1. 08-19-11 08:16 PM #36
    LockPickMaster
    LockPickMaster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-09
    Posts: 1,943
    Betpoints: 0

    And Peavy now sucks ass
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-19-11 08:18 PM #37
    og4667
    og4667's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-17-09
    Posts: 2,438
    Betpoints: 2920

    what happened to peavys no hitter? his xfip didn't predict the hr he just gave up.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-19-11 08:19 PM #38
    ShogunRua
    Update Status
    ShogunRua's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,668
    Betpoints: 6

    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?
    Where's the update now fukkstick?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-19-11 08:57 PM #39
    LockPickMaster
    LockPickMaster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-09
    Posts: 1,943
    Betpoints: 0

    FU Peavy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-19-11 08:59 PM #40
    SOUP
    One game at a Time.
    SOUP's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-02-09
    Posts: 1,325
    Betpoints: 1803

    What a joke.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 08-19-11 10:14 PM #41
    hardball
    hardball's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-10
    Posts: 435
    Betpoints: 451

    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.
    True

    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.
    Here lies your problem. Let me know if I need to explain the fallacy of using xFIP as a leading factor to determine market value.

    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road

    Stick to totals, your model seems to fit better. We both know the market is significantly more inefficient. This I'll give you.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-19-11 10:46 PM #42
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 08-20-11 12:24 AM #43
    HoulihansTX
    Bowl $ea$on
    HoulihansTX's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-09
    Posts: 30,566
    Betpoints: 295

    TX is good, and CWS are mediocre.

    That simple.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
First 12
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »