[thekoreanmang]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Saturday:

Clev/Min over 9

IMO this is going up so if you play it get it early

Good luck

Too late for BetOnline/BookMaker users.

Good thinking on the no more unders rule.

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning,

One thing I have decided for the rest of this season and future seasons, NO MORE RELIEVER PLAY UNDERS! The main reason is if the starter(s) are crap and get rocked, the best relievers in the world can't take runs off the scoreboard. Whereas, if the starters are on their game, and give up just a few runs, the relievers can come in and get rocked enough to take the game over. Therefore, no more under Reliever Plays

DD

I think this makes a lot of sense. Even playing just the second half on an under-reliever play could still be problematic. Assuming an SP gets shelled in the first and the team goes to the pen early, using an RP or two in the first five innings would take arms away from the final four innings.

I've been playing with the thought of opening an account at BM, specifically for this type of bet but it is no longer an option for me. Some bets are just designed to be taken only one way.

Keep up the great work DD. Really enjoying this thread!

[juicername]

Good morning,

One thing I have decided for the rest of this season and future seasons, NO MORE RELIEVER PLAY UNDERS! The main reason is if the starter(s) are crap and get rocked, the best relievers in the world can't take runs off the scoreboard. Whereas, if the starters are on their game, and give up just a few runs, the relievers can come in and get rocked enough to take the game over. Therefore, no more under Reliever Plays

DD

I fully agree with this, I've not played any reliever unders myself. I'm surprised that MIL/STL is not a reliever play today, any input on why that's not the case would be much appreciated.

[doubledime]

I fully agree with this, I've not played any reliever unders myself. I'm surprised that MIL/STL is not a reliever play today, any input on why that's not the case would be much appreciated.

The reason Mil/Cards did not make the cut is both teams only used 2 relievers yesterday and coincidentally, both just pitched 28 pitches. Not enough to meet my requirements.

[doubledime]

I think this makes a lot of sense. Even playing just the second half on an under-reliever play could still be problematic. Assuming an SP gets shelled in the first and the team goes to the pen early, using an RP or two in the first five innings would take arms away from the final four innings.

I've been playing with the thought of opening an account at BM, specifically for this type of bet but it is no longer an option for me. Some bets are just designed to be taken only one way.

Keep up the great work DD. Really enjoying this thread!

Thanks TT Good points. I have not looked back to verify this, but my guess is my unders over the season have not performed as well as the overs.

[Mike Huntertz]

I never liked unders anyway....unless on a hot chick!

[doubledime]

I never liked unders anyway....unless on a hot chick!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday

Regular Plays: No Plays
YTD: 118-78 +27.60 units

Reliever Plays: 0-1
YTD 360-262

Back later with today's card

Good luck

[doubledime]

good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Sunday:

Reds/Pit over 8
SF/AZ over 9
Clev/Min over 9
Seat/Oak over 8.5

Good luck

[HeeluvaGuy]

Sorry about that, by "lines being above" I obviously meant below. My bad. These are the lines/totals I am looking at right now. Something major would have to happen if they fail to qualify.


Cardinals, -6.0 47.0
Colts, ATS -3.5 51.0
Falcons, ATS -3.0 47.5
Saints, ATS -1.0 51.0

By my count this morning, the qualifying plays as of right now are:

Falcons
Saints
Chiefs
Colts

The Arizona line is currently -9, which would disqualify it.

[jrjay93]

By my count this morning, the qualifying plays as of right now are:

Falcons
Saints
Chiefs
Colts

The Arizona line is currently -9, which would disqualify it.

Are these lines ATS picks or over totals?

[HeeluvaGuy]

Are these lines ATS picks or over totals?

If you go back in this thread a page or so, TechnicalTrader explains it. My understanding is that these are ATS picks.

[jrjay93]

If you go back in this thread a page or so, TechnicalTrader explains it. My understanding is that these are ATS picks.

Ok thanks

[TechnicalTrader]

By my count this morning, the qualifying plays as of right now are:

Falcons
Saints
Chiefs
Colts

The Arizona line is currently -9, which would disqualify it.

It still qualifies. feel free to take it.

[HeeluvaGuy]

It still qualifies. feel free to take it.

How can that be? The line is -9.5 and the total is down to 44.

[TechnicalTrader]

How can that be? The line is -9.5 and the total is down to 44.

WOW, didnt realize the line moved like that!!!! No bet.

I'm laying off of it. Super hard for me to stay focused right now. Sorry guys!

[HeeluvaGuy]

WOW, didnt realize the line moved like that!!!! No bet.

I'm laying off of it. Super hard for me to stay focused right now. Sorry guys!

Don't sweat it. Just wanted to make sure I understood. Line moved when a rink was ruled out. Probably an overreaction if you ask me.

[Capybara]

Don't sweat it. Just wanted to make sure I understood. Line moved when a rink was ruled out. Probably an overreaction if you ask me.

Well it's not just Gronk who's ruled out, HG, it's three-fifths of the starting offensive line! No Solder at LT, no Vollmer at RT (he's gone for season already), no Cooper at RG. And a QB making his first NFL start on the road against a great front seven.

