1. #176
    brian311
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    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
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  2. #177
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 1-0
    (A) 1-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 8-0
    (A) 4-3
    (B) 3-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/21 Miami Marlins (.492, AWAY)
    vs Mets (.532, HOME) Bet A +1.5 (-178 BetOnline 1:32PM ET on 5/21)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Worst road team filter- If the team you are betting on is a road team and in the bottom 10% of of losing road teams then you should pass on the series. Effectively he is saying the bottom 3 road teams. If they are the home team then it is okay to bet on them. The Marlins are tied for third worst road team.

    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    5/25 Los Angeles Angels
    vs Yankees
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals vs Pirates
    5/25 Chicago White Sox vs Tigers
    5/28 New York Mets vs Braves
    6/1 Texas Rangers vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

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  3. #178
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 1-0
    (A) 1-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 8-0
    (A) 4-5
    (B) 3-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/21 Miami Marlins (.492, AWAY)
    vs Mets (.532, HOME) Bet A Lost 0-2

    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/22 Miami Marlins (.490, AWAY)
    vs Mets (.534, HOME) Bet B +1.5 (-215 BetOnline 12:40PM ET on 5/22)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Worst road team filter- If the team you are betting on is a road team and in the bottom 10% of of losing road teams then you should pass on the series. Effectively he is saying the bottom 3 road teams. If they are the home team then it is okay to bet on them. The Marlins are tied for third worst road team.

    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    5/25 Los Angeles Angels
    vs Yankees
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals vs Pirates
    5/25 Chicago White Sox vs Tigers
    5/28 New York Mets vs Braves
    6/1 Texas Rangers vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

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  4. #179
    itzkvp
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    In the email it said the RPI is just low. Are they still tied for the 3rd worst road record ?

  5. #180
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by itzkvp View Post
    In the email it said the RPI is just low. Are they still tied for the 3rd worst road record ?

    Road Record:
    28. Miami Marlins 7-15
    29. Kansas City Royals 7-15
    30. Baltimore Orioles 5-19

  6. #181
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 1-0
    (A) 1-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 9-0
    (A) 4-5
    (B) 4-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/21 Miami Marlins (.492, AWAY)
    vs Mets (.532, HOME) Bet A Lost 0-2
    5/22 Miami Marlins (.490, AWAY)
    vs Mets (.534, HOME) Bet B Won! 5-1

    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    5/25 Los Angeles Angels
    vs Yankees
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals vs Pirates
    5/25 Chicago White Sox vs Tigers
    5/28 New York Mets vs Braves
    6/1 Texas Rangers vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

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  7. #182
    itzkvp
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    Can’t wait for Friday!

  8. #183
    VegasSummerBets
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    Official bet coming up!

  9. #184
    VegasSummerBets
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    6/11-6/18 looks very promising as well

  10. #185
    VegasSummerBets
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    Never mind about tomorrow's official game. Carlos Martinez is out.

  11. #186
    itzkvp
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    In the email they didnt include CHW for todays bet. Not sure why.

  12. #187
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 1-0
    (A) 1-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 9-0
    (A) 4-5
    (B) 4-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    OFFICIAL
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals (.512, AWAY)
    vs Pirates (.494, HOME) Bet A +1.5 (-180 BetOnline 12:14PM ET on 5/25)
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/25 Los Angeles Angels (.526, AWAY)
    vs Yankees (.547, HOME) Bet A +1.5 (+100 BetOnline 12:14PM ET on 5/25)
    5/25 Chicago White Sox (.427, AWAY)
    vs Tigers (.440, HOME) Bet A +1.5 (-205 BetOnline 12:14PM ET on 5/25)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series. The Cardinal's Carlos Martinez (pitcher) is currently injured. The White Sox's Carlos Rondon (pitcher) is currently injured.

    - Top 3 rpi filter- If the team you are betting against is rated top 3 in the rpi then you should pass on this series. The Red Sox are ranked #3 on the ESPN RPI chart. The Yankees are #2 on the RPI Rankings.

    - Worst road team filter- If the team you are betting on is a road team and in the bottom 10% of of losing road teams then you should pass on the series. Effectively he is saying the bottom 3 road teams. If they are the home team then it is okay to bet on them. The White Sox are the second worst road team.

    - Alternate Run Line Rule- If the team you are betting on is favored by up to -115 odds then you should buy the +1.5 alternate run line. On BetOnline, the Chicago White Sox are still the underdog at -107, but this may change by the time the game starts. The bet will be calculated via the closing odds. The odds in your book may vary.


