Originally Posted by
Machine Choice
4/26/2014
Last night the Royals were only able to muster 4 runs vs a righty whose ERA was over 6.5 (Jimenez). Tonight they face Chen, a lefty, and the Royals are only batting .212 vs lefties this year, getting shut down by Dallas Keuchel, Matt Moore and Chris Sale earlier this year. They are averaging only 3.4 rpg on the road and Chen held the Royals to a 3.29 ERA last year. Looking at Guthrie, he held the Orioles to a 1.50 ERA in two starts vs them last year and is very comfortable at Camden Yards where he pitched for five years with the O's. He owns their line-up, and the O's are averaging a pathetic 2.4 rpg at home so far this year. Royals bullpen is best in the AL and is at full strength after Ventura went 8 innings last night. Although I expect the underdog Royals to win this game, I will take the easier bet on the total.
Royals/Orioles under 9 (-120)
$390 to win $325