[Dexter]

The total is high because S Florida dropped a 70 then a 52 the previous 2 games.

winner winner chicken dinner....

its really not that complicated. too many people are caught up in reading between the lines instead of breaking down the game.

[No coincidences]

[t-bone]

Great thread my man, the public has no idea

[sportfan]

over is not a winner yet

[letsgo]

Stop betting unders.

[No coincidences]

Great thread my man, the public has no idea

Thanks pal.

[BigDofBA]

this line of thinking is retarded

Stanford is only 21 point favorites against UCLA this weekend when everybody is projecting them to win by 24-35. Do u think that UCLA is all of a sudden a good play because Vegas chose to give away free $$$$????

and i don't think this is a particularly low total. USF has a good offense, I got them winning this game like 31-21 so it seems right on point to me

I guess my line of thinking wasn't so retarded.

I tried to tell people I wasn't impressed with USF's offense. Does anyone actually watch teams play or do they just go off of stats? Running the score up against Ball State, UTEP, and FAMU doesn't really tell me a lot.

No coin pretty much nailed this one. The funny thing is, I was all set to take the under and I would have if it was set at like 47,48, or 49. Having it set in the mid 50's caused me to lay off.

I'm kicking myself for not taking the over but at the same time, I saved myself money just by not playing this one.

[No coincidences]

No coin pretty much nailed this one. The funny thing is, I was all set to take the under and I would have if it was set at like 47,48, or 49. Having it set in the mid 50's caused me to lay off.

Some people see a number that's better than what they expect and put more money on their bet. I see it and typically either shy away or go the other direction.

I'd like to think I'm an above average capper, but I sure as hell can't hold a candle to the oddsmakers. Have to respect the numbers they post and assume there's a reason for it.

[Dexter]

Thanks pal.

lol? did you bet the over?

[brahmabull117]

Some people see a number that's better than what they expect and put more money on their bet. .

how the hell can you make any money betting on college football then if you don't capitalize on soft lines??



there's been lines every week in CFB that were too low by 4-10 points so far in the season (think Oregon last week @ Arizona) and these plays have covered at an incredible rate


the utep/houston game yesterday was another soft line - 65 point total for a matchup that's averaged around 80 the last 8 years or so, u kidding me??

[Dexter]

how the hell can you make any money betting on college football then if you don't capitalize on soft lines??

there's been lines every week in CFB that were too low by 4-10 points so far in the season (think Oregon last week @ Arizona) and these plays have covered at an incredible rate

the utep/houston game yesterday was another soft line - 65 point total for a matchup that's averaged around 80 the last 8 years or so, u kidding me??

i completely agree....i thought that total last night should have been 70-72, and i went 3u on it.

listen....everyone has different approaches, and obviously what nocoin believes in has worked so far this year.

[brahmabull117]

i completely agree....i thought that total last night should have been 70-72, and i went 3u on it. listen....everyone has different approaches, and obviously what nocoin believes in has worked so far this year.

he's a good handicapper, he would be a great handicapper if he dropped this "sharp betting" "public fading" nonsense


he doesn't win because of that, he wins because he understands situational matchups in sports, which is what it's all about anyways



vegas doesn't determine outcome of games, the teams on the field do. Why waste energy trying to figure out what linemakers are doing instead of watching the product on the field?