1. 02-14-11 06:17 PM #36
    kylehen_son
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    lol at fading the public with zero analysis of what's going to occur ON THE COURT


    I pity people that bet like that
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  2. 02-14-11 06:22 PM #37
    yurnero
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    gee guys, if i always bet on the minority when the public is heavily favored, then i am sure to become a millionaire next week RIGHT? RIGHT GUYS?
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  3. 02-14-11 06:29 PM #38
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by yurnero View Post
    gee guys, if i always bet on the minority when the public is heavily favored, then i am sure to become a millionaire next week RIGHT? RIGHT GUYS?
    You won't become a millionaire, but you have a better chance than betting WITH the public! I'm not saying the public will win tonight, but how the f\*\*k do you think vegas stays in business?!?!
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  4. 02-14-11 06:42 PM #39
    ACoochy
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    Managed to get KU early at -3.5 (-114 titanbet)....So tempted to try and middle KSU at +5 (+119 12bet) but would prefer +5.5....GL all
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  5. 02-14-11 06:50 PM #40
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Managed to get KU early at -3.5 (-114 titanbet)....So tempted to try and middle KSU at +5 (+119 12bet) but would prefer +5.5....GL all
    Ah, don't do it. I'm on KSU but if you're KU already, it doesn't make sense to try split the window at +5 or 5.5. Just ride it out and enjoy the game!
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  6. 02-14-11 06:56 PM #41
    BettingWizard
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    blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong
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  7. 02-14-11 06:59 PM #42
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong
    I would like to see those stats as well. Blindly following in either direction is a recipe for bankruptcy.
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  8. 02-14-11 07:02 PM #43
    Serbone
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong
    So being on TV changes the way the kids play?
    This makes the KU kids worse than usual, and the KSU kids better than usual?
    Or what?
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  9. 02-14-11 07:07 PM #44
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serbone View Post
    So being on TV changes the way the kids play?
    This makes the KU kids worse than usual, and the KSU kids better than usual?
    Or what?
    books are more likely to take sides (gamble) with a lot of action, IF they have good reason to. National TV games have a lot of action, of course
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  10. 02-14-11 07:16 PM #45
    GemSportsPicks
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    Dozer I really hope, your plays are more then just going against public in Marquee matchups... It is hot right now, but it will swing back to cold... I really hope you have other criteria that you look into... Cause otherwise you are in for a disaster when things swing back... Generally first 2-3 weeks of CBB are public, then next 5-6 weeks are Anti public... Then it swings back, I don't want to see you get crushed right before the tourney.
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  11. 02-14-11 07:16 PM #46
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    books are more likely to take sides (gamble) with a lot of action, IF they have good reason to. National TV games have a lot of action, of course
    So why would it be a better idea to follow public plays on national tv and have a higher chance of winning.... I'm not quite following...
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  12. 02-14-11 07:20 PM #47
    sjzoo915
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    The fact that it is going up to 6 show Vegas wants people off Kansas and onto Kansas St.........i am with you on KSU or no play but the line moving to 6 isnt a good sign as you are trying to make it seem
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  13. 02-14-11 07:23 PM #48
    warriorfan707
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    Quote Originally Posted by BettingWizard View Post
    blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong
    what is your source for this?
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  14. 02-14-11 07:31 PM #49
    GemSportsPicks
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    For the record here, I wasn't hating on Dozer, his record is very good and I wish him all the best... I too am generally antipublic player.. .And I've went on runs over the years where I hit 70% over a 300 play span... But then things turn... Even after the turn I was still ahead on paper, but the thing is when it turns bad, you start adjusting bets and switching bets, and that leads to trouble... Tonight I can't see Kansas State hanging around, but the fact that it went up to 7 kind of sucks value out of kansas... The first game they played was the biggest under ever with like 48 points at the half, then they dropped 100 in second half cause Kansas state plays no Defenese... In the first game in the first half there was alot of missed layups, I would say sstay away from the side and go with the over in this one... If you like KSTATe the only way for them to hang around is to score, therefore over is better to me.
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  15. 02-14-11 07:33 PM #50
    GemSportsPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by sjzoo915 View Post
    The fact that it is going up to 6 show Vegas wants people off Kansas and onto Kansas St.........i am with you on KSU or no play but the line moving to 6 isnt a good sign as you are trying to make it seem
    The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE
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  16. 02-14-11 07:52 PM #51
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by GemSportsPicks View Post
    The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE
    Thats odd, I would prefer the line move to +27 if I was going to go on KSU.
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  17. 02-14-11 08:49 PM #52
    3GCOVERAGE
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    Quote Originally Posted by GemSportsPicks View Post
    The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE
    No the books just knew people would take kansas at. -6.
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  18. 02-14-11 09:12 PM #53
    BettingWizard
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  19. 02-14-11 09:13 PM #54
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by kylehen_son View Post
    lol at fading the public with zero analysis of what's going to occur ON THE COURT


    I pity people that bet like that
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  20. 02-14-11 09:52 PM #55
    PRiiMO
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    well dozer you grabbed one outta the air bro. good call

    BOM BOM
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  21. 02-14-11 10:03 PM #56
    dozer
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    tick tick tick.....
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  22. 02-14-11 10:04 PM #57
    dozer
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    not even close start to finsh.
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  23. 02-14-11 10:04 PM #58
    dozer
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    grabbed out of the air....hahahaha
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  24. 02-14-11 10:10 PM #59
    xelance
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    congrats dozer, another good call.
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  25. 02-14-11 10:10 PM #60
    Balco10
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    Quote Originally Posted by LordCC View Post
    My guess is the line was very slow to start with, and thus it looked fishy. Since the public is on Kansas and it's a prime time game in Kansas St., the thinking is to side with them.

    I have heard that the books are wanting people to play Kansas, so I am not sure what I am going to do as I have been burned a few times by Kansas St. this year.
    Exactly this was a fixed game for Vegas to make a bundle!
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  26. 02-14-11 10:11 PM #61
    fishmonger
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    wish I would of seen this earlier. Went to get a late night hair cut after work.
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  27. 02-14-11 10:17 PM #62
    EDDIE MONEY LINE
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    hahahaha love the title of this thread....Let's cash that K state money!!!


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  28. 02-14-11 11:00 PM #63
    EasyHustlin
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    Congrats on the win. Pullen shot the lights out and had a great game. I've never seen Ku play so flat in my life.
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  29. 02-14-11 11:03 PM #64
    Gonad
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    Dozer, in the strictest form of hetero possible, I love you...
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  30. 02-14-11 11:12 PM #65
    pacocn
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    dozer, the only thing lower than my iq is my
    bankroll, i took a beating on kansas tonight
    i am a believer
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  31. 02-14-11 11:16 PM #66
    dozer
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    Throw me some points gonad you got over 4g
    Points Awarded:

    ncsubowen gave dozer 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  32. 02-14-11 11:17 PM #67
    dozer
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    Yah, me too. They are called winners
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  33. 02-14-11 11:36 PM #68
    Rob7168
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    mmmm,,gotta agree there....Kst. picks the GAME of games,,to come out and control,,,,makes you wonder,, did Vegas pull a "Runner"????.............
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  34. 02-14-11 11:50 PM #69
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    I like K-State to cover. They might even win the game.
    to K-State backers. I love how people that were betting on KU with the public called us K-State backers idiots even though we had legit reasons for our pick.

    Vegas doesn't like giving out money for free people. If a line looks way too easy, it usually isn't. K-State has talent and was at home in a game they had to have. I'm not surprised they knocked off their rival tonight. Getting 7 in a game like this was a gift.
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