[SBR Lou]

Roland Garros French Open 2010 - Event Overview

Is there ever a better time to win money betting tennis than the Roland Garros French Open?

Last year I stuck my neck on the line and made an unpopular prediction in the SBR tennis forum that Roger Federer would win the 2009 French Open – at the time of my posting, you could waltz into your local sportsbook, or in the case of seasoned off-shore bettors, click through and secure Federer at the odds of +1150. Sorry, I just had to gloat a little.

This year Federer is offered at +600 to repeat as champion by 5Dimes Sportsbook – one of the best US facing tennis sportsbooks.

Whether you’re a casual fan or diehard tennis follower, it’s not very difficult to observe that the ATP field is not very competitive. Each major event the same handful of players’ are projected to do well by online sportsbooks, the script is typically followed with few variations. The same will be the case this year. All hope is not lost, unless your interest is in tennis from a fan perspective. If you’re instead approaching the French Open with the objective of making money, this will still be an exciting tournament with plenty of opportunities to backhand your online bookie.

Where I see value: Set handicap betting. Unequal matches can be profitable to play; oddsmakers are quite sharp at setting moneylines in Grand Slam events, so what I suggest doing is to look for capable players getting upward of +5.5 games per match. We will be reviewing juicy offerings once match odds are available, but this strategy can be quite effective and warrants some consideration on your part. Laying the lumber on a heavy favorite to cover set handicap bets is generally not worth it, unless of course you notice a sportsbook asleep at the wheel when browsing SBR Odds.

Sucker bet of French Open Tourney: Rafael Nadal -250 at BetPhoenix

If you are feeling generous with your hard-earned cash, I would suggest picking a suitable charity and NOT backing Rafael Nadal to win the 2010 French Open.

Rafael Nadal has battled the injury bug since falling from grace with his loss to Robin Soderling in the 2009 French Open, and while he’s regained solid form since then, most notably with a nice victory over David Ferrer in the Rome Masters Series, there’s absolutely no value taking in taking him here. The #3 ranked tennis player in the world being a -250 favorite to win 7 matches in a row just doesn’t taste right. As the old saying goes, if it looks and tastes like….vinegar, it must be, well, you get the idea…

Value bet of French Open Tourney: Juan Martin Del Potro, +5500 at Pinnacle Sports
editor's note - Juan Martin Del Potro is now expected to miss the 2010 French Open, and has been removed from Pinnacle Sports odds offering.

Juan Martin Del Potro is one of the best young talents in the ATP men’s circuit, he won his first ever Grand Slam by defeating Roger Federer (albeit on a hard court) in the 2009 US Open, his record on clay lifetime is 31-16 including wins at the Kitzbuhel and Stuttgart events. A price like this warrants a small play and provides an excellent opportunity to guarantee a profit should Del Potro get off to a good start and advance to the quarter finals or higher.

Stay tuned to SBRforum for more 2010 French Open coverage, breakdowns, and handicapper analysis once the French Open Draw is released. As always, feel free to visit SBR’s tennis betting forum to discuss your opinions with likeminded tennis bettors.

[tailmypicks]

why not crazy any more?
and delpo withdrew i think

[michalis]

sorry but nadal is unbeatable on clay, it took serious injury to stop him from winning the roland garros for the 5th? straight time last year

who is gonna beat him when he is healthy?

federer is out of form cause after the australian open he thought he was so good he deserved a long vacation and didnt feel the need to practice

also djoko and murray are out of shape, if they cant beat krajinovic and fish on clay I dont see them beating nadal

soderling also out of shape, and he wont play an injured nadal again

del potro is out

ferer and verdasco have proven they cant touch nadals game

I dont even know where gonzalez and davydenko are

right now its hard to take away 1 set from nadal on clay, let alone 3

dont waste your money

[EaglesPhan36]

Uh, Juan Martin Del Potro is out for months after wrist surgery.


http://www.upi.com/Sports_News/2010/...1411273857256/

[Unicorn7]

Good stuff. I am looking forward to this tourney

I guess sbr wants a cleaner image

how bout lunatic lou?

