Adding:
Purdue +17.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
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09-14-13 04:36 PM #36
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09-14-13 06:53 PM #37
Going with SKs marshall pick, dont know much about marshall but trust sk and know how bad ohios def is
Adding :
Marshall -7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
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09-14-13 11:17 PM #38
Originally Posted by Smutbucket
Originally Posted by Smutbucket
Week 3 NCAAF Results: 6-4 +1.55 units Originally Posted by Smutbucket
Thread YTD: 23-17 +9.4 units
starting to work on NFL week 2 now.....will post in a few hours....
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09-14-13 11:21 PM #39
nice job brother.. would have loved to see our boy pull the upset vs bama but he played hell of a gm and got the cover at least..
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09-15-13 11:07 AM #40
NFL Week 2:
Saints -2.5 (-120) Risking 2.4 units to win 2 units
49ers +3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Panthers -3 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Panthers ML (-160) Risking 1.6 units to win 1 units
Dolphins +3.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Oakland -3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser: Eagles -1 and Packers -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser: Rams +10.5 and Packers -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Titans TT Under 17.5 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
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09-15-13 11:08 AM #41
ya anothers crazy good game, didnt expect bama offense to be that good but it was mainly saban exploiting weaknesses for big plays to put up so many points.....really liking LSU and mettenberger this year think Im gonna take them in the big matchup vs bama Originally Posted by 2daBank
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09-16-13 11:19 AM #42
yesterday results: 3-6 -5.85 units Originally Posted by Smutbucket
ugh NFL....what a rediculous day....I dont like to bitch after losses, but all those losses were a bitch.......panthers in last few seconds....saints by .5 with missed FG by TB that woulda forced saints to score TD at end instead and win by 3.......titans team total under was because of a pick 6 at end of game......
expecting a big bounce back week next week.....
got a HUGE NCAAF pick in the works.....realeasing very soon
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09-16-13 11:21 AM #43
Biggest Bet Im making in a while on mich state....just starting off with 2 units now on line....will add another unit or 2 on ML once its released....
NCAAF Week 4:
Michigan State +7 (-125) Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units
Clemson -15.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
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09-16-13 12:50 PM #44
Hey man--where are you betting these? Clemson is 14 everywhere online isn't it?. And msu for -125 is off as well, notre dame getting juiced a bit at all the books I use...mind you I'm not up on the American sportsbook so excse me if that's what they have , just figure you should be able to get 14 somewhere out there unless it'd a local bookie you use.
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09-16-13 07:05 PM #45
all my bets are using BETUS.....thats all I got access to...going to try to make some trips to vegas when work slows down and line shop but I just post my exact bets what I get from BETUS....
notre dames being juiced now? I thought for sure line would drop to +4-+6 so I paid extra to snag +7......dammit
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09-17-13 02:40 PM #46
Well looks like you got a good line afterall, down to 6.5 now
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09-18-13 08:20 PM #47
Adding:
2 Team ML Parlay (+273) : Clemson (-600) + Michigan St (+220) Risking 1 unit to win 2.73 units
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09-18-13 10:11 PM #48
What's your angle on the Mich. St. pick. Favoring the Spartans myself. Just trying to pick your brain to see if we are looking at it the same way.
