[FUqer]

I did a quick look into the system the guy is using chasing teams that have lost 3 in a row SU and ATS and I don't post in other people's threads, but my advice for anyone using this system is to at least wait to they lose 4 in a row SU and ATS. Teams that have lost 3 in a row SU and ATS have not done well the next game in recent years and this season, teams in that spot are just 11-20-1 L2 seasons and just above 40% since 2015. But when teams lose 4 in a row, they have done a lot better at 9-5-1 ATS the L2 seasons and 58% since 2014. And when teams have lost 5 in a row ATS and SU, they have done even better. No sense in wasting money on chasing a games that aren't worth it. Just trying to help improve the system, not show anyone up. GL!

[FUqer]

LoL@ that targeting call on Memphis, WTF!

[FUqer]

This is some shit right here, wow and it's still 1st Q, show some damn replays FFS.

[FUqer]

Ok, I can't watch this shit anymore, unbelievable, LMAO.

[FUqer]

Week 6 Plays


¤ Texas Tech -17 -110 (5Dimes)
¤ Syracuse -3.5 -105 (Heritage)
¤ New Mexico St +11 -110 (5Dimes)
¤ Miami,FL -3 -105 (5Dimes)


¤ Parlay +134 (Purdue -170)(Florida Atlantic -210)


¤ Teaser -115 (Texas Tech -7½)(Memphis -3½)(Virginia Tech -6½)
¤ Teaser -115 (UTSA -2½)(Michigan pk)(Wisconsin -½)
¤ Teaser -115 (Miami OH -5)(UTSA -2½)(C.Florida -7)
¤ Teaser -115 (Buffalo +17)(SMU +17)(Kansas St +17)

________________

Didn't do well on those lines at all, hope it doesn't matter. Added a parlay and multiple teasers this week.

[FUqer]

¤ LSU -1.5 -110 (5Dimes)

[FUqer]

Week 6 Results

WIN - ¤ Texas Tech -17 -110 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ Syracuse -3.5 -105 (Heritage)
LOSS - ¤ New Mexico St +11 -110 (5Dimes)
WIN - ¤ Miami,FL -3 -105 (5Dimes)
LOSS - ¤ LSU -1.5 -110 (5Dimes)

WIN - ¤ Parlay +134 (Purdue -170)(Florida Atlantic -210)

WIN - ¤ Teaser -115 (Texas Tech -7½)(Memphis -3½)(Virginia Tech -6½)
LOSS - ¤ Teaser -115 (UTSA -2½)(Michigan pk)(Wisconsin -½)
LOSS - ¤ Teaser -115 (Miami OH -5)(UTSA -2½)(C.Florida -7)
WIN - ¤ Teaser -115 (Buffalo +17)(SMU +17)(Kansas St +17)
___________________________
Saturday = 5-5 for -0.21
__________________________
Season = 34-22 for +12.93
___________________________

ATS Total = 20-14 for +5.04

(Dogs = 10-11 for -1.73 )
(Favs = 10-3 for +6.77 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------

ML Total = 2-2 for +0.55

(Dogs = 2-1 for +1.60 )
(Favs = 0-1 for -1.05 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
---------------------------

O/U Total = 1-1 for +0.00

(Over = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(Under = 1-0 for +1.00 )
(1st H = 0-0 for +0.00 )
(2nd H = 0-1 for -1.00 )
---------------------------
Parlays = 5-3 for +3.64
---------------------------
Teasers = 6-2 for +3.70
___________________________


Week 1 = 5-7 for -2.17
Week 2 = 4-3 for +1.17
Week 3 = 11-1 for +10.30
Week 4 = 3-2 for +1.92
Week 5 = 6-4 for +1.92
Week 6 = 5-5 for -0.21
_________________________

Talk about some bad luck today.

Starting with Syracuse who up by 3 on the 5 yard line with a minute to go on 4th down, decide to go for it, instead of kicking the fg like most coaches would of done. I could of been a little more patient and took the -3, but it still should of covered.

New Mexico St had a 7 pt lead with just over 7 mins to go in the game and lose by 14 and fail to cover the +11. Their damn QB threw 6 int's and I dunno know how many in the 4th Q.

LSU failing to cover by a point for me is mostly my fault for waiting to long to take them and only getting -1.5, but that damn missed xp by Florida hurt me and of course LSU down in in FG range at the end.

I had Miami,OH in a teaser at -5 and down by 1 at the end of the game with 2nd and goal at the 1, they fumble it and Bowling Green returns it for a TD. LoL

UTSA scored at the end and could of forced OT and a chance to cover the -2.5 for teaser but didn't convert the 2 pt conversion. That loss was a shocker, but at least Michigan lost so that helped ease the loss a little.

__________________________

Overall I feel lucky to escape at 5-5 for having such bad luck today in almost every loss I had. It could of been another very good day at least going 7-3, but that's the way it goes sometimes.

[shopbar picks]

Was game ticking NMexst and quit bc I thought they covered. Bad beat it happens. On 2 next week. And Ohio St by I don't care what the spread is..

[FUqer]

Was game ticking NMexst and quit bc I thought they covered. Bad beat it happens. On 2 next week. And Ohio St by I don't care what the spread is..

Me too, I turned the game off and focused on another one, lol. Buckeyes crushed them last year and are rolling right now. Spread should be between 17 and 20.

[FUqer]

Here are some early projections for next week's games. Some of them are going to be off, but they are easy to tell, but it's a pretty good base projections for those wanting an early start. It doesn't include some variables like injury,weather, or situational capping. It goes strictly by a YPP formula that includes SOS and HF and I included the last match-ups results.

