[JBEX]

play 36

3rd @ 9-1

403
11.2
70.40

11/4




R8 #2 hidden mystery (10-1)
R9 #13 saratoga colonel (8-1) play 37

[JBEX]

play 36

3rd @ 9-1

403
11.2
70.40

11/4




R8 #2 hidden mystery (10-1)
R9 #13 saratoga colonel (8-1) play 37

out



407
11
70.40

11/4

[JBEX]

R1 (hurdles) #4 reporter (8-1)

R7 #9 spin cycle (20-1) play 37

may make him my play later on but want to look at last 3 races

R8 #6 seafire (12-1)

R10 #9 purely lucky (7-2) 2 units

[JBEX]

added 2 plays and designated earlier pick as a contest pick

[JBEX]

play 37

out

457
12.2
70.40

11/4

[Easy-Rider 66]

What's your strategy here Jbex. I see you averaging 12/1 ML on 37 plays so far. Are you just taking shots or will you come in with lower priced ponies moving forward. GL.

[JBEX]

What's your strategy here Jbex. I see you averaging 12/1 ML on 37 plays so far. Are you just taking shots or will you come in with lower priced ponies moving forward. GL.

taking homerun swings

[JBEX]

R2 #10 frost delay (15-1) play 38

forgot to designate it a play..still time

R5 xbox 69 both favs

R7 #10 colorfull charades (15-1)

R8 #6 munjaz (6-1)

R10 #3 cetara (20-1)

[JBEX]

added play

[JBEX]

added R7 R8 R10

[JBEX]

R4 #7 big expense (8-1)
R9 #10 arklow (10-1)
R10 #3 there he goes (6-1)

[JBEX]

added R4

[JBEX]

play 38

out

470
12.3
70.40


11/4

[JBEX]

R4 #4 neepwa (10-1) play 39

there will surely be some horses out of this 2yo msw turf route who will be heard from down the road.. loaded with expensive well bred debuters..like the combination of class and win early pedigree on this one slightly better than others . the dpi on the dam sire is pretty high but believe most of his runners are at woodbine.. dam was a stakes winner.. nicely drawn in 4 post and mark case top trainer

[JBEX]

R4 #4 neepwa (10-1) play 39

there will surely be some horses out of this 2yo msw turf route who will be heard from down the road.. loaded with expensive well bred debuters..like the combination of class and win early pedigree on this one slightly better than others . the dpi on the dam sire is pretty high but believe most of his runners are at woodbine.. dam was a stakes winnetlyr.. nicely drawn in 4 post and mark case top trainer

also wanted to say he's bred very stoutly and training very solid

[JBEX]

R4 #4 neepwa (10-1) play 39

there will surely be some horses out of this 2yo msw turf route who will be heard from down the road.. loaded with expensive well bred debuters..like the combination of class and win early pedigree on this one slightly better than others . the dpi on the dam sire is pretty high but believe most of his runners are at woodbine.. dam was a stakes winner.. nicely drawn in 4 post and mark case top trainer

bill mott firster wins and pays $47 (6-1 ml).. he's 5% with debuters overall... just goes to show imo that owners want to win first out with these types here whereas rest of the year doesn't matter that much.. mine came 3rd at 7-1

[JBEX]

play 39

3rd @ 7-1

477
12.2
70.40


11/4

[JBEX]

play 40

R2 #9 delta house (20-1)


i know contessa terrible with turf horses and first time starters but he doesn't get to train many of this caliber and it is saratoga.. know I've seen the owners name many times over the years and sure he'd love to win 1st out.. cost 310k as a yearling by new sire animal kingdom.. dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and was a stakes winner

R6 #5 dessert honeys (6-1)
R7 #4 asian's way (8-1)
R11 #8 jo's bold cat (6-1)

[Easy-Rider 66]

Interesting shot there Jbex. GL. Going with the #6 Emmport. Sired by Exchange Rate out of a Dynaformer mare. Like the workout pattern and Cox hitting 24% with first out turf.

