1. 08-19-11 09:48 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    How do you not take Texas on Friday?

    Harrison's been solid all season, Ranger bats are in a zone (well, other than vs. Weaver), White Sux are mediocre at best against lefties, Sux coming off another underachieving series where they could have made a move, Peavy has a 5.16 home ERA....

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  2. 08-19-11 10:16 AM #2
    southpaw74
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    Well can't argue the price or situation...now we just need a result to match!
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  3. 08-19-11 10:18 AM #3
    LovetoSpooge
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    Texas 10-1 on fridays and 7-1 last 8 road games I think you may have convinced me.
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  4. 08-19-11 10:19 AM #4
    SOUP
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    Took the home dog..... hoping Peavy can revert to old ways haha..... and Carlos Quentin to drop bombs lol
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  5. 08-19-11 11:50 AM #5
    mngambler
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOUP View Post
    Took the home dog..... hoping Peavy can revert to old ways haha..... and Carlos Quentin to drop bombs lol
    didn't you fade the Yanks yesterday as well?
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  6. 08-19-11 11:58 AM #6
    guil0000
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    I'm on this one also. Just going with the better team here
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  7. 08-19-11 12:00 PM #7
    jjgolf
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    texas off west coast trip and now to chicago and didn't arrive into chicago until early monring hour. the game in la didnt get over until almost 1am est . i think the whitesoxs are the play looks to easy to take texas at -125
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  8. 08-19-11 12:00 PM #8
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Harrison's been solid all season, Ranger bats are in a zone (well, other than vs. Weaver), White Sux are mediocre at best against lefties, Sux coming off another underachieving series where they could have made a move, Peavy has a 5.16 home ERA....

    White Sox are far above mediocre when u remove the 3-80 from the cleanup spot. Dunn sits against lefties now. Why you are including that in your opinion of the sox against lefties I have no idea. You haven't learned anything if you are still mentioning ERA...Peavy is a much better pitcher period

    I don't understand what you think the line should be? Looks to me like it's already accounting pretty heavily for the rangers offensive advantage at -119 especially considering the white sox pitching advantage. -119 away is a pretty big favorite
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  9. 08-19-11 12:04 PM #9
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    White Sox are far above mediocre when u remove the 3-80 from the cleanup spot. Dunn sits against lefties now. Why you are including that in your opinion of the sox against lefties I have no idea. You haven't learned anything if you are still mentioning ERA...Peavy is a much better pitcher period

    I don't understand what you think the line should be? Looks to me like it's already accounting pretty heavily for the rangers offensive advantage at -119 especially considering the white sox pitching advantage. -119 away is a pretty big favorite
    Where did I say the line was off?



    Peavy may have better stuff, but whether or not he's a better "pitcher" is debatable. And if you take overall teams into account, this one is no contest. Texas is better in nearly all facets. Whether or not that translates to a win tonight I don't know, but I think I'll take my chances.
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  10. 08-19-11 12:10 PM #10
    sushikillah
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    White sox take this

    The Pale Hose and Rangers open a three game series at Comiskey Park where Jake Peavy takes on Matt Harrison Friday night. Peavy enters in rock-solid KW form with two walks and 16 strikeouts in his last three starts. He's also 14-6 in his last 20 home team starts during the month of August. With that look for Peavy to improve to 3-0 against the A.L West here this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on the White Sox. Thank you and good luck as always.
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  11. 08-19-11 12:14 PM #11
    JT OZ
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    Love Texas at that price, may not win but taking that team at anything less than -130 is a bargain.
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  12. 08-19-11 12:15 PM #12
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Where did I say the line was off?
    If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.

    Peavy may have better stuff, but whether or not he's a better "pitcher" is debatable.
    Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.

    And if you take overall teams into account, this one is no contest. Texas is better in nearly all facets. Whether or not that translates to a win tonight I don't know, but I think I'll take my chances.
    lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road
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  13. 08-19-11 12:18 PM #13
    jashtonrich
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    well well well i wonder if i will get a few points for this post
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  14. 08-19-11 12:41 PM #14
    pacocn
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    God 1 what line is off the most today?
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  15. 08-19-11 12:51 PM #15
    JA's Winners
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    Phil/Wash Under 8.5 is probably the best pick of the day
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  16. 08-19-11 01:20 PM #16
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by pacocn View Post
    God 1 what line is off the most today?
    astros, mariners
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  17. 08-19-11 01:22 PM #17
    HoulihansTX
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    White Sox got on a winning streak vs bad teams recently. Then they played Cleveland, which is their equal, and stopped winning.
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  18. 08-19-11 01:23 PM #18
    SOUP
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    Quote Originally Posted by mngambler View Post
    didn't you fade the Yanks yesterday as well?
    Yes i did fade them ysterday
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  19. 08-19-11 01:37 PM #19
    ShogunRua
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    Peavy is a much better pitcher period