_______________________________________



Week 7
____________________

S.Alabama +14.3 at Troy

2016 winner = Troy@ 28-21
___________________________________

Texas St +15.7 at UL Lafayette

2016 winner = UL Lafayette@ 27-3 (4-0 SUATS vs Tex as St)
____________________________________

Clemson -23 at Syracuse

2016 winner = @Clemson 54-0
____________________________________

Washington St +0.5 at California

2016 winner = @Washington St 56-21
____________________________________

N.Illinois -0.5 at Buffalo

2016 winner = @N.Illinois 44-7 (9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS vs Buffalo)
____________________________________

E.Michigan +2.9 at Army

2015 winner = Army@ 58-36
____________________________________

Toledo -10.6 at C.Michigan

2016 winner = @Toledo 31-17 (7-0 SUATS L9 vs C.Mich)
____________________________________

Akron +19.1 at W.Michigan

2016 winner = W.Michigan@ 41-0 (6-1 SUATS L7 vs Akron)
____________________________________

Miami,Oh -31.8 at Kent St

2016 winner = Miami,Oh 18-14 (5-1-1 ATS L7 vs Kent)
____________________________________

Ohio -9.2 at Bowling Green

2016 winner = @Ohio 30-24 (0-6 ATS L6 vs Bowling Green
____________________________________

Purdue -0.5 at Wisconsin

2016 winner = Wisconsin@ 49-20 (9-2 ATS and 11-0 SU L11 vs Purdue)
____________________________________

Northwestern +3.8 at Maryland

1st match-up
____________________________________

Rutgers +11.8 at Illinois

2016 winner = Illinois@ 24-7
____________________________________

Ohio State -16.5 at Nebraska

2016 winner = @Ohio State 62-3 (3-0 ATS vs Nebraska)
____________________________________

Texas Tech -1.4 at W.Virginia

2016 winner = W.Virginia@ 48-17
____________________________________

Oklahoma -6.6 at Texas

2016 winner = Oklahoma 45-40
____________________________________

Kansas +24.8 at Iowa St

2016 winner = Iowa St@ 31-24
____________________________________

TCU -9.2 at Kansas St

2016 winner = Kansas St@ 30-6
____________________________________

Virginia +6.9 at N.Carolina

2016 winner = N.Carolina@ 35-14 (6-1 ATS & 7-0 SU L7 vs Virginia)
____________________________________

Boston College +4.5 at Louisville

2016 winner = Louisville@ 52-7
____________________________________

Florida St -11.8 at Duke

2013 winner = Florida St 45-7 (6-0 SUATS L6 vs Duke, 19-0 SU L19)
____________________________________

Georgia Tech +21.5 at Miami

2016 winner = Miami@ 35-21 (7-1 SUATS L8 vs GA Tech)
____________________________________

NC State -4.4 at Pittsburgh

2009 winner = @NC State 38-31
____________________________________

UCLA -3 at Arizona

2016 winner = @UCLA 45-24 (6-0 SUATS L6 vs Arizona)
____________________________________

S.Carolina -3.9 at Tennessee

2016 winner = @S.Carolina 24-21
____________________________________

Auburn -22.3 at LSU

2016 winner = @Auburn 18-13
____________________________________

E.Carolina +30.5 at C.Florida

2016 winner = C.Florida@ 47-29
____________________________________

Utah +13.1 at USC

2016 winner = @Utah 31-27
____________________________________

Washington -6.5 at Arizona St

2016 winner = Washington@ 44-18 (0-10-1 ATS and 1-10 SU L11 vs Arizona St)
____________________________________

Boise St +5.8 at San Diego St

2014 winner = @Boise 38-29 (0-4 ATS vs San Diego St)
____________________________________

Navy +4.9 at Memphis

2016 winner = @Navy 42-28 (2-0 SUATS vs Memphis)
____________________________________

Michigan +3.2 at Indiana

2016 winner = @Michigan 20-10 (28-1 SU L19 vs Indiana)
____________________________________

Tulane -16.1 at Florida INT

1st match-up
____________________________________

Old Dominion +18.9 at Marshall

2016 winner = @Old Dominion 38-14
____________________________________

Houston -6.8 at Tulsa

2016 winner = @Houston 38-31
____________________________________

Middle Tenn +0.7 at UAB

2014 winner = @Middle Tenn 34-22
____________________________________

Georgia St +16.7 at UL Monroe

2016 = UL Monroe@ 37-23 (2-0 SUATS vs Georgia St)
____________________________________

Charlotte +18.8 at W.Kentucky

1st match-up
____________________________________

Wyoming +5.9 at Utah St

2016 winner = @Wyoming 52-28 (1-4 SUATS L5 vs Utah St)
____________________________________

UNLV +8.4 at Air Force

2014 winner = Air Force@ 48-21
____________________________________

Nevada +17.4 at Colorado St

2015 winner = Nevada 28-23
____________________________________

Appalachian St -10.2 at Idaho

2016 winner = @App St 37-19
____________________________________

Colorado -23 at Oregon St

2016 = @Colorado 47-6 (3-0 ATS L3 vs Oregon St)
____________________________________

Vanderbilt -10 at Mississippi

2016 winner = @Vanderbilt 38-17 (7-3 ATS L10 vs Mississippi)
____________________________________

BYU +20.7 at Mississippi St

2016 winner = @BYU 28-21 (0-3 ATS vs Miss St)
____________________________________