    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    5/28 New York Mets
    vs Braves
    6/1 Texas Rangers vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros

  13. #188
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasSummerBets View Post
    Never mind about tomorrow's official game. Carlos Martinez is out.
    This stays an official series because the 2 requirements in the rules are fulfilled:

    3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI value (http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi) of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)


    The filters were made because those were the excuses JM made when a series lost. It basically helps us to reconsider our bet A amount or to skip the series.
    Last edited by betwithdaniel; 05-25-18 at 11:38 AM.

  14. #189
    betwithdaniel
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    Join Date: 07-27-16
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 1-0
    (A) 1-1
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 11-0
    (A) 6-5
    (B) 4-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    UNOFFICIAL
    OFFICIAL
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals (.512, AWAY)
    vs Pirates (.494, HOME) Bet A Lost 1-8
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/25 Los Angeles Angels (.526, AWAY)
    vs Yankees (.547, HOME) Bet A Won! 1-2
    5/25 Chicago White Sox (.427, AWAY)
    vs Tigers (.440, HOME) Bet A Won! 4-5

    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    OFFICIAL
    5/26 St. Louis Cardinals (.507, AWAY)
    vs Pirates (.497, HOME) Bet B ML (-118 BetOnline 12:42PM ET on 5/26)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series. The Cardinal's Carlos Martinez (pitcher) is currently injured.

    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    5/28 New York Mets
    vs Braves
    6/1 Texas Rangers vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

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  15. #190
    VegasSummerBets
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    Daniel, do you have an easy place to check and see when sweeps happen? I've just been googling 'MLB sweep news,' but I feel like there has to be a more efficient way.

  16. #191
    StackinGreen
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    Does this have a positive ROI? It's hard to figure when all that I see are records --- also the "official" vs "unofficial" is ripe for picking and choosing. I'm not making any accusations just wondering what people do or use, since there is obvious cost and benefit to conservative vs. more liberal risk scenarios, more vs. less action

    Anyone can PM me as well if they don't want to post here

  17. #192
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasSummerBets View Post
    Daniel, do you have an easy place to check and see when sweeps happen? I've just been googling 'MLB sweep news,' but I feel like there has to be a more efficient way.
    I use VegasInsider's website which shows the streak each team is on.

  18. #193
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Does this have a positive ROI? It's hard to figure when all that I see are records --- also the "official" vs "unofficial" is ripe for picking and choosing. I'm not making any accusations just wondering what people do or use, since there is obvious cost and benefit to conservative vs. more liberal risk scenarios, more vs. less action

    Anyone can PM me as well if they don't want to post here
    Each win is considered a 1 unit bet. Official plays, V2, and V3 are the actual betting guidelines. Unofficial plays are mainly for those who want to have more plays, but unofficial plays usually have multiple losses throughout the year. The previous years' results are here:

    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27769705

  19. #194
    VegasSummerBets
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    Duh, win streaks. Why didn't I think of that.

    Marlins​ @ Nats 7/5
    Points Awarded:

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  20. #195
    Brundle99
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    NYM ML-145 @ Bet365

  21. #196
    SpookyFellow
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    Is it an official game tonight?

  22. #197
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by betwithdaniel View Post
    Each win is considered a 1 unit bet. Official plays, V2, and V3 are the actual betting guidelines. Unofficial plays are mainly for those who want to have more plays, but unofficial plays usually have multiple losses throughout the year. The previous years' results are here:
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27769705
    Just so I'm clear, if at any time the team you are playing is a dog, you go +1.5, if favorite, you bet ML to win a unit. What would you do if you had a +1.5 game 1 play that lost at -200 and you were down 2 units? Would you come back TO WIN 3 regardless of price (+1.5 or ML on your team next game)? Let's say they are a dog again and the +1.5 is -150, would you risk 450 to win 300 because you are trying to win a unit ($100 in this example) in game 2 and "close" the series?

  23. #198
    StackinGreen
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    For all the people that are skeptics of such a system, the argument has to be that if once in a while the team in question will get swept again, and you'll lose your ass. So my question is (since this is just a hyper conservative (run line) martingale system) how frequently do you get blown up? In my example above, you are betting to win $100 (1 unit). If you go 0-3 there you'll lose between 1300-1800. I think I've seen guys on other internet posts say therefore that you have to close that number of series on average, win 18 before you lose 1 to break even or make money. Sound right? It's amusing when you look at the math that way.
    Last edited by StackinGreen; 05-28-18 at 10:01 AM.

