1. #1
    Machine Choice
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    Machine Choice season-long Royals thread

    I specialize in one team: the Kansas City Royals. I will bet them any way I see fit: straight, fade, over/under. I listen to every Royals pregame show, post game show, read every box score, and obviously watch the games. I know this team. I can "feel" when they are gonna win and lose. Watch.

  2. #2
    Machine Choice
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  3. #3
    Machine Choice
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    4/23/14

    Royals +112

    Masterson vs Vargas

    $273 to win $306

    Analysis later when I have time.

  4. #4
    dlunc3
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    Odd bet size. What made you come up with $273?

    Will you be betting every game?

    Have you done this in the past?

    I am a huge philly guy, but i like this kc core and actually have $1200 on their season win total over 82 wins.

    So ill be curious to see what you have to say daily and hope you ride out the whole season.

    Best of luck

  5. #5
    drfunkmaster
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    really... did you anticipate the chock job in the 8th inning in your capping

  6. #6
    remeedella
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    kc is about to lose. This is like the 5th losing game in a row where they give up a lead or a tie in the last 3 innings. I can never count on them there

  7. #7
    drfunkmaster
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  8. #8
    Machine Choice
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    0-1

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  9. #9
    jay89
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    bet the royals last night at +135 on SIA, would have been awesome if that hit. Loved the southpaw matchup but masterson pitched well enough tonight...

  10. #10
    Machine Choice
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    4/24/14

    Indians -128

    $260 to win $203

    Royals do not play well in Cleveland. Period. They didn't get it done last night despite a pitching / bullpen advantage, and I don't see them getting it done today as Cleveland goes for the series win in a day game. Chen has soft stuff and has not been dominant this year. He is 8-20 in his last 28 road starts. Tribe will close this out.

  11. #11
    PorkChop
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    Royals 0 3.5.

  12. #12
    riffraff24
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    machine. Nice to see you back. GL man

  13. #13
    riffraff24
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    Quote Originally Posted by dlunc3 View Post
    Odd bet size. What made you come up with $273?
    Assuming dividing by 22 and using Heavens Gate bankroll management?

  14. #14
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by riffraff24 View Post
    Assuming dividing by 22 and using Heavens Gate bankroll management?
    Yes. Eventually I will divide by 11 instead. But its too early in the season.

  15. #15
    Emancipator
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    4/24/14

    Indians -128

    $260 to win $203

    Royals do not play well in Cleveland. Period. They didn't get it done last night despite a pitching / bullpen advantage, and I don't see them getting it done today as Cleveland goes for the series win in a day game. Chen has soft stuff and has not been dominant this year. He is 8-20 in his last 28 road starts. Tribe will close this out.
    On it as well BOL

  16. #16
    Machine Choice
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    xxxxxxxxxxxxx

    GAME OVER

    xxxxxxxxxxxxx
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 04-24-14 at 05:44 PM.

  17. #17
    Machine Choice
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    1-1

    Starting bankroll: $6,000
    Current bankroll: $5,930

  18. #18
    Machine Choice
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    xxxxxxxxxxxx

    BONUS FEATURE TRIGGERED

    xxxxxxxxxxxx


    4/24/2014

    BOSTON -119

    $260 to win $218


    Sabathia had a 9.93 ERA in three games at Fenway in 2013, and he looks even worse this year and already lost to Boston last week. Pine Tar factor in Boston's favor as they nail the series win in primetime.

  19. #19
    Machine Choice
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    1-2

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  20. #20
    Machine Choice
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    4/25/14

    Royals/Orioles under 8.5 (-120)

    $258 to win $215


    Orioles haven't scored many runs at home this year vs right handers (2.6 rpg in last 8) and Ventura can deal. Royals haven't scored many runs period, and Jimenez has shown the ability to shut them down. I see this as a 4-3 type game. Especially with both teams coming off the road last night. This will be a brisk game.

  21. #21
    Big Bear
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    Brisk as in chilly temperatures tonight?

  22. #22
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Brisk as in chilly temperatures tonight?
    Brisk as in fast moving. The Royals have zero plate discipline. Last night it took only 101 pitches for Kluber to throw a CG against KC. Pathetic.

  23. #23
    drfunkmaster
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    jizzbag jimenz sucks..he is on the over...i took baltimore.