[SBR Lou]

Uh, Juan Martin Del Potro is out for months after wrist surgery. http://www.upi.com/Sports_News/2010/...1411273857256/

Pinnacle Sports has him listed.

http://www.pinnaclesports.com/Contes...Win/Lines.aspx

[Unicorn7]

michalis

I disagree my fellow poster

Rodin Soderling beat him good in the last big clay tourney we saw here

There is great parity among the mens and womens now

We should be blessed with an exciting tournament

[mihaita666]

if it's not nadal, than only fedex can take it.
Nole is not in a good form
murray sucks on red clay
del potro's out
cilic - just like murray
davydenko is out too.

No one else capable really. verdasco ? i dont even wanna mention other guys, it's waste of ......keys
I will wait to see the draw and make a future after that. I am leaning on Federer because i think he'll avoid Djokovic.

[michalis]

michalis

I disagree my fellow poster

Rodin Soderling beat him good in the last big clay tourney we saw here

There is great parity among the mens and womens now

We should be blessed with an exciting tournament

you do have a point, but imo, tendonitis forms gradually and doesnot happen overnight, so i dont think nadal got it shortly after the roland garros, he must have been facing pain and/or difficulty in movement during the grand slam

and in any situation, nadal went on a streak of 31 unbeaten games at roland garros before that soderling game, he is good for another run i guess, id like to see fed repeat but he has dropped the ball, he will be nowere near as ready as nadal

[EaglesPhan36]

By the way, taking futures before you see the draws is bad voodoo. IMO, you must see the draws to gauge what is or is not good "value."

[mihaita666]

correct...who is 4th seeded, Murray ?

[Fthenorm]

JCF, Soderling or Gulbis could make deep runs...Gonzo could make another run as well...the only surprise finalist I can envision is Gulbis or Verdasco. I agree though, no value in Nadal at minus 250 to win...more value in Nadal NOT to win at minus 110 ish. Eventually there will be value in a Delpo play at the french, but that is not this year. Would not surprise me at all to see a guy like Montanes or Nalbandian in the quarters.

[nulldah]

i agree nadal wont be that easy to win roland garros. everyone keep saying it's difficult to even take a set from him, but what did gulbis just do weeks ago? he's not 100% yet, you can see on current madrid tms, that he's trying to be careful on his condition and still winning the match. no blowout win for him here. this basically shows he's still prone to injury.

while federer, you just dont fade this man in grandslam. he can be "amateur" type of player in atp250, atp500 or even master event, but grandslam, he will do everything he can to win the match. remember last AO, where sunlight troubled him when he faced davydenko?

while the rest of players, i just couldn't figure out who will be big underdog to trouble nadal and federer. one name that probably will be no suprise to me if he reach quarters or semis is gulbis. he's been consistent throughout clay tours. the other probably almagro. these are two players that often cause upset and consistent when being favourite on recent clay tours.

delpotro? i dont even remembered what is the last time i watch him played atp events. i just hope this injury will not end his career...

[michalis]

yes gulbis took a set, but he'll have to win three to beat nadal, he's not ready yet

jfc and nalbandian? they have injuries and havent played in a while, they will be unfit for th rg

[BernardMadoff]

Roland Garros French Open 2010 - Event Overview



This year Federer is offered at +600 to repeat as champion by 5Dimes Sportsbook – one of the best US facing tennis sportsbooks.

I dont see this option on 5 Dimes.

[tankman777]

chalk or no chalk, nadal will win this time

[beefcake]

well he lost another set today..chinks in the armor..

[TennisBabe]

Nadal -150 to win once the lines opened several weeks ago was the best bet of the century.

[SBR Lou]

Nadal -150 to win once the lines opened several weeks ago was the best bet of the century.

It's going to be another disappointing year for Nadal fans.

[Goat Milk]

Del Potro will make an early exit- that is almost a fact.

