1. 02-24-12 10:15 AM #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    UFC 145 (April 21 2012)

    • Jon Jones vs. Rashad Evans
    • Ben Rothwell vs. Brendan Schaub
    • Mark Bocek vs. Matt Wiman
    • Michael McDonald vs. Miguel Torres
    • Chris Clements vs. Keith Wisniewski
    • Maximo Blanco vs. Marcus Brimage
    • Mark Hominick vs. Eddie Yagin
    • Rory MacDonald vs. Che Mills
    • Travis Browne vs. Chad Griggs
    • Matt Brown vs. Stephen Thompson
    • John Makdessi vs. Anthony Njokuani
    • Mac Danzig vs. Efrain Escudero
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  2. 02-24-12 10:15 AM #2
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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  3. 02-24-12 12:07 PM #3
    Vitooch
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    Maybe ill take a stab at Schaub? The Macdonald and Jones line are too steep, and Mcdonald Torres may be too close to bet on.
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  4. 02-24-12 12:41 PM #4
    Hannibal
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    At first glance i like
    Wiman, Blanco, Njokuani, and danzig
    I think the odds may be close on a few of these and I'd gladly take any of these guys as dogs
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  5. 02-27-12 01:13 AM #5
    PS3
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    Jon Jones FTW!
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  6. 02-27-12 08:57 PM #6
    bipolar
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    looks like a good card for multiple parlays involving jones
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  7. 03-11-12 06:58 AM #7
    GunShard
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    Anyone else thinks that Rashad Evans could defeat Jon Jones? Evans could expose Jones' chin.

    I also like Stephen Thompson on this card, he's an elite striker.
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  8. 03-11-12 08:26 AM #8
    PunisherIND
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    Anyone else thinks that Rashad Evans could defeat Jon Jones? Evans could expose Jones' chin.

    I also like Stephen Thompson on this card, he's an elite striker.

    if machida or rampage couldnt hurt him with strikes, i doubt rashad will.
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  9. 03-11-12 01:53 PM #9
    DSSCA
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    I'm all over Schaub. Won't make any plays until closer to the fight but I really like him in this spot.

    Looking at Hapa putting a big beating on Griggs. Look for Travis to finish early in the second after a feeler round in the first.

    Jones is way too long for Rashad. He utilizes his kicks and range very well. Plus his game plan is usually pretty solid. Maybe boring at times, but wins are wins.

    No time to elaborate on this post right now and I have a few more ideas for this card, will come back tonight and post
    GL ALL!
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  10. 03-27-12 01:03 PM #10
    PunisherIND
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    fyi, 5d released additional prop lines for rory mac/mills, mayday/torres, and schaub/rothwell.

    i made a small play on rory ITD -170
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  11. 03-27-12 01:35 PM #11
    sirchadwick1
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    Just took RoryMac via dec at +310.
    Last edited by sirchadwick1; 03-27-12 at 02:05 PM.
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  12. 03-27-12 01:47 PM #12
    Hannibal
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    McDonald wins by 3 round decision +247
    love this play! been waiting weeks for this line to come out
    if mcdonald wins it will be dec
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  13. 03-27-12 01:50 PM #13
    Hannibal
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    also liking this one..
    Schaub wins by 3 round decision* +370

