liking anything on the late game?
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12-03-12 08:59 PM #176
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12-03-12 09:08 PM #177
lookin solid bro. reeeeaaaaal solid.
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12-03-12 09:09 PM #178
Originally Posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
gs orl under.
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12-03-12 10:11 PM #179
Wow lol I just looked at the closing lines. I don't really look at closing lines for sides too much since there isn't too much movement. But man did I get DESTROYED by this Orlando GS line. Wow. No words.
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12-03-12 11:51 PM #180
LOL i guess i deserve that last loss since i completely miss guessed that line movement. Lo and behold, i lose only because i didn't get the right line.
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12-03-12 11:52 PM #181
hey good night man!... gs under was SO close! all good.
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12-04-12 01:25 AM #182
Great night tonight. I felt like I was never going to have a good night when I had multiple unit bets. Finally I had a night like this. As well as I did though, still not happy with how I capped the Warriors game. I lost that play specifically because I missed the final closing line. Closing line ended at 197 and I lost it at 195.5 to a final score of 196. Lol this doesn't happen often but when it does, it just reminds you how important it is to beat the closing line and have +ev plays. Oh well, we learn from our losses and we move on. Keep on grinding it out. Aiming for +30 by the end of this upcoming week. Good luck everyone.
5-1 (Units 10.2-1)
+9.15 units
YTD 88-58-5 (Units 112.2-79-7)
+26.47 units
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12-04-12 01:43 AM #183
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12-04-12 01:46 AM #184
12/4/12
Chicago/Indiana under 180 1x
LA Lakers -2 1x
This is a pure LTA play lol. Chicago and Indiana are tied for 2nd in def eff. They're in the bottom half of the league in off eff (19th, 29th). Both are in the bottom half of the league in pace (20th and 26th). I originally thought that Chicago would try to push the tempo a little bit without derrick rose. That's exactly what they did last year. From what I remember, they averaged more points without Rose than with. However, Thibs has stuck to his defensive mentality so I don't see how this game gets out of the 170s. If this was later in the year, this game would be set at 177 easily but the books know that things have been running a little on the high side of late. If this gets hit higher, I'll add to this play.
Lakers -2
I always like to back to the Lakers after coming off an embarrassing loss especially this season. The Lakers play much better against poor defensive teams and high paced teams. Although Houston traditionally gives the Lakers problems, this is a completely new line up for Houston. Houston has no bruisers in the paint so Gasol should fare fine. Even though the Lakers are struggling with the pick n roll like always, I don't see them having trouble against Lin. They will however get torched by Harden but it won't be enough. I don't trust the Houston bigs enough to believe that the Lakers can't trap Harden off the pick n roll and force him to pass out to shooters and rotate the defense. This is an interesting game for sure but I think this game is no different than the Lakers v Denver and the Lakers v Dallas. They have trouble against teams that play great team ball and team defense (Indiana and Orlando).
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12-04-12 03:26 PM #185
Chicago/Indiana under 180.5 1x
Sharp books juicing the under and public books move it to 180.5 on the lowest total on the card? Lol, I'll take the under every time, much less an under I had already capped. If I lose, I lose, but this is the right play in my opinion. Good luck everyone.
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12-04-12 07:18 PM #186
Heat -11 2H 1x
I can't not play this lol.
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12-04-12 10:11 PM #187
you'd almost have to play Chicago team total over if its above 100 next.
or is it if a team scores less than 70 not less than 80 AND gets embarrassed?
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12-04-12 10:12 PM #188
Oh well, action bet put me at even today. I still would make that bet if given the chance. The Heat missed a lot of three pointers that would've completely changed that game in the final 4-5 minutes. Sometimes it just doesn't work out. As for the Lakers, I made the wrong play. Not to say I should've played Houston, I think it should've been a no play with so many question marks about the Lakers. Not to mention I was heavily leaning Memphis under and almost locked it in last night but talked myself out of it. Glad I did because I would've been pissed tonight about the OT. Almost happened in Chicago actually. Anyway, any night I avoid big losses, I can live with. Looking for a positive day tomorrow with a big card. Good luck all.
1-2 (Units 2-2)
-0.1 units
YTD 88-58-5 (Units 112.2-79-7)
+26.37 units
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12-04-12 10:14 PM #189
If you're referring to the autoplay, it's play on the team favored by 5 or more coming off a game of 80 or less. A Chicago play is possible if they open at 5 point favorites at Cleveland but I don't think it's likely. We'll see Originally Posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
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12-04-12 10:15 PM #190
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12-05-12 02:26 AM #191
12/5/12
San Antonio Milwaukee over 197.5 2x
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12-05-12 12:33 PM #192
Lakers is an A4 play today but I will probably wait a little bit for the line to dip. 194 would be perfect but doubtful.
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12-05-12 12:40 PM #193
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12-05-12 01:13 PM #194
Just kidding. Lakers closed as a dog yesterday so they do not qualify as an A4. I may still have a play on that game later though. Originally Posted by wguan2
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12-05-12 01:57 PM #195
Originally Posted by wguan2
woah, i only see it at 200.
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12-05-12 05:23 PM #196
Originally Posted by wguan2
Chicago/Cleveland over 184 1x Originally Posted by wguan2
I think Chicago relaxes their defense today coming off the defensive struggle vs Indiana yesterday. Usually teams come off a defensive struggle and end up playing more open the next game. Also the b2b should keep them from having the legs to play tough d on the road. Cleveland is also one of the worst defensive efficiency teams. The only thing I am worried about in this game is Cleveland's inability to score but I do think Chicago should come close to 100 in this game which gives us a good chance to go over the low total of 184.
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12-05-12 05:38 PM #197
Added 1x to Denver +2
Boston -5.5 1x
Also will lock in Lakers -4.5 1x when my book finally moves the damn line down
Also will lock in Boston ml/Lakers ml parlay risk 2x I'll post the odds when I get it
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12-05-12 06:03 PM #198
Oh shit that Cleveland line just plummeted. I suck.
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12-05-12 06:19 PM #199
Line won't move so I'm just going to lock it in before I leave the office. Frustrating but it is what it is.
Boston ML/Lakers ML parlay +1.06 2x
Lakers -5 1x
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12-05-12 06:27 PM #200
gl mate on a lot of similar plays, hope we have a brilliant day
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12-05-12 06:33 PM #201
Atlanta wins by 12..
Denver will be in foul trouble throughout the game and rely on too many jump shots
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12-05-12 07:11 PM #202
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12-05-12 07:11 PM #203
Good luck on your plays Originally Posted by fastball00
Atlanta wins by 12..
Denver will be in foul trouble throughout the game and rely on too many jump shots
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12-05-12 07:43 PM #204
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12-05-12 07:51 PM #205
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12-05-12 07:59 PM #206
Thanks bud -- saw an advantage an I took it..
Keep up the good work -- your record is respectable!
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12-05-12 08:13 PM #207
If you see these angles, let me know before the game starts! Haha, even better, before I bet the game. Hahahah still a close game though but you were right about foul trouble. The lack of rebounding is what is surprising me though. Originally Posted by fastball00
Thanks bud -- saw an advantage an I took it..
Keep up the good work -- your record is respectable!
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12-05-12 09:07 PM #208
GameDate User / Phone Date Placed Sport Description Risk Win ticket#68983533
Dec 05 08:41 PM
Internet 12/05/2012 09:07 AM NBA straight bet
[515] TOTAL O198-110
(MILWAUKEE BUCKS Vrs SAN ANTONIO SPURS)
275.00 250.00 ticket#690533636
Dec 05 08:11 PM
Internet 12/05/2012 06:37 PM NBA straight bet
[508] ATLANTA HAWKS -2-110
1100.00 1000.00 ticket#6905383
Dec 05 08:11 PM
Internet 12/05/2012 06:38 PM NBA straight bet
[508] ATLANTA HAWKS -130
650.00 500.00 ticket#6930939
Dec 05 08:10 PM
Internet 12/05/2012 08:04 PM NBA straight bet
[1508] 1H ATLANTA HAWKS -1-105
525.00 500.00 500.00 WIN
WIN
Hey no prob.. I am sure I will talk too you soon
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12-05-12 09:36 PM #209
Nice hit buddy. Glad one of us made good money! That's all it's about. Originally Posted by fastball00
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12-05-12 10:01 PM #210
6-3 (Units 8.1-4)
+3.85 Units
YTD 94-61-5 (Units 120.3-79-7)
+30.22 units
Early end to the night which is AWESOME. Lol, I will take ANY night where I am up and done before the last game so I don't have to sweat anything out. Charlotte is playing really well right now but it may be like Dex said, NY is looking ahead.
My prediction for the Chi/Cle game came true... except it happened only in the second half. Cleveland could not score and Chicago was playing great defense. Then they lost their legs in the second half and things opened up. We still came close even with an 80 point first half. No problem, that's why it was a 1 unit play and you can't win them all.
Great day though. I think I made the right plays other than impulsively taking the Chi/Cle play at the peak of its total. But still, I knew SA/Milw would move to 200 by morning and I was right. Not only that but it closed at 202.5
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