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NFL GURU Picks thread
Greetings! I have been handicapping NFL for over a decade and will be posting my picks and analytical write ups (in some cases where I have time).
All picks will be documented and against the spread. I will typically choose between 3-5 games each week.
Good luck to all who tail
-NFL GURU
First game of the season!
current record: 0 wins 0 losses
Atlanta +2 over Philadelphia
I'll be posting Sunday picks on Friday/Saturday and hope to include write ups on why I favor a side.
First game of the season!
current record: 0 wins 0 losses
Atlanta +2 over Philadelphia
I'll be posting Sunday picks on Friday/Saturday and hope to include write ups on why I favor a side.
bump. feel confident with ATL+2 for my first pick of the season. Too many injuries on the offense side of the ball for the eagles, plus linebacker Bradham suspension is a big loss for the eagles. Let's go!Originally Posted by nflguru2018
Well, a sucky way to begin the season. Atlanta was by far the superior team although the results say differently. I won't get into the recap too much. The fact is Atlanta was inside the 6 yard line on three separate occasions and only came away with 3 points. That says it all!
Week 1 Sunday Picks (lines as of Saturday 7pm Eastern)
Cleveland +4 over Pittsburgh
Minnesota -6.5 over San Francisco
Carolina -3 over Dallas
Arizona -1 over Washington
GL to all!
Well, a pretty nice Sunday as I went 3-1 ATS. With the Vikings, Browns, and Panthers covering, while the Cardinals did not.
Add in the unfortunate Atlanta loss on TNF and I am closing out Week 1 with a 3-2 ATS RECORD.
At this point I don't have a pick on SNF nor MNF, so I'll be back for week 2 TNF!
Watch and tail!
Documented Record: 3-2 ATS
So to start off week 2: Baltimore PK over Cincinatti
I'll be back Friday/Saturday to post Sunday's card.
GL
2018 Documented Record: 3-3 ATS
Week 2 Sunday Card:
Houston -3 over Tennessee
Cleveland +9 over New Orleans
Arizona +13 Over LA Rams
Jacksonville +1 over New England
Chicago -3.5 over Seattle
GL to all!
Updated ATS record after 2 weeks: 6-5 ; 55%
I'm undecided on this week's TNF match, but will certainly have a full card for Sunday, as there's a few games I like already.
Will catch up with everyone before the Thursday Night game.
No play on tonight's game, just too much of a toss up. Be back Saturday to post Sunday's card. GL
Current 2018 Documented ATS Record: 6-5
NY giants +6 over Houston
Oakland +3 over Miami
LA Chargers +7 over LA Rams
Seattle -1.5 over Dallas
Detroit +7 over New England
GL!
Last edited by nflguru2018; 09-22-18 at 05:54 PM.
adding Jacksonville -10 over Tennessee
An unpleasant 3-3 Sunday. I thought the Raiders should have covered and that was really unfortunate. Even the Chargers had a chance a covering. They were on the 13 yard line of the Rams with less than 4 minutes remaining and could not capitalize. A TD would have gotten them within 7 points at that point.
So I am 9-8 (53%) ATS going into MNF.
I really like the Steelers to put an all around good game together and beat the Bucs in Tampa. Good veteran teams can put all the bs behind them and find a way to win.
pick: Pittsburgh PK over Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh up 30-10 at half, looks good for the W.
Bringing my documented ATS record to 10-8.
I wanted to post this now so some of you guys can take advantage of TNF early.
pick: Minnesota +6.5 over LA Rams.
I anticipate by game time itll be at +5 or so. Therefore I'm locking in Minnesota +6.5 on TNF.
GL
Good pick keep them coming
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TNF: Minnesota +6.5 over LA
I posted my play on Monday thinking the spread would go down due to sharp action. That obviously did not happen, however I'm still confident in 6.5, although 7 is obviously better.
6.5, 7, or 7.5 doesn't matter LA wins this by double digits tonight!
Unfortunately since I posted +6.5, although most probably had +7, I will have to chalk it up as a loss.
Documented Record heading into Week 4: 10-9 ATS
Chicago -3 over Tampa Bay
Oakland -3 over Cleveland
NY Giants +3.5 over New Orleans
Houston +1 over Indianapolis
MNF: Denver +4.5 over Kansas City
GL!
Solid week 4 as I went 3-1-1. In case you're wondering how I got Denver at +4.5, that's because the spread was posted Saturday and was at 4.5 at that time. So we got the benefit of the W there, while pushing on Oakland at -3 when most Sunday tickets were at 2.5.
So now that the first quarter of the NFL Regular season is in the books, NFLGURU stands at a steady 13-10-1 ATS.
TNF: New England -10 over Indy
I typically don't like betting large favorites especially with a good QB on the opposing side. However injuries on the D and O of the Colts will be too much to over come tonight. Indy may keep it close in the first half but the Pats will pull away in Q3 and Q4 and beat them by a sound margin.
New England -10 over Indianapolis
GL
Good win and cover for Pat's bringing my 2018 documented ATS record to 14-10-1 or 58%
I'll be posting Saturday for Sunday's picks.
Peace out
Documented 14-10-1 record heading into Week 5 Weekend:
Cleveland +3 over Baltimore
Ny Giants +6 Carolina
Jacksonville +3 over KC
Pittsburgh -3 over Atlanta
Minnesota +3 over Philly
MNF: Washington +6.5 over New Orleans
GL
Love the minny play, gl
Love the browns bet
Public seems to be all over the ravens but the line is not moving
im on Baltimore, caro, KC, pitt, philly, wash
Solid Sunday card by going 4-1 bringing my YTD record to 18-11-1 or 62%
Hope to finish off week 5 with MNF winner..we will see.
Tonight's spread will probably be below 6 by game time. Get your bets in now at +6 Washington is my suggestion. I locked in wash +6.5 on Saturday.
Watch for a close game with Brees pulling it out at the end.
Btw, ESPN will be hyping Brees' passing record for tonight. Yes he should eclipse it but that doesn't mean a blow out victory!
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nflguru2018 gave Jman09 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