Arkansas +29 at Alabama

2016 winner = Alabama@ 49-30
____________________________________

Baylor +13.3 at Oklahoma St

2016 winner = @Baylor 35-24
____________________________________

Missouri +39.2 at Georgia

2016 winner = Georgia@ 28-27
____________________________________

New Mexico St -10.3 at Georgia Southern

2016 winner = Georgia Southern@ 22-18 (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS vs New Mex St)
____________________________________

UTEP +3.5 at S.Mississippi

2016 winner = S.Miss@ 34-7
____________________________________

Coastal Car. +14.9 at Arkansas St

1st match-up
____________________________________

UTSA +0.1 at N.Texas

2016 winner = @UTSA 31-17
____________________________________

Texas A&M +4.2 at Florida

2012 winner = Florida@ 20-17
____________________________________

Michigan St +4.4 at Minnesota

2016 winner = @Michigan ST 14-3 (1-6 ATSL7 vs Minnesota)
____________________________________

New Mexico +1.1 at Fresno St

2016 winner = Fresno St@ 35-24 (5-0 SUATS L5 vs New Mexico)
____________________________________

San Jose St +7.1 at Hawaii

2016 winner = Hawaii@ 34-17
____________________________________

[FUqer]

Pretty close on a lot of them now that the lines have been released, 4 or less on almost half, some almost dead on. The ones off by a lot will need to be looked into further for injuries or mismatches.

[FUqer]

Any idea why C.Florida bets were canceled yesterday?

If the line in the N.Illinois game is close to what I got when it's finally released, I will be interested. They are money on the Road.

That seems like a lot of points for Purdue to be getting.



Want to look into these as well...



Texas Tech at W.Virginia.

Virginia at N.Carolina

UCLA at Arizona

Auburn at LSU

Arizona St vs Washington ( Only cuz their 10-0-1 ATS L11 vs Washington)

Michigan at Indiana

Utah St vs Wyoming

Colorado at Oregon St

UTSA at N.Texas

Texas A&M at Florida

Michigan St at Minnesota

New Mexico at Fresno St

[shopbar picks]

Have to play 55 mins. My bookie is 58

[FUqer]

Have to play 55 mins. My bookie is 58

Ok thanks, I didn't know it got shortened until a few hours ago. I had them in some small parlays and seen it got canceled but didn't pay much attention to the game because it was a blowout.

[FUqer]

Others for you to look at..Iowa, UCF, Washington, Kansas State cant believe Texas is favored..Really like Texas Tech and Purdue.. Wouldn't touch the Huskers..The ducks QB left the game early last week will he play?

Didn't all these cover for you? Who are you looking at this week?

[shopbar picks]

I think Clemson wakes up this week. Falk at Wast. Is on a tear. Like NW. And playing NwMexSt. And pounding Ohio State. You have a big list but I like it. I usually start Monday whittle it down to 15. I'm a CFB junkie. I got screwed on the UCF bet as well

[shopbar picks]

Didn't all these cover for you? Who are you looking at this week?

As stated UCF was cancelled and Kst was taken off. The sheet bc the points went to 8. And my local wouldn't take it bc he couldn't believe Texass was favored. But hit all the others.

[eastvan09]

Yeah, Wash St playing well. -14.5 at Cal. Looking at whether there is value in such a big number.

Also Navy +4.5 at Memphis. Last week Navy blew a 38-17 lead and nearly lost. They cost me on several parlays. What do you think about Navy this week?

[BigdaddyQH]

[QUOTE=FUqer;27264232]Any idea why C.Florida bets were canceled yesterday?

If the line in the N.Illinois game is close to what I got when it's finally released, I will be interested. They are money on the Road. NIU -4, but not on all Vegas books. Check for injuries

That seems like a lot of points for Purdue to be getting.



Want to look into these as well...



Texas Tech at W.Virginia...WVa -3.5

Virginia at N.Carolina...UVA -4

UCLA at Arizona...Arizona -1.5

Auburn at LSU...Aub -6.5

Arizona St vs Washington ( Only cuz their 10-0-1 ATS L11 vs Washington)UDub -17.

Michigan at Indiana...Mich -5.5

Utah St vs Wyoming...Utah -3

Colorado at Oregon St...Colo -12.5

UTSA at N.Texas...UTSA -3.

Texas A&M at Florida...Fla -3

Michigan St at Minnesota MSU -4

New Mexico at Fresno St...Fresno -2.5

GL.

[shopbar picks]

I'm liking TCU a lot with KST QB probably not playing.. Thoughts?

[shopbar picks]

And Okie State rolls Baylor

[ledjend]

Dude you weren't kidding. You're the man with these trends.

What's OU mean - is it over or under?

Northwestern is 2-16 OU L18 as a home favorite.

Northwestern is 9-29 OU L38 at home.

Stanford is 6-24 OU L30 as a road favorite.

Iowa St is 3-18-2 OU L23 as a favorite.

Cincinnati is 4-18 OU L22 games.

Akron is 8-24-1 OU L33 as a dog.

Florida is 2-13 OU L15 as a favorite.

UCLA is 0-8-1 OU L9 on the road.

BYU is 1-10 OU L11 games.

Utah is 2-12 OU L14 as a home favorite.

Auburn is 0-7 OU L7 games.

LSU is 4-15 OU L19 games.

Oklahoma St is 11-2 OU L13 as a favorite.

Alabama is 16-45-2 OU L63 as a home favorite

[ledjend]

Nice writeup. Do not fall into the Mark Lawrence trap. For every technical stat you can find, I can find another that goes the opposite way.

