Originally Posted by
wantitall4moi
if yopu can pick winners then you dont have to worry about the line, THATS the point. The line comes into play as you said 2-3% of the time. So if you know what youre doing youre going to avoid a lot of those times anayway because theyre going to be around key numbers, so that leaves 1-1.5% of the time a game happens to land on or around a number that moved, again with minimal amount of line shopping or ability to get a line that isnt the absolute worst you once again reduce the amount the line matters.
sure to some mush who couldnt pick his ass with both hands it will maybe make them a 50-52% capper because theyre going to be 48%-50% anyway because they dont have a clue or are following people.
I have put up close to 100 opinions on the forum of those one was a game where the line mattered, and I am not even avoiding those suspect lines, I am putting up a ton of those 3 point games in the NFL, some that opened a pk and move to 2.5 and 3. How many have landed close? How about zero.
The better you are at recognizing winners the less the line matters. I think people dont understand that because they simply cant pick winners in the first place.