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09-18-13 11:23 PM #49
I like this michgan state team a lot, if you follow my picks over last 2 years they are definately one of my go to teams in the big ten, I like their offensive play calling and tough defensive play style (penetrate gay ass spread offenses) and notre dame is one of my over-rated fades over the last few years, constantly being over-rated by the media, they had 0 right to be in the championship game last year because even middle tier SEC teams like south carolina would have whipped their ass, especially now that golson is gone, he was their offense, now with tommy rees back at quaterback, I definately think they will struggle to put up any points, thisll be the first real defense they play this year and I think they will be lucky to reach 17 pts, the big wild card for me though is the michigan state offense with connor cook, ive watched him a little bit in the tcu bowl game last year and hes not all that great ( better than tommy rees though in my opinion) but I think the coaching advantage in this one is far in favor of msu. I like mark dantanios play calling and think he knows how to put his team in the best position to win. brian kelly on the other hand has thrived in bad to mediocre conference winning a lot of games against bad teams, (i think the fact he has won coach of the year twice is a complete joke ) any halfway respectable team and coach has crushed him, dantanio is a very sharp minded football coach who has worked with other great coaches like saban and tressel, last year they lost 5 games by a combined 13 points and I remeber a few of them being as a result of some fluke bullshit combined with terrible officiating that kept them from winning the games. I am very confident in the +7 but am also good with the 3/1 ML (i mean clemsons not gonnna lose that game no matter what, go ahead and put your entire bankroll on clemson -600 if your into that sort of heavy ml favs) so basically the coaching advantage and the DEFENSE, msus defense was phenomanl last year and they have a good 7 returning starters from that unit....
also it helps when Im seeing a couple other cappers on this forum I respect like bifft and sk are leaning msu too....
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09-19-13 12:26 AM #50
Good luck Smut. MSU has a Top-5 defense, but Cook scares the shit out of me making his first road start. Guy is very high risk/high reward, which normally doesn't travel well. Also worried about their lack of established ground game, lack of a No. 1 receiver, and a rookie kicker. With all that being said, getting 7 in a revenge spot for a series they've traditionally done very well in until recently is enticing to say the least. Originally Posted by Smutbucket
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09-19-13 02:23 AM #51
thanks no coin.
heres a good article I dug up on the coaching staff/changes to offense in msu this offseason.
http://www.msuspartans.com/sports/m-...030413aaa.html
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09-19-13 08:42 AM #52
"Penetrate Gay Ass offenses" Wrong forum Smut. I too like MSU because ND QB is no better then he was when he got benched way back. The MSU QB just needs to limit the stupid plays and manage the game for MSU to win. The points are icing on the cake. I bet with a local book so I don't get ML. When everybody likes a game it makes me think we have been manipulated by the odds makers. But I have had this one circled for a few weeks and following the progress of each team. ND can't put teams away and with MSU's D the score should be as tight a penetrating a mouse's ear? Not sure if that works but sounds good! Peace and GL
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09-19-13 12:14 PM #53
lol. didnt know you couldnt say . sp.read. either....meant to say spre.ad. ya I know man I feel the same way but more often than not its not the case. the lines are set to the general betting public and notre dame historically since Ive been betting (*especially around 06-09*) has always has skewed inflated lines IMO...this information though you cant get from any public % website though its just information you get from watching a lot of games and following a lot of lines....for example usc is another one and theory is lots of money in southern california and its true the lines are set to make them the most money, not to predict the outcome of the game.
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09-19-13 12:20 PM #54
are you freking kidding me.....down to +4.5 in my book and ML at +170....books made a big mistake in this one
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09-19-13 12:37 PM #55
Seems we are not the only ones that like the points. I am old school hard bookie have a beer Sat. morning BS with the guys get our picks in and call in the late games. Hardly ever am I on the receiving end of extra points by weeks end. Still happy to get some points I like MSU to win it outright.
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09-20-13 02:26 AM #56
I'm not a huge fan of Warner personally, and Bollman is pretty much just sitting there, picking his nose and taking up space. With that being said, it's an upgrade from Roushar. Originally Posted by Smutbucket
I just hope Cook doesn't go too bi-polar in his first road start.
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09-20-13 02:28 AM #57
And you're sitting there with a +7 ticket. Originally Posted by Smutbucket
are you freking kidding me.....down to +4.5 in my book and ML at +170....books made a big mistake in this one
More often than not, that's a huge advantage. You've already done your job. Now hopefully MSU does theirs.