  24. #199
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 2-0
    (A) 1-1
    (B) 1-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 11-0
    (A) 6-5
    (B) 4-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    OFFICIAL
    5/25 St. Louis Cardinals (.512, AWAY)
    vs Pirates (.494, HOME) Bet A Lost 1-8
    5/26 St. Louis Cardinals (.507, AWAY)
    vs Pirates (.497, HOME) Bet B Won! 4-1

    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/28 New York Mets (.517, AWAY)
    vs Braves (.542, HOME) Bet A ML (-113 BetOnline 12:18PM ET on 5/28)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series. The Met's Yoenis Cespedes (hitter) is currently injured.

    - Top 3 rpi filter- If the team you are betting against is rated top 3 in the rpi then you should pass on this series. The Braves are ranked #3 on the ESPN RPI chart.

    - Alternate Run Line Rule- If the team you are betting on is favored by up to -115 odds then you should buy the +1.5 alternate run line. On BetOnline, the Mets are currently at -113 which means you should buy the +1.5 alternate run line. The bet will be calculated via the closing odds.


    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    6/1 Texas Rangers
    vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/5 Miami Marlins vs Nationals
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros

  25. #200
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Just so I'm clear, if at any time the team you are playing is a dog, you go +1.5, if favorite, you bet ML to win a unit. What would you do if you had a +1.5 game 1 play that lost at -200 and you were down 2 units? Would you come back TO WIN 3 regardless of price (+1.5 or ML on your team next game)? Let's say they are a dog again and the +1.5 is -150, would you risk 450 to win 300 because you are trying to win a unit ($100 in this example) in game 2 and "close" the series?
    That is correct.

    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    For all the people that are skeptics of such a system, the argument has to be that if once in a while the team in question will get swept again, and you'll lose your ass. So my question is (since this is just a hyper conservative (run line) martingale system) how frequently do you get blown up? In my example above, you are betting to win $100 (1 unit). If you go 0-3 there you'll lose between 1300-1800. I think I've seen guys on other internet posts say therefore that you have to close that number of series on average, win 18 before you lose 1 to break even or make money. Sound right? It's amusing when you look at the math that way.
    That sounds right. Blowups happen (for certain series more than others). This system is not fail proof. Please gamble at your own risk.

  26. #201
    spankmythighs
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    Thats why I have built in a recoup on an official loss. There have been official losses over the past 10 yrs but because I figured out the avg number of wins per loss (which is excellent) ratio my recoup falls well within that.

  27. #202
    VegasSummerBets
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    therefore that you have to close that number of series on average, win 18 before you lose 1 to break even or make money. Sound right? It's amusing when you look at the math that way.
    Yes, it sounds about right, but if you look at the history of official bets in this system it typically goes something like 42-0 or 44-1. And 18 units on a loss is really a worst-case scenario type of loss, you're not very likely to lose that much in the event of one or even two losses in a season.

    For unofficial bets you can choose to pass on the bet entirely, lower the amount you bet, or adjust your betting strategy to something you're more comfortable with. I've been betting run line on favorites and money line on underdogs for unofficial bets, and only betting the first two games of each series. I've taken two losses this season while playing the "official" way would leave you undefeated, but I've only lost 6 units (I flat bet one unit on the first game of the series and 2 units on the second), whereas I've won over 14 units from all the positive lines I enjoy with my 9-2 record.

  28. #203
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by betwithdaniel View Post

    That is correct.

    That sounds right. Blowups happen (for certain series more than others). This system is not fail proof. Please gamble at your own risk.
    I like that you are very open and honest about that. Thanks for the reply.

  29. #204
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasSummerBets View Post
    Yes, it sounds about right, but if you look at the history of official bets in this system it typically goes something like 42-0 or 44-1. And 18 units on a loss is really a worst-case scenario type of loss, you're not very likely to lose that much in the event of one or even two losses in a season.

    For unofficial bets you can choose to pass on the bet entirely, lower the amount you bet, or adjust your betting strategy to something you're more comfortable with. I've been betting run line on favorites and money line on underdogs for unofficial bets, and only betting the first two games of each series. I've taken two losses this season while playing the "official" way would leave you undefeated, but I've only lost 6 units (I flat bet one unit on the first game of the series and 2 units on the second), whereas I've won over 14 units from all the positive lines I enjoy with my 9-2 record.
    I think that's fair, I admit that seemed to be a pretty bad case, and most (just from what I know about series prices and RL in baseball) wouldn't be that bad if swept again.

