1. #1
    No coincidences
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    Isn't 52 high for tonight's total?

    I figured it'd be in the 46-48 range. Makes me want to hit the over.

  2. #2
    Cuse0323
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    I think it's right on, I see it being a 31-21 type game. I would lean towards the over, I think Pitt puts up the 30+.

  3. #3
    Donnie Brasco
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    Nc i agree, tonights total is high. South fl allowing 17 ppg, and pitt only 22. We just saw pitt hold a nd offense that was avg something like 450 yds per game to 15 pts, and we know sth fla d means business. I wouldnt b surprised to see a 17-13 kind of game, lean to usf.

  4. #4
    Donnie Brasco
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    Why would u hit the over based on ur analysis and the line at 52?

  5. #5
    BiffTFinancial
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    any total is high when the field you're playing on is essentially dog food covered in green spray paint.

  6. #6
    5mike5
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    usf wins this game and i just CANT see this total going anywhere close to 52

  7. #7
    cant call it
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    If you think 52 is high and think the game will be in 46-48 range wouldn't you rather take the under?

  8. #8
    Hall2Collie
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    Seems incredibly high especially considering it is being played at Heinz Field.

  9. #9
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Donnie Brasco View Post
    Why would u hit the over based on ur analysis and the line at 52?
    Because it's a suspicious number.

    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    any total is high when the field you're playing on is essentially dog food covered in green spray paint.

  10. #10
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I figured it'd be in the 46-48 range. Makes me want to hit the over.
    seems right...s.florida's offense is pretty explosive and dave wannstedt teams are usually nfl type running/defensive teams.

  11. #11
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by cant call it View Post
    If you think 52 is high and think the game will be in 46-48 range wouldn't you rather take the under?
    Because it's a setup.

  12. #12
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    seems right...s.florida's offense is pretty explosive and dave wannstedt teams are usually nfl type running/defensive teams.
    But Tulsa's ex-coach is there now, and he runs a spread doesn't he? Graham I think is his name.

  13. #13
    Vin_vermillion
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    Hienz field is no longer the crap turf that used to be there. it is the new semi artificial stuff. dont base your play on the turf.

  14. #14
    ebbearsfb1
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    Yeah..its hhigh cause 2 of south florida game have reached 70s already.. yeah its graham... and pitt has yet to get going offensive and learned this system... if you think its a off number just lay off

  15. #15
    SBRMAN23
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    Suppose to rain all day won't be much throwing in this game

  16. #16
    BigdaddyQH
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    I would wait and see if any action comes in late to swing this line one way or the other.

  17. #17
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    But Tulsa's ex-coach is there now, and he runs a spread doesn't he? Graham I think is his name.
    dave w is out?

  18. #18
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Because it's a setup.
    dude....stop thinking like this. go with the under if your total is 46

  19. #19
    Pick'nParlays
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    follow your gut dude

  20. #20
    cant call it
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Because it's a setup.

  21. #21
    BigDofBA
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    Under looks way too obvious.

    USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

    Pitt is similar.

    I see a defensive struggle with a lot of running plays called.

    I figured the total would be like 44-45. Since it's much higher, that means my whole line of thinking must be incorrect.

    In other words, if the total was set lower, I would definitely take the under but since it's high for these teams, it makes me think the game goes over.

  22. #22
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Under looks way too obvious.

    USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

    USF is averaging 46ppg through 4 games this year

  23. #23
    justwinthisone
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    under for 1st half.....pitt does not play d in the 4th

  24. #24
    ebbearsfb1
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    if anything they want you to take the over

  25. #25
    BigDofBA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    USF is averaging 46ppg through 4 games this year
    Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame.

    They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers.

    I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced.

    I see them in the 20s tonight.

  26. #26
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame.

    They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers.

    I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced.

    I see them in the 20s tonight.
    what are you playing? i nailed down usf for 1u at -2.5. i actually like it more then that, but had a bad week in baseball so will just play it for a small amount.

  27. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Under looks way too obvious.

    USF plays good defense but their offense doesn't really score much or often.

    Pitt is similar.

    I see a defensive struggle with a lot of running plays called.

    I figured the total would be like 44-45. Since it's much higher, that means my whole line of thinking must be incorrect.

    In other words, if the total was set lower, I would definitely take the under but since it's high for these teams, it makes me think the game goes over.
    Exactly.

  28. #28
    BigDan
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    i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

    also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
    Points Awarded:

    Dexter gave BigDan 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  29. #29
    Luv2Play2
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    thanks dan

    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

    also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
    im so damn tired of reading the same ole BS.. im just hoping to find a few more validated reasons to make a play.. and find myself sorting thru such nonsense as square/sharp..traps... WTF...a bunch of bored ass, no life knotheads.. bol to all of you L2P2

  30. #30
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Against Ball State, FAMU, UTEP, and Notre Dame. They only scored 23 against Notre Dame and most of that was set up by Notre Dame turnovers. I don't think they are that great offensively. Their average points per game is inflated early in the year do to the weak competition they have faced. I see them in the 20s tonight.

    this line of thinking is retarded



    Stanford is only 21 point favorites against UCLA this weekend when everybody is projecting them to win by 24-35. Do u think that UCLA is all of a sudden a good play because Vegas chose to give away free $$$$????



    and i don't think this is a particularly low total. USF has a good offense, I got them winning this game like 31-21 so it seems right on point to me

  31. #31
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDan View Post
    i had it at 47 therefor i played the under. maybe my number is off but whatever then so be it. i find it much better to set the number then play accordingly than to be looking around for mysterious "traps", voodoo, or whatever magic trick you wanna call it. if im wrong so be it, i can live with making a mistake on my capping a lot quicker than betting a side or total based off these theories on "traps", "sharp/square', percentage of bets, or any other nonsense.

    also on USF-2....BOL whatever you decide.
    Good luck.

    No play for me. Might take Pitt at +3, but I'm not sure.

  32. #32
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luv2Play2 View Post
    im so damn tired of reading the same ole BS.. im just hoping to find a few more validated reasons to make a play.. and find myself sorting thru such nonsense as square/sharp..traps... WTF...a bunch of bored ass, no life knotheads.. bol to all of you L2P2
    So you'd rather trust a bunch of yokels on an anonymous message board than the people who actually set the lines for a living?


  33. #33
    Holdin Aces
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    I don't see this game getting anywhere near 52. I also think USF wins as well. Good luck whatever you guys decide to do.

  34. #34
    keel44
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    The total is high because S Florida dropped a 70 then a 52 the previous 2 games.

  35. #35
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    So you'd rather trust a bunch of yokels on an anonymous message board than the people who actually set the lines for a living?

    not everyone is a "yokel"



    not quite sure how you can "trust" a lines-maker

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