[pags11]

Hello forum,

Here are my plays for bowl season. Please understand that I play these games very lightly, as most of you understand my wagering/ money management system. Tread lightly during the bowls and good luck. Here they are:

NIU +13 (1/2 unit)
Oregon +5.5 (1/2 unit)
Troy +8.5
ECU +4
SJSU +7
Tulsa +5.5
Mid. Tenn. St. +11
UCLA -5.5 (1/2 unit)
Alabama +4 (1/2 unit)
Kansas St. +8
Texas A&M +5
Kentucky +11
Missouri +3.5 (1/2 unit)
Houston +7
Purdue +4 (1/2 unit)
Minnesota +8 (1/2 unit)
Navy +7
Iowa +11.5
Georgia +3
Nevada +3 (1/2 unit)
Nebraska +3
Penn St. +6.5 (1/2 unit)
Wisconsin +2
Georgia Tech +7.5 (1/2 unit)
USC +3
Boise St. +7.5
Wake Forest +9
Notre Dame +8.5
WMU +8.5
Ohio +7.5 (1/2 unit)
Florida +7.5

It's been a lot of fun this year and I'm sure we'll have some fun during bowl season. Special thanks to razz, buddy and imgv for helping me cap the games this season. Gonna really start concentrating on college hoops now. Take care guys. GLTA.

pags11

[dave11486]

I like most of them man especially Bama, Kentucky, Houston, Iowa, and Wake. GL Pags.

[imgv94]

pags my brother what are you doing playing Notre Dame?

Call me later bro, I have LSU big man.. I have 100s of reasons why as well..

[bigboydan]

Only 1 favorite I see Pags.

I still have to cap these games myself, but I'm liking quite a few of your selections.

Good luck bro

[pags11]

dave,

thanks bud...GL to you...

imgv,

can't trust Myles laying that many vs. Charlie...feel like the line should be more like -5.5...will call you later...

dan,

thank you my friend...GL to you as well...

[imgv94]

I would take LSU -14 if it were available..

[Checkerboard]

pags, that's quite a kennel of bowl picks . . .

best holiday wishes to you and yours!

[hawk 5]

Pags, I don't suppose you know the covering % of dogs in the bowl games over say that last 5-10 years do you? Thanks for posting your plays this year, i've learned a hell of a lot.

[austintx05]

Good luck buddy

[BuddyBear]

Good luck Pags...thanks for the words of encouragement last night.

[Seattle Slew]

I always play underdogs in these bowl games. Three dogs jump out at me. Texas A&M, Georgia Tech and Alabama.

Georgia Tech's defense is terrific, and the best remedy for their awful offense could be the awful West Virginia defense.

Texas A&M could be 10-1 with a little luck. They lost two 1-point games to Nebraska and Oklahoma and played terrific to beat Texas.

Alabama will improve instantly with Mike Shula gone. The defensive coordinator likely won't get the job, but the players will want to have him stick for the next coach, so they will likely play hard for him in this bowl game.

[pags11]

checkerboard,

thanks very much...happy holidays to you as well...

austin,

thanks and GL to you as well my friend...

hawk,

I'm not sure of the exact percentage over the last five years, but last year I was 3-3 with my favorite plays and 15-5 with my underdog plays...thank you...keep up the good work yourself as well...GL...

buddy,

no problem at all...I know you'll help me out in hoops once you get back going...GL...

seattle slew,

I agree with your thoughts on all three of those games...GL...

[Philavanh]

GL Pags, I'll be laying on a few of those games myself.

[bigboydan]

Pags, Any ML's in these games you feel is worth taking a shot with?

[taurus]

pags- first let me congratulate you on your new exalted status over at Covers. You may have missed my post over there.You are among a very select few.

second- let me congratulate you on your win over The Prick last week.

finally- I just scrolled thru your pix because I see no hurry to bet on these games myself, and more plus than minus in waiting before investing. I agree with your 'go lightly' BTW. I will come back later and judge your selections after I make my tentative decisions.
Meanwhile, let me ask you what I have asked others - \
'What's the hurry" ? These games are not going to go away. There's weeks left to decide. If you care to explain, I'd love to hear it, and win em all- baby. !!