    fail
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  20. 08-19-11 01:41 PM #20
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    fail
    No he is right. Peavy is the better pitcher.
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  21. 08-19-11 01:42 PM #21
    ShogunRua
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    No he is right. Peavy is the better pitcher.
    career yes, but not right now
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  22. 08-19-11 02:01 PM #22
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    career yes, but not right now
    right now yes, and it's not close. go back to betting betpoints
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  23. 08-19-11 02:06 PM #23
    thebestthereis
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    Long win steaks followed by a loss results in a win the following game. At this price I agree. If Adam Dunn is in the line Up for the Sux triple your wager.
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  24. 08-19-11 02:55 PM #24
    ShogunRua
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    right now yes, and it's not close. go back to betting betpoints
    Says the non pro ghost.

    Hey, maybe I'm mistaken, but aren't you that troll from GGs thread who tried to talk about the betting market and made a complete fool of himself?
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  25. 08-19-11 03:07 PM #25
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    If you think Texas is a clear bet, that means you think the line is off. If the line is correct(-119/+112 meaning -116 is true line) then you are making a losing bet at -119.
    Not true at all.


    Not at all debatable, Peavy is almost a half run better in xFIP this year and over a full run last year. Harrison was terrible before this season and this season he's been about average.
    Do you watch games or just go by stats?


    lol of course they are the much better team that's why they're favored on the road
    I'll take the better team with the more stable pitcher every time.
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  26. 08-19-11 03:12 PM #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    astros, mariners
    I remember a while back you said you were going to start betting Astro games because they were being undervalued. How's that working out for you?
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  27. 08-19-11 03:23 PM #27
    JT OZ
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    While the White Sox OBP vs. lefties isn't bad they still are near the bottom in scoring runs, obviously that has something to do with where Dunn is in the lineup but I still have to go with Texas in this one.
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  28. 08-19-11 04:24 PM #28
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I remember a while back you said you were going to start betting Astro games because they were being undervalued. How's that working out for you?
    They were, I probably bet them 4 or 5 times the past few weeks. I don't know off hand my record on those, 1 of those was bud norris the other night
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  29. 08-19-11 04:27 PM #29
    God1
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Not true at all.
    i give up, you just don't understand betting. IF THE CORRECT TRUE LINE IS -116 AND YOU BET IT AT -119 YOU ARE LOSING EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU MAKE THE BET

    Do you watch games or just go by stats?
    do you choose to just ignore statistics that predict future performance far better than any idiot eyeballing a pitcher can?

    I'll take the better team with the more stable pitcher every time.
    and if they were -130 would you also just take the better team with more stable pitcher? how about -170? You just don't get it, -115 could be a winning bet while -119 could be losing
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  30. 08-19-11 05:25 PM #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    i give up, you just don't understand betting. IF THE CORRECT TRUE LINE IS -116 AND YOU BET IT AT -119 YOU ARE LOSING EVERY SINGLE TIME YOU MAKE THE BET





    do you choose to just ignore statistics that predict future performance far better than any idiot eyeballing a pitcher can?



    and if they were -130 would you also just take the better team with more stable pitcher? how about -170? You just don't get it, -115 could be a winning bet while -119 could be losing
    You just argue for the sake of arguing. Like everyone else, I'm officially done with you.

    You're right -- I don't understand betting. Check my thread, idiot. Must just be really lucky.
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  31. 08-19-11 07:28 PM #31
    God1
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    harrison is a stud no doubt
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  32. 08-19-11 07:29 PM #32
    LockPickMaster
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    harrison fukking sucks
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  33. 08-19-11 07:29 PM #33
    hezawizard
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    lol, he will lose this game in 1st inning
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  34. 08-19-11 07:59 PM #34
    God1
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    through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?
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  35. 08-19-11 08:16 PM #35
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    Quote Originally Posted by God1 View Post
    through 3 innings we have 1 pitcher with a no hitter and 1 pitcher who has given up 3 runs. guess which is which?
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