[JBEX]

Interesting shot there Jbex. GL. Going with the #6 Emmport. Sired by Exchange Rate out of a Dynaformer mare. Like the workout pattern and Cox hitting 24% with first out turf.

yes he'd be my 2nd choice. .lots to like there but I'm swinging for the fences. .never bet horses who ran well in their first outing (2,4) or expensive clement firster (5) as those are too obvious for me..if they beat me (good chance they will) I'm ok with that..no regrets

[JBEX]

added R6 R7

[Easy-Rider 66]

yes he'd be my 2nd choice. .lots to like there but I'm swinging for the fences. .never bet horses who ran well in their first outing (2,4) or expensive clement firster (5) as those are too obvious for me..if they beat me (good chance they will) I'm ok with that..no regrets

Well Jbex The 5 won at 6/1. Not a bad price. 6 came in second. $60 exacta. I am a bit confused by your post. I guess you are looking for subtle things on paper that you feel justify taking a shot? That's all good but I think the name of the game is picking winners.

[JBEX]

Well Jbex The 5 won at 6/1. Not a bad price. 6 came in second. $60 exacta. I am a bit confused by your post. I guess you are looking for subtle things on paper that you feel justify taking a shot? That's all good but I think the name of the game is picking winners.

Just my thing but I will not play first time starters from pletcher,brown or clement because to me that's just too easy to do..I understand this one came home at a decent price but I'm picking in advance so no way for me to know that..I understand pletcher has this ridiculous record with odds on 2yo first time starters but outside of that just can't go the easy route in these types of races,no pun intended

[Easy-Rider 66]

Just my thing but I will not play first time starters from pletcher,brown or clement because to me that's just too easy to do..I understand this one came home at a decent price but I'm picking in advance so no way for me to know that..I understand pletcher has this ridiculous record with odds on 2yo first time starters but outside of that just can't go the easy route in these types of races,no pun intended

Alright Jbex. I guess each to his own. I will say it is more gratifying to see something subtle that comes in at a price than going with the obvious play. GL moving forward.

[JBEX]

play 41

out

510
12.4
70.40

11/4

[JBEX]

R2 quanique (20-1) play 42

luzzi 0/55 on the turf but this horse's numbers as good as any in here in turf sprints including missing by a nose here last year.. ships here off even effort in suffolk turf route. trainer metiver horrible also but he's hit at least with one bomb 2nd start with him as the trainer from 13 tries (2 overall)

R4 #4 fastlanefrontman (12-1)
R6 #3 unbridled charge (6-1)
R8 #8 decorator jenn (5-1)
R9 #4 tulips galore (15-1) #7 halcyon (12-1)

[Easy-Rider 66]

I believe your next play is #41. Check your records if you so choose. In race 2 from Saratoga going with the #12, and cover with the #4. GL.

[JBEX]

I believe your next play is #41. Check your records if you so choose. In race 2 from Saratoga going with the #12, and cover with the #4. GL.

yes you're right ..thanks easy

[Louisvillekid1]

hey guys

great thread

just signing in

big fan

[JBEX]

hey guys

great thread

just signing in

big fan

thanks louisvillekid1..been a rough go for a long time but that's how it goes with this game..keep trying

[JBEX]

R1 #7 selection sunday (3-1)
R4 #1 everybody loves me (5-2)
R5 #4 fox strike (5-1)
R6 #3 tiz a kitten (4-1)
R10 #10 fortunate queen (3-1)

all 2 units including hurdles

[Easy-Rider 66]

Hey Jbex good to see you have a change in strategy for today. Hopefully build up some momentum and confidence with more logical horses. Are any of these going to be a contest Play? GL.

[JBEX]

Hey Jbex good to see you have a change in strategy for today. Hopefully build up some momentum and confidence with more logical horses. Are any of these going to be a contest Play? GL.

no contest plays today easy..just seemed like a lot of solid chalk so going with it..contest plays won't be below 8-1 ml

[JBEX]

btw just figure I'd mention ..75 race sample not nearly enough when you're chasing 12-1 avg odds..so whether I get close to even by catching some big ones or continue to struggle till the end nothing is proven..having a good time trying besides the horrendous results

and to be fair this result has little to do with bad racing luck..they're just not running

[JBEX]

it just gets worse and worse..but gonna keep trying

R2 #7 prost (20-1) play 42

if your gonna try to hit a price horse why not a mdn clm 30k going 9f..I think the even race troubled trip in debut at aqu is actually a useful primer to gain experience and prepare for a stretch out ..lots of droppers in here and that ain't happening cause this bunch is living up to expectations


R3 #4 dooder (2-1)

going to break my don't play chad brown firster rule because this gal cost an extraordinary amount of money
with the lack of production on the bottom..feel these types are bought based on their physicality which is an angle I like


R9 #8 new canaan (6-1)

even at 40k nice piece of change for 6500 stud no production on the bottom..smart strike dadam sire always a good thing for turf..