1. 06-30-12 09:50 PM #176
    johno35
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    Been watching the radar and Geelong has been hit with a fair bit of rain. I'm on the under and Port to cover

    Geelong/Port under 161.5 - 3 units
    Port +51.5 - 3 units

    GL, be back for afternoon games. I'm leaning on the under in the Lions game and need to look further into the saints game, North is so unpredictable this year
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  2. 06-30-12 11:24 PM #177
    johno35
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    Lions/Dees under 185.5 - 3 units

    The line has gone from 28.5 to 34.5 today, I'm not confident Brisbane can cover that and I dont trust Melbourne so staying away
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  3. 07-01-12 12:00 AM #178
    thecattery12
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    Quote Originally Posted by johno35 View Post
    Thecattery, do you think your boys will cover the 50 points?
    Would have thought so if it wasnt for this weather. Didn't know it was this wet
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  4. 07-01-12 12:04 AM #179
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by thecattery12 View Post
    Would have thought so if it wasnt for this weather. Didn't know it was this wet
    Yeah I would have been on Geelong if it wasn't for the rain, it's hard to smash teams when it's wet
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  5. 07-01-12 12:25 AM #180
    johno35
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    I'm having flashbacks to yesterday! A game that looked to be going comfortably under is going to go down to the wire...
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  6. 07-01-12 12:45 AM #181
    johno35
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    Too close for comfort! Feel lucky but would have felt unlucky if it didn't go under. Fast start in the Lions game, has been a bit of a trend lately, high scoring first quarters followed by low scoring seconds
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  7. 07-01-12 12:52 AM #182
    johno35
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    Been looking at the saints game and I have 2 plays on

    Saints -18.5 - 3 units
    Saints/Roos under 204.5 - 5 units

    Not expecting a massive score in this game, the saints will not allow the roos to have the space and a free run in this game. Saints to win by 25+
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  8. 07-01-12 01:24 AM #183
    johno35
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    The trend continues, only 25 points scored in that quarter
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  9. 07-01-12 01:30 AM #184
    Bic
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    I am intrigued about the Saints game... Such a high game total, and still a 3 goal margin to give. I'm not a fan of playing under at Etihad.

    Thinking North +10.5 HT. Saints off the bye to start slow, but finish strong in the second half. Not too sure yet.
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  10. 07-01-12 03:52 AM #185
    johno35
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    Well I was way off with thinking that the saints wouldn't give space and run
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  11. 07-01-12 04:18 AM #186
    johno35
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    That hurt, today was looking great up until that point
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  12. 07-06-12 04:46 AM #187
    johno35
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    Collingwood games have been really bad for me this season, whether it be and over/under or on the spread I always seem to be on the wrong side. I'm confident the Pies can get the job done tonight and I like the under also with Carlton scoring problems of late

    Pies -29.5 - 3 units
    under 182.5 -3 units

    GL
    Last edited by johno35; 07-06-12 at 05:14 AM.
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  13. 07-06-12 05:06 AM #188
    Lookingtostart
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    It's been an interesting season to cap, stay conservative, I'm on Collingwood as well, confident. Blues with an early injury early on.
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  14. 07-06-12 05:13 AM #189
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lookingtostart View Post
    It's been an interesting season to cap, stay conservative, I'm on Collingwood as well, confident. Blues with an early injury early on.
    Yeah last season I started slow but finished strong. The problem is with the inconsistant teams i.e Kanga's
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  15. 07-06-12 07:32 AM #190
    johno35
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    Lucky for the under, another game Collingwood fail to cover
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  16. 07-06-12 09:35 PM #191
    johno35
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    I've been looking into the North game and I'm liking North in an upset. North generally put up a good showing against the Eagles and with the way they have been playing the last coupple of weeks I cant see why they couldn't win this one outright. Weather in Tasmania is perfect today so I'm also expecting a high score, not only for that reason but due to North's style of play, very attacking up the guts but also the lack of accountability makes all their games high scoring. The Eagles are also a very high scoring team.

    North +15.5 - 3 units
    North ML - Risk 1 unit
    Over 197.5 - 3 units

    GL
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  17. 07-06-12 09:44 PM #192
    johno35
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    With the Melbourne/Richmond game I'm on the fence, I think first reaction is to go with Richmond at -31.5 but I'm not convinced, quite a few players missing this week, so I'm on the under, I always like the under when a team doesn't have a good forward line

    Melb/Rich under 188.5 - 3 units
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  18. 07-06-12 09:52 PM #193
    garygroundwork
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    any rain or wind there Johno?
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  19. 07-06-12 10:04 PM #194
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by garygroundwork View Post
    any rain or wind there Johno?
    No mate, sunny today. Just cant see Melbourne shooting a big score, I'm thinking about a 170 total
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  20. 07-07-12 03:46 AM #195
    johno35
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    Essendon -18.5 - 5 units
    over 199.5 - 1 unit
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  21. 07-07-12 03:49 AM #196
    johno35
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    Adelaide under 39.5 - 3 units
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  22. 07-07-12 07:25 AM #197
    thecattery12
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    This is the worst week ever.
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  23. 07-07-12 09:35 AM #198
    hedgejob
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    Sat night AFL always throws suprises, very hard to cap. Reduce your stakes IMO.
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  24. 07-07-12 08:49 PM #199
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by garygroundwork View Post
    any rain or wind there Johno?
    Yeah Sat nights have been brutal! I really did not think the saints would win let alone by that much. I don't think anyone saw that coming. I was expecting a close encounter with the showdown match in Adelaide but no go with that one either.
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  25. 07-07-12 09:21 PM #200
    johno35
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    I really can't see Hawks not winning this one under 100 points, I'm thinking the score will be something like 150-50, so

    Hawks -92.5 - 3 unit
    Over 189.5 - 1 unit
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  26. 07-07-12 10:15 PM #201
    Lookingtostart
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    I don't like to bet against a team that got thrashed the previous week, but Hawks do well against poor teams. Stayed away from this one.
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  27. 07-07-12 11:38 PM #202
    johno35
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    GC/Cats under 185.5 - 3 units
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  28. 07-08-12 01:32 AM #203
    johno35
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    Freo/Dogs over 169.5 - 3 units
    Freo -31.5 - 1 unit
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  29. 07-13-12 02:36 AM #204
    johno35
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    Gonna claw some units back this weekend

    North +4.5 - 3 units
    Over 193.5 - 3 units

    GL
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  30. 07-13-12 03:58 AM #205
    Lookingtostart
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    I like North too, but I might leave it unless there's some significant line movement. Good Luck.

    I was also thinking 1-39 on both teams.
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  31. 07-13-12 04:54 AM #206
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lookingtostart View Post
    I like North too, but I might leave it unless there's some significant line movement. Good Luck.

    I was also thinking 1-39 on both teams.
    Yeah I was thinking the same thing, can't see either team winning by more than 30 points
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  32. 07-13-12 06:41 AM #207
    johno35
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    Will North be able to hold their nerve? Surely can't loose from here...
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  33. 07-13-12 07:15 AM #208
    Lookingtostart
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    Glad I didn't go for 1-39, I went North +5.5.
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  34. 07-13-12 07:28 AM #209
    johno35
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    Yeah I'm glad too! I was expecting North to win by not like that!
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  35. 07-13-12 06:13 PM #210
    johno35
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    Anyone think Port can win today? I'm thinking without Hurley, Crameri, Ryder and Hocking the Bombers may struggle. I'm also leaning on the under
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