[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

No Reliever Plays for Friday

Reliever Sides:

SD
NYY

See post #475 for explanation of Reliever Sides and VMI


No VMI Plays

Good luck

[Mackballs]

DD,

Question. Did you alter the parameters for reliever plays this year? It seems like last year there almost no days with no plays and many days had 3-6 plays. Also the overall number of plays is down significantly in comparison to this point last season. Just wondering.

Thanks

[JamesC]

https://postimg.org/image/lwvlc3j7f/

[JamesC]

The O/U percentages where extracted from covers.com

Being a big NBA bettor, DDs forum has been a great introductory to the dynamics of baseball.

The value add on the link above is that it's been a rough stretch for over/unders in the past 10 days. I'm a big proponent of law of averages, so it's been amazing that with proper bankroll management and saavy capping, DDs been able to navigate through this rough patch.

If anything, these games should serve as mental data points for future decisions.

[doubledime]

DD,

Question. Did you alter the parameters for reliever plays this year? It seems like last year there almost no days with no plays and many days had 3-6 plays. Also the overall number of plays is down significantly in comparison to this point last season. Just wondering.

Thanks

Over the course of last year and continuing this year, I have added some filters which by definition will reduce the number of plays. Last year we had some 6-1 days but also had some 1-6 days, and I am not a big fan of playing a lot of plays each day.

[doubledime]

The O/U percentages where extracted from covers.com

Being a big NBA bettor, DDs forum has been a great introductory to the dynamics of baseball.

The value add on the link above is that it's been a rough stretch for over/unders in the past 10 days. I'm a big proponent of law of averages, so it's been amazing that with proper bankroll management and saavy capping, DDs been able to navigate through this rough patch.

If anything, these games should serve as mental data points for future decisions.

Thanks JC

[DU46]

Quality over quantity, great work DD!

[doubledime]

Quality over quantity, great work DD!

Thanks DU

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 63-50

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7

[doubledime]

Reliever Sides:

Yesterday: 1-1 -.20 units
YTD: 14-16 -2.45 units

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 4-4 +.30 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Saturday:

AZ/Mia over 8 -125 (buying the 1/2)
LAD/Mil over 8.5
Pit/Mets over 9

Reliever Sides:

Det
Wash

No VMI Plays


See post #475 for explanation of Reliever Sides and VMI


Good luck

[doubledime]

FYI:

In Post #597 Mackballs asked if there was a reason for less plays than last year. I explained why in Post #600.

So, this morning I thought I would post the two plays that would have been posted last year before I added some reliever based filters.

Here they are:

NYY/Tor over 9
TB/Sea over 8.5

These are not plays for record keeping but just to follow up on an earlier question.

DD

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 1-2
YTD: 64-52

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7

[doubledime]

Reliever Sides:

Yesterday: 1-1 -.15 units
YTD: 15-17 -2.60 units

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 4-4 +.30 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Regular Plays: (Yes, Regular Plays)

LAD/Mil over 9.5
Wash/Oak over 8.5

The Reliever Plays for Sunday:

Atl/Reds over 9.5
LAD/Mil over 9.5
Wash/Oak over 8.5

Reliever Sides:

SF
Det
KC

Good luck

[SlickRick1382]

Good morning,

Regular Plays: (Yes, Regular Plays)

LAD/Mil over 9.5
Wash/Oak over 9.5

The Reliever Plays for Sunday:

Atl/Reds over 9.5
LAD/Mil over 9.5
Wash/Oak over 8.5

Reliever Sides:

SF
Det
KC

Good luck

Wash / Oak is 8.5 not 9.5 or did the line move that much?

[doubledime]

Wash / Oak is 8.5 not 9.5 or did the line move that much?

Typo Had it correct on the Reliever Plays Thanks

[JamesC]

To the forum what are "field" pitchers

Announcers made reference to this in the MIL/LAD game

Thank You

[doubledime]

To the forum what are "field" pitchers

Announcers made reference to this in the MIL/LAD game

Thank You

FAKE NEWS

Seriously, never heard that expression. Don't think it has anything to do with handicapping.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 66-53

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 1-1
YTD: 1-8

[doubledime]

Reliever Sides:

Yesterday: 1-2 -1.20 units
YTD: 16-19 -3.80 units

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 4-4 +.30 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Monday:

Phili/Atl over 9.5 -113
Mia/Cubs over 7.5

Reliever Side:

Toro

No VMI


See post #475 for explanation of Reliever Sides and VMI


Good luck

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

JamesC gave doubledime 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks JC

[Grivas_Digeni]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 66-53

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 1-1
YTD: 1-8

Finally on board with these! Hope you can dedicate a little more time to manually picking plays rest of the season. So... very...due!

[cooperman]

There will be no shutout of the regular plays this year!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DnVrSZHnvYY

[doubledime]

There will be no shutout of the regular plays this year!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DnVrSZHnvYY

[doubledime]

Finally on board with these! Hope you can dedicate a little more time to manually picking plays rest of the season. So... very...due!

At least the "lid" is off

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 67-54

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-8

[doubledime]

Reliever Sides:

Yesterday: 0-1 -1 unit
YTD: 16-20 -4.80 units

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 4-4 +.30 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Regular Play is:

Phil/Atl over 8 -120 (bought the 1/2)

The Reliever Plays:

Phili/Atl over 8
Hou/KC over (no line yet)

The Reliever Sides:

St. Louis
SF
Mia
Toro

No VMI

See post #475 for explanation of Reliever Sides and VMI

Good luck

[doubledime]

Some reasons for Regular Play:

Low pitch count for starters, slight out to right wind, 75% humidity (Contrary to what a lot of people believe, the higher the humidity the farther the ball travels), VMI for both teams is a PLUS number, relievers both in work/rest and ERA, right left matchup leans over and umpire is a slight over ump. Now they have to play the game.

DD

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

brainfreeze gave doubledime 50 Betpoint(s) for this post. dhristov211 gave doubledime 28 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks brain and dhristov you are both very generous!

[brainfreeze]

Points Awarded:

brainfreeze gave doubledime 50 Betpoint(s) for this post. dhristov211 gave doubledime 28 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks brain and dhristov you are both very generous!

Hope this play breaks the nasty reg. play streak thus far... you make a good case for it. Flew over last 2 games, we'll see ...

[doubledime]

FYI:

Here is a quote from the Visual Memory Index (VMI) web site regarding humidity:

The effect of humidity on air density is very slight and is actually opposite what it is commonly purported to be. The common reputation of humidity is that it is heavy; however, this is a misnomer. Humidity is actually light for a projectile to fly through, because there is more hydrogen in humid air than in dry air, which contains a larger percentage of nitrogen. And, of course, nitrogen is heavier than hydrogen. The "Neeley Scale" takes into account humidity, as well as temperature and elevation-related barometric pressure.

[doubledime]

Hope this play breaks the nasty reg. play streak thus far... you make a good case for it. Flew over last 2 games, we'll see ...

Me too..... I hope the players don't get "brain freeze" tonight.