I like your style and I am not being critical of you. I am just pointing out that you have to do some research to get the real truth about some of these stats. Lawrence and the people that use this system want to make themselves look as good as they can, so they will forget certain facts to make others look good. GL this season.

Agree.

[BigdaddyQH]

Yes, OU means over/under. IF he says Okie State is 11-2 OU, he means 11 over, 2 under. If he says Alabama is 16-45 OU, he means 16 over, 45 under.

[ledjend]

Appreciate it.

[FUqer]

I'm liking TCU a lot with KST QB probably not playing.. Thoughts?

Not sure yet, but Kansas St backup can run the ball pretty good, he looked pretty fast. TCU might have the LB speed to help contain him though, I haven't looked at it yet though and not too familiar with TCU right now.

[FUqer]

I did some research on how often teams that win end up covering the spread. I will prolly go back and compare them to the last few seasons and also see how specific teams do, but I don't know if I'll post that. I'm sure there is a better way to come up with a ratio, but I haven't gotten into yet. I did both NFL and NCAA so there is some sort of reference between the two. Have fun dissecting and trying to find edges and let me know what you take away from this. GL!


FYI: Posted this in my NFL thread first but thought I would put in here also for those who might not check the NFL forum.
______________________________
NFL Teams that win cover the spread 83.2% of the time, 5775-1168-188.

NFL Home Teams that win cover 78.3% of the time, 3134-866-115.

NFL Road Teams that win cover 89.8% of the time, 2605-297-72.


NFL Favorites that win cover 74.1% of the time, 3336-1168-188. Home Favs = 72.3%, Road Favs = 78.0% (Favs
win 67.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 67.2% / Covers 74.1% = 0.90)


NFL Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 92.6% of the time, 1095-87-116. Home Favs = 92.0%, Road Favs = 93.4%
(Favs win 55.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 55.4% / Covers 92.6% = 0.60)


NFL Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 70.6% of the time, 2717-1129-173. Home Favs = 69.3%, Road Favs =
73.9% (Favs win 70.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 70.5% / Covers 70.6% = 1.0)


NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 77.0% of the time. (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 77.0% = 0.85)


NFL Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 80.6% of the time, 2497-601-167. Home Favs = 79.5%, Road Favs =
82.5% (Favs win 62.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 62.5% / Covers 80.6% = 0.78)


NFL Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 61.6% of the time, 1075-671. Home Favs = 61.7%, Road Favs = 61.2%
(Favs win 79.6% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.6% / Covers 61.6% = 1.29)


NFL Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 76.4% of the time, 3001-925-179. Home Favs = 75.1%, Road Favs =
79.2% (Favs win 65.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.2% / Covers 76.4% = 0.85)


NFL Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 58.9% of the time, 418-292-16. Home Favs = 59.6%, Road Favs =
54.1% (Favs win 84.1% of the time.)

(Wins = 84.1% / Covers 58.9% = 1.4)


NFL Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 63.4% of the time. (Favs win 77.0% of the time.)

(Wins = 77.0% / Covers 63.4% = 1.2)




Winning Home Favs after a win cover 71.5% (Favs win 70.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 70.8% / Covers 71.5% = 0.99)


Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 73.4% (Favs win 65.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.8% / Covers 73.4% = 0.90)


Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 72.9% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 72.9% = 0.94)


Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 71.1% (Favs win 68.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.5% / Covers 71.1% = 0.96)


Winning Road Favs after a win cover 76.7% (Favs win 63.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 63.3% / Covers 76.7% = 0.83)


Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 81.7% (Favs win 65.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 65.4% / Covers 81.7% = 0.80)


Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 81.3% (Favs win 67.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 67.3% / Covers 81.3% = 0.83)


Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 77.0% (Favs win 62.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 62.4% / Covers 77.0% = 0.81)


---------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA Teams that win cover the spread 74.2% of the time, 17155-5974-435

NCAA Home Teams that win cover 69.3% of the time, 9171-4066-288.

NCAA Road Teams that win cover 80.4% of the time, 6907-1688-121.


NCAA Favorites that win cover 65.8% of the time, 11483-5974. (Favs win 76.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 76.5% / Cover = 65.8% = 1.2)


NCAA Favorites of 3 or less that win cover 93.2% of the time, 1700-125-99. (Favs win 47.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 47.9% / Cover = 93.2% = 0.51)


NCAA Favorites of 3 or more that win cover 63.5% of the time, 10257-5906-399. (Favs win 79.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.4% / Cover = 63.5% = 1.3)


NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -3 and -7 cover 78.4% of the time, 3195-880-165. (Favs win 64.2% of
the time.)

(Wins = 64.2% / Cover = 78.4% = 0.82)


NCAA Favorites of 7 or less that win cover 82.3% of the time, 4421-948. (Favs win 60.9% of the time)

(Wins = 60.9% / Cover = 82.3% = 0.74)


NCAA Favorites of 7 or more that win cover 59.1% of the time, 7518-5205. (Favs win 85.4% of the time.)

(Wins = 85.4% / Cover = 59.1% = 1.4)


NCAA Favorites of 10 or less that win cover 77.8% of the time, 5877-1675-252. (Favs win 64.3% of the time.)

(Wins = 64.3% / Cover = 77.8% = 0.83)


NCAA Favorites of 10 or more that win cover 57.0% of the time, 5901-4448-208. (Favs win 89.0% of the time.)

(Wins = 89.0% / Cover = 57.0% = 1.6)


NCAA Favorites that win equal to or between -7 and -10 cover 67.8% of the time, 1912-906. (Favs win 73.5% of the time.)