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09-20-13 02:31 AM #58
Bollman is the worst coach in history of CF. As a Buckeye fan, I hated each and every week we took the field with him being our offensive cord under Tressel. OMG I can't stand him. When he left and found out that he went to Maryland for 1 year, then crapped out there, and ended up at MSU, I just laughed. Go to MSU 24/7 site and the 1st 2 weeks it was a meltdown from the fans on how Bollman was the worst coaching hire ever. Originally Posted by No coincidences
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09-21-13 07:14 AM #59
NCAAF Week 4 Full Card:
Michigan State +7 (-125) Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units
Clemson -15.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team ML Parlay (+273) : Clemson (-600) + Michigan St (+220) Risking 1 unit to win 2.73 units
Texas A&M 1st Half -17 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Pitt (-4) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Stanford -7 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Auburn Team Total Under 17.5 (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit
Tulane +17 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
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09-21-13 09:56 AM #60
It's amazing how some of these guys get recycled despite past failures. Originally Posted by Poison-Nut
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09-21-13 10:05 AM #61
Right? -like the CEO of Carnival Cruise, who experienced an exponential increase in net worth last year, although his company was a total clusterfxxk, complete with cruises stranded in the middle of the ocean with no plumbing, no water, rampant disease, etc. What the fxxk? Originally Posted by No coincidences
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09-21-13 10:06 AM #62
Nothing to do with football, really. Tangent. Sorry.
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09-21-13 10:08 AM #63
Good luck, bros!
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09-21-13 06:50 PM #64
anyone watch msu game? what bs....only saw 1st half and saw 3-4 pass interferences on 3rd and longs and even on 4th and 1...nds total offense gained was from penalties.......tommy rees is even more terrible than I expected....missed 2nd half....real pissed they lost
backdoored on pitt.....very frustrated at the moment
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09-22-13 09:05 AM #65
NFL Week 3 Fulll Card:
Redskins +1 (-110) Risking 2.2 units to win 2 units
texans -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
packers ml (-150) Risking 1.5 units to win 1 units
dolphins ml (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
steelers +3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
bills +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
49ers 1st half -7 (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit
falcons TT under 21.5 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
6 pt Teaser: Vikings -2 and Saints -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
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09-23-13 07:07 AM #66
day results: 1-8 -8.8 units Originally Posted by Smutbucket
eeesh......NFL.....goal for NFL now this season is to just dig myself out of this huge hole....for some reason I been playing A LOT more NFL plays this year and Im paying the price for it....sorry If anyone tailed....didn't know I was capable of having THAT BAD of a week...Last edited by Smutbucket; 09-23-13 at 07:30 AM.
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09-23-13 07:09 AM #67
week 4 ncaaf results: 3-5 -1.3 units Originally Posted by Smutbucket
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09-23-13 07:19 AM #68
Betting Review:
NCAAF:
Week 1: 7-5 + 4 units
Week 2: 6-3 + 3.85 units
Week 3: 6-4 + 1.55 units
Week 4: 3-5 - 1.3 units
Ncaaf Total: 22-17 +8.1 units
NFL:
Week 1: 4-5 + 0 units
Week 2: 3-6 - 5.85 units
Week 3: 1-8 - 8.8 units
NFL Total: 8-19 -14.65 units
Thread total: 30-36 -6.55 units
Still a long season left....plenty of time to turn this ship around....need to be WAY MORE conservative in NFL.....
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09-23-13 11:43 AM #69
Locking in a couple early while lines are where I want them to be......biggest bet of year on lsu
Week 5 NCAAF Card:
LSU +3 (-120) Risking 3 units to win 2.5 units
Oklahoma -3.5 (-115) Risking 2.3 units to win 2 units
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09-27-13 10:40 PM #70
Week 5 NCAAF Card:
LSU +3 (-120) Risking 3 units to win 2.5 units
Oklahoma -3.5 (-115) Risking 2.3 units to win 2 units
LSU ML (+145) Risking 1 unit to win 1.45 units
Oklahoma ML (-180) Risking .9 units to win .5 units
WKU +3.5 (-120) Risking .6 units to win .5 units
U of Miami -18 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
UCONN pk (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Stanford -10 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Arizona St -4 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
Texas A&M -13.5 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
might add one or 2 tmrw morning.....
best of luck all
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