1. #106
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post


    Yup and if the first one loses you pay juice.
    Quote Originally Posted by capone1899 View Post




    Jesus! Is it amateur hour here?

    Pay the juice? Are you stupid? You bet 100 to win 1200. The way I said to do it would be as follows:

    100 to win 76.92 on MSU over Oklahoma

    176.92 to win 147.43 on MSU over Ville

    324.35 to win 681.13 on MSU over Duke

    1005.48 to win 3016.44 on MSU over Kent

    MSU wins it all. You had 100 to win 3921.92 MSU. Where the F is the juice?

    Of course 100 to win 1200 sounds so much better
    I don't think these posters understand the concept of "juice" also known as the vigorish. This seems common at SBR and the world over.

    Juice is often misused as a casual way of saying you are laying odds, I think that's what's happening here.

    Like I've often said...it's not that bettors don't know things, it's just that what they know is wrong.


  2. #107
    Jayvegas420
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    This special one in particular sounds like he knows everything but knows little in reality.
    Also, I've never heard of the guy.

  3. #108
    rm18
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    Duke or Kentucky could of got upset but yes betting +1200 was a bad move

  4. #109
    Big Bear
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    Lakerboy if you still like this bet you should put some more units on it.

    Its +1400 currently at 5dimes.

  5. #110
    ZetaPsi808
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Lakerboy if you still like this bet you should put some more units on it.

    Its +1400 currently at 5dimes.

  6. #111
    ZetaPsi808
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    team wins a sweet 16 AND an elite game and their odds get worse. unreal

  7. #112
    Big Bear
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    Kentuckys odds havent changed much since the tournament started either

    went from +100 to -125 currently

    I guess they figure Kentucky hasnt done anything that wasnt expected so far

  8. #113
    ZetaPsi808
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Kentuckys odds havent changed much since the tournament started either

    went from +100 to -125 currently

    I guess they figure Kentucky hasnt done anything that wasnt expected so far
    No. before the round of 64 kentucky was +131 to win the title -146 to not win the title at pinnacle

    so yeah they went from +140ish to -120ish

  9. #114
    Big Bear
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    i got a bad number then i took kentucky to win back in early february at +105

  10. #115
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i got a bad number then i took kentucky to win back in early february at +105
    cash is cash that shit was going to win no matter what ....wisky would have to be lights out shooting to beat Kentucky and doubt dukes doing it.

  11. #116
    ZetaPsi808
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i got a bad number then i took kentucky to win back in early february at +105
    damn bro. stick to 5dimes and heritage for future bet wagers, they usually have the best lines

  12. #117
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZetaPsi808 View Post
    No. before the round of 64 kentucky was +131 to win the title -146 to not win the title at pinnacle

    so yeah they went from +140ish to -120ish
    Mich state is +820 at pinny. I got +1200. How did odds get worse?

  13. #118
    ZetaPsi808
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    regardless u got a bad line pal. i hope u win but u should be sweating a +3000 bet not a +1200 one

    gl eitherway

  14. #119
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Mich state is +820 at pinny. I got +1200. How did odds get worse?
    If you think"odds" means the payout offered, then:

    I'm going to go out on a limb with your numbers and say getting 12 to 1 is better than getting just over 8-1 odds on anything. Therefore, something paying 8 to 1 is not as good as something paying 12 to 1 odds.

    Therefore, +820 could be considered a set of "worse" odds than 12 to 1. If the payout moves from 8 to 1 towards 12 to 1, we can say the odds got better. If the payout moves from 12 to 1 to 8 to 1, we can safely say the odds got worse.

    I tried to explain it a couple of different ways.

    Now, if you consider the "odds" to be the probability of the event occurring then:

    If you are trying to say the odds of them winning get worse as the payouts rise, you may be putting too much trust in the efficiency of the markets, or you may be right. Unless you can calculate real odd less the juice yourself, you are guessing.

    Most of the time, with a house like Pinny, the payout offered is inversely tied to the probability, although rarely, if ever, are they the same number, due to vigorish.

    In other words, if the probability of success decreases, the odds of payout increase.

    So, for the sake of communication, make sure everyone is on the same page when they discuss "odds." If not, things can get a bit odd.

    The same thing occurs with corruption in meaning when the term "juice" is used to refer to laying odds, instead of the vigorish. Bettors say such ridiculous things like "there's no juice if you win" and "only losers pay the juice."

    If the absurdity of the last two quotes isn't obvious to the reader, then the sports bettor reading this may be in trouble over the long haul. Many of the most proficient handicappers end up losing money or profit due to faulty money management...and not understanding the vigorish involved can be a big, invisible, part of those losses.


  15. #120
    DOM_Toretto
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    The Tonight Show puppies picked MSU to win the tourny, so sleep easy.

  16. #121
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    im offering 14-1 in the SBR BETPOINTS subpoints forum for you Spartan fans that want to collect up to 3000 betpoints!! and a chance at a FULL refund
    on all losing wagers as well..you cant lose much on this offer!

