2 6:45PM
47.1%	24	277 TCU +1
52.9%	27	278 Oregon -1
	3	Variance
		Sat 1/2 10:15PM
58.7%	27	279 West Virginia +1
41.3%	19	280 Arizona State -1
	-8	Variance

[newguy]

Pretty sure I fukked something up here, so its not exact...but it's pretty close.

ID	Team	3*	2*	1*	Total
201	Arizona	5	2	0	7
202	New Mexico	8	7	17	32
203	BYU	7	4	4	15
204	Utah	5	2	5	12
205	Ohio	8	6	1	15
206	App St	2	3	4	9
207	SJSU	1	4	9	14
208	GA St	24	9	2	35
209	Ark St	5	2	5	12
210	La Tech	0	5	8	13
211	WKU	6	3	4	13
212	USF	4	8	3	15
213	Akron	0	4	3	7
214	Utah St	5	6	3	14
215	Toledo	4	3	6	13
216	Temple	9	5	8	22
217	Boise	4	1	4	9
218	NIU	4	3	3	10
219	Ga South	3	3	4	10
220	Bowl G	9	6	9	24
221	MTSU	0	1	4	5
222	WMU	15	11	6	32
223	Cincy	4	0	0	4
224	SDSU	14	17	9	40
225	Uconn	3	5	3	11
226	Marshall	5	5	2	12
227	Miami	2	2	4	8
228	Wazzu	4	8	7	19
229	Smiss	1	3	2	6
230	Wash	1	5	5	11
231	Indiana	5	1	6	12
232	Duke	2	3	5	10
233	Tulsa	3	5	8	16
234	VT	1	0	5	6
235	Nebraska	6	7	8	21
236	UCLA	1	5	3	9
237	Pitt	6	5	8	19
238	Navy	5	6	4	15
239	CMU	2	3	4	9
240	Minn	2	3	4	9
241	AF	3	5	4	12
242	Cal	1	0	3	4
243	Baylor	3	5	1	9
244	UNC	6	10	8	24
245	Nevada	0	1	4	5
246	Col St	1	4	3	8
247	Texas T	5	11	5	21
248	LSU	1	3	3	7
249	Mem	8	5	10	23
250	Aub	5	8	5	18
251	NCSU	4	4	2	10
252	Miss st	4	6	2	12
253	Louisville	24	7	5	36
254	TAMU	0	2	1	3
255	Wisc	5	2	3	10
256	USC	12	16	11	39
257	Houston	5	9	8	22
258	FSU	2	3	5	10
259	Mich St	3	5	7	15
260	Bama	2	2	4	8
261	OU	12	1	1	14
262	Clem	14	1	6	21
263	Tenn	2	5	6	13
264	NW	4	9	5	18
265	UF	3	1	10	14
266	Mich	4	4	5	13
267	ND	15	9	3	27
268	Ohio St	5	5	4	14
269	Iowa	10	10	7	27
270	Stanford	3	6	3	12
271	Ole Miss	1	4	2	7
272	Okla St	2	6	8	16
273	Penn St	8	8	8	24
274	UGA	3	1	2	6
275	K State	1	3	1	5
276	Ark	7	6	2	15
277	TCU	4	3	6	13
278	Oregon	3	6	6	15
279	WV	3	5	8	16
280	Az St	3	3	4	10

I show 9 total entries on SJSU and 24 total entries on Georgia State otherwise everything else looks right

[daneblazer]

Bump for the night crew

[hawk 5]

Good sht. Thanks

[Vegas39]

well at least I know Stealthy and me won't be only one taking a hit if Ga State doesn't wake up

[Ralphie Halves]

I think Prediction Machine is free during Bowl Season if you want to compare/contrast records there too.

[reigle9]

Great thread, thanks.

[TheMoneyShot]

Great work!

[daneblazer]

Temple/Toledo a fairly big swing game...the rest before Christmas are a little lopsided

[reigle9]

Temple/Toledo a fairly big swing game...the rest before Christmas are a little lopsided to one side

I went through my picks and circled the swing games. Akron game is pretty big too, at least for me as I have Akron.

[Calgunner23]

Thanks for the work fellas.

[Renegades]

one game on this list I like going against the grain is Cincy. way too much love for SD St.

[reigle9]

one game on this list I like going against the grain is Cincy. way too much love for SD St.

3 point shift, have to take it.

[Renegades]

yeah SD st is favored now. Hawaii bowl is always tricky b/c some teams go there to hang by the pool and look for bikini's. not that its a bad thing but you don't want to have money on the team thinking about grass skirts. Cincy has been blown out their last two bowl games so I'm thinking Tubberville has them ready this time around. Also, I don't think SD St defense matches up well with Cincy's spread attack

[mikemca]

yeah SD st is favored now. Hawaii bowl is always tricky b/c some teams go there to hang by the pool and look for bikini's. not that its a bad thing but you don't want to have money on the team thinking about grass skirts. Cincy has been blown out their last two bowl games so I'm thinking Tubberville has them ready this time around. Also, I don't think SD St defense matches up well with Cincy's spread attack

The line move , lopsided picks , etc... is because Cincy's qb Gunner Kiel isn't playing. Cincy may still win somehow but that is like taking Cam Newton from the Panthers out or Brady from the Pats. He is a very big reason why their offense was so good.

[reigle9]

Not true. Their backup did just as well when Kiel was injured.

edit - Just looked at the stats, he didn't do as well but definitely not like taking out Cam or Brady.

[mikemca]

I think Gunner not playing is most of the reason for lopsided action. He is the general of that offense like Cam and Brady. Not saying he is anywhere near their ability.

Thanks though , it's nice to know where I can turn when looking for a definitive answer on matters of opinion.

[daneblazer]

Ucla could put a dent in a few entries tonight....

wednesday shaping up to be a big day. Three big swing games and then there's A&M and Louisville...you either have Louisville or need them to lose