Nadal is not injured. He's back to being Nadal, and has played in every clay tourney so far. Playing on clay is about rhythm, it's not like hardcourt, the longer you play on clay (consecutive games), you got the advantage.

Nadal will win the french this year. I will be a classic Nadal-Fed rematch once more. At the very least, Fed will make it to the semi's. You can pretty much chalk Nadal's name in to be in the finals at the last right now.

[Jrod124]

I think I read Del Potro is going to miss the French Open, Wimby and the Argentina Davis Cup tie. But he hopes to be in Flushing to defend his U.S. Open crown

[shantymoon]

you can take a set from him but 3? it has happened only once in the last 4 years and its so hard for anyone to take 3 sets off him

[THEGREAT30]

I'm having a hard time getting into the tennis mood this year, maybe this event will do it for me, truism

[EaglesPhan36]

How many times does this need repeating ... DEL POTRO IS OUT. Wrist surgery has his defending the US OPEN as a question mark. If you don't do enough research to know who is in or out of a Grand Slam event, you probably shouldn't be betting it.


http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/05/sp.../05tennis.html

In September, Juan Martín del Potro won the United States Open, pounding his huge, flat forehand as he put a surprising end to Roger Federer’s five-year winning streak at Flushing Meadows.



Quinn Rooney/Getty Images

Juan Martin Del Potro has had trouble with his right wrist since before his fourth-round exit at the Australian Open in January.

Del Potro returned to a hero’s welcome in Argentina. But the news in 2010 has been much less upbeat for the tall, soft-spoken del Potro. Because of a right wrist injury, he has not played since the Australian Open in January, and on Tuesday, after extensive therapy failed to resolve the problem and the pain, he underwent wrist surgery at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn.

Del Potro indicated in a statement on Tuesday before the operation that his recovery period would be “lengthy yet depends on many factors.” After the operation, the Argentine news agency Telam reported on its Web site that del Potro was expected to miss at least the next four months of tournament play. If true, he would miss the heart of the tennis season, including the French Open and Wimbledon, and would unlikely be able to defend his title at the United States Open, which is scheduled to begin Aug. 30.

[Jrod124]

del po is still listed cause books are feasting on people who dont do research and "all bets have action" del po could be +200000000000 if he doesnt play u lose

[Fischnasty]

was this the "liquidate your assets" play?

or one of the other -2000 favs you lost?

Crazylou, give me one reason why i should take any tennis play you post seriously.

[Fischnasty]

Crazylou,

do you know that nadal outright can be found at -180 at other books? did you even bother looking for lines at more than one book?

did you know that del potro had surgery a few weeks ago? did you even bother to read about this?

[Fischnasty]

CrazyLou, how does a -180 outright fit into your model?

[Kamikaze]

i also like del potro to win

gl lou

[Fairweatherfan]

Delpo

Oh man that's good stuff right there

[nulldah]

the point that i tried to mention about gulbis taking a set from nadal is before that match, pretty much everyone believed it's even hard to take a game from nadal, not mentioning a set, there was even a thread by TennisBabe at that time. But here we go, gulbis took a set, almagro did the same thing last night.

Now, almost everyone is saying again that nadal will surely win Roland Garros, together with the books odds. Just like how Federer lost on US Open last year, there is very high chance that someone will did the same thing to nadal. These two rivals at their best are unbeatable, but accept it, now one is just enjoy playing tennis, another one still trying to get to best form and injury-free condition after 1 year struggling with injury.

i already laid 2 unit at betfair for nadal not to win. this is grandslam guys, this is where players will fight to the end, even with the injury risk (see how delpotro injury came after US Open?) Nadal still likely to win Roland Garros, but hey, at such odds (1.55), i just dont see the gold in it.

[Jrod124]

its a 2 horse race at rg period

[Tsonga]

Nadal has it...i think he may lose no more than 2.5 sets along the way.

[Boner_18]

Interesting read here lou.

[Dutchie]

well he lost another set today..chinks in the armor..

racist