[africanroller]

Missouri down to -11.5 at some books with still 67% of the public on them. Mizzou should win this game by 21 so I think I have to go with NW because with this movement, Sutton must be playing.

[Dexter]

Missouri down to -11.5 at some books with still 67% of the public on them. Mizzou should win this game by 21 so I think I have to go with NW because with this movement, Sutton must be playing.

i totally agree - reverse line movement in full affect here. I hate going Big Ten>Big 12, but i also played the over just in case Mizzou goes wild.

[africanroller]

Sportsbook still had it at +12.5 so I took NW for a small wager

[africanroller]

Ok I am looking at making a monster play early. Ravens -3 against the Dolphins. No freaking way the Dolphins win this game or even make it close. I am sorry but those trick plays are not going to work against that Ravens D.

[Dexter]

ncstate vs rutgers-

the more i think about this game, rutgers is not going to have a problem scoring today. teel has been locked in lately, and the 95th ranked pass defense is not going to stop him. ncstate should be able to put up 21-28 pts themselves. the weather is 60 degress with no wind, so im now going high (hope my slow day at work doesnt come back to haunt me

*over*

final early play-

over rutgers 57

[cocknocker]

SlicWilly,

Is that college basketball? I just took some junk and threw together a $25.00 parlay, if it hits good if not so what. Baylor-13, Tennessee-27, Memphis-13, College of Charleston+4.5

[cocknocker]

Rutgers it is. They should win by almost two touchdowns! Peanuts, baby!

[jglo2576]

Being in Big 10 Country, I would caution everyone on NW. Sutton might be playing, but that D has not seen speed like that all year. Nor have they seen a QB of that caliber all year. Albeit, Daniels is no longer considered a top tier QB. NW can and will put up points, but they will have to match Mizz TD for TD ... not going to happen.

NW backers, answer me this ... what Offense have they faced that is anything close to Mizz? Bucks? This is going to be a 21-28 point W for Big 12. GL to everyone ... JMO.

[africanroller]

The reason I am backing NW is because they actually want to be there. Mizzou hasnt been the same over the last few weeks and I dont think they really care.

[Dexter]

The reason I am backing NW is because they actually want to be there. Mizzou hasnt been the same over the last few weeks and I dont think they really care.

yup, that + the reverse line movement is what has me in the dogs corner. though i'm fully aware that daniels can turn this into a video game score inside the dome - thus going high as well.

[jglo2576]

Aroller,
I see your point and it's tough to argue. But .............NM hasn't played a game in over a month. Not like they are used to being in a bowl game and know the drill. I see a slow start ... nerves, rust and before they know it, 21-0 Mizz. I see a 48-31 final.

[africanroller]

I may be on the wrong side of the fence with Rutgers and NW today but I havnt hit either big. I think they are both a coin flip. I wanted to hit Mizzou big but somthing isnt right.

[jglo2576]

yup, that + the reverse line movement is what has me in the dogs corner. though i'm fully aware that daniels can turn this into a video game score inside the dome - thus going high as well.

There was reverse line movement on Buffalo yesterday, too. I don't know that I buy that in every situation.

[jglo2576]

Hey CK, I know your play on Minn. Aside from Twolves, what's the better NBA play tonight ... Orlando -3 or Suns -9 or BOTH? Your input is appriciated, thanks.

[Dexter]

There was reverse line movement on Buffalo yesterday, too. I don't know that I buy that in every situation.

your right, there was and that didnt work out for buffalo backers. to me it makes sense that *smart* money is coming in on the dog when you see the public % on the fav so heavily. i'll always cap the game first (as i did with picking ne) but if i dont like either side, i'll then take a look at the movement. i didnt like the way mizzou closed the season out, but couldnt make a case for nwestern as is. The movement in the game is really why i'm on dog, but by no means am i going large on the play. just a normal size wager...good luck..

[nonsense48]

i just locked-in rut-6' for 2 dimes. we shall soon see.

[cocknocker]

jglo2576

I can't remember the last time that Detroit was a home dog... Orlando...Hell no! Phoenix is favored by 9 on the road? Double hell no!

[jglo2576]

thanks for the input ...

[nonsense48]

my local has minn-2. if it drops to -1' i'm on them. if it goes to -2'-3 i go with mem.

[nonsense48]

ck, u say don't take minn. @ more than -1'?

[shoebox]

my local has minn-2. if it drops to -1' i'm on them. if it goes to -2'-3 i go with mem.

Nonsense,

If you like money $$$$$$$$ DONT go against a pc play your setting yourself up for empty pockets.......

[nonsense48]

Nonsense,

If you like money $$$$$$$$ DONT go against a pc play your setting yourself up for empty pockets.......

but the pc players got minn @ -1'. how high do u let your local book go? mine is at -2 now.

[cocknocker]

The line with the T-Wolves will fall. It's supposed to. The public loves the Grizzlies. I would not take the T-Wolves if it goes to 3.5 or 4, which won't happen because as i said the public LOVES Memphis

[Dfjay9]

Rutgers and the under for me right now.

gl boys

[leopoldim86]

wait CK Minn -1.5 is the play rite?

[Dfjay9]

CK - What %age of your bankroll would you advise dropping on PC plays? All the same? Some more than others? Where does this one rank?

[cocknocker]

I have the consensus at Memphis 58%, Minnesota 42% and by gametime, I look for the T-Wolves to be an even greater minority and for the line to go to Minnesota-1 or 1.5.

[Dexter]

the wolves line is not going above 3 - i had my line at 2, and as ck said - the public is all over memphis at 72%. if you see this line go up, then you know the circle hit it hard

[cocknocker]

I put no less than 3 dimes on a PC Play. And yes Minnesota -1.5 is the target number we are looking for. If the line gets to the number of 1.5, pull the trigger. If 2 is as low as it goes, then buy a hook and pound it at 1.5 anyway. But i am almost 100% that the line will drop to 1.5 with ease at this rate with the consensus and all.Especially after the squares read the ats historyof this situation and pound Memphis.

[nonsense48]

ck, are u locked-in on minn and if so at what spread? never mind...see above

[nonsense48]

dex, rut and over for u or just the over?

[Dexter]

dex, rut and over for u or just the over?

just the over 57

[chipper8888]

Love the Bulls tonight, but that Minny pick I just dont know about that one...I know its a PC play so full respect to you on that but if I play it, its gonna be small for me
Good luck to all

[Dexter]

rutgers went on 4th and goal from the 6?? ok...

[nonsense48]

anyone on balt. to bury miami this wkend?