I was a big fan of AZ -6, but I could not play it as a Pats homer! I bleed Pats silver, so not gonna root against my own money or my own team, so just laid off. However, at +9.5 or +10, I start to think Pats... but let's get closer to gametime and see what's what.

[Rainemaker]

By my count this morning, the qualifying plays as of right now are:

Falcons
Saints
Chiefs
Colts

The Arizona line is currently -9, which would disqualify it.

For anyone who cares about trends.. each of these games went Over the total as well.

Personally I don't like playing unders when laying a lot of points on a Favorite.

But I do feel it takes 2 teams competing to make an Over happen assuming there isn't much funny things happening like turnovers on wrong side of field, defensive scores, and big returns on special teams.

Cards and Under my advice here for those of you who wanna take a chance on a parlay.

Play both straight if you want action. You will break even on it at least.

Or if you want to be in between that I would If bet Cards with 2nd leg being Under.

Friends don't let friends do a teaser.

A system like this should not lose 4 in a row.

Thanks for the season this year DD, just give back any way I can for your thread.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday

Regular Plays: No Plays
YTD: 118-78 +27.60 units

Reliever Plays: 0-3-1
YTD 360-265

Back later with some comments

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Well, it's time to pack it in for the season. Yesterday was a disappointment since three of the games were on track early for hitting the over and the relievers pitched out of their asses. That said, we end the regular season 478-343, 115 more winners than losers, plus 83 units based on an average price of the Reliever Plays of -113.5 per game. Those 83 units are based on one unit per game, not 5 units here and 10 units there, just 1.

I will be starting a NCAAF total thread and an NFL total thread for those interested. It will be very limited amount of games. Also, I will be posting some Regular Play totals in the MLB playoffs for those interested.

I want to thank everyone for their support and input throughout the season. My only wish is I could have ended this with a plus day, and I apologize for that. May everyone always have good luck!

DD

[juicername]

Sorry to hear you're packing it in, but I appreciate all you've done this MLB season. Looking forward to some football totals!
Thank you and good luck.

[John Deere]

Thanks DD, BOL

[matt711]

Thank you.....I wish I found your thread sooner....BOL

[doubledime]

Sorry to hear you're packing it in, but I appreciate all you've done this MLB season. Looking forward to some football totals!
Thank you and good luck.

Thanks Juice and thanks for the points

[doubledime]

Thank you.....I wish I found your thread sooner....BOL

Thanks Matt and thanks for the points

[doubledime]

Thanks DD, BOL

Thanks JD

[azsportswin]

Thanks for a great season DD, very glad I found you're thread.....appreciate you sharing your hard work with the rest of us, and it's so nice to be in a thread with minimal trolling!! BOL to you in football, I'll be following for sure!

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning,

Well, it's time to pack it in for the season. Yesterday was a disappointment since three of the games were on track early for hitting the over and the relievers pitched out of their asses. That said, we end the regular season 478-343, 115 more winners than losers, plus 83 units based on an average price of the Reliever Plays of -113.5 per game. Those 83 units are based on one unit per game, not 5 units here and 10 units there, just 1.

I will be starting a NCAAF total thread and an NFL total thread for those interested. It will be very limited amount of games. Also, I will be posting some Regular Play totals in the MLB playoffs for those interested.

I want to thank everyone for their support and input throughout the season. My only wish is I could have ended this with a plus day, and I apologize for that. May everyone always have good luck!

DD

Thank you DD. You did a great job and it was one helluva ride. not just your thread, your insight, our politeness and our maturity kept me coming back. I learned a lot from you and hope some others did.

You are a class act dude and if you ever make it over to Europe, let me know. Dinner and I am talking a real, real good dinner is on me!!

Can't wait to see your next thread and I will do my best to be the next you!!

Thank you again and enjoy your earnings!
TT

[jrjay93]

Thanks DD you helped me profitable this baseball season.. Can't wait to see the football totals!!!!

[juicername]

I wonder what the cash cow angle for football will be. Perhaps "Kicker Plays" that will hit at 60%+?

[doubledime]

Thanks for a great season DD, very glad I found you're thread.....appreciate you sharing your hard work with the rest of us, and it's so nice to be in a thread with minimal trolling!! BOL to you in football, I'll be following for sure!

You're very welcome az Thank for the kind words.

[doubledime]

Thank you DD. You did a great job and it was one helluva ride. not just your thread, your insight, our politeness and our maturity kept me coming back. I learned a lot from you and hope some others did.

You are a class act dude and if you ever make it over to Europe, let me know. Dinner and I am talking a real, real good dinner is on me!!

Can't wait to see your next thread and I will do my best to be the next you!!

Thank you again and enjoy your earnings!
TT

Thanks TT Thanks for the dinner offer. I have been to London a couple of times so unfortunately I have crossed that one off my "bucket list", but I do appreciate the kinds words.
We will be comparing notes in the off season. I'll be looking for your your threads as well my friend.

[doubledime]

Thanks DD you helped me profitable this baseball season.. Can't wait to see the football totals!!!!

Thanks jr

[doubledime]

I wonder what the cash cow angle for football will be. Perhaps "Kicker Plays" that will hit at 60%+?

I am always looking......