1. 01-12-11 12:27 AM #1
    dfberger23
    dfberger23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 5,069
    Betpoints: 406

    Great Opportunity (Aussie Open)

    At 5dimes Federer is +188 to win the Open while Nadal is +213.

    These seem to be amazing odds. Taking both of them seems like a lock.

    Do you really see someone else winning?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-12-11 01:23 AM #2
    Jrod124
    Update your status
    Jrod124's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-09
    Posts: 5,622
    Betpoints: 535

    wait a bit. Around Friday or Saturday, 5dimes will post a Federer/Nadal v the Field and u get a better price
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-12-11 03:10 AM #3
    RogueScholar
    Chairman Of The Board
    RogueScholar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-05-07
    Posts: 5,082
    Betpoints: 135

    If you ask me, the real value is with Djokovic at odds surpassing +1000, leaving you enough value to hedge out in the later rounds if he appears to falter. To take the co-favorites at slimmer odds will leave you with a modest profit at best and the potential to lose both stakes in the event of an upset.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-12-11 12:18 PM #4
    roon
    roon's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-13-10
    Posts: 93
    Betpoints: 100

    Someone is going to come out of the woodwork to win the Aussie this year. Nalbandian, Roddick, Berdych are possibilities. Im not betting them though. Haha.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-12-11 12:47 PM #5
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    I always advocate it even though I guess some don't, never make futures bets before you see a draw.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-12-11 01:06 PM #6
    brandoc
    brandoc's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-18-10
    Posts: 386
    Betpoints: 940

    Quote Originally Posted by roon View Post
    Someone is going to come out of the woodwork to win the Aussie this year. Nalbandian, Roddick, Berdych are possibilities. Im not betting them though. Haha.
    Berdych.. are you serious? I doubt Roddick will go deep either. Like EP says, better to see the draw first when it comes out on Friday but i've got both Berdych and Roddick on my fade list. Berdych has no form, and Roddick (despite a final last week) seems to be shot of confidence or lacking in motivation.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 01-12-11 01:43 PM #7
    shari91
    shari91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-10
    Posts: 32,661
    Betpoints: 1689

    I'd suggest combining Scholar's and EP's suggestions. Take an awesome player at big odds so you can trade him out for profit if need be but wait until after you see the draw to do so.

    Best if luck!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 01-12-11 10:23 PM #8
    easywinner
    easywinner's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-10
    Posts: 336
    Betpoints: 152

    Does 5dimes or anybody with a bunch of props have anything like odds to not win the tourney ever?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 01-12-11 10:27 PM #9
    brandoc
    brandoc's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-18-10
    Posts: 386
    Betpoints: 940

    Quote Originally Posted by easywinner View Post
    Does 5dimes or anybody with a bunch of props have anything like odds to not win the tourney ever?

    Why donŽt you just lay on betfair? The majority of the time youŽll be getting the best odds.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 01-12-11 10:28 PM #10
    Jrod124
    Update your status
    Jrod124's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-09
    Posts: 5,622
    Betpoints: 535

    Quote Originally Posted by easywinner View Post
    Does 5dimes or anybody with a bunch of props have anything like odds to not win the tourney ever?
    yea check back Friday or Saturday at 5dimes. But only for the top guys. If u want to unload a shit load on someone like Roddick or Berdych to not win the title that prolly won't be on the big board. Not sure if thats what your wondering. But they will have field prices against Federer, Nadal, Murray, Djokovic I am sure
    Points Awarded:

    easywinner gave Jrod124 6 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 01-12-11 10:29 PM #11
    Jrod124
    Update your status
    Jrod124's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-09
    Posts: 5,622
    Betpoints: 535

    Quote Originally Posted by brandoc View Post
    Why donŽt you just lay on betfair? The majority of the time youŽll be getting the best odds.

    He could be a American
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 01-12-11 10:57 PM #12
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    There's definitely going to be some Uncle Wally plays [my term for value because I despise that term - it's gonna be a thing ] ... because it's the first Slam and there's rarely enough form to gauge most of the players on. So, if you can find someone with a soft draw who has a game suited to the surface, you can get a nice price to trade. These are ones I see on 5Dimes that could give you that if their draw is nice:

    Djokovic +1025
    Soderling +1825
    Tsonga +10500

    I throw Tsonga in there because he's got the talent to compete with guys on this surface, but this is about the only Slam you can say he might have a shot at because it's usually the only one where he is close to 100%. Think that is evident by his results in Melbourne in the last three years. I don't think he'll win it, but he's a guy who if given a good draw would be a grade trade out late in the tournament. I think the WTA draw always provides better options because of the unpredictability. You've got the #1 who never won a Slam at +700. Clijsters probably overpriced at +200. Henin at +570. Venus at +2000. Zvonareva +950. Just some good payouts if you can accurately predict the draw. Can't wait to see them in another day.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 01-13-11 06:14 AM #13
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    My gf has convinced me to fade murray. Will prolly take some long dogs...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 01-13-11 06:30 AM #14
    Ace_of_Spades
    Golazo De Riverrrr!
    Ace_of_Spades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-09
    Posts: 13,518
    Betpoints: 79

    WTA is impossible to work out. Have something on Stosur though.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 01-13-11 06:43 AM #15
    gators0708
    gators0708's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-10
    Posts: 2,318
    Betpoints: 14372

    Monfils!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Tennis Betting | Next Thread »