[lyon804]

gl dex. i am full on gb also.

[Dexter]

gl dex. i am full on gb also.

glad to hear it....

[BennyFang]

"All the data is now in front of us, so i broke down this game a few ways. First, lets look at the Steelers Wins/Losses this year. Pitt had 14 wins this year. Only 5 of those wins were vs teams > 500. Their 4 losses this year were vs the Pats, Jets, Saints, Ravens - All excellent teams. The Packers had 13 wins this year. 7 of those wins were vs teams > 500. Their 6 losses were broken out vs 3 teams > 500, and 3 < 500. However, in 2 of those losses Aaron Rodgers only played part of the game vs Det and he did not play vs the Pats."


Can't forget that the Steelers really should have lost to the Dolphins & Bills.

[Dexter]

"All the data is now in front of us, so i broke down this game a few ways. First, lets look at the Steelers Wins/Losses this year. Pitt had 14 wins this year. Only 5 of those wins were vs teams > 500. Their 4 losses this year were vs the Pats, Jets, Saints, Ravens - All excellent teams. The Packers had 13 wins this year. 7 of those wins were vs teams > 500. Their 6 losses were broken out vs 3 teams > 500, and 3 < 500. However, in 2 of those losses Aaron Rodgers only played part of the game vs Det and he did not play vs the Pats."


Can't forget that the Steelers really should have lost to the Dolphins & Bills.

i dont recall what happened there, but i dont usually buy into that kind of stuff. if they won, they found a way. resiliency is a huge part of winning teams.

[david09]

good luck Dexter..... i am on GB with you......

[Dexter]

Week 21: 1-0 (+5 units)

YTD: 98-92 (+5.8 units)

Week 22: 1-1 (+16.7 units)

Final YTD: 99-93 (+22.5)

Final Autobets:

A1: 15-22
A2: 3-2
A3: 6-5
A4: 5-3

---------------------------------------------------------

I will admit, i thought the steelers were going to make the historic come back when woodson did not come out for the 2nd half. In the end, it was simply Aaron Rodgers time. My preseason prediction of the Packers came through (too bad i didnt bet that), and they made me a lot of money in the postseason.

I pride myself on being one of the most honest cappers on this site. I documented every one of my plays (with real time lines) from week 1 through the superbowl right here in this thread. I never disappeared when i was down 30-40 units. Never did i claim winners of non posted plays. I grinded away, and stuck to the nfl angles i believe in. In the end, i finished with a cash positive nfl season winning 22.5 units. I hardly ever endzone dance when i win, though i have been known to vent on my keyboard when i lose. I never guaranteed winners - i'm a realist, and have been doing this too long to know that a couple of bad breaks could easily have made this a negative season.

You'd be hard pressed to show me 5 other cappers who had a documented winning thread from week 1 through the superbowl. You see many guys have short term success, but chances are, they had a losing thread earlier in the year and created a ghost account.

I hope that i provided some valuable insight to those who like to read information when making their own decisions. I try to do writeups when i can, as someone can always take something from a good post.

A2, A3 and A4 all made money this year, so they will be back in 2011. I am going to tweak A1 after i backtest an added filter. I also have a new system that i need to backtest as a potential A5.

It was a fun year, and i thank those who participated regularly. I love staying under the radar, and just have my core guys who provide good insight to pop in with their comments. Shout out to Juan who was a consistent contributor all year long.

See you back here in August....

[MickeyMan]

Nice finish to the year dexter I caught the end of your baseball thread last year look forward to your autoplays

[pimp s.b.n]

Wat a game

[DEGENR8]

lyon, do you have a basketball thread or do you just post anywhere?

[DEGENR8]

had to get to post 667

[Mybologne]

dex congrats on a positive season!!!!!!!!!

[fly fisher]

great win Dex, that was crazy, amazing, and frustrating and fun. what a great big win for you. I am happy for me with my small winnings and really happy for you with your big win. Ha ha, I just wish I had the balls and funds to bet 10X, still we came out winners today and I am happy.

[lyon804]

awesome work dexter.

[Pauulzcappin]

hey lyon, are you posting from jail?


congrats on the nice season dex, baseball is just around the corner

[david09]

Dexter....

[juanitodelfuego]

Thanks Dexter for all your hard work.

[CROANT]

Look forward to next season.

[tothehoop3]

Yeah Dex really appreciate all you did for everyone this season, enjoyed following you.

[mlb]

excellent and honest season .. .one of the best on sbr .. good stuff

[Dexter]

backtesting some stuff for A1 and a potential new system play over the next few weeks. will be putting my notes here...

[Dexter]

Fade a team who won the Monday night game and plays the following Sunday:

WK 1 Winners: Ravens, Chiefs
WK 2 Plays: Bengals +3 (W), Browns -3 (L)
----------------------------------------------------
WK 2 Winner: Saints
WK 3 Play: Falcons +3 (W)
-----------------------------------------------------
WK 3 Winner: Bears
WK 4 Play: Giants -3 (W)
------------------------------------------------------
WK 4 Winner: Pats
WK 5 Play: Bye
--------------------------------------------------------
WK 5 Winner: Jets
WK 6 Play: Broncos +3.5 (L)
--------------------------------------------------
WK 6 Winner: Titans
WK 7 Play: Eagles +3 (L)
-----------------------------------------
WK 7 Winner: Giants
WK 8 Play: Bye
-----------------------------------------
WK 8 Winner: Colts
WK 9 Play: Eagles -2.5 (L)
-----------------------------------------
WK 9 Winner: Steelers
WK 10 Play: Pats +4 (W)
-----------------------------------------
WK 10 Winner: Eagles
WK 11 Play: Giants +3.5 (L)
-------------------------------------
WK 11 Winner: SD
WK 12 Play: Colts -3 (L)
---------------------------------------
WK 12 Winner: SF
WK 13 Play: GB -9.5 (W)
---------------------------------------
WK 13 Winner: Pats
WK 14 Play: Bears +3 (L)
----------------------------------------
WK 14 Winners: Giants, Ravens
WK 15 Plays: Eagles +3 (W), Saints +2.5 (L)
-----------------------------------------
WK 15 Winner: Bears
WK 16 Play: Jets +2.5 (L)
------------------------------------------
WK 16 Winners: Saints, Vikings (Tue)
WK 17 Plays: Lions -3.5 (W), TB +8 (W)
------------------------------------------------------

8-9

[Dexter]

Play any team thats > 500 straight up off a straight up loss and coming off their bye week:

Week 4 Byes: Cowboys, KC, Minny, TB
Week 5 Plays: TB +7 (W)
--------------------------------------------
Week 5 Byes: Dolphins, Pats, Steelers, Seahawks
Week 6 Plays: Steelers -14 (W)
----------------------------------------------------
Week 6 Byes: Bills, Bengals, Cards, Panthers
Week 7 Plays: None
------------------------------------------------------
Week 7 Byes: Lions, Colts, Jets, Texans
Week 8 Plays: None
----------------------------------------------------
Week 8 Byes: Falcons, Bears, Browns, Giants, Eagles, Ravens
Week 9 Plays: Bears -1.5 (W), Eagles -2.5 (L)
---------------------------------------------------------
Week 9 Byes: Broncos, Titans, Rams, SF, Wash, Jax
Week 10 Plays: Titans +1 (L)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Week 10 Byes: GB, Oak, NO, SD
Week 11 Plays: None
-------------------------------------------------
3-2....easily could have been 4-1 with that Eagles debacle. will never forget that game.

[CaptainPrice]

so whats your ovr record?

[Dexter]

so whats your ovr record?

whats the question??

[StackinGreen]

You still have your doubts about me next year?

As I've said, skepticism, to a point, is healthy.

Good luck for the rest of the year, hoss. The only sport I touch right now is ... the hosses!

[Dexter]

You still have your doubts about me next year?

As I've said, skepticism, to a point, is healthy.

Good luck for the rest of the year, hoss. The only sport I touch right now is ... the hosses!

lol.....be nice to see your plays for the full year! lets kill the books together!

horses? ive got the fever lately....

[megahead05]

I got a line on GB on opener at 3.5...the line is now at -5...how does this happen?

Ticket#:752499
Sep 08 08:30 PM
Internet / -1 Apr 25 02:59 PM
NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[66002] GREEN BAY PACKERS +3½-110

50.00 / 45.45

[Dexter]

I got a line on GB on opener at 3.5...the line is now at -5...how does this happen?

Ticket#:752499
Sep 08 08:30 PM
Internet / -1 Apr 25 02:59 PM
NFL
STRAIGHT BET
[66002] GREEN BAY PACKERS +3½-110

50.00 / 45.45

you got GB +3.5 at home to the saints? thats an error....GB -5 sounds right.

i will be on the saints in that one...i always fade the superbowl winner game 1