(Wins = 73.5% / Cover = 67.8% = 1.1)


Winning Home Favs after a win cover 62.9% (Favs win 80.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 80.9% / Cover = 62.9% = 1.3)


Winning Home Favs after a loss cover 65.4% (Favs win 74.6% of the time.)

(Wins = 74.6% / Cover = 65.4% = 1.1)


Winning Home Favs after a Road game cover 64.8% (Favs win 77.8% of the time.)

(Wins = 77.8% / Cover = 64.8% = 1.2)



Winning Home Favs after a Home game cover 63.4% (Favs win 79.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 79.2% / Cover = 63.4% = 1.2)


Winning Road Favs after a win cover 68.3% (Favs win 74.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 74.9% / Cover = 68.3 % = 1.1)


Winning Road Favs after a loss cover 72.1% (Favs win 68.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 68.9% / Cover = 72.1% = 0.96)


Winning Road Favs after a Road game cover 70.3% (Favs win 72.9% of the time.)

(Wins = 72.9% / Cover = 70.3% = 1.0)


Winning Road Favs after a Home game cover 69.0% (Favs win 73.2% of the time.)

(Wins = 73.2% / Cover = 69.0% = 1.1)

[FUqer]

Yeah, Wash St playing well. -14.5 at Cal. Looking at whether there is value in such a big number.

Also Navy +4.5 at Memphis. Last week Navy blew a 38-17 lead and nearly lost. They cost me on several parlays. What do you think about Navy this week?

I'm going to look into Navy prolly tonight, I didn't do much in NCAA yesterday.

[shopbar picks]

After some time. Clemson is my big play. Toledo. Michigan. Arizona. Vanderbilt. Still Okie State. Aggies. South Carolina. And the Buckeyes. Give me your opinion

[shopbar picks]

Stay away from Navy if they don't control TOP. They lose. Just a game to avoid

[Covering the #]

I would take Indiana +7, Neb +24, Air Force -7.5, Duke +7, and maybe Illinois -2.5.

[FUqer]

UTAH 71-34-1 ATS L106 as a dog

team=UTAH and D and date>=19901110

ATS:	71-34-1 (5.37, 67.6%)	avg line: 7.0	+6: 84-22-0 (79.2%)	-6: 51-53-2 (49.0%)	+10: 89-15-2 (85.6%)	-10: 34-69-3 (33.0%)

UTAH is 8-1 ATS L9 as a road dog

team=UTAH and A and D and date>=20140920

ATS:	8-1-0 (13.39, 88.9%)	avg line: 7.3	+6: 8-1-0 (88.9%)	-6: 6-3-0 (66.7%)	+10: 8-1-0 (88.9%)	-10: 6-3-0 (66.7%)

N.Illinois 28-7 ATS L35 on the road

team=NIL and A and date>=20111101

ATS:	28-7-0 (6.26, 80.0%)	avg line: -2.3	+6: 29-6-0 (82.9%)	-6: 17-18-0 (48.6%)	+10: 30-5-0 (85.7%)	-10: 14-20-1 (41.2%)

N.Illinois 16-4 ATS L20 as a road favorite

team=NIL and A and F and date>=20121006

ATS:	16-4-0 (5.78, 80.0%)	avg line: -10.6	+6: 16-4-0 (80.0%)	-6: 9-11-0 (45.0%)	+10: 17-3-0 (85.0%)	-10: 7-13-0 (35.0%)

N.Illinois 10-2-1 ATS L13

team=NIL and date>=20161001

ATS:	10-2-1 (5.19, 83.3%)	avg line: -2.7	+6: 13-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 5-8-0 (38.5%)	+10: 13-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 3-9-1 (25.0%)

Buffalo 6-0-1 ATS L7

team=BUF and date>=20161125

ATS:	6-0-1 (6.36, 100.0%)	avg line: 3.8	+6: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 3-4-0 (42.9%)	+10: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 2-5-0 (28.6%)

Kansas 36-70-2 ATS since Oct 28, 1995 on the road

team=KAN and A and date>=19951028

ATS:	36-70-2 (-4.01, 34.0%)	avg line: 14.5	+6: 57-49-2 (53.8%)	-6: 22-84-2 (20.8%)	+10: 68-35-5 (66.0%)	-10: 16-91-1 (15.0%)

UCONN 18-44-1 ATS since Sep 22, 2012

team=CON and date>=20120922

ATS:	18-44-1 (-4.25, 29.0%)	avg line: 5.5	+6: 32-31-0 (50.8%)	-6: 15-48-0 (23.8%)	+10: 43-19-1 (69.4%)	-10: 14-49-0 (22.2%)

UCONN 0-8 SUATS L8 as a dog

team=CON and D and date>=20161022

SU:	0-8-0 (-25.25, 0.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	0-8-0 (-15.69, 0.0%)	avg line: 9.6	+6: 2-6-0 (25.0%)	-6: 0-8-0 (0.0%)	+10: 3-5-0 (37.5%)	-10: 0-8-0 (0.0%)

Georgia State 21-6 ATS L27 on the road

team=GAST and A and date>=20120908

ATS:	21-6-0 (7.02, 77.8%)	avg line: 21.2	+6: 21-6-0 (77.8%)	-6: 15-11-1 (57.7%)	+10: 21-6-0 (77.8%)	-10: 11-15-1 (42.3%)