    hunt couldnt put away rothwell after landing his biggest shots and even velasquez didnt lay him out
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  14. 03-27-12 02:01 PM #14
    PunisherIND
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hannibal View Post
    McDonald wins by 3 round decision +247
    love this play! been waiting weeks for this line to come out
    if mcdonald wins it will be dec
    interesting.. i think that line was +190ish when i saw it. it was tempting me as well. even moreso now.
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  15. 03-27-12 02:02 PM #15
    Hannibal
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    both of them dropped right after i maxed out
    lol
    good luck boys
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  16. 03-27-12 06:32 PM #16
    Kaladarus
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    I took all those props as well. Looks like great value to me.
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  17. 03-27-12 10:46 PM #17
    Vitooch
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    I could easily see Schaub TKOing a gassed Rothwell and McDonald pounding Mills with GnP and tapping him out. I prefer betting straight up unless I'm absolutely sure a fighter will win by decision or ITD. With that being said, Jones ITD at anything under -200 is insane value to me.
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  18. 03-28-12 12:11 AM #18
    fosho14
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    mark my words and quote me on this, michael mcdonald will win this fight. He is better everywhere. I am making a substantial play at +105.
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  19. 03-28-12 12:23 AM #19
    Vitooch
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    Good luck ^
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  20. 03-28-12 05:20 AM #20
    bjpenn85
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    how will mcdonald handle torres reach?
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  21. 03-28-12 05:26 AM #21
    Vaughany
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    Macdonald as also shown questionable cardio in the Figueroa and Cariaso fights, although granted they were fast paced fights
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  22. 03-28-12 05:42 AM #22
    bjpenn85
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    Does that include bjj skills?
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  23. 03-28-12 09:18 AM #23
    JoshB
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    Shaub not winning inside the distance looks good. His fight with Cro Cop almost went the distance, Couldn't finish Gonzaga either and Rothwell is very tough. The only guy to finish Rothwell in the UFC is Cain and that was a soft ass tko where he looked fine after wards.
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  24. 03-28-12 10:54 AM #24
    PunisherIND
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    5d opened the line for hominick/yagin... too juicy.
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  25. 03-28-12 10:56 AM #25
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by PunisherIND View Post
    5d opened the line for hominick/yagin... too juicy.
    Yeah, gonna wait for Hom by decision. He'll probably be extra cautious after tht massive error against KZ. Go back to using his jab and picking apart like against Garcia
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  26. 03-28-12 11:11 AM #26
    Beelzebubzy
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    I have about 4u on Bones inside
    I have rory and bones in a couple of parlays.
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  27. 03-28-12 11:52 AM #27
    Hannibal
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    how will mcdonald handle torres reach?
    Both his movement and handspeed are faster than torres. Mcdonald is not a small bw at 5'8. He also throws straight punches. A much smaller benevidaz was able to tag torres. Mizugaki was able to get his punches off. I think they are about the same size but mcd has quicker hands that flow smoother
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  28. 03-28-12 12:35 PM #28
    gabe
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    Keep betting Rory Mac, guys. Please, keep doing it.

    Drive that Mills line up for daddy. +400 now, would be nice to get him at +500 (maybe even +650) by fight time.
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  29. 03-28-12 12:50 PM #29
    Vitooch
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    You call yourself daddy? ^
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  30. 03-28-12 12:58 PM #30
    PunisherIND
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    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    Keep betting Rory Mac, guys. Please, keep doing it.

    Drive that Mills line up for daddy. +400 now, would be nice to get him at +500 (maybe even +650) by fight time.

    i like che mills as a fighter, but i dont see how he can win here. he's never faced anyone even close to rory's level. they should have brought him along a little slower, rather than throw him in there with rory in only his 2nd ufc fight. che doesnt have the tdd to stop rory from taking him down repeatedly. i think rory will eventually get the submission, but i wouldnt be completely surprised if he wins a lopsided decision.

    the best play will probably be rory points handicap b/c i dont see any other outcome besides a finish or a 30-27 decision.
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  31. 03-28-12 01:24 PM #31
    gabe
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    Quote Originally Posted by PunisherIND View Post
    i like che mills as a fighter, but i dont see how he can win here. he's never faced anyone even close to rory's level. they should have brought him along a little slower, rather than throw him in there with rory in only his 2nd ufc fight. che doesnt have the tdd to stop rory from taking him down repeatedly. i think rory will eventually get the submission, but i wouldnt be completely surprised if he wins a lopsided decision.

    the best play will probably be rory points handicap b/c i dont see any other outcome besides a finish or a 30-27 decision.
    Rory doesn't have a great chin. Given that Mills is a very strong and incredible technical striker, I would not be at all surprised if he finds a knockout within 15 minutes of action. Also would not be surprised if he wins by points.
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  32. 03-28-12 01:27 PM #32
    gabe
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    Dang, again I open my mouth and the line moves... at +390 now, lame...

    They're on to my every word.
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  33. 03-29-12 10:15 AM #33
    Conan
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    call me crazy i might take rashad at +415 jones has the edge but i think the line is inflated and there is value there.
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  34. 03-29-12 10:30 AM #34
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    Dang, again I open my mouth and the line moves... at +390 now, lame...

    They're on to my every word.
    haha
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  35. 03-29-12 10:31 AM #35
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    Rory doesn't have a great chin. Given that Mills is a very strong and incredible technical striker, I would not be at all surprised if he finds a knockout within 15 minutes of action. Also would not be surprised if he wins by points.
    What makes you think this? Not saying your wrong, I just haven't seen anything yet tht demonstrates this.
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