1. 03-30-18 08:51 AM #36
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Friday 3/30/18 MLB Plays

    ¤ Giants/Dodgers Under 7 +110
    __________________________

    Cueto has faced the Dodgers in LA 9 times and the only times the game went over 7 runs was in 2010 when he was still with the Reds. In those 9 games in LA, he only had to face Kershaw twice, so I believe Wood will be the 2nd best Pitcher he has faced in those games. It wouldn't surprise me to see LA do most of the damage here, cuz the Giants offense is pretty weak, so the TT might be a good play also.

    In 9 starts in LA vs the Dodgers for Cueto

    Runs Walks SO Hits XBH HR SII MRI IL LOB TLOB ODP SRA PU
    Team 2.67 2.78 7.56 7.56 1.11 0.44 2.00 0.56 2.78 13.11 6.67 0.70 2.44 3.20
    Opp 3.22 2.33 7.78 7.11 1.44 0.78 2.33 0.78 4.00 12.89 6.22 0.30 2.11 3.80
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 03-30-18 09:16 AM #37
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Tyler Skaggs 8-2 team record in April, 3-2 on the Road.
    Sean Manaea 2-4 team record in April, 2-2 at Home.


    Masahiro Tanaka 13-6 team record in April, 6-3 on the Road.
    Aaron Sanchez 4-8 team record in April, 2-4 at Home.


    Nick Pivetta 0-1 team record in April, 0-1 on the Road.
    Mike Foltynewicz 0-4 team record in April, 0-1 at Home.


    Tyler Anderson 3-3 team record in April, 2-2 on the Road.
    Robbie Ray 6-4 team record in April, 3-3 at Home.


    Johnny Cueto 23-20 team record in April, 11-10 on the Road.
    Alex Wood 5-14 team record in April, 2-4 at Home.


    Kyle Hendricks 7-6 team record in April, 4-3 on the Road.
    Caleb Smith 0-0 team record in April, 0-0 at Home.


    Jhoulys Chacin 13-10 team record in April, 6-7 on the Road.
    Joey Lucchesi 0-0 team record in April, 0-0 at Home.


    Dallas Keuchel 15-6 team record in April, 8-3 on the Road.
    Doug Fister 11-13 team record in April, 8-4 at Home.


    David Price 21-15 team record in April, 11-6 on the Road.
    Blake Snell 2-4 team record in April, 1-1 at Home.


    Max Scherzer 26-19 team record in April, 12-11 on the Road.
    Homer Bailey 8-12 team record in April, 6-4 at Home.


    Ivan Nova 13-8 team record in April, 5-4 on the Road.
    Jordan Zimmermann 23-14 team record in April, 13-8 at Home.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 03-30-18 12:02 PM #38
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Friday 3/30/18 MLB Plays

    ¤ Giants/Dodgers Under 7 +110
    __________________________
    ¤ Pirates -1 -105

    ___________________________

    Just looking at the lineups, I think the Pirates are the better team and I like Nova better than Zimmerman. Nova has been staring at his 6 game win-less streak all off season and showed up this year 10 lbs lighter. I'm liking the line movement, and I'm hoping the Tigers pick up where they left off last year at losing Home day games. GL!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 03-30-18 12:35 PM #39
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    whew, Nova settled down and started hitting his spots to get out of a bases loaded no out spot, nice!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 03-30-18 12:58 PM #40
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    served up some pretty pathetic meatballs that inning, smh
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 03-30-18 01:03 PM #41
    Regul8er
    Wordd
    Regul8er's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-06-07
    Posts: 10,666
    Betpoints: 4101

    Oh this Pittsburgh game is a longgggg wayy from being over man.....Zimmermann will eventually get touched up for a handful, and the bullpen will have trouble getting guys out all year. Pittsburgh could erupt for a 5 run inning at any time.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 03-30-18 05:45 PM #42
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    That game had about everything, fun one to watch, even though it last 5 1/2 hours. It feels extra good to get a win in extra innings after the luck I had with them last year.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 03-30-18 05:57 PM #43
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    I was wondering if there was ever a worse starting pitcher matchup for opening day than nova/Zimmerman? I'm sure there have been but certainly doesn't bode well for either team this season!! Lol, I see tigers pen is still a dumpster fire!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 03-30-18 06:03 PM #44
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Pitching was tough to watch, Braunt was at least able to get some guys out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 03-30-18 06:08 PM #45
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Friday 3/30/18 MLB Plays