Georgia State 19-6 ATS L25 as a road dog

team=GAST and A and D and date>=20120908

ATS:	19-6-0 (6.34, 76.0%)	avg line: 23.0	+6: 19-6-0 (76.0%)	-6: 14-10-1 (58.3%)	+10: 19-6-0 (76.0%)	-10: 10-14-1 (41.7%)

E.Carolina 1-11-1 ATS L13 as a dog

team=ECAR and D and date>=20160917

ATS:	1-11-1 (-10.69, 8.3%)	avg line: 12.9	+6: 5-8-0 (38.5%)	-6: 1-12-0 (7.7%)	+10: 5-8-0 (38.5%)	-10: 0-13-0 (0.0%)

San Jose St 25-49-3 ATS since Oct 12, 2002 as a road dog

team=SJST and A and D and date>=20021012

ATS:	25-49-3 (-5.48, 33.8%)	avg line: 16.8	+6: 41-35-1 (53.9%)	-6: 15-60-2 (20.0%)	+10: 49-27-1 (64.5%)	-10: 11-65-1 (14.5%)

E.Michigan 11-1 ATS L12 as a dog

team=EMCH and D and date>=20160923

ATS:	11-1-0 (6.25, 91.7%)	avg line: 8.0	+6: 12-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 7-4-1 (63.6%)	+10: 12-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 1-10-1 (9.1%)

E.Michigan 8-0 ATS L8 on the road

team=EMCH and A and date>=20160917

ATS:	8-0-0 (9.62, 100.0%)	avg line: 7.8	+6: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 7-1-0 (87.5%)	+10: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 2-5-1 (28.6%)

E.Michigan 15-4 ATS L19

team=EMCH and date>=20151127

ATS:	15-4-0 (3.87, 78.9%)	avg line: 4.2	+6: 16-3-0 (84.2%)	-6: 10-8-1 (55.6%)	+10: 17-2-0 (89.5%)	-10: 3-15-1 (16.7%)

Idaho 0-8-1 SUATS L9 as a home dog

team=IDA and H and D and date>=20131005

SU:	0-9-0 (-23.67, 0.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	0-8-1 (-9.22, 0.0%)	avg line: 14.4	+6: 2-7-0 (22.2%)	-6: 0-9-0 (0.0%)	+10: 6-2-1 (75.0%)	-10: 0-9-0 (0.0%)

Idaho 6-0 ATS L6 as a dog

team=IDA and D and date>=20161008

ATS:	6-0-0 (11.92, 100.0%)	avg line: 11.4	+6: 6-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 4-1-1 (80.0%)	+10: 6-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 4-2-0 (66.7%)

Fresno St 8-0 ATS L8 at home

team=FRES and H and date>=20151128

ATS:	8-0-0 (8.25, 100.0%)	avg line: 2.1	+6: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 4-4-0 (50.0%)	+10: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 1-6-1 (14.3%)

Fresno St 7-0 ATS L7

team=FRES and date>=20161119

ATS:	7-0-0 (8.21, 100.0%)	avg line: 2.9	+6: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 3-4-0 (42.9%)	+10: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 2-4-1 (33.3%)

New Mexico 7-1 ATS & 6-2 SU L8 as a dog

team=NMX and D and date>=20161015

SU:	6-2-0 (3.12, 75.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	7-1-0 (9.62, 87.5%)	avg line: 6.5	+6: 7-1-0 (87.5%)	-6: 5-3-0 (62.5%)	+10: 7-1-0 (87.5%)	-10: 4-3-1 (57.1%)

Georgia Tech 8-0 ATS L8 overall

team=GTCH and date>=20161112

ATS:	8-0-0 (10.06, 100.0%)	avg line: -3.7	+6: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 5-3-0 (62.5%)	+10: 8-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 4-4-0 (50.0%)

Miami,FL 7-0 SUATS L7 off a win

team=MIAF and p:W and date>=20161112

SU:	7-0-0 (17.29, 100.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	7-0-0 (9.43, 100.0%)	avg line: -7.9	+6: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 5-2-0 (71.4%)	+10: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 3-4-0 (42.9%)

Miami,FL 12-3 ATS L15 as a favorite

team=MIAF and F and date>=20160903

ATS:	12-3-0 (6.63, 80.0%)	avg line: -13.9	+6: 13-2-0 (86.7%)	-6: 8-6-1 (57.1%)	+10: 13-2-0 (86.7%)	-10: 6-9-0 (40.0%)

HAW 1-10 ATS L11 as a favorite

team=HAW and F and date>=20141122

ATS:	1-10-0 (-10.09, 9.1%)	avg line: -9.0	+6: 5-6-0 (45.5%)	-6: 0-11-0 (0.0%)	+10: 6-4-1 (60.0%)	-10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)

Hawaii 4-14 ATS L18 at home

team=HAW and H and date>=20141025

ATS:	4-14-0 (-7.72, 22.2%)	avg line: -1.2	+6: 8-10-0 (44.4%)	-6: 3-15-0 (16.7%)	+10: 10-7-1 (58.8%)	-10: 3-15-0 (16.7%)

Hawaii 1-8 ATS L9 as a home favorite

team=HAW and H and F and date>=20141122

ATS:	1-8-0 (-10.11, 11.1%)	avg line: -10.2	+6: 4-5-0 (44.4%)	-6: 0-9-0 (0.0%)	+10: 5-3-1 (62.5%)	-10: 0-9-0 (0.0%)

Old Dominion 4-16 ATS L20 as a dog

team=OLDD and D and date>=20141004

ATS:	4-16-0 (-7.33, 20.0%)	avg line: 13.9	+6: 12-8-0 (60.0%)	-6: 3-17-0 (15.0%)	+10: 14-6-0 (70.0%)	-10: 2-18-0 (10.0%)