  24. #24
    Machine Choice
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    Late West Coast Play 4/25

    Rockies/Dodgers over 7

    $258 to win $215

  25. #25
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    4/25/14

    Royals/Orioles under 8.5 (-120)

    $258 to win $215


    Orioles haven't scored many runs at home this year vs right handers (2.6 rpg in last 8) and Ventura can deal. Royals haven't scored many runs period, and Jimenez has shown the ability to shut them down. I see this as a 4-3 type game. Especially with both teams coming off the road last night. This will be a brisk game.
    xxxxxxxxxxxxx

    GAME OVER

    xxxxxxxxxxxxx

    2-2

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  26. #26
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    Late West Coast Play 4/25

    Rockies/Dodgers over 7

    $258 to win $215
    xxxxxxxxxxxxx

    GAME OVER

    xxxxxxxxxxxxx

    Overall: 3-2

    Starting Bankroll: $6,000
    Current Bankroll: $6,100

  27. #27
    Down_Goes Bookie
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    Cool thread. Suggestion, might think about breaking out your YTD record as you go by:

    KC games
    Other games
    Overall

    I'm especially interested in how you fare with KC given your knowledge of the team. BOL.

  28. #28
    Machine Choice
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    4/26/2014

    Last night the Royals were only able to muster 4 runs vs a righty whose ERA was over 6.5 (Jimenez). Tonight they face Chen, a lefty, and the Royals are only batting .212 vs lefties this year, getting shut down by Dallas Keuchel, Matt Moore and Chris Sale earlier this year. They are averaging only 3.4 rpg on the road and Chen held the Royals to a 3.29 ERA last year. Looking at Guthrie, he held the Orioles to a 1.50 ERA in two starts vs them last year and is very comfortable at Camden Yards where he pitched for five years with the O's. He owns their line-up, and the O's are averaging a pathetic 2.4 rpg at home so far this year. Royals bullpen is best in the AL and is at full strength after Ventura went 8 innings last night. Although I expect the underdog Royals to win this game, I will take the easier bet on the total.

    Royals/Orioles under 9 (-120)

    $390 to win $325
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 04-26-14 at 08:10 AM.

  29. #29
    Machine Choice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Machine Choice View Post
    4/26/2014

    Last night the Royals were only able to muster 4 runs vs a righty whose ERA was over 6.5 (Jimenez). Tonight they face Chen, a lefty, and the Royals are only batting .212 vs lefties this year, getting shut down by Dallas Keuchel, Matt Moore and Chris Sale earlier this year. They are averaging only 3.4 rpg on the road and Chen held the Royals to a 3.29 ERA last year. Looking at Guthrie, he held the Orioles to a 1.50 ERA in two starts vs them last year and is very comfortable at Camden Yards where he pitched for five years with the O's. He owns their line-up, and the O's are averaging a pathetic 2.4 rpg at home so far this year. Royals bullpen is best in the AL and is at full strength after Ventura went 8 innings last night. Although I expect the underdog Royals to win this game, I will take the easier bet on the total.

    Royals/Orioles under 9 (-120)

    $390 to win $325
    xxxxxxxxxxxx
    GAME OVER
    xxxxxxxxxxxx

    4-2
    Starting bankroll: $6,000
    Current bankroll: $6,425
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 04-27-14 at 03:10 AM.

  30. #30
    Machine Choice
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    4/27

    The under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 games between these two teams and I don't see that changing Sunday. Shields struck out 12 in his last game and hasn't allowed more than 1 earned run in any of his last three road starts. Orioles continue not to score runs at home (2.4 RPG) and Miguel Gonzalez has a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts. This looks like another certain under.

    Royals/Orioles under 8

    $390 to win $354

  31. #31
    Machine Choice
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    Overall: 4-3

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  32. #32
    Machine Choice
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    4/28/14 LA Angels (-128) $274 to win $214

  33. #33
    Machine Choice
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    xxxxxxxxxxxx
    GAME OVER
    xxxxxxxxxxxx

    Overall: 5-3
    Starting bankroll: $6,000
    Current bankroll: $6,249

  34. #34
    Machine Choice
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    xxxxx

  35. #35
    Machine Choice
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    4/29/2014

    The Royals come off a day of rest and get to see Dustin McGowan, who has been blown up three times this year. Last time out he got scorched by the shitty Orioles, who are averaging some of the lowest run production of any team in the majors. Now he faces the Royals who are starting to heat up, with Moustakas and Infante starting to tee off big time. Jason Vargas has given up only 2 ERs in 15 home innings and the Jays are hitting only .225 vs lefties this year. On paper this looks like a mismatch in favor of the Royals. Unfortunately, the Royals normally lose in those situations. But not lately: they are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Lots of humidity in the park today, so I expect Vargas to be especially sharp and nasty. Jays should be in for a long night

    I don't pay juice higher than -139 and I don't do RLs, so I have structured my bet into a -1 wager by using a combination of the RL and ML.

    Royals -1
    $273 to win $279
    Last edited by Machine Choice; 04-29-14 at 06:03 PM.

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