    ¤ Giants/Dodgers Under 7 +110
    __________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    ¤ Pirates -1 -105

    ___________________________
    ¤ Phillies FF -108

    ______________________

    Wind blowing out pretty hard might not be good for Folty and Pivetta pitched pretty good against them last year. GL!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 03-30-18 06:28 PM #46
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Actually just did same play with phils ff. Got lucky w braves yesterday, big thank you to stupid manager for yanking Nola at under 70 pitches! How stupid was that? You could see bravos get a sparkle in their eyes when they took nova out for the suspect pen!! If we hit this ff might look to hit braves live! Lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 03-30-18 08:27 PM #47
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Pivetta just had to hit the guy with nobody on and 2 outs with a 0-2 count, damn push.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 03-30-18 08:45 PM #48
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Pivetta just had to hit the guy with nobody on and 2 outs with a 0-2 count, damn push.
    Can't believe he blew that, but at least Phils got one in 5th for push. Aggravates me when they go on to take lead in 6th. Hate that. Lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 03-30-18 09:50 PM #49
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Man so pissed after pushing ff I forgot bout my hit braves live when they got down idea. Think gonna fade phils often live when they leading in 5-6 inning, at least until they show ability to hold a lead, feel like that haunted them last year as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 03-31-18 05:59 AM #50
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Friday's Total Projections


    (Overall = 7-5) (Overs = 3-2) Unders = 4-3)


    HOU@TEX U9.5 (8.3) -1.2

    COL@ARI O8.5 (9.6) +1.1

    CHC@MIA U8.5 (8.0) -0.5

    PIT@DET U9.5 (9.0) -0.5

    SF@LAD U7.5 (7.1) -0.4

    PHI@ATL O9.0 (9.4) +0.4

    NYY@TOR U9.0 (8.6) -0.4

    BOS@TB U7.5 (7.3) -0.2

    WAS@CIN U8.5 (8.4) -0.1

    MIL@SD O8.0 (8.8) +0.8

    LAA@OAK U9.0 (7.8) -1.2
    9-1-1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 03-31-18 06:04 AM #51
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Friday 3/30/18 MLB Results

    2-0-1 for +2.10

    WIN - ¤ Pirates -1 -105
    PUSH - ¤ Phillies FF -108

    WIN - ¤ Giants/Dodgers Under 7 +110
    __________________________
    Season = 2-2 for +0.10
    ___________________________

    ML = 0-2 for -2.00
    (Dogs = 0-2 for -2.00)
    (Favs = 0-0 for +0.00)

    RL = 1-0 for +1.00

    O/U = 1-0 for +1.10
    (Overs = 0-0 for +0.00)
    (Unders = 1-0 for +1.10)


    __________________________
    Recent Results

    3/30 = 2-0 for +2.10
    3/29 = 0-2 for -2.00
    ______________________________

    Yesterday meant a lot more to me than just going 2-0. I was able to get some monkeys off my back from last year quite early this year. Last year I think I set a record for most xtra inning losses going 0-29 all the way past the All-Star break before I got a win and I also started 0-9 in the Dog of The Day, so it feels good getting those out of the way early.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 03-31-18 07:03 AM #52
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    9-1-1
    Wow. Nice work bro
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 03-31-18 07:35 AM #53
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Wow. Nice work bro
    too bad I only played one of them, lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 03-31-18 07:37 AM #54
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    too bad I only played one of them, lol
    Well at least tell me it wasn't the loss or push!! Lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 03-31-18 07:37 AM #55
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Saturday's Total Projections




    (Overall = 16-6) (Overs = 5-2) Unders = 11-4)