Old Dominion 2-10 SUATS L12 as a road dog

team=OLDD and A and D and date>=20141011

ATS:	2-10-0 (-4.00, 16.7%)	avg line: 14.8	+6: 9-3-0 (75.0%)	-6: 2-10-0 (16.7%)	+10: 10-2-0 (83.3%)	-10: 1-11-0 (8.3%)

BYU 0-7 ATS L7

team=BYU and date>=20161221

ATS:	0-7-0 (-12.00, 0.0%)	avg line: -0.1	+6: 1-6-0 (14.3%)	-6: 0-7-0 (0.0%)	+10: 3-4-0 (42.9%)	-10: 0-7-0 (0.0%)

Colorado 7-0 ATS L7 on the road

team=COLO and A and date>=20151128

ATS:	7-0-0 (6.43, 100.0%)	avg line: 6.1	+6: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-6: 4-3-0 (57.1%)	+10: 7-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 1-5-1 (16.7%)

UAB 26-11-1 ATS since Nov 08, 1997 as a home dog

team=UAB and H and D and date>=19971108

ATS:	26-11-1 (4.72, 70.3%)	avg line: 9.5	+6: 31-7-0 (81.6%)	-6: 16-22-0 (42.1%)	+10: 32-6-0 (84.2%)	-10: 11-26-1 (29.7%)

Purdue 13-3 ATS L16 as a road dog

team=PUR and A and D and date>=20131130

ATS:	13-3-0 (6.78, 81.2%)	avg line: 15.0	+6: 15-1-0 (93.8%)	-6: 8-8-0 (50.0%)	+10: 15-1-0 (93.8%)	-10: 7-9-0 (43.8%)

Louisville 1-9 ATS L10

team=LOU and date>=20161112

ATS:	1-9-0 (-14.95, 10.0%)	avg line: -19.6	+6: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-6: 0-10-0 (0.0%)	+10: 4-6-0 (40.0%)	-10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)

Boston College 8-2-1 ATS L11 as a road dog

team=BCOL and A and D and date>=20141011

ATS:	8-2-1 (1.64, 80.0%)	avg line: 11.7	+6: 9-2-0 (81.8%)	-6: 3-7-1 (30.0%)	+10: 9-2-0 (81.8%)	-10: 3-8-0 (27.3%)

Georgia Southern 2-11-1 ATS L14


CMCH 2-11 ATS L13 as a home dog

team=CMCH and H and D and date>=20111110

ATS:	2-11-0 (-9.27, 15.4%)	avg line: 9.1	+6: 4-9-0 (30.8%)	-6: 2-11-0 (15.4%)	+10: 8-5-0 (61.5%)	-10: 2-11-0 (15.4%)

Texas Tech 22-9-2 ATS L33

team=TXT and date>=20141115

ATS:	22-9-2 (2.44, 71.0%)	avg line: -0.7	+6: 25-8-0 (75.8%)	-6: 14-19-0 (42.4%)	+10: 25-8-0 (75.8%)	-10: 9-24-0 (27.3%)

Michigan State 0-6 ATS L6 as a road favorite

team=MCST and A and F and date>=20150904

ATS:	0-6-0 (-8.33, 0.0%)	avg line: -8.5	+6: 2-4-0 (33.3%)	-6: 0-6-0 (0.0%)	+10: 4-2-0 (66.7%)	-10: 0-6-0 (0.0%)

C.Florida 34-18 ATS since Nov 25, 2006 as a home favorite

team=CFL and H and F and date>=20061125

ATS:	34-18-0 (3.91, 65.4%)	avg line: -14.7	+6: 39-13-0 (75.0%)	-6: 23-28-1 (45.1%)	+10: 43-7-2 (86.0%)	-10: 18-34-0 (34.6%)

Mississippi 2-10 ATS L12

team=MIS and date>=20161015

ATS:	2-10-0 (-14.33, 16.7%)	avg line: -3.5	+6: 3-9-0 (25.0%)	-6: 1-11-0 (8.3%)	+10: 6-6-0 (50.0%)	-10: 0-12-0 (0.0%)

Bowling Green 1-8 ATS L9 at home

team=BOWL and H and date>=20151117

ATS:	1-8-0 (-6.39, 11.1%)	avg line: -3.3	+6: 3-6-0 (33.3%)	-6: 1-8-0 (11.1%)	+10: 4-5-0 (44.4%)	-10: 1-8-0 (11.1%)

Pittsburgh 7-18 ATS L25 at home

team=PIT and H and date>=20131116

ATS:	7-18-0 (-2.38, 28.0%)	avg line: -7.5	+6: 13-9-3 (59.1%)	-6: 5-19-1 (20.8%)	+10: 19-4-2 (82.6%)	-10: 3-20-2 (13.0%)

Colorado St 13-4 ATS L17

team=COST and date>=20160917

ATS:	13-4-0 (7.65, 76.5%)	avg line: -1.9	+6: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	-6: 10-7-0 (58.8%)	+10: 13-4-0 (76.5%)	-10: 9-8-0 (52.9%)

UCLA 4-13-2 ATS L19

team=UCLA and date>=20151128

ATS:	4-13-2 (-5.89, 23.5%)	avg line: -3.4	+6: 10-7-2 (58.8%)	-6: 2-17-0 (10.5%)	+10: 13-6-0 (68.4%)	-10: 0-19-0 (0.0%)

