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It's funny you mentioned this game. I was having problems deciding on this game. I was ready to take Ole Miss +4 early this morning too, but the line has been jumping all over the place for a while. I've decided to stay away from this game.Originally Posted by shoebox
is it me or is the pistons line a little fishy, there only -1! in charlotte .. they come out of the gates strong so i might take them for the 1st half .. but i think -1 is way to low for the game, i dont think raja and diaw are going to make that big of a difference .. and yes the bobcats are home but theres usually only 200 fans there every night its almost like running a scrimmage in practice so the crowd will be a no factor
Like the hoyas as well, playing solid defense as of late
CK im suprised you havent taken a look at UCLA playing depaul. Depaul is just
outright terrible, I would not be suprised if UCLA wins this one by 30 with 16.5 im going with UCLA.
CLE is now at -4.5; strange, I expected the line would go up ?
Also losses yesterday as most of the people here, but the days before were very good, so no worry.
CLE covered their spread 10 games in a row. I used to play them till yesterday, because I thought they would have probs without Ilgauskas, but the bench played very well.
So I won't play against CLE anymore, neither against BOS at home. The only big team I bet against are the LAL, last games they hardly can cover the spread.
For today I won't play that many games, I will pick a few
CLE -4.5
DET - 2 (DET is playing bad and can't cover the spread the last game, but think one game they will play at normal and cover the spread easy. I think they will win at WAS)
DAL -12 : Okc is a weak team and DAL playing better last weeks.
ORL @ UTA : I read that Howard might play, not sure yet. Playing or not playing is a huge difference ... UTA very strong at home, but ORL a very good road team.
HOU @ LAC : since randolph playing for the clippers they won 2 of the last 3 games. But HOU is a strong team. I think Clippers have a chance
I will come back later. First will watch NACC game tenesse which I have TEN -7. I also have Butl @ Ohio state over 121. Together they averaging 130, so think 121 would be no problem.
Spoon,
Betting on New Mexico is one of the trends that I like to do personally.
No matter what year or what coach Bliss,Mckay, Mr Indiana they just only seem to play up to there competition and I have been cashing on this team for years
Hey CK
Williebob here! Just letting u know im still hanging around. I'd post more if i knew anything about basketball!!! Thats why i follow u around!! ha ha.
I just decided to come om here and let everyone know that Ck is the best at what he does. And if you learn to manage your money you will win. Thats the only way to ride out cold streak.
Now Ck i was looking at the Orl/utah game and seen brewer was going to be out because of death in the family. Does this make Orlando a strong play.
Just to let u know i passed on detriot last night but really loving them tonight for some strange reason.
Any input would be great thanks!!
wondered how long it would take before the negativity started to roll in- if u cant afford to lose dont bet and dont come into the forum
This Cleavland line scares the life out of me i would have more comfort betting it at -8 than -4 so will take a pass
like utah to get the job done at home tonight, will follow the Knicks play and wish everyone a good night and plenty of luck
Ok, now I'm worried...what happened that it dropped 2 entire points to -4? Is there any injurys we don't know about or is it the large amounts of cash put on Atlanta by sharpies? If it's the latter then I'm not too worried.
I just want to comment on what CK posted above. I also do not like the fact that right after games ended last night people came in the thread pointing fingers. CK has been generous to help people pick winners and if you do not like the advice you dont have to take it.
The problem is people blindly take his picks and when they lose they throw stones. You havnt done any research or giving any input so for many you have no reason why you even took that game. Anyone who follows another mans picks blindy will get angry and most likely get buried in the long wrong.
I use the advice in this thread to go along with the knowledge I already have. I dont believe you should ever change your pick just because someone else likes the other team unless their is very sound advice behind it. CK has said to go against the Mean Green the last two days but I did not take that advice because I am a Celtics fan and I never bet against them. If he won those two games I wouldnt be mad because thats my philosophy.
Again please have some opinions wehn you post in this thread. The last two days it has become what about this play and what about that play. If you want an answer you should at least post why you are leaning one way or the other.
Finally stop bashing. If you take the advice and place your wager and its a loser. Dont come back and start blaming people. Thats ridiculous!!!!
Now lets go out there and beat the bookies today.
I agree, DET will win this, maybe it will be an easy win. I wish I passed on detroit too last night
I agree, I took the cavs -4 big, plus the Jazz and Cavs teaser. Collegehoops.. Tenn -7.5, ohio st. -8 and I love The orangemen at -17.5.... Lets cash these plays!!
CK, huge game at noon: Ohio St against Butler. This is a huge revenge game for Bucks. I predict something like 65-45 to Ohio St.
Also Tenn looks good against the Temple. Temple's victory over Penn St. missleading a lot of bettors because Penn team is very weak this season.
GL.
same here
11/22/2005 Tue BUTLR 69 OHIOS 79
Agreed CK does not have to do this fellas be lucky that hes here. I was getting irratated yesterday by the negativity
The thing about Cleveland is asking yourself, did they really play that well yesterday or did they win cause philly pretty much sucks?
my man CK, i was looking around and i noticed the warriors are +14.5 in denver .. i think thats too many points for a warriors team who executes offense as good as anyone, and the nuggets are rolling with chauncey lately but they do not play great defense .. and being that you loved the warriors all week .. i was wondering if on any night .. why not tonight?
shoebox,
It's too late, I have already played Mississippi +4.5. But the line is doing what it is supposed to do by going down. What I find significant about this game is that the linemaker already went below a key number (4) which is a bad sign for New Mexico. generally, he hates to go either above or under key numbers unless he feels that he has made a mistake and is trying to correct it to stay in good with the various sportsbooks. Don't think that the books weren't calling after the action on this game. Another prime example is the Tennessee game. He had to get off of one key number (6) and bypass all of the in between and go over the next one (8) to 8.5. So it basically has gone from being a 4 (meaning it would take 6 point win in order to cash the ticket) point game to a 10 point game (8.5 means that Tenny needs to win by 10 in order for you to cash the ticket).