  17. #122
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
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    Just saw a bunch of video of the MSU fans celebrating on their campus.

    Michigan State looks like a shit hole...

  18. #123
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn View Post
    Just saw a bunch of video of the MSU fans celebrating on their campus.

    Michigan State looks like a shit hole...
    It's a magical campus

  19. #124
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    It's a magical campus
    Upon further review it looks like some shitty student housing type area.

    The campus itself looks quite nice.


  20. #125
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    Yep the riots, er, celebrations take place in cedar village, "off-campus" student housing that's basically on campus but are cheap apartments not owned by the university.

  21. #126
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    Yeah the actual MSU campus is among the nicest in the country. But cedar village is shitty- lived in that area my senior year

  22. #127
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
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    Quote Originally Posted by DOM_Toretto View Post
    Yep the riots, er, celebrations take place in cedar village, "off-campus" student housing that's basically on campus but are cheap apartments not owned by the university.
    Ah yes. Exactly like I thought.

    Im not sure I saw one tree in the entire series of videos.

  23. #128
    lakerboy
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    Let's not forget that coach k will be outcoached by izzo.

  24. #129
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Let's not forget that coach k will be outcoached by izzo.
    Like he has the last 9 times they met?

  25. #130
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    Quote Originally Posted by meader99 View Post
    Like he has the last 9 times they met?
    1-2 in the tourney. Other games mean fukk all.

  26. #131
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    If you think"odds" means the payout offered, then:

    I'm going to go out on a limb with your numbers and say getting 12 to 1 is better than getting just over 8-1 odds on anything. Therefore, something paying 8 to 1 is not as good as something paying 12 to 1 odds.

    Therefore, +820 could be considered a set of "worse" odds than 12 to 1. If the payout moves from 8 to 1 towards 12 to 1, we can say the odds got better. If the payout moves from 12 to 1 to 8 to 1, we can safely say the odds got worse.

    I tried to explain it a couple of different ways.

    Now, if you consider the "odds" to be the probability of the event occurring then:

    If you are trying to say the odds of them winning get worse as the payouts rise, you may be putting too much trust in the efficiency of the markets, or you may be right. Unless you can calculate real odd less the juice yourself, you are guessing.

    Most of the time, with a house like Pinny, the payout offered is inversely tied to the probability, although rarely, if ever, are they the same number, due to vigorish.

    In other words, if the probability of success decreases, the odds of payout increase.

    So, for the sake of communication, make sure everyone is on the same page when they discuss "odds." If not, things can get a bit odd.

    The same thing occurs with corruption in meaning when the term "juice" is used to refer to laying odds, instead of the vigorish. Bettors say such ridiculous things like "there's no juice if you win" and "only losers pay the juice."

    If the absurdity of the last two quotes isn't obvious to the reader, then the sports bettor reading this may be in trouble over the long haul. Many of the most proficient handicappers end up losing money or profit due to faulty money management...and not understanding the vigorish involved can be a big, invisible, part of those losses.

    never saw someone say so much yet say so little. congrats/

  27. #132
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by GoBlue77 View Post
    never saw someone say so much yet say so little. congrats/


    I know, it's ridiculous. Clearly so many posters seem to need this type of basic explanation. Lack of communication abounds.

  28. #133
    Aye J Mac
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    Good luck lakerboy! Imma be riding MSU!!

  29. #134
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    i put 25 on msu to win 1125 beginning of tourney. Funny thing is lakerboy;if you only played that bet and only that bet if it loses your down hundy. There are a hell of alot of peoples that would love that position. penetrate them and root like hell.

  30. #135
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    Lakerboy on the verge of another milestone.

  31. #136
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    1-2 in the tourney. Other games mean fukk all.
    4 championships to 1. /thread

  32. #137
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    1-2 in the tourney. Other games mean fukk all.
    So you want to go back to a tournament game from 2000, the ONLY time Izzo has beaten Duke and disregard a game of significantly more relevance earlier this year? That explains the success, or lack thereof, of your "look at me" threads.

  33. #138
    Jayvegas420
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    Quote Originally Posted by chico2663 View Post
    i put 25 on msu to win 1125 beginning of tourney. Funny thing is lakerboy;if you only played that bet and only that bet if it loses your down hundy. There are a hell of alot of peoples that would love that position. penetrate them and root like hell.
    Exactly, rather than sweating a $3,000 bet.

    Chico gets it.

    Capone just thinks he gets it.

  34. #139
    ZetaPsi808
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    Ummmm like someone said earlier coach K is 8-1 lifetime vs izzo

  35. #140
    chico2663
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZetaPsi808 View Post
    Ummmm like someone said earlier coach K is 8-1 lifetime vs izzo
    well under that reasoning than the giants need to give the ring to patriots that year. They only beat them by 30 or more in regular season!

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