TCU 3-11-1 ATS L15 as a favorite

team=TCU and F and date>=20151107

ATS:	3-11-1 (-12.33, 21.4%)	avg line: -19.3	+6: 5-9-1 (35.7%)	-6: 2-13-0 (13.3%)	+10: 6-8-1 (42.9%)	-10: 1-14-0 (6.7%)

Kansas St 9-2 ATS L11 as a home dog

team=KAST and H and D and date>=20101106

ATS:	3-11-1 (-12.33, 21.4%)	avg line: -19.3	+6: 5-9-1 (35.7%)	-6: 2-13-0 (13.3%)	+10: 6-8-1 (42.9%)	-10: 1-14-0 (6.7%)

Temple 14-5 ATS L19 at home

team=TEM and H and date>=20141101

ATS:	14-5-0 (6.87, 73.7%)	avg line: -6.4	+6: 16-2-1 (88.9%)	-6: 9-9-1 (50.0%)	+10: 18-1-0 (94.7%)	-10: 9-10-0 (47.4%)

Missouri 2-9 ATS L11 on the road

team=MIZ and A and date>=20150912

ATS:	2-9-0 (-5.95, 18.2%)	avg line: 8.0	+6: 6-5-0 (54.5%)	-6: 1-10-0 (9.1%)	+10: 8-3-0 (72.7%)	-10: 1-10-0 (9.1%)

Tulsa 2-9 ATS L11 as a home dog

team=TLS and H and D and date>=20110917

ATS:	2-9-0 (-11.18, 18.2%)	avg line: 10.8	+6: 4-7-0 (36.4%)	-6: 0-11-0 (0.0%)	+10: 5-5-1 (50.0%)	-10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)

Navy 10-3-1 ATS L14 as a dog

team=NAVY and D and date>=20131019

ATS:	10-3-1 (7.14, 76.9%)	avg line: 9.4	+6: 13-1-0 (92.9%)	-6: 7-7-0 (50.0%)	+10: 14-0-0 (100.0%)	-10: 3-11-0 (21.4%)

Virginia 21-34 ATS (0.10 ppg) since Nov 10, 1990 as a road favorite, 3-9 ATS L12.

team=VIR and A and F and date>=19901110

ATS:	21-34-0 (0.10, 38.2%)	avg line: -8.6	+6: 34-20-1 (63.0%)	-6: 20-35-0 (36.4%)	+10: 43-12-0 (78.2%)	-10: 17-38-0 (30.9%)

S.Florida 8-2-2 ATS L12 as a home favorite

team=SFL and H and F and date>=20140919

SU:	12-0-0 (22.58, 100.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	8-2-2 (4.92, 80.0%)	avg line: -17.7	+6: 11-1-0 (91.7%)	-6: 6-6-0 (50.0%)	+10: 11-1-0 (91.7%)	-10: 4-8-0 (33.3%)

Troy 2-8-1 ATS L11 as a favorite

team=TROY and F and date>=20161015

ATS:	2-8-1 (-7.82, 20.0%)	avg line: -15.0	+6: 6-5-0 (54.5%)	-6: 0-11-0 (0.0%)	+10: 7-4-0 (63.6%)	-10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)

Appalachian St 8-2 ATS L10 as a road favorite

team=APP and A and F and date>=20150926

SU:	10-0-0 (25.40, 100.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	8-2-0 (11.60, 80.0%)	avg line: -13.8	+6: 8-2-0 (80.0%)	-6: 7-3-0 (70.0%)	+10: 8-2-0 (80.0%)	-10: 5-4-1 (55.6%)

[FUqer]

After some time. Clemson is my big play. Toledo. Michigan. Arizona. Vanderbilt. Still Okie State. Aggies. South Carolina. And the Buckeyes. Give me your opinion

I haven't got into specific match-ups yet, so it's hard to give you a good opinion, but I'm personally not too big on huge favorites, so Clemson, Oklahoma St and Ohio Sate wouldn't be at the top of my list, but If I get time I'll look into as many as possible.

I'm not too high on Arizona this year and wanted to look into UCLA.

Not sure about the Vanderbilt offense, but doesn't seem like a bad pick. I want to look at this game myself.

I could see the Toledo pick, but surprised the public and money seem to be on C.Michigan.

I like Texas A&M but a lot of people do and that always worries me.

S.Carolina is another one I want to look into myself.

[FUqer]

Week 7 Plays

¤ Texas Tech +3.5 -110 (Heritage)
¤ S.Carolina ML +125 (5Dimes)
¤ Northwestern -3 -105 (Heritage)
¤ UCLA -1 -105 (Heritage)

¤ Parlay +107 (Florida St -280)(Miami,FL -220)(Clemson -2000)

¤ Teaser -110 (Miami,OH +½)(Colorado -1)(Appalachian St -3)
___________________________

Season = 34-22 for +12.93
___________________________

Still on the fence with Navy and a there's a few others I still want to look into.

___________________________

Road Teams Covering at 60.1% this season, Road Favs at over 64%.

Margins of Victory by FSU over Duke.
38,41,25,19,27,31,22,49,31,42,49,28,49,2 4,37,44,39,38,27.

Home teams after playing their previous two on the Road are 43.0% ATS since 2014.
(California, Air Force, Arkansas St, C.Michigan, Georgia, Maryland,
(Memphis, Miami,FL, Marshall, Mississippi St, W.Virginia)

Home teams after playing their previous three on the Road are 35.3% ATS since 2014.
(Colorado St, Mississippi)

[ledjend]

Awesome info again. Would be 17-4 to date using your numbers. Keep em comin brother 👍