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its always nice to go on these huge runs. anything from 5% to 25% plays. another big sunday ahead just have to stay consistent to meet my ideal goal.
last season around this exact time i screwed up by taking the patriots. cant trust them for some odd reason. this slate is by far the most difficult card to pick from
its just all about timing. im liking the movement on these games. let the line do its magic over the week
Last edited by JayDr3am; 01-17-17 at 04:33 PM.
have a late game posted for college basketball tonight for guys that are in action. BOL
Thanks jay but i really dont watch college bball..im on sac kings tonight on my single pick...got warriors on a small parlay play. .cant wait for next round of playoffs ill be checking in my bro...Originally Posted by JayDr3am
Green Bay + the points (4 units) and 1.5 units on the money line
still leaning. but why greenbay shocka im interested.
My opinion:
Packers weak secondary scares me. I think Falcons can get more stops then the Packers. Considerin the Packers were up 21-3 then let the Cowboys back in game makes me want to take the Falcons. I don't think they will let packers get a big lead like that.
Yea right..but dont forget falcons is the same type of team when leading in the 2nd half..they done that a few times this year..remember that game saints at alanta..alanta was up 35-13 and let almost SU beat them..i think the over 60 is the play..
not a fan of the line movement.. seems like its going to jump around over the next couple days
Last edited by JayDr3am; 01-20-17 at 01:30 AM.
Atlanta is 1-6 in the post season after winning their divisional game. I watched that 1 win back in the 90's that took them to the super bowl.. Vikings choked that game away. Julio Jones is also injured but they aren't reporting a lot about it. Closer we get to gameday the more I'm leaning going 3 on the spread and 2 on the money line
Take GB, not sure about AFC game yet
Irrelevant to this year. Leaning ATL , I agree with Jay that line moving towards ATL in spite of public money tickets on GB ... why?
Reverse action... wild card weekend the road dogs were getting a ton of action and the lines kept shifting in the home teams favor.. maybe the books trying to pull a fast one? I honestly don't have an answer for you. I just don't know how anyone can trust a falcons team that let the horrid chiefs put up close to 30 on them at home.
Only theory they may be trying to use is the fact that with all the money in Green Bay , they can't move the line to GB +4 or +3.5 because everyone will pound the ATL ML. With keeping the line at -5.5 to -6, they ensure that the only value in the Green Bay side is in the ML (which isn't too likely to hit) and the ATL -5.5 or -6 which is also unlikely. ATL ML and GB + the points seem to be the most likely outcomes although the value may not be there
Good stuff. I was just saying "why?" rhetorically... like it's something to think about and watch... but your points are valid for sure, I just don't like the trends that say 1-6 post season going back to the 90's haha, hope you understand I wasn't challenging your whole post !
Also I'm seeing ATL -4 now ... Bovada -130
Last edited by 2buckluck; 01-21-17 at 05:01 PM.
Wouldn't risk my bankroll on a 1-6 trend.. still think both road dogs have more a shot to win this year than in any other years past. But if we are looking at history as a whole, make an argument as to why any Atlanta sports team can be trusted..Good stuff. I was just saying "why?" rhetorically... like it's something to think about and watch... but your points are valid for sure, I just don't like the trends that say 1-6 post season going back to the 90's haha, hope you understand I wasn't challenging your whole post !
line is now at -6. the books are trying so hard to throw everyone off. oddmakers are baiting more greenbay action they need 50/50. its probably very lopsided. atlanta wins by 10+
Green Bay punted once last time Jay and it was because of a sack on 3rd down.. I completely agree with everyone's argument taking Atlanta... but I just don't see them blowing the doors off the Pack here. A win? Definitely possible, but a blowout? That's rough to predict
10pts isnt a blowout. 14 pts isnt even a blowout.. all im saying is it will be a close game and i see atlanta pulling away. it should be a great game though. BOL
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