1. 10-12-09 10:10 AM #36
    JimmyJet
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    Thanks Pags....6-1 really sweet. With my Arkansas play went 7-1 on college....best weekend of the season for me. Good thing I decided to follow all your plays this weekend instead of just the one planned originall...Wisconsin which turned out to be the only loser. FYI is the first week I played only your picks (plus Arkansas). Looking for another good week. Best of luck!!
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  2. 10-12-09 11:03 AM #37
    polson22
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    UAB is a classic "under the radar" team. terrible for years. pretty good this year.
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  3. 10-12-09 12:06 PM #38
    pags11
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    Play Number Three:

    Kentucky +13 (-102) for 3 units
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  4. 10-12-09 12:07 PM #39
    pags11
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    Play Number Four:

    SMU +7 (+100) for 3 units
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  5. 10-12-09 12:15 PM #40
    pags11
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    Play Number Five:

    Utah State +10 (-103) for 3 units
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  6. 10-12-09 01:02 PM #41
    cashflow50
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    I'm thinking one of your plays will be wisky...look good so far pags
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  7. 10-12-09 01:27 PM #42
    pags11
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    bigcat1,



    marabdl86,


    JimmyJet,

    congrats...
    polson22,

    I see you workin'...
    cashflow50,

    won't be on Wisconsin this week...
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  8. 10-12-09 01:31 PM #43
    mcnugget84
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    SMU for the third str8 week Lets Get It!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  9. 10-12-09 01:37 PM #44
    pags11
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    mcnugget84,

    that's what I'm talking about!...
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  10. 10-12-09 01:45 PM #45
    MSUSpartan32
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    Really liking the Kentucky line and the way that team is playing. Surprised you aren't on the Badgers.....best of luck again this week.
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  11. 10-12-09 01:50 PM #46
    jellobiafra
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    Pags thanks for the money last week.

    Does it feel good? Yeah. It does.

    Let's get it again this week.
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  12. 10-12-09 01:55 PM #47
    bypp
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    Hey pags,
    Congrats on a success last week. Already likin your 5 plays so far again. I know its goin to be another killer weekend.

    If you don't mind my asking, any insight on Minnesota +16.5, Notre Dame +12, or Arizona St. -3?

    --I really think Minn can hang with PSU and do not think they're actually too bad of a team. I think this is just flat out too many points.
    --Notre Dame has a lot of talent and I believe will lose to USC, however I really think they can keep it within a TD.
    --ASU has a great D and Washington's D is nothing to get excited about. I really think this is will be a big difference-maker.

    Thanks for your time, your work is always appreciated, lets get 'em this weekend!!!
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  13. 10-12-09 02:01 PM #48
    pags11
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    Play Number Six:

    Louisville +11.5 (-101) for 3 units
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  14. 10-12-09 02:05 PM #49
    oda11
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    Pags, what is the lowest number you would take Louisville at? I have it at +10.5 now. Thanks!

    And good luck!
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  15. 10-12-09 02:06 PM #50
    pags11
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    MSUSpartan32,

    jelllo,

    you're welcome...it's just what I do man, it's just what I do...
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  16. 10-12-09 02:11 PM #51
    pags11
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    bypp,

    out of the three games I think Minnesota is the most solid, although I wouldn't touch the game...I'd like to think Notre Dame is an alright play, but I just don't like betting against Pete Carroll and USC...a good friend of mine, gyno, really likes ASU this week although I do not have a strong opinion on the game...gyno knows his stuff though...

    oda11,

    I would still play Louisville at 10.5...
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  17. 10-12-09 02:14 PM #52
    oda11
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    Thank you!
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  18. 10-12-09 02:15 PM #53
    bypp
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    I lean to Minn and ASU the most. I really like them. I do agree going against USC and Pete Carroll is kind of unsettling. I struggle to get a read on Notre Dame. Sometimes I think theyre really growing and developing and other times they just confuse me. Thank you very much for the input, I really appreciate it. GL!!!!
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  19. 10-12-09 02:53 PM #54
    blunt5619
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    Pags would you still play Utah St. at +9?
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  20. 10-12-09 03:07 PM #55
    pags11
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    bypp,

    blunt5619,

    yes...
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  21. 10-12-09 03:10 PM #56
    aznjeff07
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    most of these lines for your picks are moving in favor of you on my book with exception of maybe 2-3 games
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  22. 10-12-09 03:22 PM #57
    pags11
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    aznjeff07,

    ...waiting for my last game to hit a key number...not sure it's going to get there but we'll see...
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  23. 10-12-09 03:42 PM #58
    aznjeff07
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    jc but why the smu play? that one has me worried
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  24. 10-12-09 03:54 PM #59
    pags11
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    aznjeff,

    I'll have my thoughts on the game on Thursday...
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  25. 10-12-09 03:59 PM #60
    aznjeff07
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    ok sorry, i remember you posting reasons why but couldn't remember when
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  26. 10-12-09 04:03 PM #61
    pags11
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    aznjeff,
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  27. 10-12-09 04:11 PM #62
    ImBettor
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    thanks for your effors pags! it's much appreciated

    quick question: I'm working with a 100u bankroll. I put 1u on SMU +7. My line just moved to 7.5. Would you recommend tossing another one on?
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  28. 10-12-09 04:12 PM #63
    shrax4
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    Nicely done last week. You said you expected a great weekend, and you certainly weren't wrong. Think we get the same results this weekend too?
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  29. 10-12-09 04:20 PM #64
    pags11
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    ImBettor,

    my advice would be to stick with the play and not add more to it, as I'm not a big believer in adding to a play just because you can now get a better line...if you planned on it being a one unit play, which it appears you did, then stick with it...

    shrax,

    ...I think you already know the answer...
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  30. 10-12-09 04:24 PM #65
    ImBettor
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    Quote Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
    ImBettor,

    my advice would be to stick with the play and not add more to it, as I'm not a big believer in adding to a play just because you can now get a better line...if you planned on it being a one unit play, which it appears you did, then stick with it...

    shrax,

    ...I think you already know the answer...
    yea, normally I stick to this method of thought as well, but 7 to 7.5 is one of the most significant .5 point line movements you can get. The extra value is a tad exponential, right?
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  31. 10-12-09 04:30 PM #66
    pags11
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    imbettor,

    of course anytime you can get 7.5 compared to 7 it adds value...the way I looked at this game is that I felt it lost significant value at 6.5, thus 7 was a key number for me...I've learned not to be greedy over the years in grabbing lines, make a line that you think is fair value for a game and play the game at that number or close to it...most of the times in the past when I would get greedy, waiting for a line to go up a point, the majority of the time it would work against me...just speaking from experience...
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  32. 10-12-09 05:00 PM #67
    Superman455
    Drinkin ANOTHER Beer...
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    Great Week Pags...looking forward to the write-ups as usual
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  33. 10-12-09 05:05 PM #68
    pags11
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    superman,

    ...glad to hear it, just as I look forward to seeing your avatar each week
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  34. 10-12-09 05:11 PM #69
    xyzky
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    Quote Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
    Play Number Five:

    Utah State +10 (-103) for 3 units
    Undervalued team still this year!
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  35. 10-12-09 05:13 PM #70
    oda11
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    Quote Originally Posted by pags11 View Post
    superman, ...glad to hear it, just as I look forward to seeing your avatar each week
    Superman, can you please post more often?
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