Besides, the Mississippi ballclub is made up of brutes. They won the rebounding battle last year 32-28, and had 9 (wow) offensive rebounds,which of course was the reason why they shot 50.9% from the field, and got sent to the line 33 times (damn that's Boston Celtic like) to New Mexico's 20. A look inside of those numbers means that the Rebels have the stronger inside game and the better defense, as the Lobos were relegated to hacking trying to keep them off of the boards. The Rebels have ball hawks at the guard position and they average almost 7 steals a game, and yes those brutes average a torrid 10.1 offensive rebounds a game this year. they gave West Virinia all that they could handle losing by 2 points and injuring Joe Mazzula when he ran into one of the Ole Miss body guard types. The Lobos are 2-6-1 ats this year under Steve Alford. And I am mad at them for blowing out my alma mater Grambling State 96-50 anyway. New Mexico covered against the Rebels last year. I don't think that they will be so lucky this time being favored an having to win. According to my rescoring model, I have the Rebels wnning by 8 again.
I have already played Georgetown-5.5. Since it is below a key number and I can't get below the next key number by buyng a hook or a point, I am playing it straight! I just spoke with BigMoney and he said that pronk has posted a play so i have to end this post and check it out
TEN terrible start ... down by 8 points
I am on Hoyas, Indiana State( interstate rival andalways cover), and Austin Peavy. GL
natelli,
To hell with the Warriors! We rode them as long as we could. Once they burned me, I had to let up off of them. I wish that I had the foresight to do the same with the Celtics! No way. Denver may blow them off! Accordng to the power ranking numbers the Nuggets should beat them by 6 points or so, but they looked so awful last night that Iwould have to have a lot of drinks to take them in this spot
some advice I guess for the ones that lost and are upset and think its CK fault, do what I do check the games come up with a list of games that if HE WASNT HERE YOU WOULD PLAY! and then compare them to his and if he takes the same game your taking then u know thats a lock in ur book because he has backed up your pick (obviously there are no locks but to me if he picks the samething I like then its a lock in my book and if I lose I lose but I love the play because its what I like also).
He post every few days on college basketball and football and I never tail/fade him because I dont know anything about that should be the same for everyone else out there! best of luck to everyone tonight!
oh and CK keep the plays coming! The time and effort you put into this is much appreciated by everyone out here!
hey ck
i posted something earlier bout the total on the clippers and rockets game tonight....i was leaning with the under 193 since both teams scored high and clippers won in double ot ...
Tennessee isn't playing at the frenetic pace that they usually play at for some reason. Bring on the Hoyas!
Just stay away from College Hoops. I got buried last week and it will not happen again this week. Its a freaking coin flip so far this year.
Bookbuster,
I actually like that play a lot. The total is low for a reason I guess. The Rockets are a slow down team playing on a back to back, and the Clippers as you indicated played overtime last night. That is a good recipe for an under if i ever saw one. I think that i will have to roll with you on that one. The line is inching down on it already too. I am adding that to my plays for the evening thank you very much. Good eye!
roller,
I normally don't play it too much until the conference seaon starts. I don't put anything over $150.00 to $200.00 on college plays until then. It's too easy for a kid to be touched to throw a game. These are basically fun bets. Conference games are more meaningful, and by that time you get a good idea on what averages are gonna be for the players.
thanks a lot ck....i read what u wrote earlier and i can't believe those guys said that...i follow your play everyday and i take losses with you...i win with you ...you make the best picks and noone can go perfect everytime....thanks for everything and i wanna see your final card of the night....lookin to tail you again
see u back on here later
pronk,
I am hopping onto the Ohio State-3 bandwagon at the half. Rebounds are 16-9 and Ohio State is holding them to 36% field goals, while shooting 50% themselves. Ohio State has the edge in turnovers 10-13. i would like to see the assists go up for the Buckos, but other than that, it looks like the revenge is in full effect for last years' upset blowout victory by Butler. i am putting up the 2 bills I lost on Tennessee 1st half and one more on top (3 bills)
clippers starters minutes played last night
PG baron davis - 47
SG e gordon - 46
SF thornton - 38
PF randolph - 48
C camby - 43
now thats a tired team! rollin' with the rockets -4
CK , what do you think about the Jazz/Magic game? I have a parlay with magic +5 . they have let me down recently but i have a good feeling about this. was it a good move or no?
So far for the NBA I like
Houston/Clippers under 191.5 (Courtesy of Bookbuster)
Knicks +1.5
Knicks team total to go over 107 (projected)
Bulls-3.5 ( I will buy a point if I have to, the public may push it down for me)
Personally I can't see how Detroit can possibly be an only 1 point favorite over the Bobcats. I am gonna talk to the Missus about this one after she gets back from our son's basketball practice today. I think that the Bobcats will have an awful lot of minute mixing going on with the new additions. But I do know that she has a play of some sort for this game, I just can't remember. I do know that the Pistons usually go over 100 against them though....
Hey CK, not to worry about the others. They all come and go! It's us who are the believers in you and appreciate all the hard work and efforts that you put into this each and every day passing. Your work and commitment is second to no one. Continue to do what you do best and you have the belivers and followers of the CK mafia! Thank you!
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