1. #2906
    Nino7
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    Quote Originally Posted by thelimit0310 View Post
    Underperforming based on the backtests, but a few systems are underperforming this year.
    I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

  2. #2907
    Riceboi
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nino7 View Post
    I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.

    definitely agree.

  3. #2908
    Huego
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nino7 View Post
    I think the amount of systems players and the amount of money we place on our teams are a part of the reason the systems underperform.The last lost serie was decided by 1 point on both C and D games.
    I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.

  4. #2909
    Riceboi
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    Quote Originally Posted by Huego View Post
    I really doubt that. it take more $ than u think to influence lines.
    not out of the question. this thread has like almost 250k views, not sure how it counts the views, but that's a lot

  5. #2910
    Stifler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
    21.01.2013

    S3

    (B Bet) Char: Charlotte +2 1,10u | Charlotte +7 2,31u
    (A Bet) Ind fade: Memphis -6 1,10u

    S4

    (A Bet) Chic fade: Lakers +2 1,10u
    (A Bet) Mem fade: Indiana +6 1,10u

    records:
    S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
    S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
    S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
    S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

    pending:
    - S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
    - S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013


    ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

    all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
    Points Awarded:

    pentaguard gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  6. #2911
    miczz14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stifler View Post
    records:
    S1: W 40 | L 2 (+ 3,10 units)
    S2: W 20 | L 0 (+20,00 units)
    S3: W 11 | L 0 (+11,00 units)
    S4: W 33 | L 1 (+16,55 units)

    pending:
    - S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S1 Den fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Tor fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Dal fade, B Bet on 25.01.2013
    - S3 Ind fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    - S4 Chic fade, B Bet on 23.01.2013
    i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

    what am i missing? im new btw..

  7. #2912
    Nino7
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    Quote Originally Posted by miczz14 View Post
    i dont understand, the S3 has 2 red which means S3 has 2 lost but in your records it is still W:11 L:0?

    what am i missing? im new btw..
    It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.

  8. #2913
    miczz14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nino7 View Post
    It's a 4 games chase means you raise your bet size up to 4 times to recover + profit.A serie isnt lost as long as 1 out of 4 bet is won.
    so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?

  9. #2914
    samcro1
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    when you win the first game the chase is done. read post #1586. why dont you people ever listen to stifler

  10. #2915
    Grinder12000
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    Relax - everybody is new at some point.

  11. #2916
    miczz14
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    ic now.. one last question though, the last S2 series was on page 82 which is a WIN and stifler is B betting on 01-22-13, where did the A bet go? why did he jump on B bet?

  12. #2917
    Grinder12000
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    Pretty sure your number is wrong.
    Well - Stifler has 50.65 ?? So I'm 4 over Stifler.

    A few weeks ago I went through every post by Stifler and compiled. I personally have less with one more "D" loss then most people but I've won chases sooner then a few also.

    Everybody has different numbers.

  13. #2918
    miczz14
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    -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

    does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
    Last edited by miczz14; 01-22-13 at 06:27 AM. Reason: z

  14. #2919
    yelohell
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    Quote Originally Posted by miczz14 View Post
    -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

    does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
    You got that right sir!
    Cle fade, meaning bos is the play
    and orl for tom.

  15. #2920
    slashfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by miczz14 View Post
    -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

    does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!
    fade means you bet on the opposite team. so since it's Cle Fade, bet on Boston.

  16. #2921
    Grinder12000
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    A personal whine.

    Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team! MAN - they are like fingernails on a chalkboard. It's like every system FADE play ends up playing the Lakers. AAAAHHHHHH!!!

    I'm going to go back and look at every team we have played and look at their record.

  17. #2922
    jmdb91011
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    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...

  18. #2923
    Nino7
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    Quote Originally Posted by jmdb91011 View Post
    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
    It's not about winning every games, it's about being statistically in the black over the long run.Just play every games like they come and you will make money.$$$

  19. #2924
    Ji-a
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post
    Why is it the Lakers are not on any "Play" list and we keep playing this hell hole of a team!
    I've actually played Lakers in all four systems for about two months now and I'm 7-0 with them alone, only one chase has gone to C bet. They sure are a train wreck this season. Loving it!

  20. #2925
    slashfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by jmdb91011 View Post
    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
    Read what's a 4-game chase first and the rules of this system before reacting.