    How many plays last year were "official"? How many are typical for an entire year? Thanks.

  30. #205
    betwithdaniel
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    Potential V3 play (Braves) on game 2 if Mets win game 1.

  31. #206
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by betwithdaniel View Post
    Potential V3 play (Braves) on game 2 if Mets win game 1.
    It would be a good play alone, sweeping a DH is always very tough, especially on the road, and without the same (de Grom) pitching advantage odds are Bravos take it home.

  32. #207
    betwithdaniel
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    How many plays last year were "official"? How many are typical for an entire year? Thanks.
    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...l#post27769705

  33. #208
    5918mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by betwithdaniel View Post
    Potential V3 play (Braves) on game 2 if Mets win game 1.

  34. #209
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 2-0
    (A) 1-1
    (B) 1-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 11-0
    (A) 6-6
    (B) 4-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/28 GM1 New York Mets (.517, AWAY)
    vs Braves (.542, HOME) Bet A Lost 3-4

    PLAYS
    *Please Read Filter Notes Before Betting*
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/28 GM2 New York Mets (.517, AWAY)
    vs Braves (.542, HOME) Bet B +1.5 (-160 BetOnline 5:48PM ET on 5/28)

    FILTER NOTES

    - Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series. The Met's Yoenis Cespedes (hitter) is currently injured.

    - Top 3 rpi filter- If the team you are betting against is rated top 3 in the rpi then you should pass on this series. The Braves are ranked #3 on the ESPN RPI chart.


    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    6/1 Texas Rangers
    vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/5 Miami Marlins vs Nationals
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

    VegasSummerBets gave betwithdaniel 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    mcmister gave betwithdaniel 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  35. #210
    betwithdaniel
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    MLB Sweep System 2018
    Official Season Series: 2-0
    (A) 1-1
    (B) 1-0
    (C) 0-0
    (D) 0-0

    Unofficial Season Series: 12-0
    (A) 6-6
    (B) 5-1
    (C) 1-0
    (D) 0-0

    V2 Series: 0-0
    (A) 0-0
    (B) 0-0
    (C) 0-0

    V3 Series: 4-0
    (A) 1-3
    (B) 3-0
    (C) 0-0


    RESULTS
    UNOFFICIAL
    5/28 GM1 New York Mets (.517, AWAY)
    vs Braves (.542, HOME) Bet A Lost 3-4
    5/28 GM2 New York Mets (.517, AWAY)
    vs Braves (.542, HOME) Bet B Won! 8-5

    RULES (including v2.0 and v3.0) - MLB Sweeps 2018 POST #6


    UPCOMING PLAYS
    6/1 Texas Rangers
    vs Angels
    6/1 San Francisco Giants vs Phillies
    6/4 Kansas City Royals vs Angels *POSTPONED SERIES*
    6/8 Cincinnati Reds
    vs Cardinals
    6/11 Milwaukee Brewers vs Cubs
    6/12 Oakland Athletics vs Astros
    6/14 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mets
    6/15 Chicago Cubs vs Cardinals
    6/18 New York Mets vs Rockies
    6/21 Chicago White Sox vs Athletics
    6/26 Los Angeles Angels vs Red Sox
    6/28 Cincinnati Reds vs Brewers
    6/29 Baltimore Orioles vs Angels
    7/5 Chicago White Sox vs Astros
    7/5 Miami Marlins vs Nationals
    7/6 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Phillies
    7/9 Miami Marlins vs Brewers
    7/9 Pittsburgh Pirates vs Nationals
    7/12 Minnesota Twins vs Rays
    7/12 Cleveland Indians vs Yankees
    7/26 Cincinnati Reds vs Phillies
    7/30 Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics
    8/2 Cincinnati Reds vs Nationals
    8/7 San Diego Padres vs Brewers
    8/13 Kansas City Royals vs Blue Jays
    8/20 Kansas City Royals vs Rays
    *SYSTEM ENDS AT THE END OF AUGUST*
    9/10 Minnesota Twins
    vs Yankees
    9/10 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Reds
    9/10 Atlanta Braves vs Giants
    9/11 Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
    9/27 Baltimore Orioles vs Astros
    Points Awarded:

    5918mike gave betwithdaniel 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    mcmister gave betwithdaniel 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


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