    CHW/KC O8.5 (9.2) +0.7

    NYY/TOR U9.0 (8.3) -0.7

    COL/ARI O8.5 (9.1) +0.6

    WAS/CIN O8.0 (8.6) +0.6

    CLE/SEA U7.0 (6.4) -0.6

    HOU/TEX U10.0 (9.5) -0.5

    STL/NYM U7.5 (7.0) -0.5

    CHC/MIA U8.5 (8.1) -0.4

    SF/LAD U8.0 (7.6) -0.4

    LAA/OAK U9.0 (8.6) -0.4

    MIL/SD O8.0 (8.3) +0.3

    PHI/ATL U8.5 (8.4) -0.1



    BOS/TB N/A (7.6) N/A



    MIN/BAL P9.5 (9.5) -0.0

    PIT/DET P8.5 (8.5) -0.0

    ---------------------
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 03-31-18 07:38 AM #56
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Nevermind I see which it was.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 03-31-18 07:40 AM #57
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    In Seattle under. But don't like being on the over in oak now! Do you consider how much better ball flies there during day?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 03-31-18 07:40 AM #58
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Well at least tell me it wasn't the loss or push!! Lol
    haha, that wouldn't of been that surprising, but no it was the Dodger Under.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 03-31-18 07:43 AM #59
    wkupike2000
    wkupike2000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-07-18
    Posts: 417
    Betpoints: 39

    Don't take this wrong I'm just confused. You post your plays but you don't play them?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 03-31-18 07:44 AM #60
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by wkupike2000 View Post
    Don't take this wrong I'm just confused. You post your plays but you don't play them?
    To answer for him he just post his projections for the totals., obviously he not gonna play all those totals!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 03-31-18 07:44 AM #61
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    In Seattle under. But don't like being on the over in oak now! Do you consider how much better ball flies there during day?
    No, I got ball park factors included but not any DAY/NIGHT splits or anything. Maybe in the future as it gets more complex. I usually consider those kind of extra things when I single out a game I like. I still don't like to rely on one thing such as a model, just collecting a lot of data now and looking for edges within and using it as a base.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 03-31-18 07:47 AM #62
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by wkupike2000 View Post
    Don't take this wrong I'm just confused. You post your plays but you don't play them?
    I post all kinds of tracking stuff from my projections, SDQL trends, and other stuff I research and post the info and track the results and let people cypher the information as another tool for their capping. I post my plays mostly for tracking purposes and don't expect anyone to follow them. If I get hot then people can follow, if I get cold, they can fade.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 03-31-18 07:55 AM #63
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    No, I got ball park factors included but not any DAY/NIGHT splits or anything. Maybe in the future as it gets more complex. I usually consider those kind of extra things when I single out a game I like. I still don't like to rely on one thing such as a model, just collecting a lot of data now and looking for edges within and using it as a base.
    Right on thanks for response. Makes total sense, I'd like to do something similar to simply weed out from having to cap them all individually then dig deeper into ones that show promise.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 03-31-18 07:56 AM #64
    wkupike2000
    wkupike2000's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-07-18
    Posts: 417
    Betpoints: 39

    Gotcha. Makes perfect sense that's why I asked because you can answer best. I appreciate it!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 03-31-18 08:29 AM #65
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    SDQL 3/31

    ALL = Yesterday 1-0 (Total 1-0 for +1.00)
    ML = Yesterday 0-0 (Total 0-0 for +0.00)
    RL = Yesterday 0-0 (Total 0-0 for +0.00)
    OU = Yesterday 1-0 (Total 1-0 for +1.00)


    ---------------------------------
    SU

    PLAY: Tigers ML +31.4% ROI (35-12) RL +40.8 ROI (26-20)
    p:HL and p and HF and day=Saturday and season>=2016



    PLAY: Brewers ML +9.0 ROI (248-151) RL +22.2% ROI (170-141)
    AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7


    PLAY: Dodgers ML +28.8% ROI (33-13) RL +45.6% ROI (27-19)
    HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL
    -----------------------------------
    OU


    UNDER: Giants/Dodgers +26.6% ROI (30-15-1)
    HF and WP<50 and o:WP>50 and date>=20170618 and conference=NL
    __________________________
    SDQL PLAYS


    ML

    Tigers -125
    Brewers -115
    Dodgers -190

    RL

    Tigers +175
    Brewers +145
    Dodgers +105

    OU

    Giants/Dodgers Under 8 +100
    ___________________________________
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 03-31-18 09:09 AM #66
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Matt Shoemaker 7-7 team record in April, 5-4 on the Road.
    Daniel Gossett 0-0 team record in April, 0-0 at Home.


