Originally Posted by
2daBank
12/18
SMU -7.5... mustangs have been incredible at home for some time now, this squad has lost a grand total of 4 home games since 2014!! Their last home loss was '16, I counted 29ish wins in a row for them since that loss!!! Even more impressive those losses came against mostly all top flight teams, they don't let lessor teams beat them in their gym.,
Boise a solid squad but don't think they have what it takes to be the ones to knock smu off in their gym. Broncos very 3 point reliant, there been a few outliars but in mustangs games vs top flight comp they have held teams below their season averages from behind the arc and I suspect they will do the same here as they really lock teams down at home. The reason I'm ok laying the points here is simple, turnovers! Mustangs among the best in the country creating them at 25.1% good for 10th in nation and Boise struggles in that regard turning it over on 20% of their possessions. Smu is not deep but the guys they play are very diverse, they good passers and all 5 starters have offensive ratings if 113 or better. Broncos defense been very solid but this will be their biggest challenge to date by a fairly wide margin imo. I like the mustangs by 10-12 points.