Originally Posted by
NEP Dynasty
IMGV,
I really believe the Pats will cover this spread. They don't just want to beat teams badly. Check out Bill Simmons article on this, "The Eff You Touchdown" I think it was called.
If the Pats are up by 14 with a minute left on the Washington 10, they will try to score a touchdown. If you do decide on backing the Redskins, remember that. The 16.5 points that I am seeing is not enough.
At home, I would play the Patriots here up to 21 points. Remember, the Redskins got badly outgained by Kurt Warner and the Cardinals. While the Cardinals do have a good offense, it is a far cry from Brady and the Patriots. The Redskins defense is, IMO, above average, but I can't see it stopping the pats. I see the Patriots putting up a good deal of points here, and I don't think Jason Campbell and co. can match them here. The one thing that will be working in your favor here is a potential look ahead to the Colts.