    CC Sabathia 35-27 team record in April, 17-16 on the Road.
    Marco Estrada 14-11 team record in April, 8-4 at Home.


    Vince Velasquez 4-4 team record in April, 2-1 on the Road.
    Brandon McCarthy 16-22 team record in April, 9-11 at Home.


    German Marquez 0-2 team record in April, 0-1 on the Road.
    Zack Greinke 32-23 team record in April, 17-14 at Home.


    Derek Holland 15-11 team record in April, 7-5 on the Road.
    Kenta Maeda 6-4 team record in April, 3-3 at Home.


    Carlos Carrasco 12-11 team record in April, 8-5 on the Road.
    James Paxton 6-6 team record in April, 4-2 at Home.


    Yu Darvish 17-5 team record in April, 8-2 on the Road.
    Odrisamer Despaigne 2-0 team record in April, 1-0 at Home.


    Michael Wacha 11-8 team record in April, 3-6 on the Road.
    Jacob deGrom 7-6 team record in April, 4-3 at Home.


    Kyle Gibson 8-10 team record in April, 3-6 on the Road.
    Andrew Cashner 9-12 team record in April, 7-5 at Home.


    Brent Suter 0-0 team record in April, 0-0 on the Road.
    Luis Perdomo 1-2 team record in April, 1-1 at Home.


    Lance McCullers 4-1 team record in April, 1-1 on the Road.
    Matt Moore 10-11 team record in April, 7-5 at Home.


    Rick Porcello 21-20 team record in April, 9-11 on the Road.
    Andrew Kittredge 0-0 team record in April, 0-0 at Home.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 03-31-18 09:44 AM #67
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Saturday 3/31/18 MLB Plays


    ¤ Pirates/Tigers FF Under 4 +105
    __________________________
    I don't want anything to do with the pens in this one, but I like Fulmer and the fact that the wind is basically blowing in at 20 mph.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 03-31-18 12:34 PM #68
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Saturday 3/31/18 MLB Plays

    ¤ Nationals/Reds Over 8 +100
    __________________________

    My first play is canceled, so I'll try again. Both these pitchers didn't look the greatest in Spring Training and the Over is 6-2 when Strasburg faces the Reds with an avg of 9.5 rpg. The wind is blowing out pretty hard to left and although I'd prefer if it were blowing out to right in that park, these teams both have hitters that can go deep. I'm really impressed with Gennett, dude can hit. I haven't been seeing starting pitchers going deep into games because of the weather and it's not too good in Cincy today, so I don't think Strasburg will go too deep. GL!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 03-31-18 02:22 PM #69
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    I hate the ump in Balty for over but man I want to fade those gas cans w wind blowing out. Just worried E will give cashner the low strikes which will allow him to keep the ball on ground. Thoughts?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 03-31-18 02:56 PM #70
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-15
    Posts: 3,968
    Betpoints: 861

    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Saturday 3/31/18 MLB Plays

    ¤ Nationals/Reds Over 8 +100
    __________________________

    My first play is canceled, so I'll try again. Both these pitchers didn't look the greatest in Spring Training and the Over is 6-2 when Strasburg faces the Reds with an avg of 9.5 rpg. The wind is blowing out pretty hard to left and although I'd prefer if it were blowing out to right in that park, these teams both have hitters that can go deep. I'm really impressed with Gennett, dude can hit. I haven't been seeing starting pitchers going deep into games because of the weather and it's not too good in Cincy today, so I don't think Strasburg will go too deep. GL!
    ¤ Yankees/Blue Jays Under 9 +111
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
First 12345 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »