Originally Posted by
tullamore21
Two games today at Eurobasket.
The Stage of Quarterfinals has come and now there is no way to fix any mistakes. Spain against Slovenia tonight and Lithuania against FYROM.
No reason to analyse any of those two. We have seen the teams, we know the way they play, their weaknesses and their weapons.
Spain is on -15,5 right now at the most books and it is more than acceptable, considering the two sides. Slovenia is the weakest team of this stage and it will try to stand up against the supersonic Spanish team. Gasol Bros and their company don't usually cover the spread, when facing weak opponents, but they destroy the other "big" teams.
Approaching closer this mathcup, there is no doubt that the margin will be as huge as the Iberians want to be. They will secure the victory early in the game and there will be rotation today. I expect 25-30 minutes of quality basketball and a 18-25 final margin.
Spain vs Slovenia
pick Spain -15,5
Later tonight, there is home team's game. Lithuania will drop FYROM down. There won't be an upset here, not only because Lithuania is the better team, but for other reasons too. The thing is, if they can cover 9,5 points.
McCalebb and Ilievsky are great and have some decent performances. They also have big guys that can threaten from distance, like Antic. As i have already said, FYROM is nothiing special than an average team, but they are smart and can conform at any case. Their Zonal Marking was so effective against Russia and they almost won that game. The fate led them towards Lithuania and now there is a mountain to climb...
The Lithuanians have to play a good game, which will give them extra boost against the Semifinal, where Spain will wait for them. I think they will punish FYROM tonight. I add the fact, that they haven't had a decent attacking game after the one against Serbia. It is the time to hit 10 or more threes...
Come on guys, don't let me down!!
Lithuania vs FYROM
pick Lithuania -9.5