[pags11]

phil,

thank you bud...I believe you had yourself a pretty good season...let's finish things up on a good note...

dan,

pretty much any dog on the ML at say a 1/5 unit is worth a shot...just make sure they aren't big units...

taurus,

I really appreciate the congratulations on becoming a "true degenerate" over at covers...thanks...

also thanks regarding beating the prick...we'll see how I fare now since I know nothing about the NFL...

regarding the bowl game picks...this is the second year I've done it right when the lines came out...my feeling is that I've had 14 weeks to learn about these teams, and since I'm not betting a whole lot on these games (compared to what I did in the regular season), my plan is to go on first instinct...also, it helps me clear my head and focus on college hoops...the two to three week stretch where I have to cap both college hoops and college football gets to be a little much...I've felt a lot better with my stress level since I made my bowl picks...hit me up with anything else you have and GL during the bowl season...

[Justin7]

I like the plays... Dogs do very well in Bowl games, especially dd dogs.

UCLA... not only did the knock of USC, but they are part of the toughest conference (Pac 10) in NCAAF. If you pick one favorite, I like them, especially against a perennially overrated Florida State this year.

[austintx05]

PAC10 - toughest conference

I never thought I would ever heard those two words together.

I am gonna walk away and not bash the moderator here, but I strongly disagree with this statement.

[pags11]

justin,

thanks for your thoughts...I really do think FSU is done...with QB Olson coming back, UCLA has a lot to look forward to next year...also, don't think many FSU fans will be making it out to San Francisco...

[nevadaside]

pags my brother what are you doing playing Notre Dame?

Call me later bro, I have LSU big man.. I have 100s of reasons why as well..

imgv,
I wouldn't mind seeing a few of those reasons here if you're down with that. I have no faith in ND, never have all season long, same as USC. Thinking of riding LSU on this one.

[taurus]

regarding the bowl game picks...this is the second year I've done it right when the lines came out...my feeling is that I've had 14 weeks to learn about these teams, and since I'm not betting a whole lot on these games (compared to what I did in the regular season), my plan is to go on first instinct

VEry very interesting, pags. I find myself doing the same thing over the course of the season with my 1-AA plays, which are by far my most successful.
Good luck.
When I get ready to make some decisions, I will surely come back to this thread. As an aside, I don't see you posting at CTG very much. I've been drifting away myself. I'm finding more to offer right here.

[Seattle Slew]

I'm liking FSU here. Bowden is still amazing in bowl games, as evidenced again last year when taking an inferior team into the Orange Bowl and almost beating Penn State.

I liked the way FSU played against Florida. They were down 14-0 early and could have quit but didn't. If they lose they'll finish 6-7 for a losing season.

UCLA may have a letdown. They won their big game against USC.

I like the plays... Dogs do very well in Bowl games, especially dd dogs.

UCLA... not only did the knock of USC, but they are part of the toughest conference (Pac 10) in NCAAF. If you pick one favorite, I like them, especially against a perennially overrated Florida State this year.

[pags11]

thanks taurus...GL...

seattle slew, I just can't trust that team with my money right now...FSU has some major issues right now...maybe they'll get it together in time for the bowl game, but I'm guessing not...

[pags11]

0-.5 so far...gotta re-group after NIU's performance...

[bigboydan]

I praying you don't go 0-2 out of the gate bro, because i'm on the ducks as well in that game.

[pags11]

good to hear dan...GL...

[imgv94]

0-.5 so far...gotta re-group after NIU's performance...

No juice on your plays?

[pags11]

imgv,

yeah, in my rush I forgot to post juice...most plays (90%) are at -105 as I got these lines at pinny right when they came out...

for arguments sake, I'm 0-1 now (with a little juice)...

[imgv94]

Actually 0-2 right now bro...

Not trying to give you a hard time just reminding you.

[pags11]

imgv,

each of my first two games was for a half unit each bud...thus, the 0-1 record (in terms of units)...

[pags11]

it's probably more like 0-2 w/l, -1.05 units...

[imgv94]

Nice line on Troy BTW +8.5

Now down to -4/4.5 at most places.. SHARP

[hawk 5]

Damn nice line on SJST +7. Down to 3.5. Need you to hit them all Saturday, pags.

[pags11]

hawk,

that'd be nice...1-2, -.05 units...

[imgv94]

Don't really have to check back cause you have all dogs other than UCLA..