1. 04-12-16 12:00 PM #106
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Brutal loss. I like your Tigers today, not buying into the early Nicasio spring training hype.
    Me too, my man.
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  2. 04-12-16 12:29 PM #107
    BigDofBA
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    I've beat the opener by 20 cents three times this year and lost all three games.

    Today I faded that movement and took the Tigers.

    This is just like last year so far. The opening number seems to be the most important.
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  3. 04-12-16 12:53 PM #108
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    I've beat the opener by 20 cents three times this year and lost all three games.

    Today I faded that movement and took the Tigers.

    This is just like last year so far. The opening number seems to be the most important.
    It's literally not even worth considering anymore.

    Look at Cincinnati (opened at +195, closed at +165) and Atlanta (opened at +240, closed at +210) yesterday. It means nothing. In fact, if you beat a closing number by that much, it means you probably have a losing ticket.
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  4. 04-12-16 01:01 PM #109
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    It's literally not even worth considering anymore.

    Look at Cincinnati (opened at +195, closed at +165) and Atlanta (opened at +240, closed at +210) yesterday. It means nothing. In fact, if you beat a closing number by that much, it means you probably have a losing ticket.
    In that case do you think it's best to hedge your bet when a line moves far enough to warrant it?
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  5. 04-12-16 01:02 PM #110
    BeanTownClown88
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    Pick what you think will happen and don't let the public influence it at all.
    I can't get on the right side of these damn Tigers games grr
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  6. 04-12-16 01:03 PM #111
    BigDofBA
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    I was going to play the Marlins yesterday and then the line shifted heavily in the Mets favor so it scared me away.

    Miami was up 7-0 after the second inning....
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  7. 04-12-16 04:07 PM #112
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace7550 View Post
    In that case do you think it's best to hedge your bet when a line moves far enough to warrant it?
    Seems to me it's at least worth considering these days.
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  8. 04-12-16 04:07 PM #113
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    I was going to play the Marlins yesterday and then the line shifted heavily in the Mets favor so it scared me away.

    Miami was up 7-0 after the second inning....
    Exactly.
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  9. 04-12-16 04:11 PM #114
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    17-12, +6.45U going into the night games

    Looking at Braves and Yanks.
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  10. 04-12-16 05:25 PM #115
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    NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
    SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
    ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
    MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)
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  11. 04-12-16 06:04 PM #116
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
    SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
    ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
    MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)
    Looks solid.

    Miami seems like a no brainier with the way the Mets are hitting.
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  12. 04-12-16 08:29 PM #117
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    Bases loaded 1 out and Atlanta can't score....
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  13. 04-12-16 08:39 PM #118
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    And then the Braves walk Rendon with two outs to get to Harper who promptly doubles in two runs....

    Anyone know why the Braves pulled Chacin at 69 pitches when he had a shutout going.
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  14. 04-12-16 11:53 PM #119
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    NYY +106 (2U to win 2.12)
    SF +102 (2U to win 2.04)
    ATL +165 (1U to win 1.65)
    MIA +121 (1U to win 1.21)
    3-1, +4.37U
    20-13, +10.82U thread
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  15. 04-12-16 11:54 PM #120
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    And then the Braves walk Rendon with two outs to get to Harper who promptly doubles in two runs....

    Anyone know why the Braves pulled Chacin at 69 pitches when he had a shutout going.
    This Atlanta team is borderline minor league.
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  16. 04-13-16 08:11 AM #121
    mlb
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    goood call on SF, Col was not a good play on my end.
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  17. 04-13-16 12:10 PM #122
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    NYM -114 (2.28U to win 2)
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  18. 04-13-16 12:10 PM #123
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    Quote Originally Posted by mlb View Post
    goood call on SF, Col was not a good play on my end.
    Thanks. Hope all is well with you.
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  19. 04-13-16 12:29 PM #124
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    Gl today, i took the mets as well. Braves have to win at some point, I like them today against Stras.
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  20. 04-13-16 12:41 PM #125
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    everyone on Mets - thought i was on marlins but i never placed it - im passing - bol
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  21. 04-13-16 02:02 PM #126
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    Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????
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  22. 04-13-16 02:27 PM #127
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rose' View Post
    Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????
    Good question and good point. I think the Rangers take the sweep here. The M's are cold and I think you fade them until they prove otherwise.
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  23. 04-13-16 02:27 PM #128
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rose' View Post
    Coin any idea why Mariners are -150 today????
    Set for action. People will see Walker vs a guy who hasn't really pitched in 2.5 years. Also the "avoid the sweep at home" angle. Line has dropped considerably in the past hour.

    But anyone backing a team that has lost 5 in a row with that kind of juice is insane. If anything Tex -1.5 +215 is worth a shell.
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  24. 04-13-16 02:38 PM #129
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    I'm staying away
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  25. 04-13-16 05:22 PM #130
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    Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.
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  26. 04-13-16 06:02 PM #131
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.
    I like the Twins too, but scared to bet them until they get out of this offensive funk.

    HOU -107 (2.14U to win 2)
    BOS -118 (2.36U to win 2)
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  27. 04-13-16 06:52 PM #132
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRIT View Post
    Twins get off the schnide today and get their first win, I love the twinkies today. O's should get first loss of the season today too. First for everything! Gl on the rest of your plays today.
    I've thought the Twins would get off the Schnide the last three games.

    One lesson I've the learned the hard way over the years is to not fade streaks.
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  28. 04-13-16 07:15 PM #133
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    Speaking of streaks....Atlanta is down again and Balty is up again.

    Seriously, the books have been very generous with the Orioles so far this year.

    That team will regress but their on fire coming out of the gate.
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  29. 04-13-16 07:40 PM #134
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Speaking of streaks....Atlanta is down again and Balty is up again.

    Seriously, the books have been very generous with the Orioles so far this year.

    That team will regress but their on fire coming out of the gate.
    Huge line drop in Atlanta's favor = loss
    Huge line drop in Cincy's favor = loss
    Huge line drop in Milwaukee's favor = loss

    Seriously, should just focus on fading these and nothing else.
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  30. 04-13-16 07:41 PM #135
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I like the Twins too, but scared to bet them until they get out of this offensive funk.

    HOU -107 (2.14U to win 2)
    BOS -118 (2.36U to win 2)
    COL -103 (2.06U to win 2)
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  31. 04-13-16 09:05 PM #136
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    This Twins team is just, wow.
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  32. 04-13-16 09:06 PM #137
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    This Twins team is just, wow.
    Yep.
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  33. 04-13-16 09:08 PM #138
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    This Twins team is just, wow.
    Bases loaded 1 out you....you have to at least make contact. Horrible
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  34. 04-13-16 09:15 PM #139
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Bases loaded 1 out you....you have to at least make contact. Horrible
    Doesn't even compare to what just happened in the Heat game. Heat scored 5 points in the 3rd quarter. They're being outscored 49-17 in the second half. Yeah I'm on Miami and Twins
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  35. 04-13-16 09:50 PM #140
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    Twins have score 4 runs total in the last four games.

    Wtf

    This team is as bad as the Braves.
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