  21. #2926
    thes0vereign
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    Quote Originally Posted by jmdb91011 View Post
    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
    How much do you charge for your picks bro? You must be sharp.

  22. #2927
    Stifler
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    22.01.2013

    S2

    (B Bet) Orl: Orlando +2 1,10u | Orlando +5,5 2,31u
    (B Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u



    ________________________________________ ________________________________________

    all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
    Points Awarded:

    laca07 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    vigster gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    TB12 gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    itsjhurley gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    ColdBeerHere gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    BuckeyeKaptn gave Stifler 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nino7 gave Stifler 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  23. #2928
    ColdBeerHere
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    Quote Originally Posted by jmdb91011 View Post
    Boston and Orlando???!!! This guys nuts. Hands down Cavs cover and Detroit will cover as well...
    You are obviously a newb when it comes to betting.....You have no clue what a chase system is.....Now run along and go make your bets....

    Oh, and please start a thread with all your winning picks since you claim you have winners....The rest of the forum would like to see your picks.

  24. #2929
    parlay100
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    Quote Originally Posted by miczz14 View Post
    -S2 Cle fade, B Bet on 22.01.2013
    - S2 Orl, B Bet on 22.01.2013

    does this mean i should bet on cle and orl on that date? im confused on your meaning of fade.. helps are appreciated tyvm!

    READ THE PAST POSTS FOR penetrate SAKE

  25. #2930
    cubfan2121
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    Quote Originally Posted by miczz14 View Post
    so what if out of that 4 games, you only won the 1st game the next 3 is a lose so there will be no profit?
    .....
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-14-15 at 10:38 AM. Reason: image does not exist
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Light68

  26. #2931
    thelimit0310
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post

    Everybody has different numbers.
    That may be true but from an official standpoint the system is underperforming compared to the backtests, which was the original point being made by Nino and another here. I'm guessing you were lucky enough to dodge the Covers official Orlando loss to be up that amount.

  27. #2932
    cind3r
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    Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

    Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

    Thanks.

  28. #2933
    Nino7
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    Quote Originally Posted by cind3r View Post
    Hey. Just joined. Hope I won't get flamed for asking a question that (probably) has been asked million times before (and yes, I read post on page 46 and sort of understand the concept).

    Question, since I just joined, could I simply follow todays picks with the same unit amount and continue every pick after that, or do I have to wait for a new chase to start?

    Thanks.
    I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.

  29. #2934
    Grinder12000
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    I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again

  30. #2935
    Nino7
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    edit

  31. #2936
    cind3r
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nino7 View Post
    I would start now @1,1 to win 1 on all the plays but its up to you:you can pretend you started the chases on G1s and simply bet the same amount as we do.The risk/reward ratio is the same.
    Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.


    Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.

  32. #2937
    Teamprofit101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grinder12000 View Post
    I'm just keeping track of what Stifled posted for the system. He has 50+. I had it at 54. I'll go over every pick again
    Grinder, Do you have this all in a spreadsheet? Can you easily look up how many points we lose by on average on our losses?

    Damn i don't think i made sense lol

    I remember you spoke about buying a half point, I wanted to see if it's worth buying a full point or 1.5 points.

  33. #2938
    thes0vereign
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    Quote Originally Posted by cind3r View Post
    Alright, thanks! Will probably start todays B Bets as A Bets instead then, and continue onward.


    Also, one more question for Stifler, or somebody else if they know the answer. From what I understand, Stifler doesn't bet real money himself on this system. Why not? Since he has proven year after year that this is a winning concept, I don't see why not.. just being curious, don't really need an answer.
    Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.

  34. #2939
    cind3r
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    Quote Originally Posted by thes0vereign View Post
    Stifler plays real money on the system, he doesn't play much else though.
    Oh okay, I guess I misread previously. Thanks for clearing that up!

  35. #2940
    Valand
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    Iv been trying to find which dates they three losses or they three wins are for Orl, Cle. Then I divided them into home and away. When I looked at the schedule Orlando lost from dec 21 th until jan 9th. If they should have Lost then have you just started a new series. But you say Orlando is going to Win? Havent the already won against indian and clippers or didn't the cover?

    Clev lost recently three consecutive losses but you didn't start your chase their becuase of the atlanta game is the A bet? I just dont get how I should count wich three dates do you count from on both of this teams. The three games Lost or won does it only count if it's three away games or is it like wallco's system any?

    This is not my native tounge

    Hope it's understandable

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